基于快速检索的高速公路建设期安全事故应急响应
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摘要
为提高我国高速公路建设安全管理水平,有效遏制事故损失,围绕事故应急响应速率及应急预案针对性等问题,通过引入基于案例推理技术,搜索案例库中相似的已建成项目的事故数据,为新建项目的应急预案提供有针对性的决策辅助,同时利用可变模糊聚类迭代模型将已有案例进行数据预处理,从而达到快速应急响应的目的。研究结果表明,这2种方法的结合可以大大提高响应效率和搜索精度,为高速公路建设期安全事故的快速应急管理提供可行性思路。
To improve the security emergency management of highway construction projects and reduce losses effectively in China,case-based reasoning was introduced to searching accident data of similar completed construction project,so as to provide a targeted decision aid for emergency response plan.At the same time,variable fuzzy clustering was used for data preprocessing of existing cases,which could achieve the purpose of quick response.The results show that the combination of the two methods could greatly improve the efficiency of response and the search accuracy,and also could provide feasibility thoughts for the rapid emergency management of security accident during the highway construction period.
To improve the security emergency management of highway construction projects and reduce losses effectively in China,case-based reasoning was introduced to searching accident data of similar completed construction project,so as to provide a targeted decision aid for emergency response plan.At the same time,variable fuzzy clustering was used for data preprocessing of existing cases,which could achieve the purpose of quick response.The results show that the combination of the two methods could greatly improve the efficiency of response and the search accuracy,and also could provide feasibility thoughts for the rapid emergency management of security accident during the highway construction period.
引文
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[24]陈守煜,袁晶瑄,李亚伟.基于可变模糊集的模糊聚类迭代模型及其应用[J].大连理工大学学报.2008,48(6):882-886.CHEN Shou-yu,YUAN Jing-xuan,LI Ya-wei.Fuzzy clustering iterative model and its application based on variable fuzzyset[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2008,48(6):882-886.
[25]陈守煜,李敏,王淑英.可变模糊聚类迭代模型合理性分析与应用检验[J].大连理工大学学报.2009,49(6):932-936.CHEN Shou-yu,LI Min,WANG Shu-ying.Rationality analysis and application test of variable fuzzy clustering iterativemodel[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2009,49(6):932-936.
[26]姜绍飞.人工神经网络用于建筑工程领域的数据处理方法[J].哈尔滨建筑大学学报,1999,32(5):24-28.JIANG Shao-fei.The Method of Data Processing of Artificial Neural Networks in Civil Engineering Problems[J].Journalof Harbin University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,1999,32(5):24-28.
[27]陈守煜.模糊概念在分级条件下的模糊识别理论[J].控制与决策,1995,10(4):347-351.CHEN Shou-yu.Pattern recognition theory of fuzzy concept under classificatory condition[J].Control and Decision,1995,10(4):347-351.
[2]汪志红,王斌会,张衡.基于Logistic曲线的城市应急能力评价研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(3):163-169.WANG Zhi-hong,WANG Bin-hui,ZHANG Heng.Research on urban emergency capability evaluation based on logisticcurve[J].China Safety Science Journal,2011,21(3):163-169.
[3]火恩杰,宋俊高,朱元清,等.GIS在城市防震减灾应急决策中的应用[J].自然灾害学报,2000,9(3):15-22.HUO En-jie,SONG Jun-gao,ZHU Yuan-qing,et al.Application of GIS in emergence decision-making of urban earth-quake prevention and disaster reduction[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2000,9(3):15-22.
[4]吴新燕.城市地震灾害风险分析与应急准备能力评价体系的研究[D].北京:中国地震局地球物理研究所,2006.WU Xin-yan,Analysis of Urban Earthquake Disaster Risk and Research of Evaluation System of Emergency ReadinessCapability[D].Beijing:Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration,2006.
[5]Geni Brafman Bahar.Integrated Safety Management Proeess[M].Transportation Researeh Board,Washington D.C.,2003.
[6]许丹枫,张礼敬,刘小勇,等.我国公路交通防抗极端天气灾害的应急探讨[J].中国安全科学学报,2010,20(10):159-164.XU Dan-feng,ZHANG Li-jing,LIU Xiao-yong,et al.Study on emergency handling of highway traffic against extremeweather in China[J].China Safety Science Journal,2010,20(10):159-164.
[7]孟祥海,李梅,麦强,等.高速公路事故多发点鉴别及诱发因素识别[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2011,11(1):114-120.MENG Xiang-hai,LI Mei,MAI Qiang,et al.Research on identification of black spot and accident inducing factor forfreeway[J].Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology,2011,11(1):114-120.
[8]朱茵,江越.城市道路交通应急警力配置模型研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2010,20(11):171-176.ZHU Yin,JIANG Yue.Study on disposing model of policeman for urban road traffic emergencies[J].China SafetyScience Journal,2010,20(11):171-176.
[9]赵挺生,卢学伟,方东平.建筑施工伤害事故诱因调查统计分析[J].施工技术,2003,32(12):54-55.ZHAO Ting-sheng,LU Xue-wei,FANG Dong-ping.Investigation,statistic and analysis of predisposing causes ofconstruction injury accidents[J].Construction Technology,2003,32(12):54-55.
[10]许东强,李军.建筑施工高处坠落事故的特点、成因与预防[J].建筑安全,2003,18(10):9-11.XUDong-qiang,LI Jun.The characteristic cause and prevention of high falling accident in building construction[J].Construction Safety,2003,18(10):9-11.
[11]C.W.Johnson.Proving properties of accidents[J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2000,67(2):175-191.
[12]陈科荣.城市建设施工安全重大危险源辨识与防治[J].施工技术,2004,33(8):55-56.CHEN Ke-rong.Identification and prevention of important dangerous headstream affect construction safety in city construc-tion[J].Construction Technology,2004,33(8):55-56.
[13]赵平,裴晓丽,薛剑.基于信息融合的建筑施工安全预警管理研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2009,19(10):106-110.ZHAO Ping,PEI Xiao-li,XUE Jian.Research on safety pre-warning management of building construction based on infor-mation fusion technique[J].China Safety Science Journal,2009,19(10):106-110.
[14]肖劲夫,胡群芳,黄宏伟,等.城市公路隧道预警指标体系调研与分析[J].中国安全科学学报,2009,19(8):144-151.XIAO Jin-fu,HU Qun-fang,HUANG Hong-wei,et al.Investigation and research on the early-warning index system ofurban road tunnel[J].China Safety Science Journal,2009,19(8):144-151.
[15]高青松,彭振斌,徐蒙.工程项目安全预警与应急控制隐性知识集成与共享研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2008,18(10):148-152.GAO Qing-song,PENG Zhen-bin,XU Meng.Study on the integration and sharing of recessive knowledge of safety earlywarning and emergency control for projects[J].China Safety Science Journal,2008,18(10):148-152.
[16]S.Mohamed,T.H.Ali,W.Y.V.Tam.National culture and safe work behavior of construction workers in Pakistan[J].Safety Science,2009,47(1):29-35.
[17]S.X.Zeng,Vivian W.Y.Tam,C.M.Tam.Towards occupational health and safety systems in the construction industryof China[J].Safety Science,2008,46(8):1 155-1 168.
[18]侯馄.建筑工程项目安全应急管理能力评价研究[D].天津:天津财经大学,2009.HOU Kun.Research on the Evaluation of Safety Emergency Management Capability of Construction Projects[D].Tianjin:Tianjin University of Finance&Economics,2009.
[19]李乐.建筑企业安全事故应急管理研究[D].西安:西安建筑科技大学,2010.LI Le.The Study on Security Accident Emergency Management in Construction Enterprises[D].Xi'an:Xi'an University ofArchitecture and Technology,2010.
[20]Roger C.Schank.Dynamic Memory:A Theory Of Reminding And Learning In Computers And People[M].CambridgeUniversity Press,1983.
[21]An M,Baker C,Zeng J.A fuzzy-logic-based approach to qualitative risk modeling in the construction process[J].WorldJournal of Engineering,2005,2(1):1–12.
[22]郭艳红,邓贵仕.基于事例的推理(CBR)研究综述[J].计算机工程与应用,2004,(21):1-5.GUO Yan-hong,DENG Gui-shi.Review of Case-based Reasoning[J].Computer Engineering and Applications,2004(21):1-5.
[23]Agnar Aamodt,Enric Plaza.Case-based reasoning:foundational issues,methodological variations and system approaches[J].AI Communications,1994,7(1):39-59.
[24]陈守煜,袁晶瑄,李亚伟.基于可变模糊集的模糊聚类迭代模型及其应用[J].大连理工大学学报.2008,48(6):882-886.CHEN Shou-yu,YUAN Jing-xuan,LI Ya-wei.Fuzzy clustering iterative model and its application based on variable fuzzyset[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2008,48(6):882-886.
[25]陈守煜,李敏,王淑英.可变模糊聚类迭代模型合理性分析与应用检验[J].大连理工大学学报.2009,49(6):932-936.CHEN Shou-yu,LI Min,WANG Shu-ying.Rationality analysis and application test of variable fuzzy clustering iterativemodel[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2009,49(6):932-936.
[26]姜绍飞.人工神经网络用于建筑工程领域的数据处理方法[J].哈尔滨建筑大学学报,1999,32(5):24-28.JIANG Shao-fei.The Method of Data Processing of Artificial Neural Networks in Civil Engineering Problems[J].Journalof Harbin University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,1999,32(5):24-28.
[27]陈守煜.模糊概念在分级条件下的模糊识别理论[J].控制与决策,1995,10(4):347-351.CHEN Shou-yu.Pattern recognition theory of fuzzy concept under classificatory condition[J].Control and Decision,1995,10(4):347-351.
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