2011年3月11日日本地震海啸数值模拟
|
摘要
为了有效利用数值模拟的方法来更好的预测海啸,利用美国国家地质调查局(US Geological Survey,USGS)给出的震源机制及断层参数,对日本仙台地震海啸进行数值模拟,运用模拟结果对沿岸海啸灾害分布进行分析,以期给出更为合理的海啸预警方案.数值模型由震后表面变形模拟和基于二维浅水波方程的海啸传播程序两部分组成,模拟结果表现了海啸传播过程的特征,与岸边观测点对于海啸到达时间及波高的记录基本吻合.使用该模型在地震发生后对于海啸到达的地区及其波高进行预测,可以给出更准确的海啸预警,降低海啸对人类造成的损失.
引文
1于福江,原野,赵联大,等.2010年2月27日智利8.8级地震海啸对我国影响分析.科学通报,2011,56:239-246
2Satake K.28Tsunamis.In:Lee W H K,Kanamori H,Jennings P C,et al,eds.International Geophysics.Amsterdam:Academic Press,2002.437-451
3Fukao Y.Tsunami earthquakes and subduction processes near deep-sea trenches.J Geophys Res,1979,84:2303-2314
4Kervella Y,Dutykh D,Dias F.Comparison between three-dimensional linear and nonlinear tsunami generation models.Theor Comput Fluid Dyn,2007,21:245-269
5Saito T,Furumura T.Three-dimensional simulation of tsunami generation and propagation:Application to intraplate events.J Geophys Res,2009,114:B02307
6Fujii Y,Satake K.Tsunami source of the2004Sumatra-Andaman earthquake inferred from tide gauge and satellite data.Bull Seismol Soc Am,2007,97:192-207
7Satake K.Inversion of Tsunami waveforms for the estimation of heterogeneous fault motion of large submarine earthquakes:The1968Tokachi-oki and1983Japan sea earthquakes.J Geophys Res,1989,94:5627-5636
8Baba T,Cummins P R,Hori T,et al.High precision slip distribution of the1944Tonankai earthquake inferred from tsunami waveforms:Possible slip on a splay fault.Tectonophysics,2006,426:119-134
9Geist E L,Titov V V,Arcas D,et al.Implications of the26December2004Sumatra-Andaman earthquake on tsunami forecast and as-sessment models for great subduction-zone earthquakes.Bull Seismol Soc Am,2007,97:249-270
10Koh H L,Teh S Y,Liu P L F,et al.Simulation of Andaman2004tsunami for assessing impact on Malaysia.J Asian Earth Sci,2009,36:74-83
11Titov V V,Synolakis C E.Extreme inundation flows during the Hokkaido-Nansei-Oki Tsunami.Geophys Res Lett,1997,24:1315
12Imamura F,Shuto N,Goto C,Numerical simulations of the transoceanic propagation of tsunamis.In:Proceedings of the Sixth Congress Asian and Pacific Regional Division,IAHR.Kyoto,Japan.1988.265-272
13Liu P L F,Woo S B,Cho Y S.COMCOT User Manual Version1.6,2007
14Yalciner A,Pelinovsky E,Talipova T,et al.Tsunamis in the Black Sea:Comparison of the historical,instrumental,and numerical data.J Geophys Res,2004,109:C12023
15Hayes G.Subduction zone geometry analysis preliminary SZGC results for M8.9earthquake near east coast of Honshu,Japan2011.http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/subduction_zone/usc0001xgp/index.php
16Hayes G.Finite fault model preliminary result of the Mar11,2011Mw8.9earthquake offshore Honshu,Japan2011.http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqinthenews/2011/usc0001xgp/finite_fault_1.php
17陈运泰院士研究小组.日本本州东海岸附近海域Mw9.0地震.http://data.earthquake.cn/datashare/datashare_secondpage_new.jsp?id=1030
18王为民,郝金来,姚振兴.2011年3月11日日本本州东海岸8.9级地震震源破裂过程反演初步结果.http://www.itpcas.ac.cn/xwzx/zhxw/201103/t20110313_3084099.html
19GSI.The2011off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake:Crustal deformation and fault model(preliminary).http://www.gsi.go.jp/cais/topic110421-index-e.html
20Okada Y.Surface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space.Bull Seismol Soc Am,1985,75:1135-1154
21Zhang H,Shi Y L,Yuen D A,et al.Modeling and visualization of tsunamis.Pure Appl Geophys,2008,165:475-496
22Liu Y,Santos A,Wang S M,et al.Tsunami hazards along Chinese coast from potential earthquakes in South China Sea.Phys Earth Planet Inter,2007,163:233-244
2Satake K.28Tsunamis.In:Lee W H K,Kanamori H,Jennings P C,et al,eds.International Geophysics.Amsterdam:Academic Press,2002.437-451
3Fukao Y.Tsunami earthquakes and subduction processes near deep-sea trenches.J Geophys Res,1979,84:2303-2314
4Kervella Y,Dutykh D,Dias F.Comparison between three-dimensional linear and nonlinear tsunami generation models.Theor Comput Fluid Dyn,2007,21:245-269
5Saito T,Furumura T.Three-dimensional simulation of tsunami generation and propagation:Application to intraplate events.J Geophys Res,2009,114:B02307
6Fujii Y,Satake K.Tsunami source of the2004Sumatra-Andaman earthquake inferred from tide gauge and satellite data.Bull Seismol Soc Am,2007,97:192-207
7Satake K.Inversion of Tsunami waveforms for the estimation of heterogeneous fault motion of large submarine earthquakes:The1968Tokachi-oki and1983Japan sea earthquakes.J Geophys Res,1989,94:5627-5636
8Baba T,Cummins P R,Hori T,et al.High precision slip distribution of the1944Tonankai earthquake inferred from tsunami waveforms:Possible slip on a splay fault.Tectonophysics,2006,426:119-134
9Geist E L,Titov V V,Arcas D,et al.Implications of the26December2004Sumatra-Andaman earthquake on tsunami forecast and as-sessment models for great subduction-zone earthquakes.Bull Seismol Soc Am,2007,97:249-270
10Koh H L,Teh S Y,Liu P L F,et al.Simulation of Andaman2004tsunami for assessing impact on Malaysia.J Asian Earth Sci,2009,36:74-83
11Titov V V,Synolakis C E.Extreme inundation flows during the Hokkaido-Nansei-Oki Tsunami.Geophys Res Lett,1997,24:1315
12Imamura F,Shuto N,Goto C,Numerical simulations of the transoceanic propagation of tsunamis.In:Proceedings of the Sixth Congress Asian and Pacific Regional Division,IAHR.Kyoto,Japan.1988.265-272
13Liu P L F,Woo S B,Cho Y S.COMCOT User Manual Version1.6,2007
14Yalciner A,Pelinovsky E,Talipova T,et al.Tsunamis in the Black Sea:Comparison of the historical,instrumental,and numerical data.J Geophys Res,2004,109:C12023
15Hayes G.Subduction zone geometry analysis preliminary SZGC results for M8.9earthquake near east coast of Honshu,Japan2011.http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/subduction_zone/usc0001xgp/index.php
16Hayes G.Finite fault model preliminary result of the Mar11,2011Mw8.9earthquake offshore Honshu,Japan2011.http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqinthenews/2011/usc0001xgp/finite_fault_1.php
17陈运泰院士研究小组.日本本州东海岸附近海域Mw9.0地震.http://data.earthquake.cn/datashare/datashare_secondpage_new.jsp?id=1030
18王为民,郝金来,姚振兴.2011年3月11日日本本州东海岸8.9级地震震源破裂过程反演初步结果.http://www.itpcas.ac.cn/xwzx/zhxw/201103/t20110313_3084099.html
19GSI.The2011off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake:Crustal deformation and fault model(preliminary).http://www.gsi.go.jp/cais/topic110421-index-e.html
20Okada Y.Surface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space.Bull Seismol Soc Am,1985,75:1135-1154
21Zhang H,Shi Y L,Yuen D A,et al.Modeling and visualization of tsunamis.Pure Appl Geophys,2008,165:475-496
22Liu Y,Santos A,Wang S M,et al.Tsunami hazards along Chinese coast from potential earthquakes in South China Sea.Phys Earth Planet Inter,2007,163:233-244
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心