内蒙古东部地区经济发展与生态环境相关性研究——以巴林右旗为例
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摘要
生态环境与经济发展二者之间的关系错综复杂,既相互矛盾又相互依存、相互促进。"环境库兹涅茨曲线"理论指出一个经济体的环境质量(污染)与其经济发展呈倒U型(U型)曲线关系,即环境质量随经济发展呈先下降后上升的趋势。因此,开展生态环境状况与社会经济关系的调查分析,对一个经济体阶段性发展的精准定位、政策拟定及可持续发展规划具有重要指导意义。基于时间序列数据对巴林右旗地区近20年的生态环境质量与经济发展状况进行相关性分析,结果发现:①巴林右旗地区目前处于"环境库兹涅茨曲线"拐点左侧,即生态环境质量随经济发展逐渐下降阶段。②土地垦殖率与经济发展强度呈高度正相关,人工种草面积与围封草场面积与经济水平、工业化程度呈负相关,直接或间接的表明经济发展和产业结构转型的同时导致了生态环境的恶化。③三产结构与草场面积之间的变化规律揭示出提升第三产业水平有助于缓解甚至改善围封草场面积持续降低的态势,继而推动整体环境质量转好。
The relationship between the ecological environment and economic development is complex and complicated,they are contradictory,so as interdependent and mutually reinforcing.The "environmental Kuznets curve" theory points out there is an inverse U-shaped(U-shaped) curve between environmental quality(contamination) and economic development,that is,the environmental quality declines first with economic development,then rises.Therefore,conducting investigation and analysis of the relationship between ecological environment and social economy can give important guidance for the precise positioning,policy formulation and sustainable development planning of economy staged development.Based on 20 years' data,the correlations between the ecological environment quality and economic development in the Bahrain Right Banner area was carried out.The results showed that:①The ecological environment quality of Balinyouqi area is currently on the left side of the "Environmental Kuznets Curve" inflection point,and it gradually declines with economic development.②The land reclamation rate is highly positively correlated with the economic development intensity.Artificial grass planting area and enclosed grassland area are negatively correlated with economic level and industrialization degree,directly or indirectly indicating that economic development and industrial structure transformation lead to ecology deterioration.③The change rule between the third-product structure and the grassland area reveals upgrading the level of the tertiary industry will help alleviate or improve the state of continuous reduction of enclosed grassland area,and then promote the overall environmental quality to enhance.
The relationship between the ecological environment and economic development is complex and complicated,they are contradictory,so as interdependent and mutually reinforcing.The "environmental Kuznets curve" theory points out there is an inverse U-shaped(U-shaped) curve between environmental quality(contamination) and economic development,that is,the environmental quality declines first with economic development,then rises.Therefore,conducting investigation and analysis of the relationship between ecological environment and social economy can give important guidance for the precise positioning,policy formulation and sustainable development planning of economy staged development.Based on 20 years' data,the correlations between the ecological environment quality and economic development in the Bahrain Right Banner area was carried out.The results showed that:①The ecological environment quality of Balinyouqi area is currently on the left side of the "Environmental Kuznets Curve" inflection point,and it gradually declines with economic development.②The land reclamation rate is highly positively correlated with the economic development intensity.Artificial grass planting area and enclosed grassland area are negatively correlated with economic level and industrialization degree,directly or indirectly indicating that economic development and industrial structure transformation lead to ecology deterioration.③The change rule between the third-product structure and the grassland area reveals upgrading the level of the tertiary industry will help alleviate or improve the state of continuous reduction of enclosed grassland area,and then promote the overall environmental quality to enhance.
引文
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[21] 马树才,李国柱.中国经济增长与环境污染关系的Kuznets曲线[J].统计研究,2006(8):37-40.
[22] 赵云君,文启湘.环境库兹涅茨曲线及其在我国的修正[J].经济学家,2004(5):69-75.
[23] 蔺栋华.生态环境与第三产业[J].生态经济,2001(2):22-26.
[24] 张宁,田美荣,高吉喜,等.近35年科尔沁沙地生态系统健康诊断研究:以巴林右旗为例[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(4):206-211.
[2] GROSSMAN G M,KRUEGER A B.Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement[J].Social science electronic publishing,1991,8(2):223-250.
[3] PANAYOTOU T.Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development[R].International Labour Organization,1993.
[4] SELDEM T M,SONG D Q.Environmental quality and development:Is there a kuznets curve for air pollution emissions?[J].Journal of environmental economics and management,1994,27(2):147-162.
[5] SHAFIK A,ABDEL MONEIM K.Fecoflowmetry:A new parameter assessing rectal function[J].International surgery,1992,77(3):190-194.
[6] GROSSMAN G M,KRUEGER A B.Economic growth and the environment[J].Quarterly journal of economics,1995,110(2):353-377.
[7] SURI V,CHAPMAN D.Economic growth,trade and energy:Implications for the environmental Kuznets curve[J].Ecological economics,1998,25(2):195-208.
[8] ANDREONI V.Can economic growth be sustainable?The case of EU27[J].Journal of global policy and governance,2013,1(2):185-195.
[9] 林基.环境库兹涅茨曲线理论研究的评述及在国内的推进[J].商场现代化,2014(20):267-269.
[10] 邹秀萍,陈劭锋,苏利阳,等.京津冀经济增长与水环境污染的实证分析[J].生态经济,2009(8):40-42.
[11] 于峰,齐建国,田晓林.经济发展对环境质量影响的实证分析:基于1999—2004年间各省市的面板数据[J].中国工业经济,2006(8):36-44.
[12] 李飞,董锁成,李泽红.中国经济增长与环境污染关系的再检验:基于全国省级数据的面板协整分析[J].自然资源学报,2009,24(11):1912-1920.
[13] 赵桂梅.区域经济发展对生态环境质量的动态影响实证研究[J].生态经济,2014(3):100-102.
[14] 李磊,张贵祥.京津冀都市圈经济增长与生态环境关系研究[J].生态经济,2014(9):167-171.
[15] 朱平辉,袁加军,曾五一.中国工业环境库兹涅茨曲线分析:基于空间面板模型的经验研究[J].中国工业经济,2010(6):65-74.
[16] 翁钢民,韩镇.基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的旅游经济发展与生态环境关系研究[J].生态经济,2012(9):130-131,145.
[17] 王瑞玲,陈印军.我国“三废”排放的库兹涅茨曲线特征及其成因的灰色关联度分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005,15(2):42-47.
[18] 夏永久,陈兴鹏,李娜.西北半干旱区城市经济增长与环境污染演进阶段及其互动效应分析:以兰州市为例[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):950-956.
[19] 马乃毅,罗珺仁.中国西部地区农业经济增长与环境污染相关性研究[J].浙江农业学报,2015,27(9):1631-1638.
[20] 张思锋,张颖.西安循环经济发展的紧迫性分析:基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的方法[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2004,24(2):58-64.
[21] 马树才,李国柱.中国经济增长与环境污染关系的Kuznets曲线[J].统计研究,2006(8):37-40.
[22] 赵云君,文启湘.环境库兹涅茨曲线及其在我国的修正[J].经济学家,2004(5):69-75.
[23] 蔺栋华.生态环境与第三产业[J].生态经济,2001(2):22-26.
[24] 张宁,田美荣,高吉喜,等.近35年科尔沁沙地生态系统健康诊断研究:以巴林右旗为例[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(4):206-211.