面向多任务的武器装备体系贡献度评估方法
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摘要
在国防预算有限的前提下,武器装备体系贡献率评估应该考虑成本因素的影响。基于作战环理论提出了考虑成本因素的面向多任务的体系贡献率评估方法。首先,构建了武器装备的能力指标体系,给出了考虑成本的武器装备贡献率评估框架;其次,基于作战环建立武器装备体系作战能力评估模型,结合成本因素,引入区间数的概念,提出了面向多任务的体系贡献率评估方法;然后,利用区间数比较的方法,根据装备面向多任务的贡献率,对装备进行优先发展排序;最后,以海上作战装备体系为示例,应用本文提出的评估方法,为武器装备的优先发展规划提供决策支持。
Under the premise of limited defense budget,a system contribution rate evaluation method based on the operational loop theory for multi-task considering the influence of cost factors on contribution rate is proposed.Firstly,the capability index system is established and the equipment contribution rate evaluation framework is put forward.Secondly,the weaponry system of system combat capability evaluation model based on the operational loop is established.It is noteworthy that cost factor has been taken into account.Introducing the concept of interval number,a multi-task oriented contribution rate evaluation method for weapon equipment system of system is proposed.Then,the ranking result of development equipment is obtained according to the contribution rate.Finally,taking the maritime warfare as an example,the evaluation method proposed is applied to providing decision support for equipment development.
Under the premise of limited defense budget,a system contribution rate evaluation method based on the operational loop theory for multi-task considering the influence of cost factors on contribution rate is proposed.Firstly,the capability index system is established and the equipment contribution rate evaluation framework is put forward.Secondly,the weaponry system of system combat capability evaluation model based on the operational loop is established.It is noteworthy that cost factor has been taken into account.Introducing the concept of interval number,a multi-task oriented contribution rate evaluation method for weapon equipment system of system is proposed.Then,the ranking result of development equipment is obtained according to the contribution rate.Finally,taking the maritime warfare as an example,the evaluation method proposed is applied to providing decision support for equipment development.
引文
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[21]樊延平,郭齐胜,王金良.面向任务的装备体系作战能力需求满足度分析方法[J].系统工程与电子技术,2016,38(8):1826-1832.FAN Y P,GUO Q S,WANG J L.Task-oriented requirement satisfactory degree analysis method for combat capability of equipment system of systems[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2016,38(8):1826-1832.
[22]吴诗辉,解江,刘晓东,等.装备研制项目的模糊挣值管理方法[J].航空学报,2017,38(2):1-15.WU S H,XIE J,LIU X D,et al.Method of fuzzy earned value management for weapon equipment development project[J].Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica,2017,38(2):1-15.
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[24]YANG C C.Correlation coefficient evaluation for the fuzzy interval data[J].Journal of Business Research,2016,69(6):2138-2144.
[25]ZHU X Z,KUANG D,GU J,et al.Research on operational effectiveness evaluation based on interval number and grey decision making[J].Advanced Materials Research,2014,912:1702-1705.
[26]GU Y D,ZHANG S J,ZHANG M M.Interval number comparison and decision making based on priority degree[M].International Conference on Oriental Thinking and Fuzzy Logic,2016.
[27]JIANG C,HANA X,LIU G P.A nonlinear interval number programming method for uncertain optimization problems[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2008,188(1):1-13.
[28]RAMN N,RUIZ J L,SIRVENT I.Dominance relations and ranking of units by using interval number ordering with crossefficiency intervals[J].Journal of the Operational Research Society,2014,65(9):1336-1343.
[29]JIANG C,HAN X,LIU G P.A nonlinear interval number programming method for uncertain optimization problems[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2008,188(1):1-13.
[30]HU J,YAN Z,CHEN X,et al.Multi-criteria decision making method based on possibility degree of interval type-2fuzzy number[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2013,43(2):21-29.
[31]LAN J B,LIU F.A new tow-dimensional definition of possibility degree for interval numbers[J].Mathematics in Practice&Theory,2007,24:119-123.
[2]陈文英,张兵志,史力晨,等.新型智能装甲作战系统体系贡献率评估研究[J].兵工学报,2018,39(9):1841-1849.CHEN W Y,ZHANG B Z,SHI L C,et al.Research on evaluation of contribution rate of a new intelligent armoured combat system to army weapon system-of-systems[J].Acta Armamentarii,2018,39(9):1841-1849.
[3]CHENG C,LI J,ZHAO Q,et al.Research on weapon system portfolio selection based on combat network modeling[C]∥Proc.of the Annual IEEE International Systems Conference,2017:33-38
[4]杨雪,董爱,赵文婷,等.防空导弹武器系统体系贡献度研究[J].现代防御技术,2018,46(3):1-9.YANG X,DONG A,ZHAO W T,et al.System contribution rate of the antiaircraft missile weapon[J].Modern Defense Technology,2018,46(3):1-9.
[5]李怡勇,李智,管清波,等.武器装备体系贡献度评估刍议与示例[J].装备学院学报,2015,26(4):5-10.LI Y Y,LI Z,GUAN Q B,et al.Discussion and demonstration on contribution evaluation of weapon equipment system[J].Journal of Equipment Academy,2015,26(4):5-10.
[6]李际超,杨克巍,张小可,等.基于武器装备体系作战网络模型的装备贡献度评估[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2016,13(3):1-7.LI J C,YANG K W,ZHANG X K,et al.Equipment contribution degree evaluation method based on combat network of weapon system-of-systems[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2016,13(3):1-7.
[7]LI J,TAN Y J,YANG K W,et al.Structural robustness of combat networks of weapon system-of-systems based on the operation loop[J].International Journal of Systems Science,2016,48(3):659-674.
[8]王飞,司光亚.武器装备体系能力贡献度的解析与度量方法[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2016,30(3):10-15.WANG F,SI G Y.Analysis and measurement of the contribution ability of weapon equipment system capability[J].Military Operations Research and System Engineering,2016,30(3):10-15.
[9]赵丹玲,谭跃进,李际超,等.基于作战环的武器装备体系贡献度评估[J].系统工程与电子技术,2017,39(10):2239-2247.ZHAO D L,TAN Y J,LI J C,et al.Armament system of systems contribution evaluation based on operation loop[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2017,39(10):2239-2247.
[10]夏维,刘新学,孟少飞,等.ADC改进模型评估导弹武器系统效能[J].现代防御技术,2017,45(1):28-35.XIA W,LIU X X,MENG S F,et al.Effectiveness evaluation of missile weapon system based on ADC improved model[J].Modern Defense Technology,2017,45(1):28-35.
[11]GAO J,YUE L,DONG J.The credibility research of capability index system for weapon equipment SOS[C]∥Proc.of the IEEE International Conference on Cloud Computing&Intelligent Systems,2013:78-83.
[12]辜磊,王书宁,赵峰.基于期望效能的武器装备体系能力规划模型[J].系统工程与电子技术,2017,39(2):329-334.GU L,WANG S N,ZHAO F.Weapon system of systems capability planning model based on expected effectiveness[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2017,39(2):329-334.
[13]DOU J H,YU J X,LIU X M,et al.A new operational capability evaluation method for ship-to-air missile weapon system[J].Advanced Science Letters,2012,12(1):446-450.
[14]JIANG J,LI X,ZHOU Z J,et al.Weapon system capability assessment under uncertainty based on the evident reasoning approach[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2011,38(11):13773-13784.
[15]谭跃进,杨克巍,赵青松,等.基于作战环的武器装备体系作战网络作战效能评估方法[P].CN105306248A,2016.TAN Y J,YANG K W,ZHAO Q S,et al.Combat effectiveness evaluation method for combat network of weapon equipment system based on combat loop[P].CN105306248A,2016.
[16]SHU Z,JIA Q,LI X,et al.An OODA loop-based function network modeling and simulation evaluation method for combat system-of-systems[C]∥Proc.of the Asian Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference,2016:393-402.
[17]李大亮,王付明,高志同.基于OODA环的信息化战场信息安全保障SD建模分析[J].指挥控制与仿真,2016,38(3):33-38.LI D L,WANG F M,GAO Z T.SD modeling analysis in information security assurance process of informational battlefield based on OODA loop[J].Command Control&Simulation,2016,38(3):33-38.
[18]CARES J R,DICKMANN J Q.Operations research for unmanned systems[M].New York:Wiley,2016.
[19]GAO D,HUANG J,YU H,et al.Research on combat SDmodel based on OODA loop[C]∥Proc.of the International Conference on Information Science&Control Engineering,2015:707-711.
[20]刘国泰,王锐华,刘靖旭.指挥信息系统能力需求满足度评估模型[J].中国电子科学研究院学报,2014,9(6):603-607.LIU G T,WANG R H,LIU J X.Capacity needs evaluation model of command information system based on satisfaction[J].Journal of China Academy of Electronics and Information Technology,2014,9(6):603-607.
[21]樊延平,郭齐胜,王金良.面向任务的装备体系作战能力需求满足度分析方法[J].系统工程与电子技术,2016,38(8):1826-1832.FAN Y P,GUO Q S,WANG J L.Task-oriented requirement satisfactory degree analysis method for combat capability of equipment system of systems[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2016,38(8):1826-1832.
[22]吴诗辉,解江,刘晓东,等.装备研制项目的模糊挣值管理方法[J].航空学报,2017,38(2):1-15.WU S H,XIE J,LIU X D,et al.Method of fuzzy earned value management for weapon equipment development project[J].Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica,2017,38(2):1-15.
[23]WU Y,XU H,XU C,et al.Uncertain multi-attributes decision making method based on interval number with probability distribution weighted operators and stochastic dominance degree[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2016,113:199-209.
[24]YANG C C.Correlation coefficient evaluation for the fuzzy interval data[J].Journal of Business Research,2016,69(6):2138-2144.
[25]ZHU X Z,KUANG D,GU J,et al.Research on operational effectiveness evaluation based on interval number and grey decision making[J].Advanced Materials Research,2014,912:1702-1705.
[26]GU Y D,ZHANG S J,ZHANG M M.Interval number comparison and decision making based on priority degree[M].International Conference on Oriental Thinking and Fuzzy Logic,2016.
[27]JIANG C,HANA X,LIU G P.A nonlinear interval number programming method for uncertain optimization problems[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2008,188(1):1-13.
[28]RAMN N,RUIZ J L,SIRVENT I.Dominance relations and ranking of units by using interval number ordering with crossefficiency intervals[J].Journal of the Operational Research Society,2014,65(9):1336-1343.
[29]JIANG C,HAN X,LIU G P.A nonlinear interval number programming method for uncertain optimization problems[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2008,188(1):1-13.
[30]HU J,YAN Z,CHEN X,et al.Multi-criteria decision making method based on possibility degree of interval type-2fuzzy number[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2013,43(2):21-29.
[31]LAN J B,LIU F.A new tow-dimensional definition of possibility degree for interval numbers[J].Mathematics in Practice&Theory,2007,24:119-123.
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