汶川地震对卧龙自然保护区社区经济的影响
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摘要
收集了四川卧龙国家级自然保护区2003年至2013年共11年的社区经济数据,分析了汶川地震对卧龙保护区社区经济的影响。结果显示:地震造成了2008年社区家庭经济收入、社区总收入和支出费用下降,但其他年份均平稳增长(R2>0.800),地震未对总体经济造成持续影响;地震造成了种植业、工业和商业收入在总收入中所占比例下降,但同时养殖业和建筑业所占比例上升,弥补了种植业等下降的损失;地震对卧龙保护区旅游业产生了严重影响,使区内旅游业基本停滞。
Analysis was made of the effects of Wenchuan earthquake on community economy in Wolong national nature reserve according to collecting the community economy data from 2003 to 2013. The results showed that domestic income,total income and expenditures declined in 2008 when Wenchuan earthquake happened. In other 10 years,domestic income,total income and expenditures increased linearly(R2> 0. 800). That meant that Wenchuan earthquake did not cause lasting effects on total community economy. After the earthquake,the proportions of farming,industry and commerce were lower than before. But the proportions of graziery and construction industry increased,thus making up the loss of farming,industry and commerce. The earthquake dealt a heavy blow to tourism and made tourism almost stagnated.
Analysis was made of the effects of Wenchuan earthquake on community economy in Wolong national nature reserve according to collecting the community economy data from 2003 to 2013. The results showed that domestic income,total income and expenditures declined in 2008 when Wenchuan earthquake happened. In other 10 years,domestic income,total income and expenditures increased linearly(R2> 0. 800). That meant that Wenchuan earthquake did not cause lasting effects on total community economy. After the earthquake,the proportions of farming,industry and commerce were lower than before. But the proportions of graziery and construction industry increased,thus making up the loss of farming,industry and commerce. The earthquake dealt a heavy blow to tourism and made tourism almost stagnated.
引文
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[10]国家林业局.全国第三次大熊猫调查报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2006.
[2]Yin Y,Wang F,Sun P.Landslide hazards triggered by the 2008Wenchuan earthquake,Sichuan,China[J].Landslide,2009,6:139~151.
[3]常鸣,唐川,李为乐,等.汶川地震区绵远河流域泥石流形成区的崩塌滑坡特征[J].山地学报,2012,30(5):561~569.
[4]Khattak G A,Owen L A,Kamp U,et al.Evolution of earthquake-triggered landslide in the Kashmir Himalaya,northern Pakistan[J].Geomorphology,2010,115:102~108.
[5]Koi T,Hotta N,Ishigaki I,et al.Prolonged impact of earthquakeinduced landslides on sediment yield in a mountain watershed,the Tanzawa region,Japan[J].Geomorphology,2008,101:692~702.
[6]Gillbert Roy,Alcira Kreimer.Learning from the World Bank's Experience of Natural Disaster Related Assistance[R].World bank working paper series 2,1999.
[7]Stefan Hochrainer.Assessing the Macroeconomic Impacts of Natural Disasters:Are there Any?[R].World bank policy research working paper series,2009.
[8]Albala-Bertrand J.M.The Political Economy of Large Natural Disasters:with Special Reference to Developing Countries[M].Oxford:Clarendon Press,1993.
[9]邵军,司增卓.自然灾害对经济影响的研究评述[J].中国矿业大学学报(社会科学版),2009,3:61~67.
[10]国家林业局.全国第三次大熊猫调查报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2006.
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