信息数字化在地震预测中的应用研究
详细信息 本馆镜像全文    |  推荐本文 | | 获取馆网全文
摘要
鉴于地震是变化事件而展示信息变化的过程性,本工作对"5.12"汶川8.0级地震和2011年3月23日茂县4.0级地震相继按地热的变化信息和"时序性"变化信息进行了数字化分析。分析结果表明,应用此方法展示了地震前后信息变化的过程性(演变)的特征(差异性),为改善地震预测或预防提供了一种方法,同时"地热"可以作为地震分析、预测的重要信息。
Earthquakes are change events,so they display the process of information' s change.This paper analyzes change information of geothermic and time-series information that are relative to Wenchuan Ms8.0 and Maoxian Ms 4.0 Earthquakes by the data of sounding observation every 08h and 20h per day from China Meteorological Administration and the minutes observation data of the wellhead temperature in Qionglai,Chengdu,by using the method of information digitization.The result shows the recognizable differentiation of the change process before and after the earthquake analyzed by the digital method,provides an analytic method for the improvement of earthquake prediction and shows geothermic information can be used as an important information to analyze or predict earthquake.
引文
[1]欧阳首承,D H麦克内尔,林益(美).走进非规则[M].北京:气象出版社.2002.
    [2]欧阳首承,陈刚毅,林益(美),信息数字化与预测[M].北京:气象出版社.2009.
    [3]陈刚毅,陆雅君,减灾防灾与“能量需贸有空间”对策[J].中国工程学,2011,13(2),98-102.
    [4]Gangyi Chen(陈刚毅),B.L.OuYang,T.Y.Peng,System Stability and Instability:An Extended Discussion on Significance and Function of Stirring Energy Conservation Law[J].Engineering Sciences,2005,3(3).
    [5]林益(美),欧阳首承.Irregularities and Prediction of Major Disasters,CRC Press(美),2010,ISBN:978-1-4200-8741-3。
    [6]欧阳首承,陈刚毅.演化科学与数字化问题[J].现代学术研究杂志,2007,1(5).

版权所有:© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心