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高压SF6断路器状态评估方法研究
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摘要
高压断路器在电力系统中承担着控制与保护的双重任务,其安全稳定运行也决定着区域电网系统能否在正常状态时安排生产运营,在异常状态时隔离故障源、减小影响。因此,确保高压断路器处于合理的运行状态,对于保证整个系统的安全稳定运行有着重要意义。
     本文建立了高压断路器系统的综合状态评估体系,将高压断路器运行状态指标分类,主要包括:定量状态指标(绝缘性能、驱动性能、载流性能与开断性能)与定性状态指标(运行环境、外观情况、维修状况与生产厂家)。
     对于定量指标将集对正态分布隶属函数数值作为分层证据理论方法的基本概率分配值。为了克服状态检测数据中存在的随机性影响,引入Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程描述状态指标中存在的随机性,使状态评估中需要处理的不确定性评判过程更加全面。本文采用主客观组合加权方式来进行状态指标相对重要度区分,该方法既可以反映专家的经验意见,同时又可以体现状态指标的客观性价值,使得状态评估加权方法更加合理。
     采用证据理论方法组合定量状态指标的基本概率分配,在进行证据组合之前,首先需要根据证据间的冲突—致性判断结果来确定证据间的冲突程度。对于证据冲突程度较低的情况,采用未知元素法对证据进行组合,即将冲突部分赋给证据识别框架;对于证据冲突程度较高的情况,采用相似系数加权的方法对证据进行组合。采用集对分析方法处理定性状态指标数据,获得设备定性状态的评估。最后将定性状态的评估结果与定量状态的评估结果结合,采用决策树方法制定状态检修计划。
     最后利用某变电站的收集数据,应用本文评估方法进行高压断路器运行状态的分析,并对比模糊评判方法评判结果,结果表明应用本文方法进行高压断路器状态评估实用有效。
High voltage circuit breaker was designed to take in charge of the control and protection functions in the power system, which means the safety and stable operation of High voltage circuit breaker also determine the regional power system fault is isolation at times in the abnormal state and arrangements the common schedule in the abnormal state. Therefore, reasonably and accurately operation of circuit breaker for the security and stability of the entire power system is of great significance.
     A new index system of condition assessment based on analysis of the function of circuit-breaker has been built, which include function of drive, current path, insulation and interrupter. Circuit-breaker would keep in the opening or closing state in long-term, but the main task of circuit-breaker is to make or interrupt the current when the state is changed.The condition assessment index system of function has been integrated by quantitative hierarchical state performance indicators and the qualitative status indicators.
     The value of set pair membership function counted from quantitative condition indicators have used as the probability assignment of hierarchical evidence theory. To combined the membership function and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the condition assessment membership function could represent both the fuzziness and Randomness.
     Before combination of the quantitative status indicators, the the evidence conflicts-consistency need to be determined. When the degree of conflict for evidence theory methods is low, the degree of conflict was set as the unknown element assigned to evidence recognition framework.When the degree of conflict for evidence theory methods process is high; the method of similarity coefficient weighted method combination is used to combin the evidence. By evidence combination, The quantitativ condition assessment resultse of status indicator was obtained. On-site equipment maintenance personnel has been inquired about in the form of a questionnaire about the condition of the certain circuit-breaker.The set pair analysis method has been used to analisis these data. To conbine the conclution of quantitative analysis and the qualitative analysis by decision tree method, the maintenance schem could be settled.
     The method introduced in this papper has been used to two instances of high voltage circuit breaker. Compared with the result of fuzzy evaluation method, it proves that the method introduced in this papper is effective.
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