摘要
应用随机函数理论 ,将区域地震活动能量看作是空间和时间的随机函数 ,采用自然正交函数展开的分析方法 ,对宁夏及邻近地区小地震活动场的特征进行了研究 .重点分析了场的主要部分 ,即前几个典型场的时间“权重”系数的时间变化 ,发现它们在中强地震发生前数值有较大幅度的升、降变化 ,显示出了与区域及其周围中强地震相关的变化特性 .从宁夏地区的震例看 ,地震能量随机场的自然正交函数展开方法是一种值得探索的地震分析预测方法 .
The random function theory is used in the paper. Taking the regional seismicity energy as the random function of space and time, the features of small seismicity field in Ningxia and its neighborhood region are studied by the analytical method of natural orthogonal function expansion. The chief part of the field, i.e., the temporal changes of time "weight" coefficients of first several typical fields is analyzed. We have found that their values had upward and downward changes of a large amplitude before moderate-strong earthquakes and showed variation features correlating to moderate-strong earthquakes occurred in the region and its surrounding areas. From the earthquake examples in Ningxia region, we can make the conclusion that the method of natural orthogonal function expansion of earthquake energy stochastic field is an earthquake analysis and prediction method that is worth further exploration.
引文
马开玉,丁裕国,屠其璞,等.1993.气候统计原理与方法[M ].北京:气象出版社,277
КазакевичДИ著.1971;章基嘉译.1974.随机函数论原理及其在水文气象学中的应用[M ].北京:科学出版社,245