闽三角城市群生态系统服务权衡的时空动态与情景模拟
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摘要
闽三角城市群由厦门、泉州和漳州3个城市组成,是我国沿海开放地区之一。21世纪以来,快速的城镇化过程严重影响了该区域的生态安全以及生态系统服务功能,制约了当地的经济社会可持续发展。因此,研究闽三角城市群的生态系统服务权衡协同关系,对该区域的生态安全协同联动管理以及社会经济可持续发展具有重要意义。估算了闽三角城市群的保水服务、保土服务、NPP和食物供给4种生态系统服务功能,使用空间分析和空间统计等方法分析其时空动态变化和相互之间的权衡协同关系,并在不同情景下模拟了2030年的生态系统服务空间分布和权衡关系。结果表明:2005—2015年来,闽三角城市群的保水服务、保土服务、NPP和食物供给四种生态系统服务功能均呈下降趋势;在2005—2015年间,闽三角城市群的保水、NPP与保土3种服务之间呈现协同关系,食物供给服务与其他三种服务均呈权衡关系,虽四种服务的权衡协同关系未变,但权衡协同程度发生了复杂的变化;在空间分布特征上,晋江流域的生态系统服务权衡协同程度均高于九龙江流域,闽三角3个城市的生态系统服务权衡协同关系统一呈现厦门市>泉州市>漳州市;在不同情境设置中,自然情景下4种生态系统服务出现大幅降低,协同关系主要呈降低趋势,而权衡关系加剧,与规划情景相比,保护情景下的协同关系更高,权衡关系更低。
The Min Delta urban agglomeration includes three cities(Xiamen, Quanzhou, and Zhangzhou) and is an open coastal area in China. Since the 21 st century, rapid urbanization has seriously affected the ecological security and ecosystem services function of the region and has restricted the sustainable development of the local economy and society. For this reason, understanding the trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services in the Min Delta urban agglomeration is of considerable significance to the coordinated linkage management of ecological security and the sustainable development of social economy in this region. This paper estimated four kinds of ecosystem services(water conservancy, soil conservation, NPP(Net primary productivity), and food supply) in the Min Delta urban agglomeration, and the spatial-temporal dynamics and trade-offs-synergies among the ecosystem services were analysed using correlation and spatial analyses. Moreover, the spatial distribution and trade-offs of ecosystem services in 2030 were simulated under different scenarios.The results showed that: From 2005 to 2015, trend for all four types of ecosystem services were decreased, and there was a synergies relationship between water conservancy, NPP and soil conservation services. However, there was a trade-offs between food supply service and the other three services. From 2005 to 2015, the trade-offs and synergies between the four services remained unchanged, the degree of complex changes have taken place. In terms of spatial distribution characteristics, the degree of ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies in Jinjiang river basin is higher than that in Jiulong river basin. The trade-offs and synergies relationship of ecosystem service in three cities of Min Delta urban agglomeration presents uniformly in Xiamen > Quanzhou > Zhangzhou. In different scenario Settings, there was a significant decrease in the four ecosystem services under the natural scenario, and the synergistic relationship was mainly in a downward trend, while the trade-offs relationship was intensified. Compared with the planning scenario, the synergistic relationship under the protection scenario was higher and the trade-offs relationship was lower.
The Min Delta urban agglomeration includes three cities(Xiamen, Quanzhou, and Zhangzhou) and is an open coastal area in China. Since the 21 st century, rapid urbanization has seriously affected the ecological security and ecosystem services function of the region and has restricted the sustainable development of the local economy and society. For this reason, understanding the trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services in the Min Delta urban agglomeration is of considerable significance to the coordinated linkage management of ecological security and the sustainable development of social economy in this region. This paper estimated four kinds of ecosystem services(water conservancy, soil conservation, NPP(Net primary productivity), and food supply) in the Min Delta urban agglomeration, and the spatial-temporal dynamics and trade-offs-synergies among the ecosystem services were analysed using correlation and spatial analyses. Moreover, the spatial distribution and trade-offs of ecosystem services in 2030 were simulated under different scenarios.The results showed that: From 2005 to 2015, trend for all four types of ecosystem services were decreased, and there was a synergies relationship between water conservancy, NPP and soil conservation services. However, there was a trade-offs between food supply service and the other three services. From 2005 to 2015, the trade-offs and synergies between the four services remained unchanged, the degree of complex changes have taken place. In terms of spatial distribution characteristics, the degree of ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies in Jinjiang river basin is higher than that in Jiulong river basin. The trade-offs and synergies relationship of ecosystem service in three cities of Min Delta urban agglomeration presents uniformly in Xiamen > Quanzhou > Zhangzhou. In different scenario Settings, there was a significant decrease in the four ecosystem services under the natural scenario, and the synergistic relationship was mainly in a downward trend, while the trade-offs relationship was intensified. Compared with the planning scenario, the synergistic relationship under the protection scenario was higher and the trade-offs relationship was lower.
引文
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[19] 陈登帅,李晶,杨晓楠,刘岩.渭河流域生态系统服务权衡优化研究.生态学报,2018,38(9):3260- 3271.
[20] Asadolahi Z,Salmanmahiny A,Sakieh Y,Mirkarimi S H,Baral H,Azimi M.Dynamic trade-off analysis of multiple ecosystem services under land use change scenarios:Towards putting ecosystem services into planning in Iran.Ecological Complexity,2018,36:250- 260.
[21] Cordingley J E,Newton A C,Rose R J,Clarke R T,Bullock J M.Can landscape-scale approaches to conservation management resolve biodiversity-ecosystem service trade-offs?.Journal of Applied Ecology,2016,53(1):96- 105.
[22] Nelson E,Mendoza G,Regetz J,Polasky S,Tallis H,Cameron D R,Chan K M A,Daily G C,Goldstein J,Kareiva P M,Lonsdorf E,Naidoo R,Ricketts T H,Shaw M R.Modeling multiple ecosystem services,biodiversity conservation,commodity production,and tradeoffs at landscape scales.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,2009,7(1):4- 11.
[23] 孙艺杰,任志远,赵胜男等.陕西河谷盆地生态系统服务协同与权衡时空差异分析.地理学报,2017,72(3):521- 532.
[24] 王鹏涛,张立伟,李英杰,焦磊,王浩,延军平,吕一河,傅伯杰.汉江上游生态系统服务权衡与协同关系时空特征.地理学报,2017,72(11):2064- 2078.
[25] 钱彩云,巩杰,张金茜,柳冬青,马学成.甘肃白龙江流域生态系统服务变化及权衡与协同关系.地理学报,2018,73(5):868- 879.
[26] 李晶,李红艳,张良.关中-天水经济区生态系统服务权衡与协同关系.生态学报,2016,36(10):3053- 3062.
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[28] 税伟,白剑平,简小枚,祁新华,苏正安,陈勇,蔡应君.若尔盖沙化草地恢复过程中土壤特性及水源涵养功能.生态学报,2017,37(1):277- 285.
[29] 税伟,陈毅萍,苏正安,范水生.专业化茶叶种植影响下的农业生态系统服务功能价值评价——以福建省安溪县为例.生态学报,2017,37(10):3311- 3326.
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[31] 李慧蕾,彭建,胡熠娜,武文欢.基于生态系统服务簇的内蒙古自治区生态功能分区.应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2657- 2666.
[32] 刘绿怡,刘慧敏,任嘉衍,卞子亓,丁圣彦.生态系统服务形成机制研究进展.应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2731- 2738.
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[34] Palacios-Agundez I,Onaindia M,Barraqueta P,Madariaga I.Provisioning ecosystem services supply and demand:The role of landscape management to reinforce supply and promote synergies with other ecosystem services.Land Use Policy,2015,47:145- 155.
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[2] 孙艺杰,任志远,赵胜男,张静.陕西河谷盆地生态系统服务协同与权衡时空差异分析.地理学报,2017,72(3):521- 532.
[3] 傅伯杰,周国逸,白永飞,宋长春,刘纪远,张惠远,吕一河,郑华,谢高地.中国主要陆地生态系统服务功能与生态安全.地球科学进展,2009,24(6):571- 576.
[4] 张宏锋,欧阳志云,郑华.生态系统服务功能的空间尺度特征.生态学杂志,2007,26(9):1432- 1437.
[5] 傅伯杰,张立伟.土地利用变化与生态系统服务:概念、方法与进展.地理科学进展,2014,33(4):441- 446.
[6] 郝梦雅,任志远,孙艺杰,赵胜男.关中盆地生态系统服务的权衡与协同关系动态分析.地理研究,2017,36(3):592- 602.
[7] Jacobs S,Wolfstein K,Vandenbruwaene W,Vrebos D,Beauchard O,Maris T,Meire P.Detecting ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies:A practice-oriented application in four industrialized estuaries.Ecosystem Services,2015,16(7):378- 389.
[8] 戴尔阜,王晓莉,朱建佳,赵东升.生态系统服务权衡:方法、模型与研究框架.地理研究,2016,35(6):1005- 1016.
[9] Berta M,Iniesta-Arandia I,García-Llorente M,Palomo I,Casado-Arzuaga I,Amo D G,Gómez-Baggethun E,Oteros-Rozas E,Palacios-Agundez I,Willaarts B,González J A,Santos-Martín F,Onaindia M,López-Santiago C,Montes C.Uncovering ecosystem service bundles through social preferences.PLoS One,2012,7(6):e38970.
[10] Lamsal P,Pant K P,Kumar L,Atreya K.Sustainable livelihoods through conservation of wetland resources:a case of economic benefits from Ghodaghodi Lake,western Nepal.Ecology and Society,2015,20(1):10.
[11] Nappi A,Drapeau P,Saint-Germain M,Angers V A.Effect of fire severity on long-term occupancy of burned boreal conifer forests by saproxylic insects and wood-foraging birds.International Journal of Wildland Fire,2010,19(4):500- 511.
[12] 李鸿健,任志远,刘焱序,张静.西北河谷盆地生态系统服务的权衡与协同分析——以银川盆地为例.中国沙漠,2016,36(6):1731-1738.
[13] Yang W,Jin Y W,Sun T,Yang Z F,Cai Y P,Yi Y J.Trade-offs among ecosystem services in coastal wetlands under the effects of reclamation activities.Ecological Indicators,2018,92:354- 366.
[14] 曹祺文,卫晓梅,吴健生.生态系统服务权衡与协同研究进展.生态学杂志,2016,35(11):3102- 3111.
[15] 李双成,张才玉,刘金龙,朱文博,马程,王珏.生态系统服务权衡与协同研究进展及地理学研究议题.地理研究,2013,32(8):1379- 1390.
[16] 景永才,陈利顶,孙然好.基于生态系统服务供需的城市群生态安全格局构建框架.生态学报,2018,38(12):4121- 4131.
[17] 戴尔阜,王晓莉,朱建佳,高江波.生态系统服务权衡/协同研究进展与趋势展望.地球科学进展,2015,30(11):1250- 1259.
[18] 刘海,武靖,陈晓玲.丹江口水源区生态系统服务时空变化及权衡协同关系.生态学报,2018,38(13):4609- 4624.
[19] 陈登帅,李晶,杨晓楠,刘岩.渭河流域生态系统服务权衡优化研究.生态学报,2018,38(9):3260- 3271.
[20] Asadolahi Z,Salmanmahiny A,Sakieh Y,Mirkarimi S H,Baral H,Azimi M.Dynamic trade-off analysis of multiple ecosystem services under land use change scenarios:Towards putting ecosystem services into planning in Iran.Ecological Complexity,2018,36:250- 260.
[21] Cordingley J E,Newton A C,Rose R J,Clarke R T,Bullock J M.Can landscape-scale approaches to conservation management resolve biodiversity-ecosystem service trade-offs?.Journal of Applied Ecology,2016,53(1):96- 105.
[22] Nelson E,Mendoza G,Regetz J,Polasky S,Tallis H,Cameron D R,Chan K M A,Daily G C,Goldstein J,Kareiva P M,Lonsdorf E,Naidoo R,Ricketts T H,Shaw M R.Modeling multiple ecosystem services,biodiversity conservation,commodity production,and tradeoffs at landscape scales.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,2009,7(1):4- 11.
[23] 孙艺杰,任志远,赵胜男等.陕西河谷盆地生态系统服务协同与权衡时空差异分析.地理学报,2017,72(3):521- 532.
[24] 王鹏涛,张立伟,李英杰,焦磊,王浩,延军平,吕一河,傅伯杰.汉江上游生态系统服务权衡与协同关系时空特征.地理学报,2017,72(11):2064- 2078.
[25] 钱彩云,巩杰,张金茜,柳冬青,马学成.甘肃白龙江流域生态系统服务变化及权衡与协同关系.地理学报,2018,73(5):868- 879.
[26] 李晶,李红艳,张良.关中-天水经济区生态系统服务权衡与协同关系.生态学报,2016,36(10):3053- 3062.
[27] 武文欢,彭建,刘焱序,胡熠娜.鄂尔多斯市生态系统服务权衡与协同分析.地理科学进展,2017,36(12):1571- 1581.
[28] 税伟,白剑平,简小枚,祁新华,苏正安,陈勇,蔡应君.若尔盖沙化草地恢复过程中土壤特性及水源涵养功能.生态学报,2017,37(1):277- 285.
[29] 税伟,陈毅萍,苏正安,范水生.专业化茶叶种植影响下的农业生态系统服务功能价值评价——以福建省安溪县为例.生态学报,2017,37(10):3311- 3326.
[30] 吴健生,钟晓红,彭建,秦维.基于生态系统服务簇的小尺度区域生态用地功能分类——以重庆两江新区为例.生态学报,2015,35(11):3808- 3816.
[31] 李慧蕾,彭建,胡熠娜,武文欢.基于生态系统服务簇的内蒙古自治区生态功能分区.应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2657- 2666.
[32] 刘绿怡,刘慧敏,任嘉衍,卞子亓,丁圣彦.生态系统服务形成机制研究进展.应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2731- 2738.
[33] 熊鹰,陈昊林.基于属性理论的长株潭城市群生态系统健康评价.生态环境学报,2010,19(6):1422- 1427.
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