中国部分省级城市地震危险度排名评述
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摘要
《中国国家地理》2008年6期刊载的《中国部分省级城市地震危险度排名》引起社会巨大反响,相应提高了社会公众对于地震风险的警觉。文章提到影响地震危险度的3方面因素(导致灾害的强度因子、承灾体的脆弱性指数和响应能力)比较全面。但是中国部分省级城市地震危险度排名的数据不是来源于已经发表的学术论文,而是一篇硕士学位论文。分析表明:地震危险度和城市近源等效震级无关;脆弱性因子没有考虑抗震能力;响应能力也不包括疏散和救援力量等因素。因此认为《中国部分省级城市地震危险度排名》文章的文字表述与图件的数据依据之间存在显著差别,中国部分省级城市地震危险度排名缺乏足够的科学性和严谨性。
"The Earthquake Risk Degree Ranking of Some Chinese provincial capitals",published in Chinese National Geography(CNG)(Jun.2008),brings great social response and causes the public paying more attention to earthquake risk.The three factors to influence the city earthquake risk degree in this paper,which is Intensity factor of causing disaster,vulnerability index of hazard bearing bodies and response ability index respectively,is relatively comprehensive,however,the datum used is not from published academic paper but from a master degree thesis.Study shows that the earthquake risk degree is irrelevant to equivalent magnitude of near source earthquake,the vulnerability factor should consider aseismic capability,and the response ability should not include the factors of evacuation and rescue force,etc.Thus,the expression in the paper is inconsistent with its chart datum.So we believe that the paper lacks scientific and rigorous demonstration.
"The Earthquake Risk Degree Ranking of Some Chinese provincial capitals",published in Chinese National Geography(CNG)(Jun.2008),brings great social response and causes the public paying more attention to earthquake risk.The three factors to influence the city earthquake risk degree in this paper,which is Intensity factor of causing disaster,vulnerability index of hazard bearing bodies and response ability index respectively,is relatively comprehensive,however,the datum used is not from published academic paper but from a master degree thesis.Study shows that the earthquake risk degree is irrelevant to equivalent magnitude of near source earthquake,the vulnerability factor should consider aseismic capability,and the response ability should not include the factors of evacuation and rescue force,etc.Thus,the expression in the paper is inconsistent with its chart datum.So we believe that the paper lacks scientific and rigorous demonstration.
引文
[1]《中国国家地理》编辑部,中国部分省级城市地震危险度排名[J].中国国家地理,2008(总572),122-124.
[2]国家质量监督检验检疫总局.中华人民共和国国家标准地震动参数区划图[S].GB18306-2001.
[3]国家质量技术监督局.中华人民共和国国家标准工程场地地震安全性评价[S].GB17741-2005.
[4]徐伟,王静爱,史培军,周俊华.中国城市地震灾害危险度评价[J].自然灾害学报,2004(2),9-15.
[5]徐伟.中国城市地震危险度评价(硕士学位论文)[D].北京:北京师范大学,2004.
[2]国家质量监督检验检疫总局.中华人民共和国国家标准地震动参数区划图[S].GB18306-2001.
[3]国家质量技术监督局.中华人民共和国国家标准工程场地地震安全性评价[S].GB17741-2005.
[4]徐伟,王静爱,史培军,周俊华.中国城市地震灾害危险度评价[J].自然灾害学报,2004(2),9-15.
[5]徐伟.中国城市地震危险度评价(硕士学位论文)[D].北京:北京师范大学,2004.
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