全球变暖减速与郭增建的“海震调温假说”
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摘要
数值计算表明,潮汐形变和潮汐震荡是海流循环和季节性厄尔尼诺现象发生的原因.2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸后,全球低温冻害和暴雪灾害频繁发生.气候潮汐循环说和"深海巨震降温说"是一种合理的解释,2005~2008年全球气温因为强潮汐和地震海啸而降低.西方科学家也承认了这一客观事实:过去两年里,自然气候的变化抵消了全球气候变暖效应并将继续促使气温在2008年保持缓慢变化的趋势.气候潮汐循环说和海震调温说,阐明了冷气候、强潮汐和强震相互对应的物理机制,对2000年地球进入拉马德雷冷位相后的气候预测有重大科学意义.中国连续18年暖冬的终结是2000年地球进入拉马德雷冷位相和印尼发生地震海啸的合理结果.规律表明,在拉马德雷冷位相时期,全球强震、低温、飓风伴随拉尼那、全球性流感伴随厄尔尼诺将越来越强烈.地球自转、最强潮汐和特大地震都有准四年周期.特大地震可能发生在2000~2030年拉马德雷冷位相时期中的前18年左右.
Numerical calculation shows that tidal deformation and tidal oscillations are the reasons for ocean current cycles and seasonal El Nino phenomena.The globe low-temperature damages and heavy snow have occurred frequently after the Sumatra earthquake tsunami on December 26,2004.The hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate proposed by Guo Zengjian is a reasonable explanation.According to the theory,the globe temperature in 2005 would be lower.The scientists of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA) thought that a weak El Nino event and human-made greenhouse gases could make 2005 become the warmest year in records.It is not true for the objective testing.Now western scientists also acknowledge the fact that the natural climate changes from 2005 to 2006 offset globe warming effect.Lunar oscillations explain an intriguing 60-year cycle in the world's temperature.Strong tides and the great earthquake in the ocean and its margin are one of thermostats for adjusting climate.The strong earthquakes in the ocean bottom can bring the cool water at the deep ocean up to the ocean surface and make the global climate cold.So,earthquakes,strong tides and global low temperature are closely related each other.In this paper,the relation of low temperature,Pacific Decade Oscillation,the strongest earthquake,Influenza,hurricane and El Nino are discussed.In the cold period of Pacific Decade Oscillation,the strongest earthquake,hurricane with La Nina,Pandemic Influenza with El Nino will occur stronger and stronger.From 1950 to 1976,the strongest sand-dust storm was connected with Pandemic Influenza one by one.So,sand-dust storm may spread Pandemic Influenza Viruses.Great earthquakes will occur from 2000 to 2018 for 18 years.The strongest tides and earthquakes may occur in cycle of Quasi-four years.
Numerical calculation shows that tidal deformation and tidal oscillations are the reasons for ocean current cycles and seasonal El Nino phenomena.The globe low-temperature damages and heavy snow have occurred frequently after the Sumatra earthquake tsunami on December 26,2004.The hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate proposed by Guo Zengjian is a reasonable explanation.According to the theory,the globe temperature in 2005 would be lower.The scientists of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA) thought that a weak El Nino event and human-made greenhouse gases could make 2005 become the warmest year in records.It is not true for the objective testing.Now western scientists also acknowledge the fact that the natural climate changes from 2005 to 2006 offset globe warming effect.Lunar oscillations explain an intriguing 60-year cycle in the world's temperature.Strong tides and the great earthquake in the ocean and its margin are one of thermostats for adjusting climate.The strong earthquakes in the ocean bottom can bring the cool water at the deep ocean up to the ocean surface and make the global climate cold.So,earthquakes,strong tides and global low temperature are closely related each other.In this paper,the relation of low temperature,Pacific Decade Oscillation,the strongest earthquake,Influenza,hurricane and El Nino are discussed.In the cold period of Pacific Decade Oscillation,the strongest earthquake,hurricane with La Nina,Pandemic Influenza with El Nino will occur stronger and stronger.From 1950 to 1976,the strongest sand-dust storm was connected with Pandemic Influenza one by one.So,sand-dust storm may spread Pandemic Influenza Viruses.Great earthquakes will occur from 2000 to 2018 for 18 years.The strongest tides and earthquakes may occur in cycle of Quasi-four years.
引文
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[15]杨学祥,陈殿友.地球差异旋转动力学[M].长春:吉林大学出版社,1998,99~104.Yang X X,Chen D Y.Geodynamics of the Earth’s differenti-al rotation and revolution[M].Changchun:Jilin UniversityPress.1998.99~104.
[16]杨学祥.对全球海面变化均衡模式的改进[J].地质科学,1992,(4):204~408.Yang X X.Modification of isostatic model of global sea levelchanges[J].Scientia Geologica Sinica.1992,(4):408~408.
[17]傅承义.地球十讲[M].北京:科学出版社,1976.55~57.Fu C Y.Earth ten lectures[M].Beijing:Science Press,1976.55~57.
[18]杨学祥,陈震,陈殿友,等.厄尔尼诺事件与强潮汐的对应关系[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2003,33(1):87~91.Yang,X X,Chen Z,Chen D Y,et al.The corelation be-tween El Nino events and strong tides[J].Journal of Ji LinUnivrsity(Earth Science Edition),2003,33(1):87~91.
[19]杨学祥,陈殿友,李守春.干旱、地震与月球赤纬角变化[J].西北地震学报,1999,21(1):44~47.Yang X X,Chen D Y,Li S C.Drought,earthquake and thevariation of the Moon’s declination[J].Northwestern Seismo-logical Journal.1999,21(1):44~47.
[20]杨学祥.2001年发生厄尔尼诺事件的天文条件[J].地球物理学报,2002,45(增刊):56~61.Yang X X.The astronomical condition of El Nino in 2001[J].Chinese Journal of geophysics.2002,45(Supp):56~61.
[2]杨冬红,杨学祥.海洋中和海洋边缘巨震是调节气候恒温器理论的检验[J].西北地震学报,2005,27(1):96.Yang D H,Yang X X.Testing the theory that great earth-quake in ocean and its margin is one of thermostats for adjus-ting climate[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal.2005,27(1):96.
[3]杨冬红,杨学祥.“拉马德雷”冷位相时期的全球强震和灾害[J].西北地震学报.2006,28(1):95~96.Yang D H,Yang X X.Earthquakes and disasters in PacificDecade Oscillation[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal.2006,28(1):95~96.
[4]杨冬红,杨学祥,刘财.2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸与全球低温[J].地球物理学进展.2006,21(3):1023~1027.Yang D H,Yang X X,Liu C.Global low temperature,earth-quake and tsunami(Dec.26,2004)in Indonesia[J].Progressin Geophysics,2006,21(3):1023~1027.
[5]郭增建.海洋中和海洋边缘的巨震是调节气候的恒温器之一[J].西北地震学报,2002,24(3):287.Guo Z J.The great earthquake in ocean and its margin is one ofthermostats for adjusting climate[J].Northwestern Seismo-logical Journal.2002,24(3):287.
[6]杨冬红,杨学祥.潮汐和地震对全球气候变化的影响[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2007,1(4):5~12.Yang D H,Yang X X.The influence of tides and earthquakesin global climatic changes[J].Desert and Oasis Meteorology.2007,1(4):5~12.
[7]郭增建,郭安宁,周可兴.地球物理灾害链[M].西安地图出版社,2007:111~114,146~158.Guo Z J,Guo A N,Zhou K X.Geophysical disaster cain[M].Xian Map Press,2007:111-114,146~158.
[8]马宗晋,杜品仁.现今地壳运动问题[M].北京:地质出版社,1995,10,99~102.Ma Z J,Du P R.The problems on recent crustal movement[M].Beijing:Geological Publishing House,1995.10,99~102.
[9]Charles D K,Timothy P W.The 1800-year oceanic tidal cycle:A possible cause of rapid climate change[J].PNAS,2000,97(8):3814~3819.
[10]杨学祥,韩延本,陈震,乔琪源.强潮汐激发地震火山活动的新证据[J].地球物理学报,2004,47(4):616~621.Yang X X,Han Y B,Chen Z,Qiao Q Y.New evidence ofearthquakes and volcano triggering by strong tides[J].Chi-nese Journal of geophysics.2004,47(4):616~621.
[11]Elizabeth S.Cochran,John E V,Sachiko T.Earth tides cantrigger shallow thrust fault earthquakes[J].Science,2004,306:1164~1166.
[12]杨冬红,杨学祥.地震周期的数值估计[J].国际地震动态,2005,(12):37~43.Yang D H,Yang X X.The numerical estimate for the earth-quake cycle[J].Recent Dwvelopments in World Seismology.2005,(12):37~43.
[13]杜品仁.18.6a地震轮回及其成因初探[J].地球物理学报,1994,37(3):36~369.Du P R.18.6Years Seismic cycle and the preliminary explora-tion for its cause[J].Chinese Journal of geophysics.1994,37(3):362~369.
[14]胡辉,王锐.21世纪中国大陆第一个大震活动幕的预测[J].云南天文台台刊,2002,(2):65~69.Hu H,Wang R.Prediction to the first curtain of seismic activ-ity in mainland China during 2lst Century[J].Publications ofthe Yunnan Observatory.2002,(2):65~69.
[15]杨学祥,陈殿友.地球差异旋转动力学[M].长春:吉林大学出版社,1998,99~104.Yang X X,Chen D Y.Geodynamics of the Earth’s differenti-al rotation and revolution[M].Changchun:Jilin UniversityPress.1998.99~104.
[16]杨学祥.对全球海面变化均衡模式的改进[J].地质科学,1992,(4):204~408.Yang X X.Modification of isostatic model of global sea levelchanges[J].Scientia Geologica Sinica.1992,(4):408~408.
[17]傅承义.地球十讲[M].北京:科学出版社,1976.55~57.Fu C Y.Earth ten lectures[M].Beijing:Science Press,1976.55~57.
[18]杨学祥,陈震,陈殿友,等.厄尔尼诺事件与强潮汐的对应关系[J].吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2003,33(1):87~91.Yang,X X,Chen Z,Chen D Y,et al.The corelation be-tween El Nino events and strong tides[J].Journal of Ji LinUnivrsity(Earth Science Edition),2003,33(1):87~91.
[19]杨学祥,陈殿友,李守春.干旱、地震与月球赤纬角变化[J].西北地震学报,1999,21(1):44~47.Yang X X,Chen D Y,Li S C.Drought,earthquake and thevariation of the Moon’s declination[J].Northwestern Seismo-logical Journal.1999,21(1):44~47.
[20]杨学祥.2001年发生厄尔尼诺事件的天文条件[J].地球物理学报,2002,45(增刊):56~61.Yang X X.The astronomical condition of El Nino in 2001[J].Chinese Journal of geophysics.2002,45(Supp):56~61.
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