我国油气储量、产量增长趋势影响因素分析
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摘要
影响油气储量的增长趋势的影响因素很多,不同类型盆地油气储量、产量增长规律差别也较大。充分认识影响储量、产量增长的各方面因素,对合理预测我国油气储量产量增长趋势,判断油气储量、产量增长领域,确定盆地在目前和未来一段时期内的主要勘探目标等都有重要意义。目前,对影响油气储量、产量增长因素的认识还存在不同看法,部分因素没有得到充分考虑,系统分析还需要进一步加强。本文通过分析,将影响油气储量、产量增长趋势的影响因素归纳为三方面:在地质方面,油气资源潜力和资源分布的集中程度,盆地圈闭发育特点直接影响勘探进程和储量增长:资源潜力大、分布集中、圈闭发育均衡的盆地勘探进展快,储量增长具有典型的双峰特点;资源分布层位多的叠合盆地储量增长具有多峰特征等。在理论技术方面,陆相成油理论打开了我国陆相盆地勘探领域,出现我国第一个储量增长高峰,岩性、地层成藏理论的成熟带来了我国储量第二个增长高峰;地震技术、钻井技术、测井、测试技术和采油等勘探开发技术的进步,不断拓展勘探领域,勘探开发由正向构造扩展到凹陷,由中浅层扩展到深层,由陆地扩展到海洋,由平原、丘陵扩展到山地、沙漠和滩海。油气需求和价格等直接影响勘探投入和储量发现。各种因素的作用方式和程度不同,油气储量、产量增长特征是在各因素的综合作用下的结果。通过系统分析,充分认识影响储量、产量增长的各方面因素,可为合理预测我国油气储量、产量增长趋势,判断油气储量、产量增长领域提供基础依据。
There are many factors affecting the discovery of oil and gas.Due to the difference in influencing factors,reserves increase in different ways in different basins.Therefore,it is very important to recognize the factors for the exploration of a basin.Many specialists have analyzed the influencing factors in different ways and,as a result,many influencing factors in several aspects have been recognized.Different key points and ideas have been emphasized,but not enough importance has been attached to some aspects.A systematic analysis is needed.The influencing factors are divided into three aspects in this paper.The first aspect is the geology and resources:the enrichment and centralization of oil and gas in a basin determine its exploration value;the ratio of different types of oil and gas traps can affect the development of basin exploration.The second aspect is the petroleum theories and technologies for exploration and development of oil and gas:the development of hydrocarbon-generating theories from sea facies to lake facies has enlarged the exploration field to lake basins;the development of oil concentration theories has enlarged the exploration field from anticline to depression;the development of seismic,drilling,well logs and some other means has enlarged the exploration space;the exploration area has been expanded from plain to hills,mountains,deserts,deep seas and foreshores.The oil price and monopolization have very important influence on the investment of exploration.Through an systematic analysis of all the influencing factors,we can form correct opinions on the increasing trend of oil and gas reserves and find the main exploration fields.
There are many factors affecting the discovery of oil and gas.Due to the difference in influencing factors,reserves increase in different ways in different basins.Therefore,it is very important to recognize the factors for the exploration of a basin.Many specialists have analyzed the influencing factors in different ways and,as a result,many influencing factors in several aspects have been recognized.Different key points and ideas have been emphasized,but not enough importance has been attached to some aspects.A systematic analysis is needed.The influencing factors are divided into three aspects in this paper.The first aspect is the geology and resources:the enrichment and centralization of oil and gas in a basin determine its exploration value;the ratio of different types of oil and gas traps can affect the development of basin exploration.The second aspect is the petroleum theories and technologies for exploration and development of oil and gas:the development of hydrocarbon-generating theories from sea facies to lake facies has enlarged the exploration field to lake basins;the development of oil concentration theories has enlarged the exploration field from anticline to depression;the development of seismic,drilling,well logs and some other means has enlarged the exploration space;the exploration area has been expanded from plain to hills,mountains,deserts,deep seas and foreshores.The oil price and monopolization have very important influence on the investment of exploration.Through an systematic analysis of all the influencing factors,we can form correct opinions on the increasing trend of oil and gas reserves and find the main exploration fields.
引文
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