小震群序列类型判定方法研究的现状及相关问题研究的趋势
|
摘要
小震群地震活动经常发生,对其可能类型的快速判别,即对正在活动的小震群,究竟是"大震"的前震序列,还是并不伴有大震发生的一般性小震群的快速判别,对减轻地震灾害和维护社会稳定具有重要的现实意义。本文总结归纳了小震群序列类型判别方法研究的现状和存在的问题,并对震群序列类型判别研究的趋势进行了初步阐述。
Small earthquake swarms often occur,and discriminating a foreshock sequence from ordinary small earthquake swarms quickly is very important both in the hazard mitigation and social stability.This article summarizes the current research situation in judging the type of small earthquake swarm,its existing problems are analyzed.Finally,some research trends in judging the type of an earthquake swarm have been elaborated.
Small earthquake swarms often occur,and discriminating a foreshock sequence from ordinary small earthquake swarms quickly is very important both in the hazard mitigation and social stability.This article summarizes the current research situation in judging the type of small earthquake swarm,its existing problems are analyzed.Finally,some research trends in judging the type of an earthquake swarm have been elaborated.
引文
[1]陈运泰,吴忠良,王培德,等.数字地震学.北京:地震出版社,2000
[2]Evison F F.The precursory earthquake swarm.Phys.Earth Planet.Interiors,1977,15:19-23
[3]Annemarie C,Euan G C.Foreshock rates from aftershock abundance.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,2008,98(5):2 133-2 148
[4]Lucile M J.Foreshocks and time-dependent earthquake hazard assessment in southern California.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,1985,75(6):1 669-1 679
[5]宋金,蒋海昆.序列衰减与余震激发研究进展及应用成果.地震地质,2009,31(3):559-571
[6]ztürk S,Cinar H,Bayrak Y,et al.Properties of the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Bing l,MD=6.4,(Turkey)earthquake.Pure Appl.Geophys.,2008,165(2):349-371
[7]Gentili S,Bressan G.The partitioning of radiated energy and the largest aftershock of seismic sequencesoccurred in the northeastern Italy and western Slovenia.J.Seismol.,2008,12(3):343-354
[8]Evison F F,Rhoades D A.The precursory earthquake swarm in Japan:hypothesis test.Earth PlanetsSpace,1999,51:1 267-1 277
[9]Robinson R.A test of the precursory accelerating moment on some recent New Zealand earthquakes.Geophys.J.Int.,2000,140(3):568-576
[10]林邦慧,胡小幸,周冉.1966年邢台地区强震前小震的“密集—平静”特征及其初步解释.地震学报,1990,12(4):348-356
[11]国家地震局预测预防司.测震学分析预报方法.北京:地震出版社,1997
[12]吴开统,岳明生,武宦英,等.海城地震序列的特征.地球物理学报,1976,19(2):95-109
[13]傅淑芳,刘宝诚,李文艺.地震学教程.北京:地震出版社,1980
[14]吴忠良.关于b值应用于地震趋势预测的讨论.地震学报,2001,23(5):548-551
[15]张智,吴开统,焦远碧,等.用b值横截距预报强余震震级的方法探讨.中国地震,1989,5(4):59-69
[16]柯龙生,李用普,章爱娣,等.前震序列与一般震群活动规律的探讨.地球物理学报,1977,20(2):1-16
[17]刘正荣,钱兆霞,王维清.前震的一个标志-地震频度的衰减.地震研究,1979,2(4):1-9
[18]刘正荣,孔兆麟.地震频度衰减与地震预报.地震研究,1986,9(1):6-8
[19]刘正荣.地震预报方法.北京:地震出版社,2004
[20]陆远忠,宋俊高,戴维乐.一个判断震情的指标-震群的U值.地震学报,1984,6(增刊):509-523
[21]朱传镇,王林瑛.震群信息熵异常与地震预报.地震预报方法实用化研究文集:地震学专辑.北京:学术书刊出版社,1989
[22]王炜,杨德志.利用Weibull分布研究华北地区前兆震群的特征.中国地震,1987,3(4):13-21
[23]宋俊高.震群用于地震预报的实用程序研究.地震预报方法实用化研究文集:地震学专辑.北京:学术书刊出版社,1989
[24]林邦慧,李大鹏,刘杰,等.前震和前震序列的研究.地震学报,1994,16(增刊):24-38
[25]金严,赵毅,陈顒,等.辽宁省海城地震前震震源错动方式的一个特点.地球物理学报,1976,19(3):156-164
[26]卓秀榕,叶雯燕.利用视振幅比方差判别地震序列类型的方法.地震学报,1982,4(3):20-30
[27]卓钰如.不同类型地震序列波形特征的讨论.地震,1984(3):10-20
[28]Kanamori H.地震活动上地震予知.地震予知研究シニポジウム,1980,163-174
[29]赵根模.前震和普通震群震源深度分布的比较.中国地震,1990,6(4):57-66
[30]顾浩鼎,曹天青.前兆震群和S波偏振.地震学报,1980,2(4):3-15
[31]啜永清,王赵丽,孟燕英,等.用初动符号的变化识别前震和震群的研究.中国地震,2000,16(3):242-255
[32]陈颙.用震源机制一致性作为描述地震活动性的新参数.地球物理学报,1978,21(2):142-159
[33]王俊国,刁桂苓.千岛岛弧大震前哈佛大学矩心矩张量(CMT)解一致性的预测意义.地震学报,2005,27(2):178-183
[34]Lund B,B varsson R.Correlation of microearthquake body-wave spectral amplitudes.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,2002,92(6):2 419-2 433
[35]朱航,刘杰,陈天长.采用体波谱振幅相关系数方法研究地震序列的震源机制变化过程.地震,2006,26(2):1-11
[36]Wiemer S,Wyss M.Mapping spatial variability of the frequency-magnitude distribution of earthquakes.Advances in Geophysics,2002,45:259-302
[37]冯德益.地震波速异常.北京:地震出版社,1981
[38]梅世蓉,冯得益,张国民,等.中国地震预报概论.北京:地震出版社,1993
[39]陆远忠,陈章立,王碧泉,等.地震预报的地震学方法.北京:地震出版社,1985
[40]Omori F.On after-shocks.Rep Imp Earthq Inv Com,1894,2:103-138
[41]Omori F.On after-shocks of earthquakes.J Cull Sci Imp Univ,1894,7:111-200
[42]Jefreys H.Aftershocks and periodicity in earthquakes.Gerlands Beitr Geophys,1938,56:114-139
[43]Utsu T,Ogata Y,Matsuura R S.The centenary of the Omori formula for a decay law of aftershock ac-tivity.J.Phys.Earth,1995,43(1):1-33
[44]Utsu T.A statistical study on the occurrence of aftershocks.Geophys Mag.,1961,30:1-605
[45]Husen S,Wiemer S,Smith R B.Remotely triggered seismicity in the Yellowstone National Park regionby the 2002MW7.9 Denali Fault earthquake,Alaska.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,2004,94(6):317-331
[46]王碧泉,王春珍.余震序列的时空特征.地震学报,1983,5(4):383-396
[47]赵志新,尾池和夫,松村一男,等.中国大陆性地震的余震活动的P值.地震学报,1992,14(1):9-16
[48]蒋海昆,郑建常,吴琼,等.传染型余震序列模型震后早期参数特征及其地震学意义.地球物理学报,2007,50(6):1 776-1 786
[49]陈颙.断裂力学在地震学中的应用.地震研究,1983,6(1):59-63
[50]陈静曦.裂纹扩展速度监测分析.岩石力学与工程学报,1998,17(4):425-428
[51]王桂尧,孙宗颀.断裂力学在震源机制分析中几个问题的探讨.岩石力学与工程学报,1999,18(1):55-59
[52]杨润海,许昭永,王彬,等.孕震类型与应变成核的实验研究.地震研究,2003,26(4):332-337
[53]焦明若,张国民.滑动方向相反的含障碍体平行断层失稳破坏应变场变化特征的研究.地震,2001,21(3):21-30
[54]Mogi K.Study of elastic shocks caused by the fracture of heterogenous materials and their relation toearthquake phenomena.Bull.Earthq.Res.Inst.Univ,Tokyo,1962,40:125-173
[55]李正光,杨润海,赵晋明,等.地震序列类型的岩石破裂实验研究.地震研究,2005,28(4):388-392
[56]焦明若,唐春安,张国民,等.细观非均匀性对岩石破裂过程和微震序列类型影响的数值试验研究.地球物理学报,2003,46(5):659-666
[57]唐春安,刘红元,秦四清,等.非均匀性对岩石介质中裂纹扩展模式的影响.地球物理学报,2000,43(1):116-121
[58]陈章立.地震预报的实践与思考.北京:地震出版社,2007
[59]Aki K.A new view of earthquake and volcano precursors.Earth Planets Space,2004,56:689-713
[60]陈章立.浅论地震预报地震学方法基础.北京:地震出版社,2004
[61]华卫.中小地震震源参数定标关系研究:[博士论文].北京:中国地震局地球物理研究所,2007
[62]Nur A.Dilatancy,pore fluids,and premonitory variations oftS/tPtravel times.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,1972,62(5):1 217-1 222
[63]Anderson D L,Whitcomb J H.The dilatancy-diffusion model of earthquake prediction.Proc.conf.ontectonic Problems of the San Anareas fault system.Stanford Univ.1973,417-426(pullⅫ)
[64]Scholz C H,Sykes L R,Aggarwal Y P.Earthquake prediction:a physical basis.Science,1973,181:803-810
[65]Mjachkin V I,Brace W F,Sobolev G A,et al.Two models for earthquake forerunners.Pure Appl.Geophys.,1975,113:169-181
[66]Sobolev G A.Physical processes during the earthquake preparation period:experiment and theory,earthquake prediction.Proceedings of International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction(1979).Uness-co,Pariss,1984,281-310
[67]Crampin S.The basis for earthquake prediction.Geophys.J.R.Astr.Soc.,1987,91:331-347
[68]Scholz C H.地震与断层力学.马胜利,曾正文,刘力强,等,译.北京:地震出版社,1996:1-31
[2]Evison F F.The precursory earthquake swarm.Phys.Earth Planet.Interiors,1977,15:19-23
[3]Annemarie C,Euan G C.Foreshock rates from aftershock abundance.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,2008,98(5):2 133-2 148
[4]Lucile M J.Foreshocks and time-dependent earthquake hazard assessment in southern California.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,1985,75(6):1 669-1 679
[5]宋金,蒋海昆.序列衰减与余震激发研究进展及应用成果.地震地质,2009,31(3):559-571
[6]ztürk S,Cinar H,Bayrak Y,et al.Properties of the aftershock sequences of the 2003 Bing l,MD=6.4,(Turkey)earthquake.Pure Appl.Geophys.,2008,165(2):349-371
[7]Gentili S,Bressan G.The partitioning of radiated energy and the largest aftershock of seismic sequencesoccurred in the northeastern Italy and western Slovenia.J.Seismol.,2008,12(3):343-354
[8]Evison F F,Rhoades D A.The precursory earthquake swarm in Japan:hypothesis test.Earth PlanetsSpace,1999,51:1 267-1 277
[9]Robinson R.A test of the precursory accelerating moment on some recent New Zealand earthquakes.Geophys.J.Int.,2000,140(3):568-576
[10]林邦慧,胡小幸,周冉.1966年邢台地区强震前小震的“密集—平静”特征及其初步解释.地震学报,1990,12(4):348-356
[11]国家地震局预测预防司.测震学分析预报方法.北京:地震出版社,1997
[12]吴开统,岳明生,武宦英,等.海城地震序列的特征.地球物理学报,1976,19(2):95-109
[13]傅淑芳,刘宝诚,李文艺.地震学教程.北京:地震出版社,1980
[14]吴忠良.关于b值应用于地震趋势预测的讨论.地震学报,2001,23(5):548-551
[15]张智,吴开统,焦远碧,等.用b值横截距预报强余震震级的方法探讨.中国地震,1989,5(4):59-69
[16]柯龙生,李用普,章爱娣,等.前震序列与一般震群活动规律的探讨.地球物理学报,1977,20(2):1-16
[17]刘正荣,钱兆霞,王维清.前震的一个标志-地震频度的衰减.地震研究,1979,2(4):1-9
[18]刘正荣,孔兆麟.地震频度衰减与地震预报.地震研究,1986,9(1):6-8
[19]刘正荣.地震预报方法.北京:地震出版社,2004
[20]陆远忠,宋俊高,戴维乐.一个判断震情的指标-震群的U值.地震学报,1984,6(增刊):509-523
[21]朱传镇,王林瑛.震群信息熵异常与地震预报.地震预报方法实用化研究文集:地震学专辑.北京:学术书刊出版社,1989
[22]王炜,杨德志.利用Weibull分布研究华北地区前兆震群的特征.中国地震,1987,3(4):13-21
[23]宋俊高.震群用于地震预报的实用程序研究.地震预报方法实用化研究文集:地震学专辑.北京:学术书刊出版社,1989
[24]林邦慧,李大鹏,刘杰,等.前震和前震序列的研究.地震学报,1994,16(增刊):24-38
[25]金严,赵毅,陈顒,等.辽宁省海城地震前震震源错动方式的一个特点.地球物理学报,1976,19(3):156-164
[26]卓秀榕,叶雯燕.利用视振幅比方差判别地震序列类型的方法.地震学报,1982,4(3):20-30
[27]卓钰如.不同类型地震序列波形特征的讨论.地震,1984(3):10-20
[28]Kanamori H.地震活动上地震予知.地震予知研究シニポジウム,1980,163-174
[29]赵根模.前震和普通震群震源深度分布的比较.中国地震,1990,6(4):57-66
[30]顾浩鼎,曹天青.前兆震群和S波偏振.地震学报,1980,2(4):3-15
[31]啜永清,王赵丽,孟燕英,等.用初动符号的变化识别前震和震群的研究.中国地震,2000,16(3):242-255
[32]陈颙.用震源机制一致性作为描述地震活动性的新参数.地球物理学报,1978,21(2):142-159
[33]王俊国,刁桂苓.千岛岛弧大震前哈佛大学矩心矩张量(CMT)解一致性的预测意义.地震学报,2005,27(2):178-183
[34]Lund B,B varsson R.Correlation of microearthquake body-wave spectral amplitudes.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,2002,92(6):2 419-2 433
[35]朱航,刘杰,陈天长.采用体波谱振幅相关系数方法研究地震序列的震源机制变化过程.地震,2006,26(2):1-11
[36]Wiemer S,Wyss M.Mapping spatial variability of the frequency-magnitude distribution of earthquakes.Advances in Geophysics,2002,45:259-302
[37]冯德益.地震波速异常.北京:地震出版社,1981
[38]梅世蓉,冯得益,张国民,等.中国地震预报概论.北京:地震出版社,1993
[39]陆远忠,陈章立,王碧泉,等.地震预报的地震学方法.北京:地震出版社,1985
[40]Omori F.On after-shocks.Rep Imp Earthq Inv Com,1894,2:103-138
[41]Omori F.On after-shocks of earthquakes.J Cull Sci Imp Univ,1894,7:111-200
[42]Jefreys H.Aftershocks and periodicity in earthquakes.Gerlands Beitr Geophys,1938,56:114-139
[43]Utsu T,Ogata Y,Matsuura R S.The centenary of the Omori formula for a decay law of aftershock ac-tivity.J.Phys.Earth,1995,43(1):1-33
[44]Utsu T.A statistical study on the occurrence of aftershocks.Geophys Mag.,1961,30:1-605
[45]Husen S,Wiemer S,Smith R B.Remotely triggered seismicity in the Yellowstone National Park regionby the 2002MW7.9 Denali Fault earthquake,Alaska.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,2004,94(6):317-331
[46]王碧泉,王春珍.余震序列的时空特征.地震学报,1983,5(4):383-396
[47]赵志新,尾池和夫,松村一男,等.中国大陆性地震的余震活动的P值.地震学报,1992,14(1):9-16
[48]蒋海昆,郑建常,吴琼,等.传染型余震序列模型震后早期参数特征及其地震学意义.地球物理学报,2007,50(6):1 776-1 786
[49]陈颙.断裂力学在地震学中的应用.地震研究,1983,6(1):59-63
[50]陈静曦.裂纹扩展速度监测分析.岩石力学与工程学报,1998,17(4):425-428
[51]王桂尧,孙宗颀.断裂力学在震源机制分析中几个问题的探讨.岩石力学与工程学报,1999,18(1):55-59
[52]杨润海,许昭永,王彬,等.孕震类型与应变成核的实验研究.地震研究,2003,26(4):332-337
[53]焦明若,张国民.滑动方向相反的含障碍体平行断层失稳破坏应变场变化特征的研究.地震,2001,21(3):21-30
[54]Mogi K.Study of elastic shocks caused by the fracture of heterogenous materials and their relation toearthquake phenomena.Bull.Earthq.Res.Inst.Univ,Tokyo,1962,40:125-173
[55]李正光,杨润海,赵晋明,等.地震序列类型的岩石破裂实验研究.地震研究,2005,28(4):388-392
[56]焦明若,唐春安,张国民,等.细观非均匀性对岩石破裂过程和微震序列类型影响的数值试验研究.地球物理学报,2003,46(5):659-666
[57]唐春安,刘红元,秦四清,等.非均匀性对岩石介质中裂纹扩展模式的影响.地球物理学报,2000,43(1):116-121
[58]陈章立.地震预报的实践与思考.北京:地震出版社,2007
[59]Aki K.A new view of earthquake and volcano precursors.Earth Planets Space,2004,56:689-713
[60]陈章立.浅论地震预报地震学方法基础.北京:地震出版社,2004
[61]华卫.中小地震震源参数定标关系研究:[博士论文].北京:中国地震局地球物理研究所,2007
[62]Nur A.Dilatancy,pore fluids,and premonitory variations oftS/tPtravel times.Bull.Seism.Soc.Am.,1972,62(5):1 217-1 222
[63]Anderson D L,Whitcomb J H.The dilatancy-diffusion model of earthquake prediction.Proc.conf.ontectonic Problems of the San Anareas fault system.Stanford Univ.1973,417-426(pullⅫ)
[64]Scholz C H,Sykes L R,Aggarwal Y P.Earthquake prediction:a physical basis.Science,1973,181:803-810
[65]Mjachkin V I,Brace W F,Sobolev G A,et al.Two models for earthquake forerunners.Pure Appl.Geophys.,1975,113:169-181
[66]Sobolev G A.Physical processes during the earthquake preparation period:experiment and theory,earthquake prediction.Proceedings of International Symposium on Earthquake Prediction(1979).Uness-co,Pariss,1984,281-310
[67]Crampin S.The basis for earthquake prediction.Geophys.J.R.Astr.Soc.,1987,91:331-347
[68]Scholz C H.地震与断层力学.马胜利,曾正文,刘力强,等,译.北京:地震出版社,1996:1-31
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心