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我国商业银行资本监管有效性研究
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摘要
资本是商业银行赖以生存和发展的基石,资本监管也是银行监管的核心。《巴塞尔资本协议》实施以来,资本标准成为了衡量单个银行乃至银行体系稳健性的公认的国际标准,成为维护银行业公平竞争的重要标尺。正因为资本监管在银行监管中的重要地位,资本监管是否有效将影响到商业银行安全经营和宏观经济稳定。经过几次金融危机的洗礼,资本监管取得了长足的发展。然而,商业银行处于不断创新和发展中,同样商业银行监管也需要不断地改进,以适应商业银行的发展。2008年次贷危机的爆发使金融监管受到了普遍质疑,商业银行资本监管再一次被推到风口浪尖,为什么资本监管没有让银行经营足够稳健?我国金融体系的相对封闭,使我们金融机构暂时躲过这场灾难。但是随着我国金融日益开放,如果下一次危机来临,我国资本监管能否帮助商业银行有效抵御风险,保障经济平稳运行呢?
     本文遵循从理论到实践的研究路径。本文从理论上分析实施商业银行资本监管的必要性,找出资本监管有效性评价的理论依据。从实践上回顾了国外和我国商业银行资本监管发展的各个阶段。国外资本监管主要经历了主观资本监管、客观资本监管、《巴塞尔资本协议》统一监管和次贷危机后监管四个阶段,我国资本监管则经历了资本监管空白期、资本监管软约束、资本监管硬约束和次贷危机后监管四个阶段。回顾了资本监管实践发展后,就当前资本监管下我国商业银行的资本变化和资本充足率提升途径进行了分析。在理论和实践分析的基础上,本文从三个方面研究了我国资本监管有效性:资本监管是否降低了商业银行风险;资本监管是否影响了宏观经济运行;资本监管是否削弱了商业银行长期竞争力。降低商业银行风险是资本监管的首要目标,也是最终目的。资本监管可以从直接和间接两个方面影响宏观经济及经济周期。间接上,资本监管可以通过货币政策传导而影响宏观经济。直接上,资本监管可以通过商业银行贷款来影响宏观经济。资本监管对商业银行长期竞争力的影响,需要从商业银行市场占有份额、商业银行银行盈利能力和银行业公平竞争度三个方面来综合判断。资本监管的加强,可能导致商业银行缩减信贷,从而削弱商业银行与资本市场竞争中的竞争力,也会降低商业银行的盈利能力,不过严格统一的资本监管有利于银行业的公平竞争。
     研究结果表明,首先,不管是资本充足情况较好的银行,还是资本充足情况不好的银行在资本监管压力下都提高了资本充足率,资本监管也促进了商业银行风险的降低,不过效果逐渐减弱;其次,短期内资本监管会恶化宏观经济,但在长期内,资本充足率较高银行的顺经济周期性要小于资本充足率低的银行,说明资本监管对宏观经济起到“稳定器”的作用;再次,资本监管在一定程度上削弱了银行业与资本市场竞争中的竞争力,银行业市场占有份额有所下降;资本监管对我国商业银行盈利能力影响不大,盈利能力主要受其他因素的影响;资本监管在一定程度上可以影响到银行业市场竞争度,但是目前影响我国银行业市场竞争度的主要因素并不是资本监管,也就是说资本监管对维护银行业公平竞争中的作用不大。总体上来看,资本监管在提高商业银行资本充足率的同时,有助于宏观经济的稳定发展,但在一定程度上削弱了商业银行长期竞争力。
     我国资本监管取得了一定的效果,也存在许多需要改进的地方,尤其是在当前金融危机背景下。根据对我国商业资本监管有效性分析结果和当前金融危机下资本监管表现的不足,本文提出了提高我国商业银行资本监管有效性的政策建议:(1)建立资本监管逆周期机制;(2)建立资本监管的激励机制;(3)注意与其他宏观政策配合(4)改进资本充足率计量体系;(5)提高资本金质量的标准;(6)加强对表外业务的监管;(7)建立多元化资本补充渠道。
The capital is the foundation of the survival and development of the commercial banks,and the capital regulation is the core of banking supervision. Since the implementation of "Basel Capital Accord", capital standard has turned into a generally accepted international standard to measure the stability of single bank and even of the whole banking system, as an important benchmark to maintain fair competition in banking industry. Since capital regulation play an important role in banking supervision,the effectiveness of capital regulation will affect the safe operations of commercial banks and the stability of macroeconomic. After several financial crises, capital regulation has made considerable development. However, commercial banks are in constant innovation and development, supervision of commercial banks also need to improve continually to meet the development of commercial banks. The broke out of 2008 subprime crisis let the financial regulators to be widely questioned, commercial bank capital regulation has been pushed to cusp once again. Why can't capital regulation let bank operation robust enough? China's finncial system is relatively closed so that our financial institutions escape from this disaster temporarily. But with the increasingly open of China's financial, can our capital regulation help commercial banks to resist risks and protect the economic stability if next crisis come?
     The article follows this research path that from theory to practice:analyzed the necessary of capital regulation to the commercial banks from the theory, and find out the theoretical basis to identify the effectiveness of capital regulation; reviewed all stages of development of commercial bank capital regulation at abroad from the practice. The foreign Capital Regulation experienced four stages:Subjective capital regulation, objective capital regulation, "the Basel Capital Accord" unified control and supervision of sub-prime crisis. Capital Regulation in China experienced the blank capital regulation, capital regulation of soft constraints, capital regulation of hard constraints and supervision of sub-prime crisis. After reviewed the practice of capital regulation, under the current capital regulation, the article analyzed the capital changes of commercial banks and ways to improve capital adequacy in China. Based on the analysis of theory and practice, this paper researched three aspects of the effectiveness of capital regulation in China:Does capital regulation reduces the risk of commercial banks; capital regulation affected the macro-economy; capital regulation is undermined long-term competitiveness of commercial banks. The primary objective of capital regulation is to reduce the risk of commercial banks, which is the ultimate goal of capital regulation. Capital regulation can affect the macroeconomic and business cycle from directly and indirectly. Indirectly, capital regulation can affect macroeconomic by monetary policy transmission. Directly, capital regulation can affect macroeconomic by Commercial bank loans. Capital Regulation Influenced the bank's long-term competitiveness banks, judge the impact need Consider three aspects:the competition of banking and capital markets, commercial bank's profitability and degree of fair competition in the banking industry. Strengthening of capital regulation may lead to reduced commercial bank credit, thereby weakening the commercial bank's competitiveness, will also reduce the profitability of commercial banks, but the strict and unified supervision of capital is conducive to fair competition in the banking sector.
     The results show that, first of all, Banks all rise their capital adequacies under the pressure caused by the capital regulation regardless of whether their capital adequacies are satisfactory. And the capital regulation also contributes to reducing the risk of commercial banks,but the effect is gradually weakened; Secondly, the capital regulation worsens the macroeconomic in the short term, but in the long term, the banks with high capital adequacy ratios are less obvious than banks wiht low capital adequacy in adapting to economic cycles, which shows that the capital regulation plays a "stabilizer "role on macroeconomic; Finally, the capital regulation weakens the competitiveness between banking and capital markets to some extent; the capital regulation has little effect on the profitability of Chinese commercial banks, which is mainly affected by other factors; the capital regulation affects the level of competition in the banking sector to a certain extent,but what affects present level of competition in the banking sector is not the regulatory capital mainly, that is the capital regulation has a tiny effect on maintaining fair competition in the banking sector.Overall, the capital regulation not only urges commercial banks to raise the capital adequacy ratio, but also has a positive effect on macroeconomic. However, it undermines the long-term competitiveness of commercial banks to a certain extent.
     Capital Regulation in China has borne some fruits,but there are many areas for improvement, especially in the context of the current financial crisis. According to the results of the analysis on the effectiveness of China's commericial bank capital regulation and the ill-performance of capital regulation during the present financial crisis, we advance in this paper some effective suggestions on how to improve the effectiveness of China's capital regulation. (1)establish of mechanisms for counter-cyclical capital regulation; (2) the establishment of Regulatory capital incentives; (3) Carry out regulatory policies in accordance with other macro policies(4) improve the capital adequacy ratio measurement system;(5) improve the capital quality;(6) strengthen regulation of the off balance sheet iteams;(7)establish a diversified capital added sourse.
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