关于地震预测体系构建的可能性及验证

英文篇名：Probability and Verification of Constructing an Earthquake Predicting System
中文刊名：陕西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
英文刊名：Journal of Shaanxi Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
作者：延军平 ; 闫娜
英文作者：YAN Jun-ping ; YAN Na(College of Tourism and Environment ; Shaanxi Normal University ; Xian 710062 ; Shaanxi)
中文关键词：地震预测体系 ; 地震预报 ; 数学预测方法 ; 物理预测方法 ; 可公度法
英文关键词：system of earthquake prediction ; forecasting of earthquake ; means of mathematic prediction ; means of physical prediction ; officially-measurable means
出版日期：2008-09-05
机构：陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;
年：2008
期：05
出版单位：陕西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)

摘要

对于地震物理机理预测预报的世界难题,可按照由表及里逐步逼近的思路,探讨构建地震预测圈层结构的可能性。应逐步建立和完善地震预测体系,以地震数学分析预测方法补充和完善物理预测方法。可应用可公度方法进行我国某地地震趋势探索研究,以获得更多数学预测方法的实证结果。
Prediction and forecasting of the physical mechanism of earthquake is one of the worldwide hard nuts.Exploring probability of predicting the structure of earthquake-generating circular hierarchy should follow a steadily-advancing approach from outside to inside.The system of earthquake prediction is to be gradually established and completed by supplementing and perfecting physical prediction with mathematic prediction.With the application of officially-measurable means in investigating the tendency of earthquake in certain regions of our country,more results from mathematic and investigative earthquake prediction can be obtained.

引文

[1]徐一鸿.可畏的对称[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2005:136.