二维视角下拆迁安置的社会稳定风险因素识别
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摘要
为识别拆迁安置所诱发的社会稳定风险的关键影响因素,减少社会稳定风险的发生概率,基于拆迁安置全过程及主客观二维视角,对拆迁安置社会稳定风险影响因素进行识别.通过专家访谈调研,采用专家权威度系数法对风险清单进行筛选,共梳理出18个最重要的社会稳定风险影响因素.针对关键风险因素,提出拆迁安置的社会稳定风险控制应对策略.
In order to identify the key factors of social stability risk induced by demolition and resettlement, and to reduce the probability of social stability risk, based on the whole process of demolition and resettlement, and subjective and objective two-dimensional perspective, the factors influencing the social stability risk was discussed. Through interviews and surveys, the risk list was screened by the method of expert authority coefficient. A total of 18 most important factors affecting social stability risk were sorted out. Aiming at the key risk factors, the strategy of social stability risk control is put forward.
In order to identify the key factors of social stability risk induced by demolition and resettlement, and to reduce the probability of social stability risk, based on the whole process of demolition and resettlement, and subjective and objective two-dimensional perspective, the factors influencing the social stability risk was discussed. Through interviews and surveys, the risk list was screened by the method of expert authority coefficient. A total of 18 most important factors affecting social stability risk were sorted out. Aiming at the key risk factors, the strategy of social stability risk control is put forward.
引文
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[20] 詹朝曦,王玉芳,祁神军,等.城市快速路建设工期影响因素识别与对策[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2017,38(6):818-823.DOI:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201705015.
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[22] 祁神军,成家磊,张云波.计及组织氛围的建筑工人不安全行为机理模型的构建[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2018,39(2):198-204.DOI:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201703066.
[2] 曾志勇,樊明方.基于均衡理论的重大项目社会稳定风险研究[J].人民论坛前沿,2016(8):63-69.DOI:10.16619/j.cnki.rmltxsqy.2016.08.007.
[3] 尹宝康.风险感知与社会稳定风险评估机制建设[J].湘潮(下半月),2016(3):85-86.
[4] 刘娜.基于模糊一致矩阵分析的水利水电工程建设社会稳定风险评估[J].水利经济,2017,35(2):36-40.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.10039511.2017.02.228.
[5] 程书波,郭曼丽.基于层次分析法的地铁建设项目社会稳定风险评估[J].河南理工大学学报(社会科学版),2014,15(3):273-278.DOI:10.16698/j.hpu(social.sciences).1673-9779.2014.03.022.
[6] 董治,王欢,董小林,等.基于熵权可拓物元模型的公路项目社会稳定风险评估方法[J].中国公路学报,2018,31(9):191-198.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7372.2018.09.022.
[7] 马光选.征地拆迁冲突演化机理与治理机制的风险政治学考察[J].云南大学学报(社会科学版),2015,14(6):96-102.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-7511.2015.06.014.
[8] TAO Yu,GEOFFREY S,SHI Qiping,et al.Evaluating social sustainability of urban housing demolition in Shanghai,China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2017,153(1):26-40.DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.03.005.
[9] TAO Yu,GEOFFREY S,SHI Qiping,et al.Managing social risks at the housing demolition stage of urban redevelopment projects:A stakeholder-oriented study using social network analysis[J].International Journal of Project Management,2017,35(6):925-941.DOI:10.1016/j.ijproman.2017.04.004.
[10] 高玫,何雄伟.重大政策项目社会稳定风险评估体系研究[J].企业经济,2015(2):172-175.DOI:10.13529/j.cnki.enterprise.economy.2015.02.037.
[11] 杨芳勇.论社会燃烧理论在“重大事项”上的应用:重大事项社会稳定风险评估的理论基础与方法模型[J].中共浙江省委党校学报,2012(4):106-111.DOI:10.15944/j.cnki.33-1010/d.2012.04.011.
[12] YUAN Jingfeng,CHEN Kaiwen,LI Wei,et al.Social network analysis for social risks of construction projects in high-density urban areas in China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2018,198:940-961.DOI:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.07.109.
[13] 王娟丽.基于AHP-FCE法的重大项目社会稳定风险评估[J].社会科学家,2017(2):67-73.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-3240.2017.02.012.
[14] 纪利,孙翔,陈立华.定远县江巷水库工程征地移民安置社会稳定风险分析[J].江淮水利科技,2017(5):10-11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-4688.2017.05.006.
[15] 陈琳,谭建辉,吴开泽,等.拆迁项目社会风险评估:来自广州的实证研究[J].广州大学学报(社会科学版),2012,11(3):77-81.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-394X.2012.03.014.
[16] 吴世坤,刘白,郭春甫.城中村征地安置社会稳定风险识别研究:基于A市240份访谈的内容分析[J].社科纵横,2016,31(9):66-68.DOI:10.16745/j.cnki.cn62-1110/c.2016.09.018.
[17] 黄海莉,耿伟,刘金明.重大政策社会稳定风险评估初探:以北京市延庆区世园会围栏区两村征地拆迁工作为例[J].中国工程咨询,2016(10):48-50.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-5829.2016.10.020.
[18] 李丰松.基于AHP-FCE法安居工程建设项目社会稳定风险评估[J].广西师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版),2018,39(3):114-118.DOI:10.16601/j.cnki.issn1002-5227.2018.03.019.
[19] 向鹏成,武雪子.基于SNA的重大工程项目社会稳定风险网络构建[J].建筑经济,2018,39(6):41-47.DOI:10.14181/j.cnki.1002-851x.201806041.
[20] 詹朝曦,王玉芳,祁神军,等.城市快速路建设工期影响因素识别与对策[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2017,38(6):818-823.DOI:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201705015.
[21] 陈思路,季卫东,易正辉.德尔菲法确定首次抑郁发作核心症状的诊断指标[J].青岛大学学报(医学版),2018,54(4):384-388.DOI:10.11712/jms201804002.
[22] 祁神军,成家磊,张云波.计及组织氛围的建筑工人不安全行为机理模型的构建[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2018,39(2):198-204.DOI:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201703066.