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浙江省茶产业结构调整的实证研究
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摘要
二十一世纪将是浙江省茶产业快速发展的重要时期。
     浙江省茶产业在全国茶产业中和在浙江省农村经济中的作用与地位,都将得到进一步提升。
     随着我国整个农业产业结构的新一轮全面调整和中国进入WTO所导致的宏观经济环境的改变,浙江省茶产业的发展面临着新的机遇和挑战。为继续保持强劲的增长势头,浙江茶业有必要进一步优化结构,通过强化制度创新和技术创新,培育新的增长动力,实现在新世纪的可持续发展。
     本研究从茶类结构、茶产业组织结构、茶产业区域布局结构等方面对浙江省茶业结构调整进行实证分析。并以此为依据,从资源优化配置、产业结构合理化、高度化等不同角度提出了优化浙江茶产业结构的政策见解。论文内容主要包括以下几个部分:
     1.理论部分
     分别简要的介绍了经济增长和产业结构的理论、产业布局理论以及其它一些与产业结构调整相关的理论框架和分析思路。
     2.实证分析部分
     这部分是论文的核心。本论文对浙江省的茶产业结构分四部分进行了实证分析。
     首先,对浙江省茶产业的形成、演变和发展进行了实证分析。内容涉及到浙江省茶产业的历史、建国后浙江茶业的发展、浙江茶叶经营体制的演变、以及浙江茶产业经济政策的演变等等。
     然后,对浙江省茶产业的茶类结构进行了实证分析。从不同茶叶的分类口径,分析比较各类茶的产量、产值比重、增长率以及对浙江茶叶增长的贡献率。其中,名优茶和出口茶是实证分析的重点,论文展开了详细讨论。
     接着,对浙江省茶产业组织结构进行了实证分析。内容涉及到浙江省茶叶产销的组织方式、市场结构的特点以及变化趋势。同时建立了生产函数模型,并运用索罗余值分析法,就技术创新和制度变迁对
    
    浙江茶叶发展的贡献率,进行了实证分析。
     最后,对浙江省茶产业的区域布局调整进行了实证分析。首先根
    据增长极理论,分析了全省各产茶区的发展茶叶生产的比较优势,找
    出存在的问题,探讨茶产业区域布局的演变趋势。并结合浙江省龙井
    茶原产地保护措施,分析了产业经济政策对于优化茶叶区域布局的重
    要意义。
     3.政策建议部分
     根据实证分析结果,提出了进一步忧化浙江省茶产业结构的基本
    思路、优化途径以及可能的政策措施。
21st century is a very important time for the development of Zhejiang tea industry.
    In this century, both in the fields of the whole country's tea industry and the rural economics of Zhejiang Province, the functions and status of Zhejiang tea industry will be paid more attention and improved to a new level.
    Surviving in this changing world, Zhejiang tea Industry has to face the challenges and seize the opportunities offered by the time. In order to keep the good trend in last century and seek the further development in the new century, Zhejiang tea industry should stare with detecting and fostering its new economic development poles, activate the endogenetic economic mechanism and readjust the industrial structure. Only through these positive measures could Zhejiang tea industry well adapt itself to the new macro-economic circumstance, which was resulted from the reformation in rural industrial structure and China's entry into WTO.
    In this paper, we made some positive analyses on the aspects of tea sorts, tea industrial organization structures and its regional distributions. And based on the findings, some constructive proposes and suggestions on optimization of resource collocation and utilization and on rationalization of industry construction were put forward.
    This paper can be divided into three parts: theories, positive analyses and conclusions.
    Several economic theories, involving economics growth system, industrial structure system, industrial distribution system were quoted and explained in the part of theories. In addition, the meanings or properties of some essential economic elements and relationships between them were also illuminated.
    The positive analysis was the core part of the paper. First we analyzed the formation, evolution, and development of Zhejiang tea industry. It mainly illustrated the history, development, and the evolvement of managing systems and economic policies on Zhejiang tea industry. Secondly, from the points of commonly tea v.s. distinguished tea and export tea v.s. tea for domestic consumption, we analyzed the contribution rates of these kinds of tea to the production value of Zhejiang tea industry. Thirdly, the status quo of the organizations of Zhejiang tea industry were analyzed as well. According to the results, we established a pruductionfunction model for tea production. Furthermore, with Sorrow's analysis method, the relation between input and output of Zhejiang tea industry was quantitatively analyzed. Finally, in application of increase pole theory, we discussed the issues on the regional distributions of Zhejiang tea industry such as the protection of original producing areas, the establishments of producing bases for organic tea and steamed tea for export purpose.
    A conclusion on the development of Zhejiang tea industry were given in the last part, which were grounded on the above theories and analyses. And some concrete opinions and suggestions were offered for reference.
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