自然资源、制度与经济增长的研究
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摘要
发展经济学家最早通过实证研究发现,自二战以后,资源储备丰裕的国家在经济增长上的表现往往甚至还不如资源较贫乏的国家。传统观念认为,丰裕的自然资源是一种“自然的恩赐”,其存在无异于赐予一国一大笔宝贵的财富,因此资源丰富的国家理应在经济增长中有着较好的表现,而根据多方面数据统计得出的结论却与这种直观的逻辑相违背。这一有违逻辑的现象因此而一度吸引了大批经济学家对其进行研究,并被称为“资源诅咒”现象。
本文在前人的研究成果的基础之上,总结各家之言,从理论上深挖“资源诅咒”现象产生的原因和传递机制,并通过建立一个跨期的经济增长模型,从理论上验证了这一现象的产生和传导机制。
最后,根据文中所得出的传导机制,本文给出了若干解决“资源诅咒”现象的政策建议。
The empirical observation of development economists firstly found that since World WarⅡ, the economic performances of resources abundant countries were often even worse than those resource scarce ones. In the traditional sense, abundant natural resource is a "natural gift" or a large amount of valuable assets from god that entitle them to better growth performance.However, various evidences turn god down. This illogical phenomenon named as'resource curse'attracts a large number of economists' attention.
This paper well organizes results of previous researches and tries to illustrate, in theory, the causes and transmission mechanisms of'resource curse' through the establishment of an across-time economic growth model.
本文在前人的研究成果的基础之上,总结各家之言,从理论上深挖“资源诅咒”现象产生的原因和传递机制,并通过建立一个跨期的经济增长模型,从理论上验证了这一现象的产生和传导机制。
最后,根据文中所得出的传导机制,本文给出了若干解决“资源诅咒”现象的政策建议。
The empirical observation of development economists firstly found that since World WarⅡ, the economic performances of resources abundant countries were often even worse than those resource scarce ones. In the traditional sense, abundant natural resource is a "natural gift" or a large amount of valuable assets from god that entitle them to better growth performance.However, various evidences turn god down. This illogical phenomenon named as'resource curse'attracts a large number of economists' attention.
This paper well organizes results of previous researches and tries to illustrate, in theory, the causes and transmission mechanisms of'resource curse' through the establishment of an across-time economic growth model.
引文
2Sachs和Warner,1997
3Frank P. Ramsey. "A mathematical theory of saving". Economic Journal, vol.38, no.152, December 1928, pages 543-559.
4财政部《关于2010年中央和地方预算执行情况与2011年中央和地方预算草案的报告》2011.3.5
[1]程志强.资源诅咒假说：一个文献综述[J].财经问题研究,2008,(3).
[2]丁湘城,左停.自然资源依赖型经济的可持续发展问题[J].生态经济(学术版),2008,(1).
[3]冯宗宪,于璐瑶,俞炜华.资源诅咒的警示与西部资源开发难题的破解[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2007,(2).
[4]韩亚芬,孙根年,李琦.资源经济贡献与发展诅咒的互逆关系研究——中国31个省区能源开发利用与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].资源科学,2007,(6).
[5]郝鹏翔,张争胜,李道娟,李九光,曹慧允.山西省经济发展的路径选择研究[J].中国能源,2010(10)
[6]黄毅.资源型经济转型与资源诅咒的化解[J].云南社会科学,2009(2).
[7]孙永平.自然资源诅咒的传导机制及启示[J].湖北经济学院学报,2007,(4)5.
[8]王小强,白南风.富饶的贫困[M].成都：四川人民出版社,1986.
[9]徐康宁,王剑.中国区域经济的“资源诅咒”效应：地区差距的另一种解释[J].经济研究,2005(6).
[10]徐康宁,王剑.自然资源丰裕程度与经济发展水平关系的研究[J].经济研究,2006(1).
[11]张德荣,陆云航.关于资源诅咒问题的研究述评[J].经济学动态,2007,(7).
[12]张复明.资源的优势陷阱和资源型经济转型的途径[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2002(04)
[13]赵伟伟,白永秀.资源诅咒传导机制的研究述评[J].经济理论与经济管理,2010,(2).
[14]Arezki, R., Ploeg, F. V. Can the Natural Resource Curse be Turned into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institutions [Z]. IMF Working Paper, WP/07/55,2007
[15]Asea, P. K., Lahiri, A. The Precious Bane [J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,1999,23(5/6).
[16]Auty, R. M. Natural Resource, Capital Accumulation and the Resource Curse [J]. Ecological Economics,2007,61(4)
[17]Auty, R. M. Sustaining development in mineral economies:The resource curse thesis [M]. London and New York:Routledge,1993
[18]Bhattacharyya, S., Hodler, R. Natural Resources, Democracy and Corruption [Z]. Department of Economics, the University of Melbourne, Research Paper No.1047, 2008
[19]Collier, P., Goderis, S. Commodity Prices, Growth and the Natural Resource Curse:Reconciling a Conundrum [Z]. MPRA Paper No.17315,2009.
[20]Collier, P., Hoeffler, A. Greed and Grievance in Civil War [J]. Oxford Economic Papers,2004,56(4).
[21]Davis, G. A. Learning to Love the Dutch Disease:Evidence from the Mineral Economies [J]. World Development,1995,23(10).
[22]Gylfason, T. Natural Resources, Education and Economic Development [J]. European Economic Review,2001,45(4/6).
[23]Gylfason, T., Zoega, G. Natural Resources and Economic Growth:The Role of Investment [Z]. Central Bank of Chile Working Paper No.142,2002
[24]Isham, J. W., Pritchett, L., Busby, G. The Varieties of Resource Experience: Natural Resource Export Structures and the Political Economy of Economic Growth [J].The World Bank Economic Review,2005,19(2).
[25]Larsen, E. R. Escaping the Resource Curse and the Dutch Disease [J]. American Journal of Economics and Sociology,2006,65(3)
[26]Lederrilan, D., Maloney, W. F. In Search of the Missing Resource Curse [Z].Policy Research Working Paper 4766,2008.
[27]Leite, C., Weidmann, J. Does Mother Nature Corrupt? Nature Resources, Corruption, and Economic Growth [Z]. IMF Working Paper WP/99/85,1999 Manzano, O., Rigobon, R. Resource Curse or Debt Overhang? [Z]. NBER Working Paper No.8390,2001.
[28]Murshed, M. when Does Natural Resource Abundance Lead to a Resource Curse? [Z] Environmental Economic Programme Discussion,2004
[29]Papyrakis, E., Gerlagh, R. Resource Abundance and Economic Growth in the United States [J]. European Economic Review,2007,51(4)
[30]Papyrakis, E., Oerlagh, R. The Resource Curse Hypothesis and Its Transmission Channels [J]. Journal of Comparative Economics 2004,32(1).
[31]Ramsey, F. P. A Mathematical Theory of Saving [J]. Economic Journal,1928, 38(152).
[32]Robinson, J. A., Torvik, R., Verdie, T. Political Foundations of the Resource Curse [J]. Journal of Development Economics.2006,79(2).
[33]Sachs, J. D., Warner, A. L. Natural Resource and Economic Development:The Curse of Natural Resources [J]. European Economic Review,2001,45(4/6).
[34]Sachs, J. D., Warner, A. M. Natural resource abundance and economic growth [Z].NBER Working Paper No.5398,1995.
[35]Sala-i-Martin, X., Subramanian, A. Addressing the Natural Resource Curse:An Illustration from Nigeria [Z]. NBER Working Paper No.9804,2003.
[36]Torvik, R. Natural Resources, Rent Seeking and Welfare [J]. Journal of Development Economics,2002,67(2).
[37]Usui, N. Dutch Disease and Policy Adjustments to the Oil Boom:A Comparative Study of Indonesia and Mexico [J]. Resource Policy,1997,23(4)
[38]Vincent, J. R. Resource Depletion and Economic Sustainability in Malaysia [J]. Environment and Development Economics,1997, (2).
[39]Wen, M., King, S. P. Push or Pull? The Relationship between Development, Trade and Primary Resource Endowment [J] Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,2004,53(4).
3Frank P. Ramsey. "A mathematical theory of saving". Economic Journal, vol.38, no.152, December 1928, pages 543-559.
4财政部《关于2010年中央和地方预算执行情况与2011年中央和地方预算草案的报告》2011.3.5
[1]程志强.资源诅咒假说：一个文献综述[J].财经问题研究,2008,(3).
[2]丁湘城,左停.自然资源依赖型经济的可持续发展问题[J].生态经济(学术版),2008,(1).
[3]冯宗宪,于璐瑶,俞炜华.资源诅咒的警示与西部资源开发难题的破解[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2007,(2).
[4]韩亚芬,孙根年,李琦.资源经济贡献与发展诅咒的互逆关系研究——中国31个省区能源开发利用与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].资源科学,2007,(6).
[5]郝鹏翔,张争胜,李道娟,李九光,曹慧允.山西省经济发展的路径选择研究[J].中国能源,2010(10)
[6]黄毅.资源型经济转型与资源诅咒的化解[J].云南社会科学,2009(2).
[7]孙永平.自然资源诅咒的传导机制及启示[J].湖北经济学院学报,2007,(4)5.
[8]王小强,白南风.富饶的贫困[M].成都：四川人民出版社,1986.
[9]徐康宁,王剑.中国区域经济的“资源诅咒”效应：地区差距的另一种解释[J].经济研究,2005(6).
[10]徐康宁,王剑.自然资源丰裕程度与经济发展水平关系的研究[J].经济研究,2006(1).
[11]张德荣,陆云航.关于资源诅咒问题的研究述评[J].经济学动态,2007,(7).
[12]张复明.资源的优势陷阱和资源型经济转型的途径[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2002(04)
[13]赵伟伟,白永秀.资源诅咒传导机制的研究述评[J].经济理论与经济管理,2010,(2).
[14]Arezki, R., Ploeg, F. V. Can the Natural Resource Curse be Turned into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institutions [Z]. IMF Working Paper, WP/07/55,2007
[15]Asea, P. K., Lahiri, A. The Precious Bane [J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,1999,23(5/6).
[16]Auty, R. M. Natural Resource, Capital Accumulation and the Resource Curse [J]. Ecological Economics,2007,61(4)
[17]Auty, R. M. Sustaining development in mineral economies:The resource curse thesis [M]. London and New York:Routledge,1993
[18]Bhattacharyya, S., Hodler, R. Natural Resources, Democracy and Corruption [Z]. Department of Economics, the University of Melbourne, Research Paper No.1047, 2008
[19]Collier, P., Goderis, S. Commodity Prices, Growth and the Natural Resource Curse:Reconciling a Conundrum [Z]. MPRA Paper No.17315,2009.
[20]Collier, P., Hoeffler, A. Greed and Grievance in Civil War [J]. Oxford Economic Papers,2004,56(4).
[21]Davis, G. A. Learning to Love the Dutch Disease:Evidence from the Mineral Economies [J]. World Development,1995,23(10).
[22]Gylfason, T. Natural Resources, Education and Economic Development [J]. European Economic Review,2001,45(4/6).
[23]Gylfason, T., Zoega, G. Natural Resources and Economic Growth:The Role of Investment [Z]. Central Bank of Chile Working Paper No.142,2002
[24]Isham, J. W., Pritchett, L., Busby, G. The Varieties of Resource Experience: Natural Resource Export Structures and the Political Economy of Economic Growth [J].The World Bank Economic Review,2005,19(2).
[25]Larsen, E. R. Escaping the Resource Curse and the Dutch Disease [J]. American Journal of Economics and Sociology,2006,65(3)
[26]Lederrilan, D., Maloney, W. F. In Search of the Missing Resource Curse [Z].Policy Research Working Paper 4766,2008.
[27]Leite, C., Weidmann, J. Does Mother Nature Corrupt? Nature Resources, Corruption, and Economic Growth [Z]. IMF Working Paper WP/99/85,1999 Manzano, O., Rigobon, R. Resource Curse or Debt Overhang? [Z]. NBER Working Paper No.8390,2001.
[28]Murshed, M. when Does Natural Resource Abundance Lead to a Resource Curse? [Z] Environmental Economic Programme Discussion,2004
[29]Papyrakis, E., Gerlagh, R. Resource Abundance and Economic Growth in the United States [J]. European Economic Review,2007,51(4)
[30]Papyrakis, E., Oerlagh, R. The Resource Curse Hypothesis and Its Transmission Channels [J]. Journal of Comparative Economics 2004,32(1).
[31]Ramsey, F. P. A Mathematical Theory of Saving [J]. Economic Journal,1928, 38(152).
[32]Robinson, J. A., Torvik, R., Verdie, T. Political Foundations of the Resource Curse [J]. Journal of Development Economics.2006,79(2).
[33]Sachs, J. D., Warner, A. L. Natural Resource and Economic Development:The Curse of Natural Resources [J]. European Economic Review,2001,45(4/6).
[34]Sachs, J. D., Warner, A. M. Natural resource abundance and economic growth [Z].NBER Working Paper No.5398,1995.
[35]Sala-i-Martin, X., Subramanian, A. Addressing the Natural Resource Curse:An Illustration from Nigeria [Z]. NBER Working Paper No.9804,2003.
[36]Torvik, R. Natural Resources, Rent Seeking and Welfare [J]. Journal of Development Economics,2002,67(2).
[37]Usui, N. Dutch Disease and Policy Adjustments to the Oil Boom:A Comparative Study of Indonesia and Mexico [J]. Resource Policy,1997,23(4)
[38]Vincent, J. R. Resource Depletion and Economic Sustainability in Malaysia [J]. Environment and Development Economics,1997, (2).
[39]Wen, M., King, S. P. Push or Pull? The Relationship between Development, Trade and Primary Resource Endowment [J] Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,2004,53(4).