震害预测仿真系统研究(一)——仿真预测的基本思想
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摘要
现有震害预测方法多带有模式法的痕迹,预测结果难以真实、全面地反映城市系统的现状特征。基于在预测系统与真实系统之间建立等价联系的思想。本文提出了建立城市“震害预测仿真系统”的思想与方法。
Basing on the state-of-the art of carthquake disaster predicition, this paper presented the idea of simulation predicition. Considering the equivalent relationship between the predicition system and the real system, we have discussed a general method to set up the simulation system of carthquake disaster predicition.
Basing on the state-of-the art of carthquake disaster predicition, this paper presented the idea of simulation predicition. Considering the equivalent relationship between the predicition system and the real system, we have discussed a general method to set up the simulation system of carthquake disaster predicition.
引文
[1] 杨玉成,杨柳等.现有多层砖房震害预测的方法及其可靠性.地震工程与工程振动,1982(3)
[2] 杨玉成,杨柳等.多层砖房的地震破坏和抗倒设计.地震出版社,1981
[3] 陶谋立,薰伟民.小区单层厂房的震害预测方法.河南抗震,第5期
[4] 刘锡荟,董竞成.烈度评定与震害预测中的模糊方法 地震工程与工程振,1982(4)
[5] 刘锡荟,王孟玫,汪培庄.震害预测的模糊数学模型.建筑结构学报,1984(1)
[6] 刘锡荟,陈一平等.建筑物震害预测的港影贝叶斯原理的应用.地震工程与工程振动,1985(1)
[7] 李荷等.烟台市多层砖房震害预测.烟台市城市抗震防灾规划和烟台市城市抗震基础资料,1984
[8] 吴育才,谭良.单层厂房的震害预测.工程抗震,1985(6)
[9] 金国梁等.老旧民房地震破坏预测的方法,工程抗震,1985(2)
[10] 金国梁等.园形砖烟囱震害预测的方法.工程抗震,1986(4)
[11] 尹之潜等.单层工业厂房震害估计方法.地震工程与工程振动,1987(4)
[12] Yin Zhiqian et al. A Mcthod for Estimating Earthquake Dqmagc and Loss. Intertronal Sympaslam on Earthquake Countermeasures. 1988． 6, Beijing, China
[13] 高小旺等.钢筋砼框架房屋的震害预测方法.建筑科学,1989(1)
[14] 苏文藻.厦门市烟囱的震害预测方法.世界地震工程,1988(4)
[15] 徐祥文,黄崇福.结构动力反应与震害关系的模糊识别.地震工程与工程振动,1989(2)
[16] 杨雅玲,杨玉成.城市震害预测中的房屋数据库.世界地震工程,1988(1)
[17] 章在墉.地震危险性分析.同济大学,1986
[18] Yao, J. T. P. Damage Assessment of Exisiting Structures ASCE EMA, 1980
[19] Akchori shibatc presicition of the probability of carthquake damage to reinforces concrete building groups in a city TWCEE VII 1980
[20] A. C. Boissonnade H. C. Shah Earthquake Damage and Loss Estimation-Revien of Available Methods Proc of us-PRC Bilateral Werkshop on Earthquake Engineering Harbin 1982． PP. F-4-1～F-4-28
[21] 刘锡荃等.模糊烈度.地震工进与工程振动,1983(3)
[2] 杨玉成,杨柳等.多层砖房的地震破坏和抗倒设计.地震出版社,1981
[3] 陶谋立,薰伟民.小区单层厂房的震害预测方法.河南抗震,第5期
[4] 刘锡荟,董竞成.烈度评定与震害预测中的模糊方法 地震工程与工程振,1982(4)
[5] 刘锡荟,王孟玫,汪培庄.震害预测的模糊数学模型.建筑结构学报,1984(1)
[6] 刘锡荟,陈一平等.建筑物震害预测的港影贝叶斯原理的应用.地震工程与工程振动,1985(1)
[7] 李荷等.烟台市多层砖房震害预测.烟台市城市抗震防灾规划和烟台市城市抗震基础资料,1984
[8] 吴育才,谭良.单层厂房的震害预测.工程抗震,1985(6)
[9] 金国梁等.老旧民房地震破坏预测的方法,工程抗震,1985(2)
[10] 金国梁等.园形砖烟囱震害预测的方法.工程抗震,1986(4)
[11] 尹之潜等.单层工业厂房震害估计方法.地震工程与工程振动,1987(4)
[12] Yin Zhiqian et al. A Mcthod for Estimating Earthquake Dqmagc and Loss. Intertronal Sympaslam on Earthquake Countermeasures. 1988． 6, Beijing, China
[13] 高小旺等.钢筋砼框架房屋的震害预测方法.建筑科学,1989(1)
[14] 苏文藻.厦门市烟囱的震害预测方法.世界地震工程,1988(4)
[15] 徐祥文,黄崇福.结构动力反应与震害关系的模糊识别.地震工程与工程振动,1989(2)
[16] 杨雅玲,杨玉成.城市震害预测中的房屋数据库.世界地震工程,1988(1)
[17] 章在墉.地震危险性分析.同济大学,1986
[18] Yao, J. T. P. Damage Assessment of Exisiting Structures ASCE EMA, 1980
[19] Akchori shibatc presicition of the probability of carthquake damage to reinforces concrete building groups in a city TWCEE VII 1980
[20] A. C. Boissonnade H. C. Shah Earthquake Damage and Loss Estimation-Revien of Available Methods Proc of us-PRC Bilateral Werkshop on Earthquake Engineering Harbin 1982． PP. F-4-1～F-4-28
[21] 刘锡荃等.模糊烈度.地震工进与工程振动,1983(3)
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