基于问卷调查的四川民众地震灾害响应能力分区评价
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摘要
基于前期对四川省德阳市民众地震灾害认知与响应特点与规律的问卷调查数据及分析结果,构建了以性别、年龄和受教育程度为核心评价参数的县市社会民众地震灾害响应能力的综合评价模型;然后将该评价模型应用于四川省,实现了对四川省社会民众地震灾害响应能力大小的分县市计算与评价。结果表明,四川省东部县市民众的地震灾害响应能力普遍比西部县市民众大,省会成都市周围的区、县(市)居民的地震灾害响应能力普遍较强,西部三个自治州民众的响应能力普遍较差,其中,成都市青羊区民众的响应能力最强,凉山彝族自治州金阳县民众的能力最弱,全省呈现出以成都市各区县(市)为中心向周围地区递减的总体趋势。
Based on the questionnaire survey's data and analysis results of the public cognition and response characteristics to the earthquake disaster of Deyang city,Sichuan Province,this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation model of the public response capability to earthquake disaster in which the people's gender,age,education level are selected as core evaluation indexes,then applies the above model to all of the counties of Sichuan Province,thereby implementing the calculation and evaluation to the public response capabilities of each county.The results show that the public response capabilities to the earthquake disaster of the people in the eastern Sichuan are stronger than those in the west.And the capabilities of the counties around Chengdu,the provincial capital,are generally stronger,however,those of the three autonomous prefecture districts in western Sichuan are generally weaker.And among all counties,Qingyang county of Chengdu city is the strongest,while Jinyang county of Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture is the weakest,and it is obvious that there is a declining trend from Chengdu city to the surrounding counties.
Based on the questionnaire survey's data and analysis results of the public cognition and response characteristics to the earthquake disaster of Deyang city,Sichuan Province,this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation model of the public response capability to earthquake disaster in which the people's gender,age,education level are selected as core evaluation indexes,then applies the above model to all of the counties of Sichuan Province,thereby implementing the calculation and evaluation to the public response capabilities of each county.The results show that the public response capabilities to the earthquake disaster of the people in the eastern Sichuan are stronger than those in the west.And the capabilities of the counties around Chengdu,the provincial capital,are generally stronger,however,those of the three autonomous prefecture districts in western Sichuan are generally weaker.And among all counties,Qingyang county of Chengdu city is the strongest,while Jinyang county of Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture is the weakest,and it is obvious that there is a declining trend from Chengdu city to the surrounding counties.
引文
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[3]铁永波,唐川,周春花.政府部门的应急响应能力在城市防灾减灾中的作用[J].灾害学,2005,20(3):21-24.
[4]牛冲槐,任朝江,白建新.突发性公共事件中政府应急能力的测定[J].太原理工大学学报:社会科学版,2003,21(4):21-25.
[5]邓砚,聂高众,苏桂武.县(市)地震应急能力评价指标体系的构建[J].灾害学,2010,25(3):125-129.
[6]邓砚,聂高众,苏桂武.县(市)绝对地震应急能力评估方法的初步研究[J].地震地质,2011,33(1):36-44.
[7]王志,袁志祥,吴艳杰.农村突发公共事件应急管理问题研究———基于汶川8.0级地震绵阳灾区的调研报告[J].灾害学,2010,25(3):104-109.
[8]王绍玉.城市灾害应急管理能力建设[J].城市与减灾,2003(3):4-6.
[9]王绍玉,冯百侠.城市灾害应急与管理[M].重庆:重庆出版社,2005.
[10]张风华,谢礼立,范立础.城市防震减灾能力评估研究[J].地震学报,2004,26(3):318-329.
[11]铁永波,唐川,周春花.城市灾害应急能力评价研究[J].灾害学,2006,21(1):8-12.
[12]赵玲,唐敏康.城市灾害应急能力评价指标体系的研究[J].职业卫生与应急救援,2008,26(1):31-33.
[13]田依林,杨青.基于AHP-DELPHI法的城市灾害应急能力评价指标体系模型设计[J].武汉理工大学学报,2008,32(1):168-171.
[14]王霞,吴沈辉,Tawana M M,等.基于AHP法的城市灾害应急能力评价[J].山西能源与节能,2009(1):42-46.
[15]吴新燕.城市地震灾害风险分析与应急准备能力评价体系的研究[D].北京:中国地震局地球物理研究所,2006.
[16]迟娜娜.城市灾害应急能力评价指标体系研究[D].北京:首都经济贸易大学,2006.
[17]苏桂武,马宗晋,王若嘉,等.汶川地震灾区民众认知与响应地震灾害的特点及其减灾宣教意义———以四川德阳市为例[J].地震地质,2008,30(4):877-894.
[18]国务院人口普查办公室,国家统计局人口和社会科技统计司编.2000人口普查分县资料[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2003.
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