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基于交互效应的风险投资决策意愿影响因素的实证研究
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摘要
作为新的商业模式,我国风险投资还处于初步发展阶段,风险资本额的快速增长对风险投资机构作为金融中介的运行效率提出了挑战,特别是VC/PE功能异化的行为投机化和发展泡沫化、中小企业获取风险投资困难以及宏观政策环境的缺失等问题亟待解决,对于依然处于成长初期的我国风险投资机构来说,如何迅速建立有效的治理机制,缓解风险投资和创业企业之间的矛盾,是首先要解决的问题。本文对风险投资决策意愿的影响因素进行了理论和实证研究。
     本文通过文献研究的方法对风险投资决策意愿的文献进行研究,研究发现国内外研究现状中所存在的不足,主要缺乏对风险投资决策意愿影响因素的系统、全面的实证分析,特别是影响因素之间交互替代效应还没有研究先例。
     本文以风险投资决策意愿的影响因素为研究对象,应用信息不对称理论、完全契约理论、不完全契约理论等作为本文的理论基础,得到了本文的理论分析框架,即运用期望回报、预期风险、创业能力、契约控制权和投资环境来研究风险投资决策意愿的影响因素。
     本文采取了两个阶段来建立理论假设模型。第一个阶段先考察全部因素变量对决策意愿变量的直接影响关系;第二个阶段是在因素变量之间构建若干假设影响关系,考察各因素变量对决策意愿变量的协同影响和因素变量之间的交互影响。
     本文通过文献综述、深度访谈构建对应的测量模型,设计了相关变量的测量表,开发了调查问卷,并针对不同行业的250家风险投资机构进行问卷调查,采用结构方程模型方法对数据进行统计分析,有效验证了相关假设。
     最后,本文分析了各影响因素对风险投资决策意愿的影响作用机制,得出了相关结论。
As a new business model, venture investment in China is still in the preliminarystages of development, the rapid growth of the venture capital presents a challenge tothe operating efficiency of those VC institutions who act as financial intermediaries.Many issues need to be solved such as VC/PE function alienation behaviors such asspeculation and development bubble、SMEs' difficulties accessing to venture capitalas well as the lack of macro-policy environment For those venture capital institutionsin China who are still at an early stage, it is of great significance to quickly establishan effective governance mechanism, therefore ease the contradiction between venturecapital and start-ups.In this paper, we theoretically and empirically explored theinfluencing factors of venture capital decision-making wishes to solve those aboveproblems.
     By literature research of venture capital decision-making wishes, we try toexplore the deficiencies in the domestic and foreign research status. Finding that whatwe mainly lack is comprehensive、systematic and empirical analysis of influencingfactors of venture capital decision-making wishes. In particular, the interactive andsubstitution effects among the influencing factors which has not been precedentlystudied.
     Influencing factors of venture capital decision-making wishes.as the researchobject, application of Information Asymmetry Theory, Incomplete Contract Theory,Incomplete contract theory as the theoretical basis of this article, we build thetheoretical analysis framework, which is by expected return, expected risk,entrepreneurial ability, contractual control rights and the investment environment tostudy their impacts on venture capital decision willingness factors.
     Taking two stages to establish the theoretical hypotheses, the first stage toexamine the direct effects of the entire factors variable on decision-makingwillingness; the second stage is to build certain assumptions that affect the relationship among the variable factors, examining collaborative effects betweendecision-making wishes factors and the interactive effects among the various factorsvariables.
     Through the literature review, in-depth interviews, this article is to construct thecorresponding measurement model designing the measurement table of the relevantvariables and developing a questionnaire. The questionnaire is targeted at differentsectors of250venture capital institutions, using structural equation modeling methodof statistical analysis of data, and effectively validates the underlying assumptions.
     Finally, this paper analyzes the influencing factors on the mechanism of venturecapital decision-making wishes to draw the relevant conclusions.
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