皖南地区旅游产业-城镇化-生态环境耦合协调的时空演变
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摘要
以2007—2016年为考察期,构建了旅游产业—城镇化—生态环境评价指标体系,熵权法确定指标权重,对皖南地区及各市的旅游产业、城镇化、生态环境综合水平进行了评价;引入耦合协调度模型,对皖南地区的协调发展度进行了定量测算,并根据测算结果对其协调关系的演变轨迹进行了分析。结果表明:(1)皖南6市在旅游产业、城镇化、生态环境三系统的发展上各有所长,黄山旅游产业发展超前,铜陵、马鞍山城镇化水平突出,池州、宣城生态环境优越,芜湖发展较为均衡;(2)协调度值在考察期内一直处于0.751～0.821之间,整体处于失调状态。6城市中除铜陵市的协调度值呈现下降态势外,其余城市均呈现出先下降后波动上升的趋势;(3)协调发展度总体虽呈上升趋势,但仍然处于失调阶段。城镇化水平滞后是制约皖南地区协调发展的主要因素。(4)皖南6市的协调发展度差异明显,特征各异。芜湖市为濒临失调型,其余地市均为失调型。基于此,提出了促进皖南地区旅游产业、城镇化、生态环境协调发展的对策建议。
Taking the southern Anhui Province as the research sample, we build evaluation index of three subsystem of tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment, use entropy weight method to determine index weight in 2007—2016. Based on the comprehensive value of the tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment, the region coordinated development degree in southern Anhui Province is estimated by coupling coordination degree model. The evolution of coupling coordination relationship was analyzed according to the calculated result of harmonious development. The results show that:(1) the six cities in southern Anhui Province had different development lengths in the three systems of tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment; the tourism industry of Huangshan Mountain was developing ahead, the urbanization of Tongling City and Maanshan City was prominent, the ecological environment of Chizhou City and Xuancheng City was superior, and the development of Wuhu City was relatively balanced;(2) the coordination degree of southern Anhui Province had been between 0.751 and 0.821 during the investigation period, and the whole was in a state of imbalance; in six cities, the coordination degree of Tongling City was decreasing, the others showed a trend of decrease first and rise later;(3) the overall coordinated development showed a trend of decline first and rise later in fluctuation; the lagging level of urbanization was the main factor that restricted the coordinated development of southern Anhui Province;(4) there were significant differences in the level of coordinated development between the six cities in the southern of Anhui Province with different characteristics; Wuhu City was close to the disorder type, while the other cities were the disorder type. Based on the results, the countermeasures and suggestions for the comprehensive and coordinated development of tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment in southern Anhui Province are put forward.
Taking the southern Anhui Province as the research sample, we build evaluation index of three subsystem of tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment, use entropy weight method to determine index weight in 2007—2016. Based on the comprehensive value of the tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment, the region coordinated development degree in southern Anhui Province is estimated by coupling coordination degree model. The evolution of coupling coordination relationship was analyzed according to the calculated result of harmonious development. The results show that:(1) the six cities in southern Anhui Province had different development lengths in the three systems of tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment; the tourism industry of Huangshan Mountain was developing ahead, the urbanization of Tongling City and Maanshan City was prominent, the ecological environment of Chizhou City and Xuancheng City was superior, and the development of Wuhu City was relatively balanced;(2) the coordination degree of southern Anhui Province had been between 0.751 and 0.821 during the investigation period, and the whole was in a state of imbalance; in six cities, the coordination degree of Tongling City was decreasing, the others showed a trend of decrease first and rise later;(3) the overall coordinated development showed a trend of decline first and rise later in fluctuation; the lagging level of urbanization was the main factor that restricted the coordinated development of southern Anhui Province;(4) there were significant differences in the level of coordinated development between the six cities in the southern of Anhui Province with different characteristics; Wuhu City was close to the disorder type, while the other cities were the disorder type. Based on the results, the countermeasures and suggestions for the comprehensive and coordinated development of tourism industry, urbanization and ecological environment in southern Anhui Province are put forward.
引文
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[19] 刘承良,熊剑平,龚晓琴,等.武汉城市圈经济—社会—资源—环境协调发展性评价[J].经济地理,2009,29(10):1650-1654.
[2] 杨建翠.民族地区旅游推动城镇化发展研究:九寨沟县旅游城镇形成机制分析[J].西南民族大学学报,2012(4):137-140.
[3] 高楠,马耀峰,李天顺,等.基于耦合模型的旅游产业与城市化协调发展研究:以西安市为例[J].旅游学刊,2013,28(1):62-68.
[4] 张英,陈俊合,熊焰.旅游发展与城镇建设耦合协调研究:以黔东南苗族侗族自治州为例[J],贵州民族研究,2013,34(5):155-158.
[5] 梁坤,杜靖川,吕宛青.西南地区旅游产业与城镇化耦合协调度的时空特征分析[J].经济管理,2014,36(12):125-134.
[6] 唐新平,刘彬,麻学锋.湘西地区旅游产业成长与新型城镇化耦合协调度时空分异分析[J].吉首大学学报:社会科学版,2016,37(5):52-60.
[7] 张春燕.旅游产业与新型城镇化的耦合评价模型[J].统计与决策,2014(14):28-31.
[8] 崔木花.中原城市群9市城镇化与生态环境耦合协调关系[J].经济地理,2015,35(7):72-78.
[9] 张佩佩,董锁成,李泽红,等.甘南藏族自治州城镇化与生态环境耦合协调关系[J].资源开发与市场,2017,33(1):33-38.
[10] 张云峰,陈洪全.江苏沿海城镇化与生态环境协调发展量化分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(3):113-116.
[11] 张引,杨庆媛,闵婕.重庆市新型城镇化质量与生态环境承载力耦合分析[J].地理学报,2016,71(5):817-828.
[12] 裴玮.基于面板数据的西南地区旅游生态环境承载力评价[J].云南师范大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2013,45(3):31-36.
[13] 翁钢民,韩镇.基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的旅游经济发展与生态环境关系研究[J].生态经济,2012(9):130-131,145.
[14] 李雪.青岛市旅游生态环境影响动态评价[J].社会科学家,2014(4):87-91.
[15] 胡振鹏,黄晓杏,傅春,等.环鄱阳湖地区旅游产业—城镇化—生态环境交互耦合的定量比较及演化分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2015,24(12):2012-2020.
[16] 许辉云,郑涵丹,伍蕾.旅游产业、城镇化、生态环境耦合协调性分析:以长江中下游六省为例[J].福建农林大学学报:哲学社会科学版[J].2017,20(4):84-92.
[17] 荣慧芳,张乐勤,严超.基于熵权物元模型的皖江城市带土地生态安全评价[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(3):230-235.
[18] 杨士弘.广州城市环境与经济协调发展预测及调控研究[J].地理科学,1994,14(2):136-143.
[19] 刘承良,熊剑平,龚晓琴,等.武汉城市圈经济—社会—资源—环境协调发展性评价[J].经济地理,2009,29(10):1650-1654.