基于Monte-Carlo法的土坡抗震可靠度分析
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摘要
结合Morgenstern-Price条分法和Monte-Carlo数值模拟方法,采用拟静力的方法考虑水平和竖向地震加速度的作用,运用可靠度理论分析了地震效应和土性参数对土坡稳定性的影响,且将常规的可靠度分析结果和考虑土性参数空间变异性的可靠度分析结果进行了对比,计算结果表明:水平地震加速度、土性参数及其空间变异性对土坡稳定性具有显著的影响。
Combining Morgenstern-Price method with Monte-Carlo numerical simulation method,using quasi-static approach to consider the horizontal earthquake acceleration and the vertical earthquake acceleration,the reliability theory is used to analyze earthquake effects and soil parameters on slope stability in this paper.Comparing the conventional reliability results with the reliability results with considering the spatial variability of soil parameters,a conclusion is drawn that the horizontal seismic acceleration,soil parameters and spatial variability have significant impact on the slope stability.
引文
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