基于AHP—模糊综合评判的旅游开发生态风险评价研究——以甘肃河西走廊为例
|
摘要
以甘肃河西走廊为研究对象,对其旅游开发生态风险源和风险终点进行识别。运用AHP法和专家咨询法构建了包括14个指标变量的生态风险评价指标体系,计算得出各风险指标的权重;利用模糊综合评判法,对河西走廊旅游开发生态风险进行综合评价。结果表明:河西走廊旅游开发生态风险最终评价得分属"较高风险"区间,指标层中的固体污染、植被覆盖率下降、土地不合理利用、土地沙漠化等风险比其他风险更高,是更加需要防范的生态问题。
This paper took Hexi Corridor of Gansu Province as the research object,and identified the ecological risk sources and risk end points of its tourism development,and constructed an ecological risk evaluation index system including 14 index variables by using the AHP and the expert consultation method,and calculated the index weight of each risk. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used in this paper to comprehensively evaluate the ecological risk of tourism development in the Hexi Corridor. The results showed that the final score of the ecological risk assessment of tourism development which belonged to the"higher risk" level. The risk of solid pollution,vegetation coverage decrease,land irrational use,as well as land desertification was higher than other risks,and the related ecological problems needed to be paid more precaution.
This paper took Hexi Corridor of Gansu Province as the research object,and identified the ecological risk sources and risk end points of its tourism development,and constructed an ecological risk evaluation index system including 14 index variables by using the AHP and the expert consultation method,and calculated the index weight of each risk. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used in this paper to comprehensively evaluate the ecological risk of tourism development in the Hexi Corridor. The results showed that the final score of the ecological risk assessment of tourism development which belonged to the"higher risk" level. The risk of solid pollution,vegetation coverage decrease,land irrational use,as well as land desertification was higher than other risks,and the related ecological problems needed to be paid more precaution.
引文
[1]Chenh,Liujs,Cao Y,et al. Progresses of Ecological Risk Assessment[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2006,26(5)∶1558-1566.
[2]Bascietto J,Hinckley D,Plafkin J,et al. Ecotoxicology and Ecological Risk Assessment[J]. Environmental Science and Technology,1990,24(2)∶137-145.
[3]Victor B. Applying Ecological Risk Principles to Watershed Assessment and Management[J]. Environmental Management,2002,29(6)∶145-154.
[4]Hayes E H,Landis W G. Regional Risk Assessment of Near Shore Marine Environment Cherry Point WA[J]. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment,2004,35(10)∶299-325.
[5]Xu Y,Gao J F,Zhao J H,et al. The Research Progress and Prospect of Watershed Ecological Risk Assessment[J]. Acta Ecological Sinica,2012,32(1)∶284-292.
[6]Zeng S,Huang Y,Fu S,et al. Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment of Effluent Toxicity of a Waste Water Reclamation Plant Based on Process Modeling[J]. Water Research,2016,100(1)∶367-376.
[7]Lepp A,Gibson H. Sensation Seeking and Tourism:Tourist Role,Perception of Risk and Destination Choice[J]. Tourism Management,2008,29(4)∶740-750.
[8]吴必虎.游憩地理学:理论与方法[M].北京:高等教育出版社,1992∶71-76.
[9]文军,魏美才.我国自然保护区旅游开发的生态风险及对策[J].中南林业调查规划,2003,34(4)∶41-46.
[10]尤海涛,王豪伟.喀纳斯自然保护区旅游开发的生态风险及对策[J].新疆师范大学学报(自然科学版),2005,24(3)∶217-219.
[11]尚天成.生态旅游系统管理与生态风险分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(5)∶92-94.
[12]李淑娟,隋玉正.海岛旅游开发生态风险管理对策与措施研究[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(8)∶762-764.
[13]赵黎明,刘慧媛.旅游目的地系统的生态灾害风险评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010,24(10)∶186-190.
[14]张广海,王佳.海南省旅游开发生态风险评价与预警机制[J].热带地理,2013,33(1)∶88-95.
[15]詹丽,张小月.基于未确知测度的旅游应急管理能力评价研究——以湖北恩施自治州为例[J].资源开发与市场,2018,34(1)∶113-117.
[16]尚天成,赵黎明.生态风险分析在生态旅游系统管理中的应用[J].华南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2003,14(2)∶72-76.
[17]曾曦.海岛旅游开发及生态风险评价研究现状分析[J].科技信息,2009,33(5)∶517-459.
[18]赵水峰.内蒙古旅游环境预警评价指标体系构建研究田[J].云南地理环境研究,2011,23(3)∶80-84.
[19]钟林生,李萍.甘肃省阿万仓湿地旅游开发生态风险评价及管理对策[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(11)∶1444-1451.
[20]张晓,高海清.层次分析法在陕北退耕还林可持续发展影响因子评价中的应用[J].水土保持通报,2010,24(10)∶147-151.
[21]新华网.聚焦祁连山生态环境问题整治[EB/OL].[2018-06-30]. http://m. xinhuanet. com. htm.
[22]杨阿莉.生态脆弱区旅游开发与环境建设协调发展问题研究——以甘肃石羊河流域为例[J].资源开发与市场,2009,25(1)∶45-48.
[2]Bascietto J,Hinckley D,Plafkin J,et al. Ecotoxicology and Ecological Risk Assessment[J]. Environmental Science and Technology,1990,24(2)∶137-145.
[3]Victor B. Applying Ecological Risk Principles to Watershed Assessment and Management[J]. Environmental Management,2002,29(6)∶145-154.
[4]Hayes E H,Landis W G. Regional Risk Assessment of Near Shore Marine Environment Cherry Point WA[J]. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment,2004,35(10)∶299-325.
[5]Xu Y,Gao J F,Zhao J H,et al. The Research Progress and Prospect of Watershed Ecological Risk Assessment[J]. Acta Ecological Sinica,2012,32(1)∶284-292.
[6]Zeng S,Huang Y,Fu S,et al. Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment of Effluent Toxicity of a Waste Water Reclamation Plant Based on Process Modeling[J]. Water Research,2016,100(1)∶367-376.
[7]Lepp A,Gibson H. Sensation Seeking and Tourism:Tourist Role,Perception of Risk and Destination Choice[J]. Tourism Management,2008,29(4)∶740-750.
[8]吴必虎.游憩地理学:理论与方法[M].北京:高等教育出版社,1992∶71-76.
[9]文军,魏美才.我国自然保护区旅游开发的生态风险及对策[J].中南林业调查规划,2003,34(4)∶41-46.
[10]尤海涛,王豪伟.喀纳斯自然保护区旅游开发的生态风险及对策[J].新疆师范大学学报(自然科学版),2005,24(3)∶217-219.
[11]尚天成.生态旅游系统管理与生态风险分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(5)∶92-94.
[12]李淑娟,隋玉正.海岛旅游开发生态风险管理对策与措施研究[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(8)∶762-764.
[13]赵黎明,刘慧媛.旅游目的地系统的生态灾害风险评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010,24(10)∶186-190.
[14]张广海,王佳.海南省旅游开发生态风险评价与预警机制[J].热带地理,2013,33(1)∶88-95.
[15]詹丽,张小月.基于未确知测度的旅游应急管理能力评价研究——以湖北恩施自治州为例[J].资源开发与市场,2018,34(1)∶113-117.
[16]尚天成,赵黎明.生态风险分析在生态旅游系统管理中的应用[J].华南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2003,14(2)∶72-76.
[17]曾曦.海岛旅游开发及生态风险评价研究现状分析[J].科技信息,2009,33(5)∶517-459.
[18]赵水峰.内蒙古旅游环境预警评价指标体系构建研究田[J].云南地理环境研究,2011,23(3)∶80-84.
[19]钟林生,李萍.甘肃省阿万仓湿地旅游开发生态风险评价及管理对策[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(11)∶1444-1451.
[20]张晓,高海清.层次分析法在陕北退耕还林可持续发展影响因子评价中的应用[J].水土保持通报,2010,24(10)∶147-151.
[21]新华网.聚焦祁连山生态环境问题整治[EB/OL].[2018-06-30]. http://m. xinhuanet. com. htm.
[22]杨阿莉.生态脆弱区旅游开发与环境建设协调发展问题研究——以甘肃石羊河流域为例[J].资源开发与市场,2009,25(1)∶45-48.
© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号 地址：北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编：100083 电话：办公室：(+86 10)66554848；文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新：66554700 |