公共转移支付的减贫效应:文献述评与研究展望
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摘要
目前国内外学者主要从公共转移支付的减贫效果、激励机制、瞄准情况和"挤出"效应四个方面评价和测度公共转移支付的减贫效应,很少有学者就公共转移支付对贫困群体及其家庭福利的影响进行深层次的研究。基于Deaton的消费贫困理论,将公共转移支付与家庭内部规模经济、家庭内部歧视、家庭成员的健康状况和物价等因素同时纳入QUAIDS分析框架中进行贫困家庭的福利分析,建立以消费贫困为导向的公共转移支付政策,健全贫困评估体系和监督机制,消除家庭性别歧视对减贫的阻碍作用,阻断贫困的代际传递。
At present,scholars at home and abroad mainly evaluate and measure the poverty alleviation effect of public transfer payments from the four aspects of poverty alleviation effect of public transfer payment,incentive mechanism,targeting situation and Crowding-out effect. Few scholars have conducted in-depth research on the impact of public transfer payments on the welfare of poor groups and their families. Based on Deaton's theory of consumer poverty,this paper attempts to incorporate public transfer payments into the QUAIDS analysis framework for welfare analysis of poor families,and considers factors such as economies of scale within the family,discrimination within families,family members' health,and prices. And proposes to establish a public transfer payment policy oriented towards consumption poverty,improve the poverty assessment system and supervision mechanism,eliminate the barrier effect of family gender discrimination on poverty reduction,and block the intergenerational transmission of poverty.
At present,scholars at home and abroad mainly evaluate and measure the poverty alleviation effect of public transfer payments from the four aspects of poverty alleviation effect of public transfer payment,incentive mechanism,targeting situation and Crowding-out effect. Few scholars have conducted in-depth research on the impact of public transfer payments on the welfare of poor groups and their families. Based on Deaton's theory of consumer poverty,this paper attempts to incorporate public transfer payments into the QUAIDS analysis framework for welfare analysis of poor families,and considers factors such as economies of scale within the family,discrimination within families,family members' health,and prices. And proposes to establish a public transfer payment policy oriented towards consumption poverty,improve the poverty assessment system and supervision mechanism,eliminate the barrier effect of family gender discrimination on poverty reduction,and block the intergenerational transmission of poverty.
引文
[1]任志安,朱康凤.我国公共转移支付的减贫效应研究[J].东北农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018,(6).
[2]A.C.Pigou.The Economics of Welfare[M].London:Macmillan Company,1920.
[3]Sen A.Poverty:An Ordinal Approachto Measurement[J].Econometrica,1976,(44).
[4]A.B.Atkinson.Income Distribution in OECD Countries:Evidence from Luxembourg Income Study[R].Working Paper,1995.
[5]Chen S,et al..Are There LastingImpacts of Aid to Poor Areas?Evidence from Rural China[R].Working Paper,2006.
[6]刘柏惠,寇恩惠.政府各项转移收支对城镇居民收入再分配的影响[J].财贸经济,2014,(9).
[7]郭庆旺,等.中国政府转移性支出的收入再分配效应[J].世界经济,2016,(8).
[8]王娟,张克中.公共支出结构与农村减贫——基于省级面板数据的证据[J].中国农村经济,2012,(1).
[9]曹艳春.农村低保制度对贫困群体生活水平改善效应研究[J].中国人口科学,2016,(6).
[10]王庶,岳希明.退耕还林、非农就业与农民增收——基于21省面板数据的双重差分分析[J].经济研究,2017,(4).
[11]王曦璟,高艳云.授之以鱼还是授之以渔?——论地区公共服务供给与转移支付减贫效应[A].中国数量经济学会、中央财经大学.21世纪数量经济学(第17卷)[C].中国数量经济学会2016年年会,2016.
[12]陈国强,等.公共转移支付的减贫效应估计——收入贫困还是多维贫困?[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(5).
[13]Dominique V.D.W..The Static and Dynamic Incidence of Vietnam's Public Safety Net[R].Working Paper,2002.
[14]夏庆杰,等.中国城镇贫困的变化趋势和模式:1988～2002[J].经济研究,2007,(9).
[15]解垩.公共转移支付与老年人的多维贫困[J].中国工业经济,2015,(11).
[16]徐超,李林木.城乡低保是否有助于未来减贫——基于贫困脆弱性的实证分析[J].财贸经济,2017,(5).
[17]Skoufias E,Maro D V.Conditional Cash Transfers,Adult Work Incentives and Poverty[J].The World Bank Impact Evaluation Series,2006,(5).
[18]Ravallion M,Chen S.Benefit Incidence With Incentive Effects,Measurement Errors and Latent Heterogeneity:A Case Study for China[J].Journal of Public Economics,2015,(28).
[19]Gertler,et al..Investing Cash Transfer to Raise Long Term Livingstandards[J].American Economic Journal:Applied Economics,2012,(1).
[20]刘穷志.转移支付激励与贫困减少——基于PSM技术的分析[J].中国软科学,2010,(9).
[21]王增文,邓大松.农村低保及配套政策发展水平的地区性差异——基于29省市相关数据[J].中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2012,(1).
[22]储德银,赵飞.财政分权、政府转移支付与农村贫困——基于预算内外和收支双重维度的门槛效应分析[J].财经研究,2013,(9).
[23]解垩.公共转移支付对再分配及贫困的影响研究[J].经济研究,2017,(9).
[24]田勇,等.“输血”还是“造血”?面向农户的公共转移支付的减贫效应评估——基于农业产出的视角[J].经济问题,2019,(3).
[25]Coady D,et al..Targeting of Transfers in Developing Countries:Review of Lessons and Experience[R].Working Paper,2004.
[26]Brady D.The Welfare State and Relative Poverty in Rich Western Democracies,1967～1997[J].Social Forces,2005,(4).
[27]Dimova R,Wolff F C.Are Private Transfers Poverty and Inequality Reducing?Household level Evidence from Bulgaria[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2008,(4).
[28]Besley T,et al..Just Rewards?Local Politics and Public Resource Allocation in South India[J].The World Bank Economic Review,2012,(2).
[29]Caeyers B,Dercon S.Political Connections and Social Networks in Targeted Transfer Programs:Evidence from Rural Ethiopia[J].Cepr Discussion Papers,2012,(4).
[30]Panda S.Political Connections and Elite Capture in a Poverty Alleviation Programme in India[J].The Journal of Development Studies,2015,(1).
[31]Kilic T,et al..Decentralized Beneficiary Tar Geting in large-scale Development Programmes:Insights From the Malawi Farm Input Subsidy Programme[J].Journalof African Economies,2015,(1).
[32]樊丽明,解垩.公共转移支付减少了贫困脆弱性吗?[J].经济研究,2014,(8).
[33]陈传波,王倩茜.农村社会救助瞄准偏差估计——来自120个自然村的调查[J].农业技术经济,2014,(8).
[34]朱梦冰,李实.精准扶贫重在精准识别贫困人口——农村低保政策的瞄准效果分析[J].中国社会科学,2017,(9).
[35]韩华为.农村低保户瞄准中的偏误和精英俘获——基于社区瞄准机制的分析[J].经济学动态,2018,(2).
[36]Cox D,et al..How Responsive Are Private Transfers to Income?Evidence from a Laissez——Faire Economy[R].Working Paper,1999.
[37]Maitra P,Ray R.The Effect of Transfers on Household Expenditure Patterns and Poverty in South Africa[J].Journal of Development Economics,2003,(1).
[38]Lal D,Sharma A.Private Household Transfers and Poverty Alleviationin RuralIndia:1998～1999[J].The Journal of Applied Economic Research,2009,(2).
[39]卢盛峰,卢洪友.政府救助能够帮助低收入群体走出贫困吗?——基于1989～2009年CHNS数据的实证研究[J].财经研究,2013,(1).
[40]Kang S J,Sawada Y.Did Public Transfers Crowd Out Private Transfers in Korea During the Financial Crisis?[J].Journal of Development Studies,2009,(2).
[41]解垩.“挤入”还是“挤出”?中国农村的公共转移支付与私人转移支付[J].人口与发展,2013,(4).
[42]王增文,邓大松.倾向度匹配、救助依赖与瞄准机制——基于社会救助制度实施效应的经验分析[J].公共管理学报,2012,(2).
[43]Blundell R.Consumption Inequality and Partialinsurance[J].Working Paper,2004,(5).
[44]Deaton A.Measurement of Welfare:Theory and Practical Guidelines[R].Working Paper,1980.
[45]Deaton A,Muellbauer J.An Almost Ideal Demand System[J].American Economic Review,1980,(3).
[46]BanksJ,et al..Quadratic Engel Curves and Consumer Demand[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1997,(4).
[47]Poi B P.Dairy Policy and Consumer Welfare[D].Ann Arbor:University of Michigan,2002.
[48]Muellbauer J.Community Preferences and The Representative Consumer[J].Econometrica,1976,(5).
[49]CranfieldJ,et al..Model Selection When Estimating and Predicting Consumer Demands Using International,Cross Section Data[J].Empirical Economics,2003,(2).
[50]范金,等.几种中国农村居民食品消费需求模型的比较研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2011,(5).
[51]Gil A I,Molina J A.Alcohol Demand among Young People in Spain:An Addictive QUAIDS[J].Empirical Economics,2009,(3).
[52]Sola O.Demand for Food in Ondo State,Nigeria:Using Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System[J].Journal of Business Management and Economics,2013,(1).
[53]张颖熙.中国城镇居民服务消费需求弹性研究——基于QUAIDS模型的分析[J].财贸经济,2014,(5).
[54]元惠连,等.基于QUAIDS模型的中国农村居民消费需求实证分析[J].劳动经济研究,2017,(4).
[55]唐琦,等.中国城市居民家庭的消费结构分析:1995～2013[J].经济研究,2018,(2).
[56]Alem Y.Essays on Shocks,Welfare,and Poverty Dynamics:Micro Econometric Evidence from Ethiopia[D].University of Gothenburg,2011.
[57]Tefera N.Welfare Impacts of Rising Food Prices in Rural Ethiopia[A].A Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System Approach[C].IAAE Triennial Conference,2012.
[58]赵昕东,汪勇.食品价格上涨对不同收入等级城镇居民消费行为与福利的影响——基于QUAIDS模型的研究[J].中国软科学,2013,(8).
[59]杨天宇,张品一.食品价格上涨对我国城镇各阶层居民社会福利的不同影响[J].产经评论,2015,(3).
[60]张品一.食品价格上涨对我国农村异质性家庭福利的影响——基于CHNS数据的实证研究[J].中国经济问题,2017,(1).
[61]Deaton A,Muellbauer J.On Measuring Child Costs:With Applications to Poor Countries[J].Journal of Political Economy,1986,(4).
[62]Hagenaars A,et al..Poverty Statistics in the Late 1980s:Research based on Micro-data[J].Luxembourg,1994,January.
[63]Mc Clements L.Equivalence Scales for Children[J].Journal of Public Economics,1977,(8).
[64]Gupta M D.Selective Discrimination against Female Children in Rural Punjab[J].Population and Development Review,1987,(1).
[65]Deaton A.Looking for Boy-girl Discrimination Inhousehold Expenditure data[J].World Bank Economic Review,1989,(1).
[66]Sahni R,Shankar V K.Girls’ Higher Education in India on the Road to Inclusiveness:on Track but Heading Where?[J].Higher Education,2012,(2).
[67]郑筱婷,陆小慧.有兄弟对女性是好消息吗?——家庭人力资本投资中的性别歧视研究[J].经济学(季刊),2018,(1).
[68]高艳云,王曦璟.教育改善贫困效应的地区异质性研究[J].统计研究,2016,(9).
[2]A.C.Pigou.The Economics of Welfare[M].London:Macmillan Company,1920.
[3]Sen A.Poverty:An Ordinal Approachto Measurement[J].Econometrica,1976,(44).
[4]A.B.Atkinson.Income Distribution in OECD Countries:Evidence from Luxembourg Income Study[R].Working Paper,1995.
[5]Chen S,et al..Are There LastingImpacts of Aid to Poor Areas?Evidence from Rural China[R].Working Paper,2006.
[6]刘柏惠,寇恩惠.政府各项转移收支对城镇居民收入再分配的影响[J].财贸经济,2014,(9).
[7]郭庆旺,等.中国政府转移性支出的收入再分配效应[J].世界经济,2016,(8).
[8]王娟,张克中.公共支出结构与农村减贫——基于省级面板数据的证据[J].中国农村经济,2012,(1).
[9]曹艳春.农村低保制度对贫困群体生活水平改善效应研究[J].中国人口科学,2016,(6).
[10]王庶,岳希明.退耕还林、非农就业与农民增收——基于21省面板数据的双重差分分析[J].经济研究,2017,(4).
[11]王曦璟,高艳云.授之以鱼还是授之以渔?——论地区公共服务供给与转移支付减贫效应[A].中国数量经济学会、中央财经大学.21世纪数量经济学(第17卷)[C].中国数量经济学会2016年年会,2016.
[12]陈国强,等.公共转移支付的减贫效应估计——收入贫困还是多维贫困?[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(5).
[13]Dominique V.D.W..The Static and Dynamic Incidence of Vietnam's Public Safety Net[R].Working Paper,2002.
[14]夏庆杰,等.中国城镇贫困的变化趋势和模式:1988～2002[J].经济研究,2007,(9).
[15]解垩.公共转移支付与老年人的多维贫困[J].中国工业经济,2015,(11).
[16]徐超,李林木.城乡低保是否有助于未来减贫——基于贫困脆弱性的实证分析[J].财贸经济,2017,(5).
[17]Skoufias E,Maro D V.Conditional Cash Transfers,Adult Work Incentives and Poverty[J].The World Bank Impact Evaluation Series,2006,(5).
[18]Ravallion M,Chen S.Benefit Incidence With Incentive Effects,Measurement Errors and Latent Heterogeneity:A Case Study for China[J].Journal of Public Economics,2015,(28).
[19]Gertler,et al..Investing Cash Transfer to Raise Long Term Livingstandards[J].American Economic Journal:Applied Economics,2012,(1).
[20]刘穷志.转移支付激励与贫困减少——基于PSM技术的分析[J].中国软科学,2010,(9).
[21]王增文,邓大松.农村低保及配套政策发展水平的地区性差异——基于29省市相关数据[J].中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2012,(1).
[22]储德银,赵飞.财政分权、政府转移支付与农村贫困——基于预算内外和收支双重维度的门槛效应分析[J].财经研究,2013,(9).
[23]解垩.公共转移支付对再分配及贫困的影响研究[J].经济研究,2017,(9).
[24]田勇,等.“输血”还是“造血”?面向农户的公共转移支付的减贫效应评估——基于农业产出的视角[J].经济问题,2019,(3).
[25]Coady D,et al..Targeting of Transfers in Developing Countries:Review of Lessons and Experience[R].Working Paper,2004.
[26]Brady D.The Welfare State and Relative Poverty in Rich Western Democracies,1967～1997[J].Social Forces,2005,(4).
[27]Dimova R,Wolff F C.Are Private Transfers Poverty and Inequality Reducing?Household level Evidence from Bulgaria[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2008,(4).
[28]Besley T,et al..Just Rewards?Local Politics and Public Resource Allocation in South India[J].The World Bank Economic Review,2012,(2).
[29]Caeyers B,Dercon S.Political Connections and Social Networks in Targeted Transfer Programs:Evidence from Rural Ethiopia[J].Cepr Discussion Papers,2012,(4).
[30]Panda S.Political Connections and Elite Capture in a Poverty Alleviation Programme in India[J].The Journal of Development Studies,2015,(1).
[31]Kilic T,et al..Decentralized Beneficiary Tar Geting in large-scale Development Programmes:Insights From the Malawi Farm Input Subsidy Programme[J].Journalof African Economies,2015,(1).
[32]樊丽明,解垩.公共转移支付减少了贫困脆弱性吗?[J].经济研究,2014,(8).
[33]陈传波,王倩茜.农村社会救助瞄准偏差估计——来自120个自然村的调查[J].农业技术经济,2014,(8).
[34]朱梦冰,李实.精准扶贫重在精准识别贫困人口——农村低保政策的瞄准效果分析[J].中国社会科学,2017,(9).
[35]韩华为.农村低保户瞄准中的偏误和精英俘获——基于社区瞄准机制的分析[J].经济学动态,2018,(2).
[36]Cox D,et al..How Responsive Are Private Transfers to Income?Evidence from a Laissez——Faire Economy[R].Working Paper,1999.
[37]Maitra P,Ray R.The Effect of Transfers on Household Expenditure Patterns and Poverty in South Africa[J].Journal of Development Economics,2003,(1).
[38]Lal D,Sharma A.Private Household Transfers and Poverty Alleviationin RuralIndia:1998～1999[J].The Journal of Applied Economic Research,2009,(2).
[39]卢盛峰,卢洪友.政府救助能够帮助低收入群体走出贫困吗?——基于1989～2009年CHNS数据的实证研究[J].财经研究,2013,(1).
[40]Kang S J,Sawada Y.Did Public Transfers Crowd Out Private Transfers in Korea During the Financial Crisis?[J].Journal of Development Studies,2009,(2).
[41]解垩.“挤入”还是“挤出”?中国农村的公共转移支付与私人转移支付[J].人口与发展,2013,(4).
[42]王增文,邓大松.倾向度匹配、救助依赖与瞄准机制——基于社会救助制度实施效应的经验分析[J].公共管理学报,2012,(2).
[43]Blundell R.Consumption Inequality and Partialinsurance[J].Working Paper,2004,(5).
[44]Deaton A.Measurement of Welfare:Theory and Practical Guidelines[R].Working Paper,1980.
[45]Deaton A,Muellbauer J.An Almost Ideal Demand System[J].American Economic Review,1980,(3).
[46]BanksJ,et al..Quadratic Engel Curves and Consumer Demand[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1997,(4).
[47]Poi B P.Dairy Policy and Consumer Welfare[D].Ann Arbor:University of Michigan,2002.
[48]Muellbauer J.Community Preferences and The Representative Consumer[J].Econometrica,1976,(5).
[49]CranfieldJ,et al..Model Selection When Estimating and Predicting Consumer Demands Using International,Cross Section Data[J].Empirical Economics,2003,(2).
[50]范金,等.几种中国农村居民食品消费需求模型的比较研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2011,(5).
[51]Gil A I,Molina J A.Alcohol Demand among Young People in Spain:An Addictive QUAIDS[J].Empirical Economics,2009,(3).
[52]Sola O.Demand for Food in Ondo State,Nigeria:Using Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System[J].Journal of Business Management and Economics,2013,(1).
[53]张颖熙.中国城镇居民服务消费需求弹性研究——基于QUAIDS模型的分析[J].财贸经济,2014,(5).
[54]元惠连,等.基于QUAIDS模型的中国农村居民消费需求实证分析[J].劳动经济研究,2017,(4).
[55]唐琦,等.中国城市居民家庭的消费结构分析:1995～2013[J].经济研究,2018,(2).
[56]Alem Y.Essays on Shocks,Welfare,and Poverty Dynamics:Micro Econometric Evidence from Ethiopia[D].University of Gothenburg,2011.
[57]Tefera N.Welfare Impacts of Rising Food Prices in Rural Ethiopia[A].A Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System Approach[C].IAAE Triennial Conference,2012.
[58]赵昕东,汪勇.食品价格上涨对不同收入等级城镇居民消费行为与福利的影响——基于QUAIDS模型的研究[J].中国软科学,2013,(8).
[59]杨天宇,张品一.食品价格上涨对我国城镇各阶层居民社会福利的不同影响[J].产经评论,2015,(3).
[60]张品一.食品价格上涨对我国农村异质性家庭福利的影响——基于CHNS数据的实证研究[J].中国经济问题,2017,(1).
[61]Deaton A,Muellbauer J.On Measuring Child Costs:With Applications to Poor Countries[J].Journal of Political Economy,1986,(4).
[62]Hagenaars A,et al..Poverty Statistics in the Late 1980s:Research based on Micro-data[J].Luxembourg,1994,January.
[63]Mc Clements L.Equivalence Scales for Children[J].Journal of Public Economics,1977,(8).
[64]Gupta M D.Selective Discrimination against Female Children in Rural Punjab[J].Population and Development Review,1987,(1).
[65]Deaton A.Looking for Boy-girl Discrimination Inhousehold Expenditure data[J].World Bank Economic Review,1989,(1).
[66]Sahni R,Shankar V K.Girls’ Higher Education in India on the Road to Inclusiveness:on Track but Heading Where?[J].Higher Education,2012,(2).
[67]郑筱婷,陆小慧.有兄弟对女性是好消息吗?——家庭人力资本投资中的性别歧视研究[J].经济学(季刊),2018,(1).
[68]高艳云,王曦璟.教育改善贫困效应的地区异质性研究[J].统计研究,2016,(9).
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