农民工返乡创业行为影响因素的实证研究
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摘要
内容摘要：农民工是我国经济社会转型时期的特殊现象。农民工返乡创业现象是伴随着农民工流动而产生的,积极扶持农民工返乡创业,既有利于实现农民工自身就业,也有利于发挥创业带动就业的倍增效应,对于拓展农民工就业渠道,提高农民收入,转移农村剩余劳动力、推进农业产业化经营和城乡经济一体化,促进农村经济社会发展和社会主义新农村建设具有举足轻重的作用。“十二五”时期的战略为农民工返乡创业营造了良好的环境,而鼓励农民工返乡创业则是实现“十二五”时期战略的重要方式。江西省是一个农业劳动力输出大省,研究江西农民工返乡创业行为的影响因素,并针对性的提出促进农民工返乡创业的政策,对于抓住此时千载难逢的机会,加快江西经济又好又快的发展具有重要的现实意义。
本文利用江西省农民工返乡创业情况调查数据,首先,应用统计描述性分析农民工返乡创业的基本行为；其次,运用统计交叉法分析农民工返乡创业行为影响因素；再次,采用二元计量分析法深入探讨农民工返乡创业行为影响因素,考查各因素的作用方向及程度；然后,通过典型案例分析法从实践中加以讨论；最后,总结全文主要结论,在此基础上针对性地提出促进农民工返乡创业的建议。具体框架如下：
第一章,着重介绍研究的背景、意义、内容以及目标等；第二章,梳理国内外有关影响创业行为的文献综述,并为本文的研究建立扎实的理论基础；第三章,应用统计描述性分析法,宏观上把握农民工返乡创业行为的基本状况；第四章,运用统计交叉分析法,对农民工返乡创业行为影响因素进行考查,并根据影响因素的特征来分析返乡农民工对创业的认知情况、态度及评价；第五章,建立二元计量模型,根据模型结果对农民工返乡创业行为影响因素进行分析与讨论；第六章,通过典型案例分析法从现实方面来更深刻的体会农民工返乡创业行为影响因素；第七章,总结全文得出的主要结论,并依据本文的研究结果,提出相应的促进农民工返乡创业的政策建议。
Content:The rural-urban migrant worker is a special phenomenon during the adjustment and transformation of socioeconomic in China. The phenomenon of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship is coming along with the flowing rural labor force. Appropriate policy which actively supports the rural-urban migrant workers'return and venture is not only conducive to the employment of migrant workers themselves, but also conducive to play start to improve employment multiplier effects. What's more, it plays a significant role on expanding employment channel, raising farmers' income, transferring rural surplus labor force, promoting industrialized operation of agriculture and rural economic integration, progressing rural socioeconomic development and new socialist rural areas'construction. The strategy in the twelfth five-year creates great surroundings for migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship, by contrast, encouragement of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship is a vital way that realizes the strategy. Jiangxi is a major agricultural labor force province, therefore, in order to accelerate Jiangxi's economy development, the study on the influencing factors on the behavior of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship, and focusing on the promotion of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial policy, has important practical significance.
This paper is based on the initial data collected from the survey and research of the behaviors of rural-urban migrant workers' return and venture. First of all, using statistical description analyses the fundamental behavior of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship. Then, using statistical crossing method analyses the influencing factor of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship. Once again, using two-variable regression depth analyses the factor of migrant workers'conduct, concerning the role and degree of each factor. Later, using typical case analysis method discuss in practice. Finally, summarizing the main conclusions of text, as well as giving advice to promote migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial decision-making. Specific framework is as follows:
The first chapter focuses on the background, meaning, content and objectives. The second chapter combs the literature review about entrepreneurial behavior at home and abroad to establish a solid theoretical foundation. The third chapter uses statistical descriptive analysis method to grasp the fundamental behavior of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship in macro. The fourth chapter uses statistical crossing analysis method to examine the influencing factor of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial behavior, based on the factors to analyze the return of migrant workers to entrepreneurial cognition, attitude and evaluation. The fifth chapter builds two-variable regression model, then, analyzes and discusses the influencing factor of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial behavior according to the result. The sixth chapter uses typical case analysis method to attain a deeper understanding of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial behavior in practice. The last chapter summarizes the main conclusions text, and based on the results of this study gives policy recommendations to the corresponding promotion of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship.
本文利用江西省农民工返乡创业情况调查数据,首先,应用统计描述性分析农民工返乡创业的基本行为；其次,运用统计交叉法分析农民工返乡创业行为影响因素；再次,采用二元计量分析法深入探讨农民工返乡创业行为影响因素,考查各因素的作用方向及程度；然后,通过典型案例分析法从实践中加以讨论；最后,总结全文主要结论,在此基础上针对性地提出促进农民工返乡创业的建议。具体框架如下：
第一章,着重介绍研究的背景、意义、内容以及目标等；第二章,梳理国内外有关影响创业行为的文献综述,并为本文的研究建立扎实的理论基础；第三章,应用统计描述性分析法,宏观上把握农民工返乡创业行为的基本状况；第四章,运用统计交叉分析法,对农民工返乡创业行为影响因素进行考查,并根据影响因素的特征来分析返乡农民工对创业的认知情况、态度及评价；第五章,建立二元计量模型,根据模型结果对农民工返乡创业行为影响因素进行分析与讨论；第六章,通过典型案例分析法从现实方面来更深刻的体会农民工返乡创业行为影响因素；第七章,总结全文得出的主要结论,并依据本文的研究结果,提出相应的促进农民工返乡创业的政策建议。
Content:The rural-urban migrant worker is a special phenomenon during the adjustment and transformation of socioeconomic in China. The phenomenon of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship is coming along with the flowing rural labor force. Appropriate policy which actively supports the rural-urban migrant workers'return and venture is not only conducive to the employment of migrant workers themselves, but also conducive to play start to improve employment multiplier effects. What's more, it plays a significant role on expanding employment channel, raising farmers' income, transferring rural surplus labor force, promoting industrialized operation of agriculture and rural economic integration, progressing rural socioeconomic development and new socialist rural areas'construction. The strategy in the twelfth five-year creates great surroundings for migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship, by contrast, encouragement of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship is a vital way that realizes the strategy. Jiangxi is a major agricultural labor force province, therefore, in order to accelerate Jiangxi's economy development, the study on the influencing factors on the behavior of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship, and focusing on the promotion of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial policy, has important practical significance.
This paper is based on the initial data collected from the survey and research of the behaviors of rural-urban migrant workers' return and venture. First of all, using statistical description analyses the fundamental behavior of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship. Then, using statistical crossing method analyses the influencing factor of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship. Once again, using two-variable regression depth analyses the factor of migrant workers'conduct, concerning the role and degree of each factor. Later, using typical case analysis method discuss in practice. Finally, summarizing the main conclusions of text, as well as giving advice to promote migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial decision-making. Specific framework is as follows:
The first chapter focuses on the background, meaning, content and objectives. The second chapter combs the literature review about entrepreneurial behavior at home and abroad to establish a solid theoretical foundation. The third chapter uses statistical descriptive analysis method to grasp the fundamental behavior of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship in macro. The fourth chapter uses statistical crossing analysis method to examine the influencing factor of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial behavior, based on the factors to analyze the return of migrant workers to entrepreneurial cognition, attitude and evaluation. The fifth chapter builds two-variable regression model, then, analyzes and discusses the influencing factor of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial behavior according to the result. The sixth chapter uses typical case analysis method to attain a deeper understanding of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurial behavior in practice. The last chapter summarizes the main conclusions text, and based on the results of this study gives policy recommendations to the corresponding promotion of migrant workers-returning entrepreneurship.
引文
1杨敬：《2007年年终经济述评：就业形势的新动向值得关注》,载《中国信息报》,2008年2月28日
2数据引自于《江西百万返乡农民工享受优惠创业政策》,载《中国新闻网》,2009年4月17日
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2数据引自于《江西百万返乡农民工享受优惠创业政策》,载《中国新闻网》,2009年4月17日
[1]达摩达尔·N·古扎拉蒂.计量经济学基础.中国人民大学出版社,2005(4).
[2]贵州省人力资源开发促进会.关于贵州省农民工回乡创业情况的调查与建议.2008.
[3]陕西省农村劳动力资源开发促进会.关于陕西省农民工回乡创业情况的调查与建议.2007.
[4]云南省农村劳动力资源开发促进会.云南省农民工回乡创业的情况.2007.
[5]钱永红.创业意向影响因素研究[J].浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2007(7).
[6]林斐.对百名“打工”回乡创业农民的问卷调查及综合分析[J].中国农村经济,2002(3)
[7]梁欣.返乡创业—农民工的理性选择[J].凯里学院学报,2008(6).
[8]陈文华,刘毅.破除农民工回乡创业障碍的政策建议—来自江西的调研报告.2008.
[9]孙永松.影响农民工回乡创业意愿的因素分析—以江苏省南京市为例[D].南京农业大学硕士论文,2008(6).
[10]韦吉飞,王建华、李录堂等.农民创业行为影响因素研究—基于西北五省区调查的实证分析[J].财贸研究,2008(5)
[11]孙永松.有关农民工回乡创业的研究综述.财经界,2007(8).
[12]崔传义,伍振军.返乡创业农民工的收入增长对人力资本的影响.重庆社会科学,2008(12)
[13]李丽群.外出务工农民回乡创业问题研究-以江西省为例[D].江西农业大学硕士论文,2005(6).
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[15]王国华.农民创业现状及其影响因素研究—基于顾高三镇的实证[J].农村经济,2009(6)
[16]胡明文.外出农民工回乡创业现状分析—以江西省万年县为例[J].江西农业大学学报(社会科学版),2006(1).
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