大型天然气管网系统可靠性
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摘要
随着中国国民经济的快速发展,天然气需求量不断扩大。天然气管网作为连接资源与市场的纽带,已成为保障国民经济的生命线。中国拥有世界上最复杂、输送任务最艰巨的天然气管网系统。现有基于单一或少数管道的运行管理方法已不能满足大型管网系统安全生产需要,必须寻求更为科学合理的管理思路。本文首次提出大型天然气管网系统可靠性概念,分析了大型天然气管网系统可靠性面临的3个挑战:量化大系统可靠性、评价分系统(单元)可靠性、建立大系统与分系统之间的关联。同时,对大型天然气管网系统可靠性框架进行了初步设计,并针对中国天然气管道行业现状,提出大型天然气管网可靠性增强方案。
With rapid development of China's national economy,demand for natural gas continues to expand.Natural gas pipeline,which works as the connection between resources and market,will serve as a lifeline to make sure the sustainable development of the national economy.China has the world's most complex and busiest natural gas pipeline system.However,due to fact that the existed methods which based on single pipeline or small-scale pipeline network are not capable of providing sufficient technical surpport for the safety and safety management of the large-scale pipeline network,it is of urgent need for us to look for a more scientific and rational management concept.In this paper,the idea of reliability of large-scale natural gas pipeline network is first proposed.The challenges that large-scale natural gas pipeline network may face are analyzed thereafter,induding: the quantification of reliability of large-scale natural gas pipeline network,the evaluation of reliability of system and also the connection between overall system and unit system.Meanwhile,a preliminary design of large-scale natural gas pipeline network is given and a method to enhance reliability of large-scale pipeline network is proposed based on the facts of China's natural gas pipeline network.
With rapid development of China's national economy,demand for natural gas continues to expand.Natural gas pipeline,which works as the connection between resources and market,will serve as a lifeline to make sure the sustainable development of the national economy.China has the world's most complex and busiest natural gas pipeline system.However,due to fact that the existed methods which based on single pipeline or small-scale pipeline network are not capable of providing sufficient technical surpport for the safety and safety management of the large-scale pipeline network,it is of urgent need for us to look for a more scientific and rational management concept.In this paper,the idea of reliability of large-scale natural gas pipeline network is first proposed.The challenges that large-scale natural gas pipeline network may face are analyzed thereafter,induding: the quantification of reliability of large-scale natural gas pipeline network,the evaluation of reliability of system and also the connection between overall system and unit system.Meanwhile,a preliminary design of large-scale natural gas pipeline network is given and a method to enhance reliability of large-scale pipeline network is proposed based on the facts of China's natural gas pipeline network.
引文
[1]黄维和.油气管道输送技术[M].北京:石油工业出版社,2012:9-11.Huang Weihe.Transportation technigue for oil&gas pipoeline[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2012:9-11.
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[3]翁永基.油气管道泄漏事故的定量风险评价[J].石油学报,2004,25(5):108-112.Weng Yongji.Quantitative risk assessment for failure of oil and gas pipelines[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2004,25(5):108-112.
[4]姚安林.论我国管道风险评价技术的发展战略[J].天然气工业,1999,19(4):66-69.Yao Anlin.On the development strategy of pipeline risk evalua-tion technique in China[J].Natural Gas Industry,1999,19(4):66-69.
[5]杨祖佩,王维斌.长输管道资产完整性管理系统研究[J].油气储运,2006,25(7):1-3.Yang Zupei,Zhang Weibin.Study on asset integrity management system of long distance pipeline[J].Oil&Gas Storage and Transportation,2006,25(7):1-3.
[6]易云兵,姚安林,姚林,等.油气管道风险评价技术概述[J].天然气与石油,2005,23(3):16-19.Yi Yunbing,Yao Anlin,Yao Lin,et al.Brief introduction to risk assessment technology for oil and gas pipelines[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2005,23(3):16-19.
[7]余建星,祈世芳.一种新的输油管道可靠性分析方法[J].石油学报,2003,24(1):85-88.Yu Jianxing,Qi Shifang.A new analysis method for evaluating reliability of oil pipelines[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2003,24(1):85-88.
[8]曲慎扬.油气管道可靠性评价指标及其计算[J].油气储运,1996,15(4):8-10.Qu Shenyang.Evaluation indexes and calculations of the reliabili-ty of oil and gas pipelines[J].Oil&Gas Storage and Transporta-tion,1996,15(4):8-10.
[9]刘锴,郑贤斌.在役油气管道安全可靠性评估方法初探[J].油气田环境保护,2010,20(4):48-51.Liu Kai,Zheng Xianbin.An exploration on safety&reliability assessment method for in-service oil and gas pipeline[J].Envi-ronmental Protection of Oil&Gas Fields,2010,20(4):48-51.
[10]宋东昱,陈靖华,严大凡.天然气管网系统可靠性数据统计方法[J].油气储运,1997,16(12):25-29.Song Dongyu,Chen Jinghua,Yan Dafan,Reliability statistics of operational data from gas pipe networks[J].Oil&Gas Storage and Transportation,1997,16(12):25-29.
[11]帅健.油气管道可靠性的极限状态设计方法[J].石油规划设计,2002,13(1):18-21.Shuai Jian.The reliability-based limit-state design method[J].Petroleum Planning&Engineering,2002,13(1):18-21.
[12]国家发展和改革委员会.SY/T6621-2005输气管道系统完整性管理[S].北京:石油工业出版社,2005.National Development and Reform Commission.SY/T6621-2005Managing system integrity of gas pipelines[S].Beijing:Pe-troleum Industry Press,2005.
[13]帅健,王晓林,牛双会.基于C/S网络模式的管道完整性管理系统[J].石油学报,2010,31(2):327-332.Shuai Jian,Wang Xiaolin,Niu Shuanghui.A pipeline integrity management system based on Client/Server mode[J].Acta Pe-trolei Sinica,2010,31(2):327-332.
[14]刘扬,赵洪激,董家梅.常压储罐系统可靠性研究[J].石油学报,2002,23(5):96-100.Liu Yang,Zhao Hongji,Dong Jiamei.Reliability analysis of tank at normal pressure[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2002,23(5):96-100.
[15]范玉顺.信息化管理战略与方法[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2008:17-29.Fan Yushun.Information management strategy and method[M].Beijing:Tsinghua University Press,2008:17-29.
[16]Michael G P,Kailash C K,康锐,等.可靠性工程基础[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2011.Michael G P,Kailash C K,Kang Rui,et al.Reliability engineering basis[M].Beijing:Publishing House of Electronics Industry,2011.
[2]冯庆善,陈健峰,艾慕阳,等.管道完整性管理在应对地震灾害中的应用[J].石油学报,2010,33(1):139-143.Feng Qingshan,Chen Jianfeng,Ai Muyang,et al.Application of pipeline integrity technology in earthquake disaster[J].Acta Pe-trolei Sinica,2010,33(1):139-143.
[3]翁永基.油气管道泄漏事故的定量风险评价[J].石油学报,2004,25(5):108-112.Weng Yongji.Quantitative risk assessment for failure of oil and gas pipelines[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2004,25(5):108-112.
[4]姚安林.论我国管道风险评价技术的发展战略[J].天然气工业,1999,19(4):66-69.Yao Anlin.On the development strategy of pipeline risk evalua-tion technique in China[J].Natural Gas Industry,1999,19(4):66-69.
[5]杨祖佩,王维斌.长输管道资产完整性管理系统研究[J].油气储运,2006,25(7):1-3.Yang Zupei,Zhang Weibin.Study on asset integrity management system of long distance pipeline[J].Oil&Gas Storage and Transportation,2006,25(7):1-3.
[6]易云兵,姚安林,姚林,等.油气管道风险评价技术概述[J].天然气与石油,2005,23(3):16-19.Yi Yunbing,Yao Anlin,Yao Lin,et al.Brief introduction to risk assessment technology for oil and gas pipelines[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2005,23(3):16-19.
[7]余建星,祈世芳.一种新的输油管道可靠性分析方法[J].石油学报,2003,24(1):85-88.Yu Jianxing,Qi Shifang.A new analysis method for evaluating reliability of oil pipelines[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2003,24(1):85-88.
[8]曲慎扬.油气管道可靠性评价指标及其计算[J].油气储运,1996,15(4):8-10.Qu Shenyang.Evaluation indexes and calculations of the reliabili-ty of oil and gas pipelines[J].Oil&Gas Storage and Transporta-tion,1996,15(4):8-10.
[9]刘锴,郑贤斌.在役油气管道安全可靠性评估方法初探[J].油气田环境保护,2010,20(4):48-51.Liu Kai,Zheng Xianbin.An exploration on safety&reliability assessment method for in-service oil and gas pipeline[J].Envi-ronmental Protection of Oil&Gas Fields,2010,20(4):48-51.
[10]宋东昱,陈靖华,严大凡.天然气管网系统可靠性数据统计方法[J].油气储运,1997,16(12):25-29.Song Dongyu,Chen Jinghua,Yan Dafan,Reliability statistics of operational data from gas pipe networks[J].Oil&Gas Storage and Transportation,1997,16(12):25-29.
[11]帅健.油气管道可靠性的极限状态设计方法[J].石油规划设计,2002,13(1):18-21.Shuai Jian.The reliability-based limit-state design method[J].Petroleum Planning&Engineering,2002,13(1):18-21.
[12]国家发展和改革委员会.SY/T6621-2005输气管道系统完整性管理[S].北京:石油工业出版社,2005.National Development and Reform Commission.SY/T6621-2005Managing system integrity of gas pipelines[S].Beijing:Pe-troleum Industry Press,2005.
[13]帅健,王晓林,牛双会.基于C/S网络模式的管道完整性管理系统[J].石油学报,2010,31(2):327-332.Shuai Jian,Wang Xiaolin,Niu Shuanghui.A pipeline integrity management system based on Client/Server mode[J].Acta Pe-trolei Sinica,2010,31(2):327-332.
[14]刘扬,赵洪激,董家梅.常压储罐系统可靠性研究[J].石油学报,2002,23(5):96-100.Liu Yang,Zhao Hongji,Dong Jiamei.Reliability analysis of tank at normal pressure[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2002,23(5):96-100.
[15]范玉顺.信息化管理战略与方法[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2008:17-29.Fan Yushun.Information management strategy and method[M].Beijing:Tsinghua University Press,2008:17-29.
[16]Michael G P,Kailash C K,康锐,等.可靠性工程基础[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2011.Michael G P,Kailash C K,Kang Rui,et al.Reliability engineering basis[M].Beijing:Publishing House of Electronics Industry,2011.
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