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中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性与可持续性研究
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摘要
随着农村能源和农村环境问题的日益突出,农村户用沼气的建设和发展问题受到人们的普遍关注,成为农村能源建设的主要组成部分和社会主义新农村建设的重要内容。中国农村户用沼气经过多年的发展,已经具备了一定的产业基础和发展优势,但现阶段农村户用沼气发展仍存在很多的问题和困难,其中沼气池的合理布局、沼气生态农业模式构建及良性发展、沼气综合效益的提高等一系列问题,需要进一步的研究和创新探索。开展中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性与可持续性研究不仅能实现中国农村户用沼气的合理布局和可持续发展,而且还将在很大程度上解决农村能源短缺和农村环境恶化的问题。
     本论文基于生态学、系统工程学、能源经济学等相关理论,采用理论研究与实践研究相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合、文献调查与社会调查相结合等方法,借鉴国内外相关研究成果,以中国农村户用沼气发展问题为研究对象,从中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性和可持续性两个方面进行了研究,取得了一定的成果。这些研究成果对中国农村户用沼气合理布局,中国农村沼气生态农业模式的良性发展,中国农村户用沼气可持续发展等,都具有重要的现实指导和借鉴意义。
     论文主要内容包括四个部分,分为十章。
     第一部分,包括第一章的内容,这一部分是论文研究的起点和基础。主要介绍了中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性和可持续性问题提出的背景,研究的目的和意义,对国内外关于农村户用沼气方面的研究现状进行了综述,介绍了论文研究的方法、创新之处、论文研究的思路和内容以及研究的理论基础。
     第二部分,包括第二章至第五章的内容,即中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性的研究。首先,从气候条件、能源状况和社会经济三个方面选择了1.6米平均地温大于10℃的月数、1.6米平均地温大于20℃的月数、全年日照时数、年太阳辐射总量、人均畜禽粪便资源占有量、生活用能中商品能源比率、户年均收入、户国家投资额和初中及以上文化程度人口率9个指标,构建了户用沼气区域适宜性评价指标体系,确定了评价指标的权重,运用综合评价法对陕西省安塞县、陇县和西乡县发展户用沼气区域适宜性进行评价。其次,以沼气发酵原料为研究对象,建立了中国农村户用沼气发酵原料理论户均产气潜力估算模型。并利用该模型对中国农村2007年沼气发酵原料理论户均产气潜力进行了估算,根据估算结果对中国农村户用沼气发酵原料进行了区划,划分为沼气发酵原料最适宜区、适宜区、次适宜区和非适宜区,依据区划结果形成了中国农村户用沼气发酵原料适宜性区划图。再次,以沼气发酵温度为研究对象,系统分析了温度与沼气发酵,沼气池发酵液的温度与气温、地温之间的关系,确定了中国农村户用沼气发酵温度区划指标,对中国农村户用沼气发酵温度进行了区划,划分为沼气发酵原料最适宜区、适宜区、次适宜区和非适宜区,依据区划结果形成了中国农村户用沼气发酵温度适宜性区划图。最后,在中国农村户用沼气发酵温度适宜性区划和发酵原料适宜性区划的基础上,建立了中国农村户用沼气适宜性区划指标及分级标准,对中国农村户用沼气适宜性进行了区划,划分为中国农村户用沼气适宜区、次适宜区和非适宜区。根据区划结果,形成了中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性区划图。中国农村户用沼气区域适宜性的研究可为户用沼气的合理布局提供科学的理论依据。
     第三部分,包括第六章至第九章的内容,即中国农村户用沼气可持续性的研究。首先,调查了陕西省宝鸡市沼气生产的基本情况,分析了宝鸡市实施的“沼气池-厕所-畜舍-菜(果、粮)”、“桑-蚕-双孢蘑菇-畜舍-沼气池”、田犇秦川牛繁育场大型沼气3种典型沼气生态农业模式的结构和效益,提出了沼气生态农业的发展对策。其次,结合沼气生态农业模式自身的结构和功能特点,以生态农业模式评价指标体系为基础,从结构、功能和效益三个方面选择了17个指标构建了沼气生态农业模式综合评价指标体系,应用层次均权法确定了沼气生态农业模式综合评价指标的权重,运用综合指数法构建了沼气生态农业模式综合评价模型。并以宝鸡市2个典型沼气生态农业模式(陇县“沼气池—厕所—畜舍—菜(果、粮)”庭院生态农业模式和千阳县“桑—蚕—双孢蘑菇—畜舍—沼气池”生态农业模式)的研究数据对模型进行了验证,评价结果与实际情况吻合,可为沼气生态农业模式综合评价提供科学的理论依据。再次,以中国农村8m3户用沼气池为研究对象,分别采用生命周期评价及生命周期成本方法对户用沼气池全生命周期的环境影响和经济效益进行了定量评价,8m3户用沼气池全生命周期(功能单元为400m3沼气)对环境影响负荷为1.6418人当量,各种环境影响类型的相对贡献大小依次为富营养化、全球变暖、酸化。生命周期成本为3082元,经济收益为835元,成本回收期为3.69年。并为户用沼气行业减少环境排放,提高经济效益提供了相应的对策和建议。最后,从中国农村户用沼气发酵原料、发酵工艺、发展模式、综合利用、管理模式五个方面对中国农村户用沼气未来发展趋势进行了预测。秸秆将替代畜禽粪便做为中国农村户用沼气的主要发酵原料。沼气干发酵将替代厌氧湿发酵成为中国农村户用沼气的主要发酵工艺。农村沼气建设的集约化是今后发展的又一趋势。将沼液沼渣进行深加工形成商品肥和农村小沼电,具有广阔的市场和应用前景。加强农村户用沼气后续管理服务体系建设,研制农村沼气运行管理专家系统对农村沼气正常的运行将起到积极的促进作用。中国农村户用沼气区域可持续性的研究将推动中国农村沼气的可持续发展。
     第四部分,即第十章结论。对论文的主要研究成果进行了总结,并对中国农村户用沼气发展问题的进一步研究进行了展望。
With the problem of rural energy crisis and the rural environment deterioration, the development of the rural household biogas is becoming more and more important. It has been the main part of rural energy construction and the important content of the new socialist countryside construction. After many years’development of the rural household biogas of China, some industry basis and development advantages have been established. Many problems and difficulties still exist, such as rational distribution of biogas digesters, construction of biogas eco-agricultural Model, improve the efficiency of biogas, etc. Further research is needed to solve these problems. The study of household biogas region suitability and sustainability in China can not only solve the problem of development of rural household biogas in China, but also solve the rural energy deficiency and ecological environment destruction problem.
     According to the theory of ecology, systems engineering, energy economics, using the methods of theory and practice, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, literature survey and social surveys, drawing lessons from the development of rural household biogas at home and abroad, the research analyzes the problem and the strategy of household biogas in rural China from two aspects, region suitability and sustainability. The results of this research have important guidance meanings for sustainable development of household biogas in rural China. The main content of the research is composed of four parts, including twelve chapters: The first part includes chapter one. It is the starting point and the base of the research.
     The background, the purpose and the significance were introduced. The present research situation of rural household biogas at home and abroad was summarized. The research methods, the main innovation, the technical route and the theory of the research were introduced.
     The second part includes chapter two to chapter five. It is the one of the core of this research. The first, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) was used to study the index system of household biogas regional suitability evaluation. The index system was built from climate, energy situation and social and economic factors. MATLAB6.5 was used to confirm the weights of indices. Household biogas regional suitability in Ansai county, long county and in Xixiang county were evaluated by comprehensive evaluation method. According to the analysis results, the suitability classified standard was determined. The assessment result is consistent with the actual situation. Secondly, theoretical biogas production potential estimation model was established in this study. The model was used in this study to estimation of Chinese rural household biogas production in 2007. According to the fermentation materials suitability, the development of household biogas can be divided into four different regions in rural China, optimum region, suitable region, sub-suitable region and unsuitable region. According to the results, biogas fermentation materials zoning map in rural China was made. The third, the relationship between temperature and biogas fermentation, temperature, ground temperature and digester temperature is analyzed. The index for China's rural household biogas fermentation temperature division was built. According to the temperature suitability, the development of household biogas can be divided into four different regions in rural China, optimum region, suitable region, sub-suitable region and unsuitable region. According to the results, drawing biogas fermentation temperature zoning map in rural China. At last, according to the fermentation materials and the temperature suitability, the development of household biogas can be divided into three different regions in rural China, suitable region, sub-suitable region and unsuitable region. It provides a scientific theory base and decision support for reasonable layout of the household biogas.
     The third part includes chapter six to chapter nine. It is the one of the core of this research. The first, the status of biogas production in Baoji city in Shaanxi Province is stated in this paper. And the operational structure and benefit of three typical eco-agricultural models are analyzed. The three typical models include“biogas digester– bio-toilet - stable - vegetables (fruits, food)”,“mulberry tree - silkworm– agaricus bisporus - stable - biogas digester”“,large-scale biogas engineering of breeding farms of Qinchuan cattle”. In addition, the developing countermeasures of biogas ecological agriculture were put forward. Secondly, in order to quantitatively assess the structure, function and benefit of biogas eco-agricultural models, based on the studies of eco-agricultural model evaluation index system, 17 indicators were selected to construct a comprehensive evaluation index system of biogas eco-agricultural model, multilevel averaging weight method was used to confirm the weights of indices, assessment model was constructed by comprehensive evaluation method. We also verified the model with the data of two typical biogas eco-agricultural models (Longxian " biogas digester– toilet - stable - vegetables, fruits, food)" courtyard ecological agriculture model and Qianyang County“mulberry tree - silkworm– agaricus bisporus - stable - biogas digester”eco-agricultural model)in Baoji City, Shanxi Province, and the assessment results were consistent with the actual situation. It is showed that the evaluation index system and the model have adaptability. The third, the objective and quantitative assessment of environmental and economic benefits in the life-cycle of 8 m3 biogas digester was carried out by life-cycle assessment and life-cycle cost methods. The results show that 8 m3 household biogas digester (functional unit is 400 m3 biogas) on the environmental impact load of 1.6418, the main potential environmental factor influence orders are eutrophication, global warming and acidification. Life-cycle cost, net profit per year and cost pay back period values are 3082 Yuan, 835 Yuan, 3.69 years, respectively. Gave the countermeasures and suggestions for reduce environmental emissions, enhance economic efficiency in household biogas industry, and can be of benefit to rural household biogas sustainable development in China. At last, we describe the current status and discuss potential development trends of rural biogas in China in this paper from five aspects, biogas fermentation materials, fermentation technology, development model, comprehensive utilization and management. Straw will replace animal manure as the main raw material of biogas. Dry methane fermentation will become an important method in the large scale production of biogas from agricultural wastes. The central supply pattern introduces a market economy to the village biogas industry. It is with broad market and great potential to produce commercial fertilizer and using biogas to generate electricity. The follow-up services and management expert system of biogas digesters, is a key question of rural household biogas development. The research will promote the sustainable development of household biogas in rural China.
     The fourth part includes chapter ten. It summarizes the main contents and gives the prospects of the research.
引文
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