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大股东资金侵占与上市公司的现金股利政策研究
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摘要
上市公司的大股东是否直接或以现金股利方式间接侵占公司资金一直是困绕学术界和实务界的共同问题。我国证券市场成立之初就被赋予了为国有企业改革服务的重要职责,特殊的历史和制度背景,决定了我国的上市公司有着不同于西方国家的独特而又复杂的股权结构。本文的研究正是以这一特殊的制度背景为基础展开的。
     本文首先介绍了研究的主要内容,然后回顾了经典的股利理论,总结了与股权结构有关的资金侵占和股利政策方面的研究成果,并对我国目前上市公司的股权结构、现金股利分配和资金侵占的现状进行了分析。并且在以我国的股权分裂制度为背景,对大股东的股权定价模型进行扩展的基础上,结合以前的研究和我国的现状,提出了本文的5个假设。最后通过描述性统计、单因素分析和联立方程模型对本文的假设进行验证,得出了本文的结论。
     本文的研究结果显示,第一大股东的持股比例对上市公司的资金侵占和现金股利政策有重要影响。第一大股东的持股比例与现金股利高度正相关,与资金侵占呈先上升后下降的倒“U”关系。国有控股股东有很强的现金股利偏好,但是其对上市公司的资金侵占程度比非国有控股股东低。资金侵占和现金股利同是大股东实现自身股权价值最大化的方式,两者具有相互替代性(负相关)。
Whether or not the large shareholders of listed companies embezzle the funds directly or use an indirectly way by using the cash dividend policy is a problem, which puzzled the academia a long time. At the beginning of the Chinese stock market coming into existence, it was designed to serve those state enterprises. To maintain the main body of the public ownership, all the state enterprises listed in the market are still controlled by the State. This paper is based on the special background.
     Firstly, the paper presents the main content. Then it backdates the classic dividend theory, and sum up the research result which relate with the ownership structure, embezzlement and the dividend policy. And it analyzes the current status of ownership structure of listed companies, the cash dividend distribution and embezzlement in China. Based on the special background in our country, the paper expands the equity pricing model of the large shareholder. Combining the previous research and the current status of our country, the paper put forward five hypotheses. Finally, the paper verifies the hypotheses by using the descriptive statistics, the single factor analysis and the structure equation model, and gets the results.
     The results shows that the equity rate of the large shareholder have an important impact on the embezzlement and the cash dividend policy. The equity rate of the large shareholder has positive impact on the cash dividend, and it has a reversed”U”relationship whit the embezzlement, witch first rising and then declining. State owned shareholders have a strong preference for cash dividend, and it has low degree of embezzlements than non-state-owned shareholders. Both the embezzlement and the cash dividend are the ways to maximize the value of shares by the biggest shareholders. Both of them are replaceable (negative correlation).
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