小地震发生率和累计次数变化的理论解释及应用实例

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英文篇名：The theory explanation and application examples concerning the changes of small earthquake occurrence rate and accumulative time 中文刊名：地震 英文刊名：Earthquake 作者：马禾青 ; 杨明芝 ; 李春贵 英文作者：MA He-qing(1 ; 2) ; YANG Ming-zhi2 ; LI Chun-gui2(1.Institute of Geophysics ; CEA ; Beijing 10081 ; 2.Earthquake Administration of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region ; Yinchuan 750001 ; China) 中文关键词：小地震发生率 ; 小地震累计次数 ; 区域应变能 ; 祁连山-六盘山地震带 英文关键词：Small earthquake occurrence time ; Accumulative time of small earthquakes ; Regional strain energy ; Qilianshan-Liupanshan Earthquake Belt 出版日期：2008-01-15 机构：中国地震局地球物理研究所,宁夏回族自治区地震局,宁夏回族自治区地震局 北京100081,宁夏回族自治区地震局,宁夏银川750001,宁夏银川750001,宁夏银川750001 年：2008 期：01 出版单位：地震

摘要

对区域小地震发生率和累计次数的变化进行了理论解释,可以得到小地震的发生率和累计次数与区域应变能量积累速度呈正比,并且发生率取不同值及累计次数曲线斜率产生变化时,区域应变能量的积累状态不同。并针对祁连山-六盘山地震带的不同小区域计算了小地震的累计次数及发生率,表明在中强以上地震发生前,区域小地震累计次数曲线斜率及发生率均会发生变化,显示中强以上地震发生前,其区域应力状态会发生改变。
The theory explanation has been done on the changes of the occurrence rate and accumulative time of the regional small earthquakes,from which it suggests that the occurrence rate and accumulative time of small earthquakes shows the direct proportion to the accumulative rate of the regional strain energy.When the occurrence rate takes different values and the accumulative time curve slope changes,the accumulative state of the regional strain energy is different.The accumulative time and occurrence rate of small earthquakes in different small regions along the Qilianshan-Liupanshan Earthquake Belt has been calculated.It has been showed that before the occurrence of moderately strong earthquakes both the curve slopes of the accumulative time and the occurrence rate of small earthquakes all change.It shows that before moderately strong earthquakes occur,the regional strain state change.

引文

[1]杨明芝,金延龙.宁夏及邻近地区中强地震前地震累积数的非线性变化[J].地震,1991,11(3):71-74.
    [2]徐秉业,陈森灿.塑性理论简明教程[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1981.295-302.