基于DEMATEL-ANP的战略性新兴产业创新能力评价研究
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摘要
战略性新兴产业已悄然成为新时代经济社会发展的"领头羊"。针对战略性新兴产业的特征和发展现状,建立战略性新兴产业创新能力评价DEMATEL-ANP模型,在厘清复杂指标之间的网络关系基础上确定指标的权重,综合决策试行与评价实验室(DEMATEL)和网络层次分析法(ANP)两种方法计算得出指标的混合权重,并以云南省战略性新兴产业2016年度的数据为例实证分析其创新能力。研究结果显示:管理创新能力和技术创新能力对战略性新兴产业的创新能力起到关键性作用,管理创新能力和制度创新能力在创新过程中影响产业技术和市场的创新。
Strategic emerging industries have quietly become the leader in economic and social development in the new era. According to the characteristics and development status of strategic emerging industries, this paper establishes a DEMATEL-ANP model for evaluation of innovation ability of strategic emerging industries, determines the weight of indexes on the basis of clarifying the network relationship between complex indexes, and calculates the mixed weight of indexes by means of comprehensive decision trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL) and network analytic hierarchy process(ANP). The innovation ability of strategic emerging industries in Yunnan Province is empirically analyzed by taking the data of strategic emerging industries in Yunnan Province in 2016 as an example. The results show that management innovation ability and technological innovation ability play a key role in the innovation ability of strategic emerging industries, and management innovation ability and institutional innovation ability affect the innovation of industrial technology and market in the process of innovation.
Strategic emerging industries have quietly become the leader in economic and social development in the new era. According to the characteristics and development status of strategic emerging industries, this paper establishes a DEMATEL-ANP model for evaluation of innovation ability of strategic emerging industries, determines the weight of indexes on the basis of clarifying the network relationship between complex indexes, and calculates the mixed weight of indexes by means of comprehensive decision trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL) and network analytic hierarchy process(ANP). The innovation ability of strategic emerging industries in Yunnan Province is empirically analyzed by taking the data of strategic emerging industries in Yunnan Province in 2016 as an example. The results show that management innovation ability and technological innovation ability play a key role in the innovation ability of strategic emerging industries, and management innovation ability and institutional innovation ability affect the innovation of industrial technology and market in the process of innovation.
引文
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[28]曹兴,张伟,张云.战略性新兴产业自主创新能力测度与评价[J].中南大学学报(社会科学版),2017,23(1):101-109.
[29]夏维力,吕晓强.基于BP神经网络的企业技术创新能力评价及应用研究[J].研究与发展管理,2005,17(1):50-54,72.
[30]宁连举,李萌.基于因子分析法构建大中型工业企业技术创新能力评价模型[J].科研管理,2011,32(3):51-58.
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[32]欧阳峰,曾靖.基于主成分-粗糙集方法的战略性新兴产业创新驱动绩效评价:以战略性新兴产业上市公司为样本[J].工业技术经济,2015(12):30-39.
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[34]乔虹.产业创新能力的测度与评价[J].统计与决策,2016(23):127-129.
[35]STATA R. Organizational learning:the key to management innovation[J].Sloan Management Review, 1989,30(3):63-74.
[36]BENGHOZI P J. Managing innovation:from ad hoc to routine in french telecom[J]. Organization Studies, 1990(11):531-554.
[37]YAM R C M, GUAN J C, PUN K F, et al. An audit of technological innovation capabilities in Chinese firms:some empirical findings in Beijing, China[J].Research Policy, 2004,33(8):1123-1250.
[38]BURGELMAN R, CHRISTENSEN C, WHEELWRIGHT S. Strategic management of technology and innovation[M].New York:Mc Graw-Hill, 2008:748-772.
[39]曹洪军,赵翔,黄少坚.企业自主创新能力评价体系研究[J].中国工业经济,2009(9):105-114.
[40]崔总合,杨梅.企业技术创新能力评价指标体系构建研究[J].科技进步与对策,2012,29(7):139-141.
[41]王晓辉,林琳.中小企业管理创新关键因素研究[J].财经问题研究,2011(11):104-108.
[42]蒋振威,王平.海南区域技术创新能力评价与空间差异性分析:基于2009—2014年海南18个市县面板数据[J].经济地理,2016,36(11):24-30.
[43]CARAYANNIS E G, PROVINCE M. Measuring firm innovativeness:towards a composite innovation index built on firm innovative posture, propensity and performance attributes[J].Innovation and Regional Development, 2008,1(1):90-107.
[44]魏江,黄学.高技术服务业创新能力评价指标体系研究[J].科研管理,2015,36(12):9-16.
[45]杜丹丽,曾小春.速度特征视角的我国高新技术企业创新能力动态综合评价研究[J].科研管理,2017,38(7):44-53.
[46]ZHOU K Z, YIM C K, TSE D K.The effects of strategic orientations on technology and market-based breakthrough innovations[J].Journal of Marketing, 2005,69(2):42-60.
[47]BENNER M J, TUSHMAN M L. Exploitation,exploration,and process management:the productivity dilemma revisited[J].The Academy of Management Review, 2003,28(2):238-256.
[48]易将能,刘丽文,李纪珍.基于ANP的区域企业创新能力建设分析[J].研究与发展管理,2008,20(2):23-27.
[49]郭新宝.制造创新方法链中市场创新、技术创新与管理创新三维协同研究[J].科技进步与对策,2014,31(10):15-18.
[50]刘英基.高技术产业技术创新、制度创新与产业高端化协同发展研究:基于复合系统协同度模型的实证分析[J].科技进步与对策,2015,32(2):66-72.
[51]向刚,李兴宽,章胜平.创新型企业评价指标体系研究[J].科技管理研究,2009(6):122-124.
[52]GABUS A, FONTELA E. World problems,an invitation to further thought within the framework of DEMATEL[R].Geneva:Battelle Geneva Research Centre, 1973.
[53]唐丽艳,周建林,王国红.基于DEMATEL-ANP的产学研集成创新评价研究:以大连双D港企业为例[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2013,34(12):87-96.
[54]SAATY T L. Decision making-the analytic hierarchy and network processes(AHP/ANP)[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 2004,13(1):1-35.
[2]工业和信息化部赛迪研究院.2018年中国战略性新兴产业展望[J].高科技与产业化,2018(1):12-17.
[3]赫希曼.经济发展战略[M].北京:经济科学出版社,1991:57-58.
[4]ROSTOW W W. The stages of economic growth:a non-communist manifesto[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 1991:51-54.
[5]PORTER M E. Competitive strategy techniques for analyzing industries and competitors[M].New York:Free Press, 1980:120-125.
[6]LOW M B, ABRAHAMSON E. Movements, bandwagons and clones:industry evolution and the entrepreneurial process[J].Journal of Business Venturing, 1997,12(6):435-457.
[7]ERICKCEK G A, WATTS B R. Emerging industries:looking beyond the usual suspects:a report to WIRED[R].Kalamazoo:W.E.Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 2007:4-5.
[8]XIAO Q, MARINO L D, ZHUANG W.A situated perspective of entrepreneurial learning:implications for entrepreneurial innovation propensity[J].Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship, 2010,22(1):69-89.
[9]JIANG L, TAN J, THURSBY M.Incumbent firm invention in emerging fields:evidence from the semiconductor industry[J].Strategic Management Journal, 2011,32(1):55-75.
[10]HUANG Y, SWAMIDASS P, RAJU D A. The nature of innovation in emerging industries in China:an exploratory study[J].Journal of Technology Transfer, 2016,41(3):451-468.
[11]姜大鹏,顾新.我国战略性新兴产业的现状分析[J].科技进步与对策,2010,27(17):65-70.
[12]HE Z C, WU Y. Assessment index system and evaluating model of strategic emerging industries[J].Studies in Science of Science,2011,29(5):678-684.
[13]林学军.战略性新兴产业的发展与形成模式研究[J].中国软科学,2012(2):26-34.
[14]康健.资源获取视角下战略性新兴产业创新能力提升[J].科研管理,2017,38(增刊):39-45.
[15]CASTELLACCI F, NATERA J M.The dynamics of national innovation systems:a panel cointegration analysis of the coevolution between innovative capability and absorptive capacity[J].Research Policy, 2013,42(3):579-594.
[16]温晓慧,黄海洋,王晓珍,等.生物医药产业创新能力评价指标体系构建[J].科技管理研究,2016(13):42-46,52.
[17]DOLATA U.Technological innovations and sectoral change:transformative capacity, adaptability, patterns of change:an analytical framework[J].Research Policy,2009,38(6):1066-1076.
[18]孙晓华,周玲玲.企业异质性与产业创新能力:基于我国36个工业行业的实证检验[J].产业经济研究,2010(4):9-15.
[19]孙晓华,李传杰.有效需求规模、双重需求结构与产业创新能力:来自中国装备制造业的证据[J].科研管理,2010,31(1):93-103.
[20]赵志耘,杨朝峰.转型时期中国高技术产业创新能力实证研究[J].中国软科学,2013(1):32-42.
[21]刘继兵,王琪,马环宇.制度环境对战略性新兴产业创新能力的影响[J].科技进步与对策,2015,32(23):53-61.
[22]LAI W H, LIN C C, WANG T C.Exploring the interoperability of innovation capability and corporate sustainability[J].Journal of Business Research, 2015,68(4):867-871.
[23]纪国涛,吕富彪.辽宁省装备制造业产业创新能力提升对策研究[J].科学管理研究,2017,35(2):66-69.
[24]逯东,朱丽.市场化程度、战略性新兴产业政策与企业创新[J].产业经济研究,2018(2):65-77.
[25]孙早,宋炜.战略性新兴产业自主创新能力评测:以企业为主体的产业创新指标体系构建[J].经济管理,2012,34(8):20-30.
[26]张清华,郭淑芬,黄志建.我国重点领域创新力评估研究:以信息、能源为例[J].科学管理研究,2015(6):1-4.
[27]董登珍,吴翠,龚明.湖北省战略性新兴产业自主创新能力评价研究[J].科技进步与对策,2016,3(12):143-147.
[28]曹兴,张伟,张云.战略性新兴产业自主创新能力测度与评价[J].中南大学学报(社会科学版),2017,23(1):101-109.
[29]夏维力,吕晓强.基于BP神经网络的企业技术创新能力评价及应用研究[J].研究与发展管理,2005,17(1):50-54,72.
[30]宁连举,李萌.基于因子分析法构建大中型工业企业技术创新能力评价模型[J].科研管理,2011,32(3):51-58.
[31]张治河,潘晶晶,李鹏.战略性新兴产业创新能力评价、演化及规律探索[J].科研管理,2015,36(3):1-12.
[32]欧阳峰,曾靖.基于主成分-粗糙集方法的战略性新兴产业创新驱动绩效评价:以战略性新兴产业上市公司为样本[J].工业技术经济,2015(12):30-39.
[33]刘晖,刘轶芳,乔晗,等.我国战略性新兴产业技术创新效率研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2015,35(9):2296-2302.
[34]乔虹.产业创新能力的测度与评价[J].统计与决策,2016(23):127-129.
[35]STATA R. Organizational learning:the key to management innovation[J].Sloan Management Review, 1989,30(3):63-74.
[36]BENGHOZI P J. Managing innovation:from ad hoc to routine in french telecom[J]. Organization Studies, 1990(11):531-554.
[37]YAM R C M, GUAN J C, PUN K F, et al. An audit of technological innovation capabilities in Chinese firms:some empirical findings in Beijing, China[J].Research Policy, 2004,33(8):1123-1250.
[38]BURGELMAN R, CHRISTENSEN C, WHEELWRIGHT S. Strategic management of technology and innovation[M].New York:Mc Graw-Hill, 2008:748-772.
[39]曹洪军,赵翔,黄少坚.企业自主创新能力评价体系研究[J].中国工业经济,2009(9):105-114.
[40]崔总合,杨梅.企业技术创新能力评价指标体系构建研究[J].科技进步与对策,2012,29(7):139-141.
[41]王晓辉,林琳.中小企业管理创新关键因素研究[J].财经问题研究,2011(11):104-108.
[42]蒋振威,王平.海南区域技术创新能力评价与空间差异性分析:基于2009—2014年海南18个市县面板数据[J].经济地理,2016,36(11):24-30.
[43]CARAYANNIS E G, PROVINCE M. Measuring firm innovativeness:towards a composite innovation index built on firm innovative posture, propensity and performance attributes[J].Innovation and Regional Development, 2008,1(1):90-107.
[44]魏江,黄学.高技术服务业创新能力评价指标体系研究[J].科研管理,2015,36(12):9-16.
[45]杜丹丽,曾小春.速度特征视角的我国高新技术企业创新能力动态综合评价研究[J].科研管理,2017,38(7):44-53.
[46]ZHOU K Z, YIM C K, TSE D K.The effects of strategic orientations on technology and market-based breakthrough innovations[J].Journal of Marketing, 2005,69(2):42-60.
[47]BENNER M J, TUSHMAN M L. Exploitation,exploration,and process management:the productivity dilemma revisited[J].The Academy of Management Review, 2003,28(2):238-256.
[48]易将能,刘丽文,李纪珍.基于ANP的区域企业创新能力建设分析[J].研究与发展管理,2008,20(2):23-27.
[49]郭新宝.制造创新方法链中市场创新、技术创新与管理创新三维协同研究[J].科技进步与对策,2014,31(10):15-18.
[50]刘英基.高技术产业技术创新、制度创新与产业高端化协同发展研究:基于复合系统协同度模型的实证分析[J].科技进步与对策,2015,32(2):66-72.
[51]向刚,李兴宽,章胜平.创新型企业评价指标体系研究[J].科技管理研究,2009(6):122-124.
[52]GABUS A, FONTELA E. World problems,an invitation to further thought within the framework of DEMATEL[R].Geneva:Battelle Geneva Research Centre, 1973.
[53]唐丽艳,周建林,王国红.基于DEMATEL-ANP的产学研集成创新评价研究:以大连双D港企业为例[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2013,34(12):87-96.
[54]SAATY T L. Decision making-the analytic hierarchy and network processes(AHP/ANP)[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 2004,13(1):1-35.
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