• 责任者：Su Youjin (Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province ; Kunming 650224 ; China) ; Li Zhonghua
• 刊名：Journal of Seismological Research
• 出版年：2011
• 卷期：34(1)
• 关键词：强震 ; strong earthquakes ; 云南 ; Yunnan Province
• 页码：p.1-7
• 图表：5 illus., 1 table, 14 refs.
• 分类号：0500
• 出版序号：20120092
• issnNo：ISSN1000-0666
• isbnNo：CN53-1062/P

The interval distribution features of the earthquakes with M≥6.0, M≥6.5 and M≥7.0 occurred from 1900 to 2009 in Yunnan region are systematically analyzed in this paper. Based on the G-R relation and Poisson model, the probability model of the earthquakes with M≥6.0, M≥6.5 and M≥7.0 are built by using the M≥5.0 earthquake catalogs. Then, the three-grade, prediction-warning indexes (C(yellow), B(orange), A(red))for the earthquakes with M≥6.0, M≥6.5 and M≥7.0 are developed on the basis of the interval features and the probability model.