多参数无量纲地震前兆信息的最佳提取方法
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摘要
研究了提取多参数无量纲中、短、临地震前兆信息的4种数学方法，以1976年7月28日唐山7．8级地震周围250km内11个计算点的地下水位、水氡、地电阻率、地应力、定点水准、连通管、倾斜仪、伸缩仪和气温等9种资料为基础，计算多参数无量纳地震前兆信息。应用特尔裴方法评价4种方法的相对重要性，以选择出最佳方法。
After studying four mathematical methods of extracting the multiparamter non - dimensional precursor informaion of medium, short and impending earthquakes, based on the data of groundwater level,radon in groundwater, earth resistivity, crustal stress, fixed point leveling, connected pipe, clinometer,tensometer and air temperature from 1975 to 1977 at 11 computation points (stations), which were within the range of 250 km around epicenter of the M7. 8 Tangshan earthquake (1976. 7. 28 ), the multiparameter non - dimensional earthquake precursor information is calculated, and by use of Terfi's method the relative importance of four methods is evaluated so as to select the optimal scheme.
After studying four mathematical methods of extracting the multiparamter non - dimensional precursor informaion of medium, short and impending earthquakes, based on the data of groundwater level,radon in groundwater, earth resistivity, crustal stress, fixed point leveling, connected pipe, clinometer,tensometer and air temperature from 1975 to 1977 at 11 computation points (stations), which were within the range of 250 km around epicenter of the M7. 8 Tangshan earthquake (1976. 7. 28 ), the multiparameter non - dimensional earthquake precursor information is calculated, and by use of Terfi's method the relative importance of four methods is evaluated so as to select the optimal scheme.
引文
1陈有发.无量纲地震前兆信息的提取方法综述.地震科技情报,1995,(7):1-5
2陈有发,雷建设,董奇珍,丁卉,马钦忠.现行无量纲地震前兆信息提取方法的分析研究.华南地震, 1996,16(1) :1-9
3陈有发,陶淑芬,董奇珍,张原生,马钦忠.地震电性多参数中短临前兆信息的综合提取方法.地震学报,1994,16(增刊):142～147
4陈有发,苏明达,张勇利,赵家骝.地震危险区电磁多参数的综合观测与研究.中国地震,1994,10(增刊):56-62
5陈有发,董奇珍,马钦忠,王燕琼,丁卉,康好林.地电学预报地震的综合跟踪方法.中国地震,1994,10(4):405-413
6陈有发,雷建设,董奇珍,丁卉,马钦忠.提取多参数无量纳地震前兆信息的均方差方法的物理基础.西北地震学报,1995,17(4):23-30
7国家地震局《一九七六年唐山地震》编辑组.一九七六年唐山地震.北京:地震出版社,1982.201-227,246-314
8陈有发,地震孕育过程的扩展和地震地电阻率法的统计预报,华南地震, 1989,9(1)1-7
9陈有发,钱家栋。与地震孕育过程有关的地震地电阻率法的统计预报.见:地震预报方法实用化研究文集──地磁地电专辑,北京:地震出版社,1990,271-277
10国家科委科技政策局编,软科学的崛起──软科学研究方法.北京:地震出版社,1988.240-248
2陈有发,雷建设,董奇珍,丁卉,马钦忠.现行无量纲地震前兆信息提取方法的分析研究.华南地震, 1996,16(1) :1-9
3陈有发,陶淑芬,董奇珍,张原生,马钦忠.地震电性多参数中短临前兆信息的综合提取方法.地震学报,1994,16(增刊):142～147
4陈有发,苏明达,张勇利,赵家骝.地震危险区电磁多参数的综合观测与研究.中国地震,1994,10(增刊):56-62
5陈有发,董奇珍,马钦忠,王燕琼,丁卉,康好林.地电学预报地震的综合跟踪方法.中国地震,1994,10(4):405-413
6陈有发,雷建设,董奇珍,丁卉,马钦忠.提取多参数无量纳地震前兆信息的均方差方法的物理基础.西北地震学报,1995,17(4):23-30
7国家地震局《一九七六年唐山地震》编辑组.一九七六年唐山地震.北京:地震出版社,1982.201-227,246-314
8陈有发,地震孕育过程的扩展和地震地电阻率法的统计预报,华南地震, 1989,9(1)1-7
9陈有发,钱家栋。与地震孕育过程有关的地震地电阻率法的统计预报.见:地震预报方法实用化研究文集──地磁地电专辑,北京:地震出版社,1990,271-277
10国家科委科技政策局编,软科学的崛起──软科学研究方法.北京:地震出版社,1988.240-248
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