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物联网产业成长研究
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摘要
物联网的出现有其特定的历史时代背景,西方发达国家的经济疲软和新兴发展中国家的成长烦恼为物联网的形成创造了内在需求,2008年发端于美国的次贷危机更是为物联网的快速成长起到了导火索的作用。为了促进物联网发展,一些发达国家从国家利益出发,对其进行了科学的战略布局。国内对物联网研究的起步较晚,在对物联网内涵外延、成长进程、发展方向的把握上尚不成熟,却已经发动了一系列资源动员活动和地方产业布局,这显然不利于我国物联网产业的健康发展。基于此,系统地研究国内外物联网相关理论和产业成长基本理论,分析物联网产业成长机理,探索物联网产业成长规律,将有助于推进物联网产业理论的完善进步,也有利于我国物联网行业管理者科学决策。
     物联网是信息技术和互联网发展到一定阶段的产物,是一种新兴的现代信息产业。但是物联网不同于一般的信息产业,它不仅有涉及传感识别设备、网络通讯设备、应用系统设备等实物产品的生产制造产业,也有属于通讯渠道提供、软件开发、系统集成、专业服务等的服务产业,或者精神产业;不仅有物联网技术本身新创造、新添加产品的“狭义”产业部分,也有应用延伸到其他产业中新增的“融合”产业部分。由于物联网有着复杂的产业内涵外延,因此,物联网产业成长机理理论是建立在信息产业理论、核心企业理论、产业链理论、产业集群理论等基础理论交叉的结果之上的。与其它产业一样,物联网产业也有成长发展演进的过程,但物联网产业在成长背景、动力源泉、成长过程等方面与其它产业有所不同。物联网的价值创造在于创新了人与物的沟通方式、能获取真正的原始数据、促进管理过程透明化、降低沟通交易成本,其价值创造过程主要表现为促进数据获取简单化、促进生产过程和管理的自动化、提升客户服务层次。物联网的应用价值则主要表现为让物体具有智慧、改变人类的生产方式和生活方式。
     物联网产业链的成长是产业成长的关键。物联网产业链具有链长、技术主导、应用驱动、关联性强等方面特征。物联网产业链结构主要包括感应芯片及核心器件研发者、网络通讯服务商、系统集成服务商、软件及智能信息系统开发商、感知末端及通讯设备制造商、专业应用服务提供商、应用客户等七个主要环节。其中,最重要的环节是感应芯片及核心器件研发、系统集成服务商,前者决定了整个产业链的技术水平,后者在复杂链条的商业模式创新上有非常高的要求。可从动力机制、理论模型、形成机理等视角对物联网产业链的成长机理进行综合诠释,并通过产业链细化分工与协同决策模型进行论证。
     物联网产业具备产业集群形成的必要和充分条件,并且具有很高的集群化倾向。物联网产业集群成长主要受市场、区域资源禀赋、产业环境、政府规制、特定性知识等因素的影响。产业集群成长的生命周期分为萌芽期、成形期、加快发展期、成熟发展期、衰落期等五个阶段。物联网产业集群的成长机理可从理论基础、成长条件、现实案例等视角进行诠释,也可以通过构建集聚因子模型和logistic增长模型进行实证论证。
     研究物联网产业的成长是为了探索我国物联网产业的成长战略。从物联网产业成长机理理论和我国产业发展进程看,我国物联网产业成长应选择政府与市场双轮驱动的战略路径。该战略路径以物联网产业成长生命周期为主线,以产业成长中资源作用机制为动力,以核心企业、产业链、产业集群为作用内容,可加快我国物联网产业成长步伐。
The emergence of the Internet of Things has its specific historical background, the economic weakness of the western developed countries and growth worry in developing countries is the internal demand of the Internet of Things, the sub-prime mortgage crisis originated in the United States in2008is the fire cable of the rapid growth of the Internet of Things. In order to promote the development of the Internet of Things, some developed countries carry scientific strategic layout on it based on it's national interests. Research on the Internet of Things of our country is late, because we have launched a series of resource mobilization activities and local industrial layout on the background of not grasping accurately connotation and epitaxial of the Internet of Things, growth process, the development directions, this is not conducive to the healthy development of the Internet of Things industry in China. Based of these, it will be helpful to improve the progress of the theory of the Things on Internet industry, and also be conducive to the manager's scientific decision~making of the Internet of Things industry in China, to study systematically domestic and foreign related base theory of the Internet of Things and base theory of industry growth, to analyze the growth mechanism of the Internet of Things industry, to explore the growth law of it.
     The Internet of Things is a product of IT and Internet's development to a certain stage, and is a new emerging modern information industry. However, from the content, the Internet of Things is different from the general information industry, it includes not only a sensor identification equipment, network communications equipment, application system equipment and so on other physical products manufacturing industry, but also belong to the providing communication channels, software development, system integration, professional services and so on other service industries, or the spirit of industry; it not only has some new creation, newly added products "narrow" industrial part of the Things of Internet technology itself, but also has some newly added "fusion" industrial part by application extending to other industries. the Things of Internet has a complex industrial connotation and extension, the theory of growth mechanism of the Things of Internet industry is based on the theory of information industry, the theory of core firm, the theory of industry chain and the theory of industry cluster.
     The Internet of Things,like other industry, has also a evolutionary process on industry growth, only it show some differences in growth background, power source, the growth process and so on. The value creation of the Internet of Things is the innovative way of communication between humans and things, to get real raw data,to promote transparency of the management process, and reduce the communication transaction costs, mainly show of its value creation process is to promote simplistic data access, promote the automation of production processes and management,and enhance customer service levels. The application value of the Internet of Things is mainly showed to making the object wise, to change the mode way of production and life of the human.
     The growing of the Internet of Things industry chain is the key of development of The Internet of Things industry. As for the structure, The Internet of Things industrial chain mainly consist of seven parts, namely, sensor chip and core devices developers, Internet service provider, system integration service providers, software and intelligent information system developers, sensor and communication equipment manufacturers, application service providers, clients. Among them the most important are sensor chip and core devices developers and system integration service providers, The former is responsible for the technological levels of the Internet of Things industry chain whilst the latter sets higher demands for the business model innovation. The Internet of Things industrial chain has character of long chain, technology~dominated, application~driven, and strong relationship. Developmental mechanism of the Internet of Things industry chain can be interpreted from the angles of dynamical mechanism, theoretical model and formation mechanism. From the collaborative decision and work division model of the Internet of Things industry chain, the developmental mechanism can also be proven.
     The Internet of Things industry has a tendency towards clusterism, and has the sufficient and necessary condition of the formation of industrial cluster. The development of the Internet of Things industrial cluster largely due to markets, regional resources endowment; industry environment, policies and regulations, special knowledge. The evolution of industrial cluster can be divided into the embryonic stage, forming stage, growth stage, maturity stage and decline stage. Developmental mechanism of the Internet of Things industry cluster can be interpreted from the angles of theory foundation, the conditions of growth, and real cases. The developmental mechanism of the Internet of Things industry cluster can also be proven by the construction of convergency factor model and logistic growth model.
     Exploring Industry growth strategy of the Internet of Things in China is the end result of this research project. From the Internet of Things theory of industrial growth mechanism and the development of China's industrial progress, industrial growth of China's Internet of Things should follow a strategy based on both the government and the market's wheel drive path. The strategy path should regard industry growth life cycle of the Internet of Things as the main line, and regard resources effect mechanism in industry growth as the driving force, regard the core enterprise in the industry growth, the industrial chain, industrial clusters as effect content, regard accelerating the pace of the Internet of Things industry growth in China as the goal.
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