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预测家禽粪便肥料成分含量的试验研究
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摘要
本文针对我国集约化养殖带来的严重环境污染的现状,论述了在我国实
    现有机农业的必要性和可行性,阐明了粪肥还田是走有机农业之路的重要物
    质基础。指出要实现畜禽粪便的资源化、无害化利用就必须预知其中主要肥
    料成分的含量。
     预测畜禽粪便肥料成分含量的方法主要有两种,一种是基于理化指标检
    测技术手段的快速测定法,另一种是数学模型法。本文分别就以上两种方法
    进行综述,同时探讨今后的研究方向。快速测定法是通过建立畜禽粪便理化
    指标与其中氮、磷、钾和铵态氮含量相关关系,借助于对畜禽粪便理化指标,
    如:比重、电导率、干物质含量等进行测定,来迅速预测出其中肥料成分的
    含量。数学模型法针对特定畜禽品种,根据日粮组成、畜禽活重等因子,通
    过数值计算即可迅速、较准确地预测出粪便中主要肥料成分的含量。
     以上两种方法有效地避免了传统实验室化学分析方法所无法避免的费
    时、费力和成本高等缺点,预计运用于生产实践,将节省大量的人力、物力
    资源,对于促进粪肥的科学施用,实现农业的可持续发展具有重要的理论意
    义和实用价值。
     针对基于家禽及其日粮基础数据的数学模型法进行了研究。通过对畜禽
    排粪量和粪中肥料成分含量的影响因素进行理论分析,确定所建模型的自变
    量为畜禽种类、品种、年龄、体重、采食量、摄入干物质量、饲料组成、排
    出干物质和排粪量。以肉鸡为研究对象进行了试验,取得了大量试验数据。
    经过对试验数据的回归分析,得到预测排粪量、粪便中氮、磷和钾含量的最
    佳因子,并建立了预测肉鸡日排粪量、粪便中氮、磷和钾含量的若干经验模
    型,经检验这些模型可靠性较高。
     首次提出以日龄为预测因子,并分别建立了肉鸡日龄与排粪量、粪便中
    氮、磷、钾含量的一元回归方程,回归关系显著。进一步用日龄代替体重结
    合其它因子进行了拟合,得到可靠性较高的、更为实用的多元预测排粪量和
    粪便中氮含量的模型。以可靠、经济、简单、实用为原则,从众多模型中,
    
    
     论文摘要
     选出了预测排粪量、粪便中氮和磷含量的最佳模型,对模型进行的验证表明
     预测值和试验值一致性较好。
     针对基于理化指标检测技术手段的快速测定法进行了研究。采集了20个
     肉鸡粪便样本,对其粪便比重和电导率与其中肥料成分含量的相关关系进行
     了研究。结果表明:用比重可以较准确预测出粪便中磷的含量,用电导率可
     以较准确预测出粪便中按态氮和钾的含量。此外,还对稀释对溶液电导率的
     影响进行了试验验证,结果发现:稀释对溶液电导率影响显著。
     最后,本文对畜禽粪便肥料成分含量预测研究今后的改进和研究方向提
     出了建议。
Aim at the current situation of serious environmental pollution caused by
     intensive husbandry, the author discussed the necessity and possibility of realizing
     organic agriculture in China, and elucidated that disposal of livestock manure to
     agricultural land is the most economical and environmental sound solution for
     organic agriculture. It was required to estimate the nutrient contents in animal
     manure for utilizing animal manure as a resource.
    
     There are two methods for estimating the nutrient contents in animal manure. The
     first one is rapid tests based on the testing technology of physical-mechanical
     characteristics, and the second one is mathematical model. This paper reviewed
     the two methods separately and discussed the further study at the same time.
     Quick tests could estimate the nutrient contents rapidly by constructing the
     relationships between the physical-mechanical characteristics and total nitrogen,
     phosphorus~ potassium and ammonium contents in animal manure, and then
     testing these physical-mechanical characteristics, such as specific gravity,
     conductivity and dry matter, etc. According to some independences, such as
     dietary intake, liveweight, etc, the nutrient contents in animal manure could be
     estimated rapidly and accurately through the calculation of the mathematical
     model.
    
     The two methods, which are more convenient, rapid and low-priced, compared
     with the conventional lab analysis, will save a great lot of human and material
     resources when put them into practice, and have important theoretical and applied
     values for promoting to use animal manure scientifically and fulfilling the
     sustainable agriculture.
    
     Studied the mathematical model method, which is based on the data of poultry and
     the formulation of their dietary intake. By theoretical analyzing the influential
     factors of the volume and nutrient contents of animal manure, the independences
     of the model were selected and they were animal type, age, liveweight, feed input,
     dry matter intake, N, P and K intake, dry matter output and slurry output. Broiler
    
    
     -Iv -
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
     experiment was carried out from which a large number of data were obtained. By
     regression analysis, the most important factors for estimating the volume and N, P,
     K contents of broiler manure were attained. A series of empirical model were
     developed. It was tested that these models were reasonably reliable.
    
    
     Using animal age as a predictive independence was presented for the first time.
     Simple equations of using broiler age as an independence were developed
     separately, and the regression relationships were highly significant. Combining
     age and other factors instead of liveweight attained multiple equations, which are
     more reliable and useful. Selected the most reliable, economical, simple and
     useful models. The results of the estimation were identical with the experiment
     results on the whole.
    
    
     Studied the rapid tests method, which is based on the testing technology of
     physical-mechanical characteristics. 20 broiler slurry samples were collected for
     the purpose of studying the relationships between specific gravity, conductivity
     and the nutrients in animal manure. According to the results of regression
     analysis~ specific gravity can estimate the P contents in animal manure, and
     conductivity can estimate the ~ and K contents precisely. Besides, the
     influence of dilution to the conductivity of the solutions was tested. The
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