基于未确知测度理论的充填管道堵塞风险性评价
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摘要
为预测深井矿山充填管道堵塞的难易程度,运用未确知测度理论,建立充填管道堵塞风险性评价模型。选取10项评价指标作为未确知测度模型的判别指标,根据实测数据建立各项指标的未确知测度函数,并利用信息熵理论获得各判别指标的权重,依照置信度识别准则进行等级判定,最后得到充填管道堵塞风险性预测值。研究结果表明:金川龙首矿、大红山铜矿、河东金矿和新城金矿等4个评价对象的风险性等级分别为:Ⅱ级、Ⅲ级、Ⅳ级和Ⅲ级。未确知测度理论能综合考虑各项评价指标对评价体系的影响,并进行相应的定量计算。
For the sake of predictiong the risk of filling pipeline blocking of filling system in deep mine,a assessment model of filling pipeline blocking was built on the basis of the uncertainty measurement theory.Ten evaluation indexes were selected as the discriminant ones of the uncertainty measurement model.The uncertainty measurement function of each index was obtained based on the in-situ data.The information entropy theory was used to calculate the weight of each discriminant index,and the predictive value of filling pipeline blocking risk was finally achieved using the rules of credible recognition criteria.The results show that the four evaluation objects are Longshou mine of Jinchuan company,Dahongshan copper mine,Hedong gold mine,and Xincheng gold mine,and the risk grades of them are respectively Ⅱ,Ⅲ,Ⅳ,and Ⅲ.The influence of the evaluation indexes on evaluation system can be comprehensively considered by the uncertainty measurement theory,which is quantitatively calculated.
For the sake of predictiong the risk of filling pipeline blocking of filling system in deep mine,a assessment model of filling pipeline blocking was built on the basis of the uncertainty measurement theory.Ten evaluation indexes were selected as the discriminant ones of the uncertainty measurement model.The uncertainty measurement function of each index was obtained based on the in-situ data.The information entropy theory was used to calculate the weight of each discriminant index,and the predictive value of filling pipeline blocking risk was finally achieved using the rules of credible recognition criteria.The results show that the four evaluation objects are Longshou mine of Jinchuan company,Dahongshan copper mine,Hedong gold mine,and Xincheng gold mine,and the risk grades of them are respectively Ⅱ,Ⅲ,Ⅳ,and Ⅲ.The influence of the evaluation indexes on evaluation system can be comprehensively considered by the uncertainty measurement theory,which is quantitatively calculated.
引文
[1]王新民,古德生,张钦礼.深井矿山充填理论与管道输送技术[M].长沙:中南大学出版社,2010:1-6.WANG Xin-min,GU De-sheng,ZHANG Qin-li.Theory of backfilling activity and pipeline transportation technology ofbackfill in deep mines[M].Changsha:Central South University Press,2010:1-6.
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[2]门峰.模糊集理论与灰色关联理论的FMEA方法[J].工业工程,2008,11(4):109-117.MEN Feng.FMEA method based upon fuzzy set theory and grey relational theory[J].Industrial Engineering Journal,2008,11(4):109-117.
[3]陶建峰,王少萍,姚一平.计算机辅助FMECA与FTA正向综合分析方法研究[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2000,26(6):663-665.TAO Jian-feng,WANG Shao-ping,YAO Yi-ping.Hybrid method of computer aided FMECA and FTA[J].Journa1 ofBeijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2000,26(6):663-665.
[4]刘小春,黄嵩.基于模糊数学的民爆器材库房安全综合评价模型及应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2007,17(7):102-106.LIU Xiao-chun,HUANG Song.Comprehensive safety assessment model for civil blasting material storeroom based on fuzzymathematics and its application[J].China Safety Science Journal,2007,17(7):102-106.
[5]樊兴华,张勤,孙茂松,等.多值因果图的推理算法研究[J].计算机学报,2003,26(3):310-322.FAN Xing-hua,ZHANG Qin,SUN Mao-song,et al.Reasoning algorithm in multi-value causality diagram[J].ChineseJournal of Computers,2003,26(3):310-322.
[6]Wen S H,Chung D D L.Enhancing the vibration reduction ability of concrete by using steel reinforcement and steelsurface treatment[J].Cement&Concrete Research,2000,30(2):327-330.
[7]范磊,沈蔚,张卫平.基于灰关联法的爆破地震波影响因素分析[J].爆破,2007,24(3):23-25.FAN Lei,SHEN Wei,ZHANG Wei-ping.Influential factors of blasting seismic wave by the grey correlation method[J].Blasting,2007,24(3):23-25.
[8]吴义锋,薛联青,吕锡武.基于未确知数学理论的水质风险评价模式[J].环境科学学报,2006,26(6):1047-1052.WU Yi-feng,XUE Lian-qing,LXi-wu.Assessment model of water quality risk based on unascertained mathematicstheory[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2006,26(6):1 047-1 052.
[9]阳富强,吴超.基于未确知测度理论的硫化矿石爆堆自燃危险性评价[J].中南大学学报:自然科学版,2010,41(6):2 373-2 380.YANG Fu-qiang,WU Chao.Risk assessment on spontaneous combustion of sulfide ore dump in stope based on uncertaintymeasurement theory[J].Journal of Central South University:Science and Technology,2010,41(6):2 373-2 380.
[10]宫凤强,李夕兵,董陇军,等.基于未确知测度理论的采空区危险性评价研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2008,27(2):323-330.GONG Feng-qiang,LI Xi-bing,DONG Long-jun,et al.Underground goaf risk evaluation based on uncertainty measure-ment theory[J].Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2008,27(2):323-330.
[11]李如忠,洪天求,熊鸿斌,等.基于未确知数学理论的沉积物重金属污染评价模式[J].农业环境科学学报,2007,26(6):2 167-2 172.LI Ru-zhong,HONG Tian-qiu,XIONG Hong-bin,et al.Assessment model for heavy metal pollution in stream sedimentsbased on uncertainty mathematics theory[J].Journal of Agro-Environment Science,2007,26(6):2 167-2 172.
[12]曹庆奎,刘开展,张博文.用熵计算客观型指标权重的方法[J].河北建筑科技学院学报,2000,17(3):40-42.CAO Qing-kui,LIU Kai-zhan,ZHANG Bo-wen.Calculation method of objective index weight by entropy[J].Journal ofHebei Institute of Architectural Science and Technology,2000,17(3):40-42.
[13]刘开第,庞彦军,孙光勇,等.城市环境质量的未确知测度评价[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,19(12):52-58.LIU Kai-di,PANG Yan-jun,SUN Guang-yong,et al.The unascertained measurement evaluation on a city's environmentalquality[J].Systems Engineering--Theory&Practice,1999,19(12):52-58.
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