地震次生滑坡灾害下的公路应急物流配送
|
摘要
首先通过物资预测方法得到每个时段受灾地区的救灾物资数量,然后使用模糊聚类方法基于物资需求紧急程度对灾区进行分组,并使用灾变指数方法得到了地震次生滑坡灾害风险,通过优化运输的快速和安全性寻找供需点之间的最佳路径,最后使用模糊多目标规划的方法构建优化模型,其目标函数分别为最大化物资配送的紧急性、公平性以及有效性。论文以玉树地震应急物流配送为例验证了模型,并通过敏感度分析讨论了救灾物资供给量、群组紧急指数以及目标函数权重系数对物资分配结果的影响。
First,the relief demand of affected areas in each period was calculated using dynamic relief forecast method.Then the affected areas were classified based on urgency levels for relief demand using fuzzy clustering method.The potential risk of earthquake-induced secondary landslide disaster was obtained using catastrophe index method.The optimal path from supply node to demand node was found out by integrating the transportation rapidity and safety.A time-dependent fuzzy multi-objective model is constructed to solve the relief assignment problem.Three objective functions of the model were designed to cope with the urgency,fairness and efficiency for relief distribution during each planning period.The emergency logistics for Yushu earthquake was taken as an example to validate the proposed model.The sensitivity analysis shows the impacts of supply-demand ratio,group urgency index and weight of objective function on result of relief distribution.
First,the relief demand of affected areas in each period was calculated using dynamic relief forecast method.Then the affected areas were classified based on urgency levels for relief demand using fuzzy clustering method.The potential risk of earthquake-induced secondary landslide disaster was obtained using catastrophe index method.The optimal path from supply node to demand node was found out by integrating the transportation rapidity and safety.A time-dependent fuzzy multi-objective model is constructed to solve the relief assignment problem.Three objective functions of the model were designed to cope with the urgency,fairness and efficiency for relief distribution during each planning period.The emergency logistics for Yushu earthquake was taken as an example to validate the proposed model.The sensitivity analysis shows the impacts of supply-demand ratio,group urgency index and weight of objective function on result of relief distribution.
引文
[1]HAGHANI A,OHS.Formulation and Solution of a Multi-commodity,Multi-modal Network Flow Model for DisasterRelief Operation[J].Transportation Research Part A:Policy and Practice,1996,30(3):231-250.
[2]OZDAMAR L,EKINCI E,KUCUKYAZICI B.EmergencyLogistics Planning in Natural Disasters[J].Annals ofOperations Research,2004,129(3):217-245.
[3]YI W,OZDAMAR L.A Dynamic Logistics CoordinationModel for Evacuation and Support in Disaster ResponseActivities[J].European Journal of OperationalResearch,2007,179:1177-1193.
[4]BAEBAROSOGL G,OZDAMAR L,CEVIK A.AnInteractive Approach for Hierarchical Analysis ofHelicopter Logistics in Disaster relief Operations[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2002,140:118-133.
[5]BAEBAROSOGL G,ARDA Y.A Two-stage StochasticProgramming Framework for Transportation Planning inDisaster Response[J].Journal of the OperationalResearch Society,2004,55(1):43-53.
[6]CHANG M,TSENG Y,CHEN J.A Scenario PlanningApproach for the Flood Emergency Logistics PreparationProblem under Uncertainty[J].Transportation ResearchPart E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2007,43(6):737-754.
[7]SHEU J.An Emergency Logistics Distribution Approachfor Quick Response to Urgent Relief Demand in Disasters[J].Transportation Research Part E:Logistics andTransportation Review,2007,43(6):687-709.
[8]TZENG G,TSUNG H,HUANG D.Multi-objectiveOptimal Planning for Designing Relief Delivery Systems[J].Transportation Research Part E:Logistics andTransportation Review,2007,43(6):673-686.
[9]王丰,姜玉宏,王进.应急物流[M].北京:中国物资出版社,2007.WANG Feng,JIANG Yuhong,WANG Jin.EmergencyLogistics[M].Beijing.China Logistics PublishingHouse,2007.
[10]高新波.模糊聚类分析及其应用[M].西安:西安电子科技大学出版社,2004.GAO Xinbo.Fuzzy Cluster Analysis and Its Applications[M].Xi an:Xi dian University Press,2004.
[11]刘增量.模糊技术与神经网络技术选编[M].北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,1999.LIU Zengliang.Fuzzy Technology and Neural NetworkTechnology[M].Beijing.Beihang University Press,1999.
[12]庄恒杨,沈新平,陆建飞,等.模糊聚类计算方法的理论分析[J].江苏农业研究,1998,19(3):37-41.ZHUANG Hengyang,SHEN Xinping,LU Jianfei,et al.Theoretical Analysis of the Computing Method of FuzzyClustering[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Research,1998,19(3):37-41.
[13]李鸿吉.模糊数学基础及实用算法[M].北京:科学出版社,2005.LI Hongji.The foundation and Practical Algorithm ofFuzzy Mathematics[M].Beijing:Science Press,2005.
[14]MITCHELL H B,ESTRAKH D D.An OWA Operatorwith Fuzzy Ranks[J].International Journal of IntelligentSystems,1998,13(1):69-81.
[15]葛全胜,邹铭,郑景云.中国自然灾害风险综合评估与初步研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2008:184-185.GE Quansheng,ZOU Ming,ZHENG Jingyun.IntegratedAssessment of Natural Disaster Risks in China[M].Beijing:Science Press,2008:184-185.
[16]蒋仁言,左明.可靠性模型与应用[M].北京:机械工业出版社,1999.JIANG Renxin,ZUO Ming.Reliability Model andApplication[M].Beijing:China Machine Press,1999.
[17]聂高众,高建国,苏桂武,等.地震应急救助需求的模型化处理:来自地震震例的经验分析[J].资源科学,2001,23(1):69-76.NIE Gaozhong,GAO Jianguo,SU Guiwu,et al.Modelson Rapid Judgment for the Emergency Rescue Needs duringEarthquake:By Analysis on Post Earthquake Events[J].Resources Science,2001,23(1):69-76.
[2]OZDAMAR L,EKINCI E,KUCUKYAZICI B.EmergencyLogistics Planning in Natural Disasters[J].Annals ofOperations Research,2004,129(3):217-245.
[3]YI W,OZDAMAR L.A Dynamic Logistics CoordinationModel for Evacuation and Support in Disaster ResponseActivities[J].European Journal of OperationalResearch,2007,179:1177-1193.
[4]BAEBAROSOGL G,OZDAMAR L,CEVIK A.AnInteractive Approach for Hierarchical Analysis ofHelicopter Logistics in Disaster relief Operations[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2002,140:118-133.
[5]BAEBAROSOGL G,ARDA Y.A Two-stage StochasticProgramming Framework for Transportation Planning inDisaster Response[J].Journal of the OperationalResearch Society,2004,55(1):43-53.
[6]CHANG M,TSENG Y,CHEN J.A Scenario PlanningApproach for the Flood Emergency Logistics PreparationProblem under Uncertainty[J].Transportation ResearchPart E:Logistics and Transportation Review,2007,43(6):737-754.
[7]SHEU J.An Emergency Logistics Distribution Approachfor Quick Response to Urgent Relief Demand in Disasters[J].Transportation Research Part E:Logistics andTransportation Review,2007,43(6):687-709.
[8]TZENG G,TSUNG H,HUANG D.Multi-objectiveOptimal Planning for Designing Relief Delivery Systems[J].Transportation Research Part E:Logistics andTransportation Review,2007,43(6):673-686.
[9]王丰,姜玉宏,王进.应急物流[M].北京:中国物资出版社,2007.WANG Feng,JIANG Yuhong,WANG Jin.EmergencyLogistics[M].Beijing.China Logistics PublishingHouse,2007.
[10]高新波.模糊聚类分析及其应用[M].西安:西安电子科技大学出版社,2004.GAO Xinbo.Fuzzy Cluster Analysis and Its Applications[M].Xi an:Xi dian University Press,2004.
[11]刘增量.模糊技术与神经网络技术选编[M].北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,1999.LIU Zengliang.Fuzzy Technology and Neural NetworkTechnology[M].Beijing.Beihang University Press,1999.
[12]庄恒杨,沈新平,陆建飞,等.模糊聚类计算方法的理论分析[J].江苏农业研究,1998,19(3):37-41.ZHUANG Hengyang,SHEN Xinping,LU Jianfei,et al.Theoretical Analysis of the Computing Method of FuzzyClustering[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Research,1998,19(3):37-41.
[13]李鸿吉.模糊数学基础及实用算法[M].北京:科学出版社,2005.LI Hongji.The foundation and Practical Algorithm ofFuzzy Mathematics[M].Beijing:Science Press,2005.
[14]MITCHELL H B,ESTRAKH D D.An OWA Operatorwith Fuzzy Ranks[J].International Journal of IntelligentSystems,1998,13(1):69-81.
[15]葛全胜,邹铭,郑景云.中国自然灾害风险综合评估与初步研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2008:184-185.GE Quansheng,ZOU Ming,ZHENG Jingyun.IntegratedAssessment of Natural Disaster Risks in China[M].Beijing:Science Press,2008:184-185.
[16]蒋仁言,左明.可靠性模型与应用[M].北京:机械工业出版社,1999.JIANG Renxin,ZUO Ming.Reliability Model andApplication[M].Beijing:China Machine Press,1999.
[17]聂高众,高建国,苏桂武,等.地震应急救助需求的模型化处理:来自地震震例的经验分析[J].资源科学,2001,23(1):69-76.NIE Gaozhong,GAO Jianguo,SU Guiwu,et al.Modelson Rapid Judgment for the Emergency Rescue Needs duringEarthquake:By Analysis on Post Earthquake Events[J].Resources Science,2001,23(1):69-76.
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心