青藏块体东北缘地壳运动与孕震特征
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摘要
为了探索昆仑山口西Ms8.1大震后青藏块体东北缘中强地震相对活跃的原因 ,利用近几年来的GPS观测资料 ,用有限元方法研究了该区的水平运动变形与孕震特征 ,结合其它成果分析得到 :1)昆仑大震对青藏块体东北缘的运动变形产生相当影响 ,对其西部的影响亦很大 ;2 )差异运动强烈区域发生中强地震的危险性较高 ,压性区可能是应变能积累的反映 ,而张性区的出现及规模可能是大震发生紧迫性及震级大小的反映 ;3)研究区的西部地区近年来一直是应变能积累较快的地区 ,从区域变形特征与强震的对应关系看 ,近一两年发生中强地震的危险性仍然很大。
After %M%s8.1earthquake in the western part of Kunlun mountain pass, medium-strong earthquakes display more active. By use of new GPS observation data and finite element method, horizontal movement and deformation and seismogenic features of the northeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet are studied. Combining with other research results,we can draw that: 1)the %M%s8.1 earthquake effects considerably the movement and deformation of the northeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet block, and the effect is great in the western part of studied area; 2) strong differential motion zone has the high seismic risk, the compressional zone may result from the accumulation of strain energy and the appearance and size of tensional zone may reflect the urgency degree and magnitude of earthquake; 3) according to the relation between regional deformation features and medium-strong earthquakes, the risk of medium-strong earthquakes is high in coming one or two year in the western part of studied area where the rate of the accumulation of strain energy has been high for many years.
引文
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