中国现代服务业地区差异与集聚发展的实证研究
|
摘要
本文在吸收国内外研究成果基础上,对中国现代服务业的区域性差异和集聚发展进行了分析,并对中国现代服务业的发展提出政策建议。主要内容包括:(1)界定了现代服务业的内涵,并从五个方面对我国现代服务业发展现状做了分析。(2)利用李朝鲜(2007)建立的现代服务业评价指标体系,运用层次分析法确定各指标的权重,选择的评价模型对现阶段我国31个省、市、自治区的现代服务业发展做出综合评价。(3)利用产业集聚测度方法对中国现代服务业产业集聚指数进行测算,得出中国现代服务业及内部行业的集聚现状及发展趋势。(4)利用面板数据模型,选取人力资源投入、投资水平、基础设施、技术创新能力、市场化发展水平、政府支持力度六个因素对中国现代服务业集聚发展的影响进行了分析。(5)根据以上分析结果,对中国现代服务业的发展提出了政策建议。
Since reform and open policy, along with the fast development of our country national economy, the economic structure has had the very sweeping change. Service industry, especially modern service industry enhances the status and function in national economy day by day .Service industry development has played the very vital role, regarding with increasing the employment post, improving industrial structure, raising the living standards, promoting the national economy to grow and maintaining the social stability. Presently, our country enters the new development phase of the comprehensive construction of affluent society and speeding up the advancement socialism modernization, developing modern service industry is more important and urgent. Along with the intensive global economic service tendency, the remarkable constitutive change of service industry has happened. Modern service industry is separated from the traditional service industry and grows fast, becomes the important support of the modern economic growth.
The domestic and foreign scholars have conducted the massive research on this emerging research area, According to the domestic and foreign research results, the document illustrated the characteristic of service industry development comprehensively, and the present situation of our country’s service industry development and opportunity and challenge. However, due to the lack of the comprehensive research of our country’s modern service industry, overseas literature, the modern service industry is researched almost all by position choice, the spatial proliferation and the contribution to area development, it is elaborated to the modern service industry competitive advantage and the regional economies superiority influence. Therefore, this thesis makes up the shortage of the domestic and foreign research to modern service industry, carries on the detailed research to the Chinese modern service industry. And survey the Chinese modern service industry by the overseas research methods from two aspects of the geographical superiority and the industrial cluster.
First, this thesis introduces the connotation, the essential feature, the driving mechanism of modern service industry as well as the present situation of Chinese modern service industry development. Through to the empirical analysis, it is discovered that the development of Chinese modern service industry is unbalanced, the area which the level of development is high, its rising momentum is strong. The employment proportion is more lower than the output proportion, and the Regional disparity is more bigger. The concentrated level of the financial industry is different from the level of economic development, of the each area the concentrated level of estate industry is higher in the east of China, and the concentrated level of social service industry is higher in the western of China.
Second, by using the modern service industry evaluating system which is established by Li Yuan-chao in 2007, applying the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to determine the weight of various targets, then choose a reasonable evaluation model to make a synthetic evaluation to the present modern service industry development of Chinese 31 provinces, which is from the level of modern service industry's development, the growth ability of modern service industry, the basic requirement of development of modern service industry, the public environment of development modern service industry and the comparison superiority of modern service industry five aspects. The result indicates: (1) The area which the comparison superiority of modern service industry is obvious, its synthesis strength is also strong. The reason why the compared superiority and the integrated development strength have strong connection relation is because the comparison superiority manifested the synthesis competition of the local modern service industry, which is the foundation of development of local modern service industry. (2) The level of economic development has an important effect to the synthesis strength of modern service industry. The synthesis strength of modern service industry of economical developed area is strong, the synthesis strength of modern service industry is weak to those economically backward localities in mid-west. Only the economy achieves certain level, service industry development will achieve the corresponding level. (3) The disparity of east and the mid-west is obvious, but the disparity of the mid and west of China is not obvious.
Third, the concentrated measure method is used to measure the index of the Chinese modern service industry, from which we may see the centralized degree and the trend of development of our country’s modern service industry. (1) The concentrated level of our regional modern service industry is unbalanced, and presents a phenomenon that with which the economic development level is inconsistent phenomenon. On one hand, this kind of contrast possibly is because the function of modern service industry had not be full used in our country’s economic development. On the other hand , along with industrial structure's promotion, the adjustment of modern service industry as well as the function in economic development is enhancing gradually, which will certainly to reduce the disparity of various provinces economic development in our country and avoid the polarization of the regional economies development.(2) The average value of the various provinces modern service industry position business is only 0.90, which indicates that the concentrated level of modern service industry in our country is not high. Therefore, how to enhance the concentrated level of our country’s modern service industry, and promote the entire industry competitive power is the problem which is to be solved urgently at present. (3)The GINI coefficient and the H index of modern service industry in various professions and the entire industrial overall are low, the concentrated level of modern service industry is not to be high, but it is being enhanced year by year.
Fourth, using the data model, the selection of human resources investment, the level of investment, the infrastructure, the ability of technological innovation, the marketability level of development, the dynamics of government supporting six factors to carry on the analysis that influence to the concentrated of level of the Chinese modern service industry, from the model result we can see: (1) Human resources investment promotes the concentration of modern service industry, and the model parameter value is remarkable, which illustrates the employed people of modern service industry are a dominant character of modern service industry development, the more the employment population of modern service industry, the more easier to cause modern service industry concentration, the concentrated level of modern service industry is higher.(2)The parameter estimated value of the investment level is quite remarkable, but the coefficient is negative, which shows that concentrated horizon of Chinese modern service industry and the investment has negative correlation relations. The result is opposite with our anticipated, but this possibly suits the actual situation of our country’s economic development. On one hand, certain areas of our country possibly exist the situation that the modern service industry invests excessively, and the building redundant project, which create the resources waste. On the other hand, the overall level of the production service industry and the modern service industry is low, but modern service industry requests quite high to the technology, the talented person and so on. Therefore, in certain areas, especially those economic development backward areas, the investment on the modern service industry has not been able to play the role in the modern service industry development, thus affects the concentrated level of the modern service industry. (3) The infrastructure level and the concentration of the modern service industry have the inverse correlation, which is inconsistent with ours anticipated. It was possibly because our country’s logistics and communication industry have developed fast in recent years, enabling a distinct enhancement to infrastructure, but the reason is that the level of development in various areas of modern service industry is low and the concentrated speed is slow. But modern service industry is certainly favors to accumulate to the areas where the local infrastructure is good. Along with the rapid development in various areas of modern service industry, the good infrastructure definitely will promote the concentrated level of the modern service industry, which is reason why the concentrated degree is quite high in some provinces of the east of our country. (4) Technological innovation ability—The estimated value of patent authorization quantity the individual fixed effect model adopted the T-test only and the influence is weak. On one hand, it is possibly because the high-tech of our country has not been applied fully in the development of modern service industry. On the other hand, it is possibly because the level of development of modern service industry is low in our country and the difference of local development is big, which causes the relevance of the technological innovation ability and the concentrated horizon of modern service industry is weak. But along with the development of modern service industry and the enhancement of technical level, the region which the technological innovation ability is strong will certainly attract the accumulation of the modern service industry, which gain the knowledge overflow. Finally, according to analyzing above, putting forward the policy proposal for the development of our country’s modern service industry.
Since reform and open policy, along with the fast development of our country national economy, the economic structure has had the very sweeping change. Service industry, especially modern service industry enhances the status and function in national economy day by day .Service industry development has played the very vital role, regarding with increasing the employment post, improving industrial structure, raising the living standards, promoting the national economy to grow and maintaining the social stability. Presently, our country enters the new development phase of the comprehensive construction of affluent society and speeding up the advancement socialism modernization, developing modern service industry is more important and urgent. Along with the intensive global economic service tendency, the remarkable constitutive change of service industry has happened. Modern service industry is separated from the traditional service industry and grows fast, becomes the important support of the modern economic growth.
The domestic and foreign scholars have conducted the massive research on this emerging research area, According to the domestic and foreign research results, the document illustrated the characteristic of service industry development comprehensively, and the present situation of our country’s service industry development and opportunity and challenge. However, due to the lack of the comprehensive research of our country’s modern service industry, overseas literature, the modern service industry is researched almost all by position choice, the spatial proliferation and the contribution to area development, it is elaborated to the modern service industry competitive advantage and the regional economies superiority influence. Therefore, this thesis makes up the shortage of the domestic and foreign research to modern service industry, carries on the detailed research to the Chinese modern service industry. And survey the Chinese modern service industry by the overseas research methods from two aspects of the geographical superiority and the industrial cluster.
First, this thesis introduces the connotation, the essential feature, the driving mechanism of modern service industry as well as the present situation of Chinese modern service industry development. Through to the empirical analysis, it is discovered that the development of Chinese modern service industry is unbalanced, the area which the level of development is high, its rising momentum is strong. The employment proportion is more lower than the output proportion, and the Regional disparity is more bigger. The concentrated level of the financial industry is different from the level of economic development, of the each area the concentrated level of estate industry is higher in the east of China, and the concentrated level of social service industry is higher in the western of China.
Second, by using the modern service industry evaluating system which is established by Li Yuan-chao in 2007, applying the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to determine the weight of various targets, then choose a reasonable evaluation model to make a synthetic evaluation to the present modern service industry development of Chinese 31 provinces, which is from the level of modern service industry's development, the growth ability of modern service industry, the basic requirement of development of modern service industry, the public environment of development modern service industry and the comparison superiority of modern service industry five aspects. The result indicates: (1) The area which the comparison superiority of modern service industry is obvious, its synthesis strength is also strong. The reason why the compared superiority and the integrated development strength have strong connection relation is because the comparison superiority manifested the synthesis competition of the local modern service industry, which is the foundation of development of local modern service industry. (2) The level of economic development has an important effect to the synthesis strength of modern service industry. The synthesis strength of modern service industry of economical developed area is strong, the synthesis strength of modern service industry is weak to those economically backward localities in mid-west. Only the economy achieves certain level, service industry development will achieve the corresponding level. (3) The disparity of east and the mid-west is obvious, but the disparity of the mid and west of China is not obvious.
Third, the concentrated measure method is used to measure the index of the Chinese modern service industry, from which we may see the centralized degree and the trend of development of our country’s modern service industry. (1) The concentrated level of our regional modern service industry is unbalanced, and presents a phenomenon that with which the economic development level is inconsistent phenomenon. On one hand, this kind of contrast possibly is because the function of modern service industry had not be full used in our country’s economic development. On the other hand , along with industrial structure's promotion, the adjustment of modern service industry as well as the function in economic development is enhancing gradually, which will certainly to reduce the disparity of various provinces economic development in our country and avoid the polarization of the regional economies development.(2) The average value of the various provinces modern service industry position business is only 0.90, which indicates that the concentrated level of modern service industry in our country is not high. Therefore, how to enhance the concentrated level of our country’s modern service industry, and promote the entire industry competitive power is the problem which is to be solved urgently at present. (3)The GINI coefficient and the H index of modern service industry in various professions and the entire industrial overall are low, the concentrated level of modern service industry is not to be high, but it is being enhanced year by year.
Fourth, using the data model, the selection of human resources investment, the level of investment, the infrastructure, the ability of technological innovation, the marketability level of development, the dynamics of government supporting six factors to carry on the analysis that influence to the concentrated of level of the Chinese modern service industry, from the model result we can see: (1) Human resources investment promotes the concentration of modern service industry, and the model parameter value is remarkable, which illustrates the employed people of modern service industry are a dominant character of modern service industry development, the more the employment population of modern service industry, the more easier to cause modern service industry concentration, the concentrated level of modern service industry is higher.(2)The parameter estimated value of the investment level is quite remarkable, but the coefficient is negative, which shows that concentrated horizon of Chinese modern service industry and the investment has negative correlation relations. The result is opposite with our anticipated, but this possibly suits the actual situation of our country’s economic development. On one hand, certain areas of our country possibly exist the situation that the modern service industry invests excessively, and the building redundant project, which create the resources waste. On the other hand, the overall level of the production service industry and the modern service industry is low, but modern service industry requests quite high to the technology, the talented person and so on. Therefore, in certain areas, especially those economic development backward areas, the investment on the modern service industry has not been able to play the role in the modern service industry development, thus affects the concentrated level of the modern service industry. (3) The infrastructure level and the concentration of the modern service industry have the inverse correlation, which is inconsistent with ours anticipated. It was possibly because our country’s logistics and communication industry have developed fast in recent years, enabling a distinct enhancement to infrastructure, but the reason is that the level of development in various areas of modern service industry is low and the concentrated speed is slow. But modern service industry is certainly favors to accumulate to the areas where the local infrastructure is good. Along with the rapid development in various areas of modern service industry, the good infrastructure definitely will promote the concentrated level of the modern service industry, which is reason why the concentrated degree is quite high in some provinces of the east of our country. (4) Technological innovation ability—The estimated value of patent authorization quantity the individual fixed effect model adopted the T-test only and the influence is weak. On one hand, it is possibly because the high-tech of our country has not been applied fully in the development of modern service industry. On the other hand, it is possibly because the level of development of modern service industry is low in our country and the difference of local development is big, which causes the relevance of the technological innovation ability and the concentrated horizon of modern service industry is weak. But along with the development of modern service industry and the enhancement of technical level, the region which the technological innovation ability is strong will certainly attract the accumulation of the modern service industry, which gain the knowledge overflow. Finally, according to analyzing above, putting forward the policy proposal for the development of our country’s modern service industry.
引文
[1] P. W. Daniels. Services Industries: A Geographical Appraisal [M]. London: Methuen, 1985.
[2]T.P.Hill.On Goods and Services[J].Review of Income and Wealth, 1977,23 (4):45-52.
[3]Camagni, R. Local Milieu.Uncertainty and Innovation Networks: Towards a New Dynamic Theory of Economic Space in Camagn [M]. Belhaven Press, 1991.
[4]Jean-Claude Delaunay,Jean Gadrey.Services in Economic Thought: Three Centuries ofDebate [M]. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992.
[5]Sassen, S. Cities in a World Economy [M].Thousand Oaks: Pine Forge Press. 1994.
[6]A.S.Bailly.Producer Services Research in Europe[J].Professional Geography, 1995,47:58-61.
[7]Howells,Green.Technology and Industrial Organization in UK Services[J].Progress in Planning, 1986,2:89-101.
[8]Shelp, R. the Role of Service Technology in Development, in Service Industries and Economic Development Transfer [J]. NY: Praeger Publishers,1984,28(3):205-218.
[9]Muller,E. and Zenker, A.Bussiness Services as Actors of Knowledge Transformation: the Role of KIBS in Regional and National Innovation Systems.[J]. Research policy,2001,30:1501-1516.
[10]Bessant, J. Rush, H. Building Bridge for Innovation: the Role of Consultants In-technology Transfer [J]. Research Policy, 1995, 24: 97-114.
[11]Sven.Illeris and Jean Philippe.Introduction: The Role of Services in Regional Economic Growth [J]. Service Industries Journal, 1993,13:3-10.
[12]Gadrey, J, Gallouj, F. The Provider-Customer Interface in Business and Professional Services [J].The Service Industries Journal, 1998, 18: 1-15.
[13]Moulaert.F, Gsllouj.The Locational Geography of Advanced Producer Firms: The Limits of Economies of Agglomeration in Daniels[C].The geography of services Frank Cass, 1993.
[14]Barras, R.Interactive Innovation in Financial and Business Services: The Vanguard of The Service Revolution [J].Research Policy, 1990, 5: 161- 173.
[15]Scott, A.J. Flexible Production Systems and Regional Development: The Rise of New Industrial Spaces in North American and Western Europe [J]. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 1988, 12: 171-186.
[16]Keeble, D. Wilkinson, F. ed. High-technology Clusters: Networking and Collective Learning in Europe [C]. Ashgate Aldershot, 2000.
[17]Wood. PA. Flexible Accumulation and The Rise of Business Services [J].Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 1992, 16: 160-173.
[18]Pinch.S., Henry. A Paul Krugman's Geographical Economics, Industrials Clustering and TheBritish Motor Sport Industry [J]. Regional Studies, 1999, 33: 815-827.
[19] Arthur. Silicon Valley Locational Clusters: When Do Increasing Returns to Scale Imply Monopoly [J].Mathematical Social Sciences, 1990,19:235-251.
[20] F. Moulaert, F. Dellal.Information Technology Consultancy Firms:Economies of Agglomeration From a Wide-area Perspectives [J].Urban Studies, 1995,1:126-138.
[21]Miller, P.et al. Business Clusters in the UK一a First Assessment [R].Trade and Industry Main Report, 2001.
[22]Nachum,L.Keeble.Neo-Marshallian Nodes.Global Networks and Firm Competitiveness[R] University of Cambridge Working, 1999.
[23] Bergsman,J.P.Greenston and R. Healy.The Agglomeration Process in Urban Growth[J].Urban Studies,1972,9:263-288.
[24]Baptasta R. Geographical clusters and innovation diffusion[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2001,66(1):31-46.
[25]Ahokangas, Herd. Hot Spots and Blind Spots: Geographical Clusters of Firms and Innovation [J]. The Academy of Management Review, 1999,21(4):1192-1222.
[26]Hill,T.P., On Goods and Services[J]. The Review of Income and Wealth, 1977,23(23):315-338
[27]Coffey.W. and R.Shearmur,The Growth and Location of High Order Services in the Canadian Urban System, 1971~1991[J].The Professional Geographer,1997,49(4):404-418.
[28]William J. Baumol.Macroeconomics of Unbalanced Growth: The Anatomy of Urban Crisis[J]. American EconomicReview, 57, June 1967, 415-426.
[29]William J. Coffey,Richard G. Shearmur.Agglomeration and Dispersion of High-order Service Employment in the Montreal Metropolitan Region,1981-1996[J].Urban Studies,2002,39( 3):359–378.
[30]Sabourin.V. & Pinsonneault.I.Strategic Formation of Competitive High Technology Clusters[J]. International Journal of Technology Management, 1997, 13(2):165-178.
[31]Fujita, M., Hu Dapeng. Regional Disperity in China 1985～1994: The Effects of Globalization and Economic Liberalization [J].The Annals of Regional Science, 2001, 35:3-7.
[32]Gao ting. Regional Industrial Growth Evidence from Chinese Industries[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2004,34:101-124.
[33]Lewis,W.A..Economic Development With Unlimited Supplies of Labor[J]Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 1954, 22: 91- 139.
[34]王辑慈.创新的空间—企业集群与区域发展[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2001.
[35]高铁梅.计量经济分析方法与建模—EViews应用及实例[M].清华大学出版社,2006.
[36]李子奈,叶阿忠.高等计量经济学[M].清华大学出版社,2000.
[37]易丹辉.数据分析与Eviews应用[M].中国统计出版社,2002.
[38]孙洛平,孙海琳.产业集聚的交易费用理论[M].中国社会科学出版社,2006.
[39]杨小凯.经济学原理[M].中国社会科学出版社,1998.
[40]张元智,马鸣萧.产业集群:获取竞争优势的空间[M].华夏出版社,2006.
[41]黄少军.服务业与经济增长[M].经济科学出版社,2000.
[42]江小娟,裴长洪主编.中国服务业发展报告[M].社会科学文献出版社,2004.
[43]李善同.21世纪初的中国服务业[M].经济科学出版社,2002.
[44]李朝鲜,李宝仁.现代服务业评价指标体系与方法研究[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2007.
[45]张秀武.我国高技术产业集群与技术创新互动关系研究[D].福建:华侨大学商学院,2008.
[46]郭国峰,温军伟,孙保营.技术创新能力的影响因素分析―基于中部六省面板数据的实证研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007(9):134-143.
[47]朱英明.论产业集群的创新优势[J].中国软科学,2003(10):7-112.
[48]杨晓琴,于津平.我国高科技产业集聚的影响因素分析[J].科技进步与对策,2006(2):120-122.
[49]叶建亮.知识溢出与企业集群[J].经济科学,2001(3):23-30.
[50]顾乃华,李江帆.中国服务业技术效率区域差异的实证分析[J].经济研究,2006(1)46-56.
[51]廖涵.我国第三产业的发展状况及国际比较[J].中南财经大学学报,1998(2): 95-100.
[52]彭志龙.从国际比较看我国第三产业比重[J].统计研究,2001(3): 22-27.
[53]丁俊.当前我国服务业发展滞后的成因分析[J].计划与市场探索,2003(6):15-17.
[54]任启平,梁俊启.中国高新技术产业空间集聚影响因素实证研究[J].经济问题探索,2007(9):55-59.
[55]金煜,陈钊,陆铭.中国的地区工业集聚:经济地理、新经济地理与经济政策[J].经济研究,2006(4):79-89.
[56]代文.现代服务业集群的形成与发展研究[D].武汉:武汉理工大学管理学院,2007.
[57]李勇.企业集群内部生态关系分析[J].安徽农业科学,2006(34):5981-5982.
[58]魏剑锋.企业集群现象—生物学视角的一种解释[J].上海经济研究,2007(2):96-101.
[59]杨晓琴,于津平.我国高科技产业集聚的影响因素分析[J].科技进步与对策,2006(2):120-122.
[60]李冠霖,任旺兵.我国第三产业就业增长难度加大[J].财贸经济,2003(10):69-73.
[61]郑后建.浅析我国服务业结构问题及其对策建议[J].商场现代化,2004(12):67-69.
[62]程大中.论服务业在国民经济中的“黏合剂”作用[J].财贸经济,2004(2):68-74.
[63]阎小培,姚一民.广州第三产业发展变化及空间分布特征分析[J].地理经济,1997(2):41-48.
[64]郑吉昌,夏晴.论新型工业化和现代服务业的互动发展[J].科技进步论坛,2005(2):121-125.
[65]钟韵,阎小培.我国生产性服务业与经济发展关系研究[J].人文地理,2003(5):46-51.
[66]程大中.中国服务业的区位分布与地区专业化[J].财贸经济,2005(7):73-81.
[67]李红.知识密集型服务业特征剖析[J].情报杂志,2005(8):101-103.
[68]金雪军,毛捷,袁佳.知识服务业产业效能研究:理论与实证分析. [J].浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2004(4):68-76.
[69]魏江,夏雪玲.产业集群中知识密集型服务业的功能研究[J].科技进步与对策,2004(12):7-9.
[70]魏江,朱海燕.知识密集型服务业与产业集群发展的互动模式研究[J].研究与发展管理,2006(4):116-121.
[71]郑吉昌,夏晴.服务业发展与产业集群竞争优势[J].财贸经济,2005(7):82-86.
[72]陈守明,韩雪冰.基于制造业产业集群的生产者服务业发展模式[J].上海企业,2006(5):41-42.
[73]李红.知识密集型服务业集群研究述评[J]科学管理研究,2005(6):85-88.
[74]王晓玉.国外生产性服务业集聚研究述评[J].当代财经,2006(3):92-96.
[75]杨亚琴,王丹.国际大都市现代服务业集群发展的比较研究[J].世界经济研究,2005(1):61-66.
[76]杨亚琴.上海现代服务业集群发展的途径与机理[J].上海经济研究,2005(12):57-63.
[77]蒋三庚.CBD与现代服务业企业集群研究[J].首都经济贸易大学学报,2006(5):72-76.
[78]姚莉英.服务业集群发展模式研究[J].广东社会科学,2006(4):50-53.
[79]张树林.现代服务业集聚效应分析[J].北方经贸,2006(6):113-114.
[80]周振华.现代服务业发展:基础条件及构建[J].上海经济研究,2005(9):21-29.
[81]尚永胜.我国现代服务业发展现状、问题及对策[J].山西师大学报(社会科学版),2005(5):25-28.
[82]程大中.中国服务业增长的特点、原因及影响—鲍莫尔—富克斯假说及其经验研究[J].中国社会科学,2004(9):18-32.
[83]黄烨菁.服务业高新技术的内涵与衡量方式[J].世界经济研究,2007(12):62-66.
[84]黄维德.上海知识密集服务产业人才队伍状况调查研究[J].上海经济研究,2007(12):100-107.
[85]谭砚文,温思美,汪晓银.中、日、美服务业劳动生产率对经济增长促进作用的比较分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007(12):60-70.
[86]张明海.产业联系和上海现代服务业发展[J].上海经济研究,2007(10):63-70.
[87]刘建国.上海市消费服务业的变动趋势与政策选择[J].上海经济研究,2007(10): 71-75.
[88]冯海华,珏.生产者服务业与制造业互动发展的实证研究—以江苏省为例[J].审计与经济研究,2007(5): 88-92.
[89]李治堂.北京现代服务业发展问题与对策[J].商业时代,2007(24):119-120.
[90]汪德华,张再金,白重恩.政府规模、法治水平与服务业发展[J].经济研究, 2007(6):51-65.
[91]李治堂.现代服务业研究成果评述[J].商业时代,2007(15):12-14.
[92]于丹.美国服务业的经济“稳定器”作用及其对中国的启示[J].世界经济研究, 2007(5):75-81.
[93]陈李,励.长三角信息服务业的发展优势与实施策略[J].商业时代,2007(12):104-106.
[94]付红,洪彩.工业深化阶段服务业中间需求结构的转型[J].商业时代,2007(11):81-82.
[95]吴静.服务业FDI与区域经济增长关系研究——基于长三角地区数据的实证分析[J].审计与经济研究,2007(2):86-89.
[96]吴向鹏.产业集群:一个文献综述[J].当代财经,2003(9):105-108.
[97]刘友金.创新集群研究最新进展[J].经济学动态,2007(5):79-82.
[98]孙沛东,徐建牛.国外产业集群技术创新研究综述[J].广州大学学报(社会科学版),2004(7):71-78.
[99]陆娟,芦艳.间断性服务业顾客忠诚维度及其影响因素[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007(3):91-101.
[100]唐强荣,徐学军.生产性服务业研究述评[J].商业时代,2007(6):11-12.
[101]陈永国.谈河北“十一五”发展服务业的政策取向[J].商业时代,2007(6): 108.
[102]袁奇,刘崇仪.美国产业结构变动与服务业的发展[J].世界经济研究,2007(2):57-63.
[103]成健,李清,赵岩.河北省服务业发展现状及优化策略[J].商业时代,2007(4): 101-102.
[104]叶耀明,刘红.上海服务业内部结构特征分析[J].上海经济研究,2007(1):51-57.
[105]乔彬,李国平,杨妮妮:产业聚集测度方法的演变和新发展[J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2007(7):124-133.
[106]刘春霞.产业地理集中度测度方法研究[J].经济地理,2006(9):742-747.
[107]王子龙,谭清美,许箫迪.产业集聚水平测度的实证研究[J].中国软科学, 2006(3):109-115.
[108]周秀玲,王信东.企业虚拟化经营与现代服务业发展[J].商业时代,2006(33):79-80.
[109]陶纪明.生产者服务业的功能及其增长[J].上海经济研究,2006(9):55-60.
[110]顾乃华,毕斗斗,任旺兵.中国转型期生产性服务业发展与制造业竞争力关系研究—基于面板数据的实证分析[J].中国工业经济,2006(9):14-20.
[111]吕政,刘勇,王钦.中国生产性服务业发展的战略选择—基于产业互动的研究视角[J].中国工业经济,2006(8):5-12
[112]刘婧.服务业发展的国际经验及启示[J].商业时代,2006(17):14-15.
[113]胡凯,周鹏.江苏省现代服务业外包经营模式探讨[J].商业时代,2006(16):89-91.
[114]陈凯.英国生产服务业发展现状分析[J].世界经济研究,2006(1):79-84.
[115]殷凤,陈宪.上海服务业发展水平的国内与国际比较[J].上海经济研究, 2005(12):51-56.
[116]杨亚琴.上海现代服务业集群发展的途径与机理—以陆家嘴金融贸易区、外高桥保税区、赤峰路一条街为例的分析[J].上海经济研究,2005(12):57-63.
[117]陈岩峰.我国服务业发展趋势及国际比较[J].商业时代,2005(35):56-57.
[118]高春亮.文献综述:生产者服务业概念、特征与区位[J].上海经济研究, 2005(11):64-69.
[119]俞国琴.城市现代服务业的发展[J].上海经济研究,2004(12):58-63.
[120]陈殷,李金勇.生产性服务业区位模式及影响机制研究[J].上海经济研究2004(7):52-57.
[121]许宪春.中国服务业核算及其存在的问题研究[J].经济研究,2004(3):20-27.
[122]江小涓,李辉.服务业与中国经济:相关性和加快增长的潜力[J].经济研究, 2004(1):4-15.
[123]郑吉昌.基于服务经济的服务业与制造业的关系[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2003(12):110-112.
[124]华而诚.论服务业在国民经济发展中的战略性地位[J].经济研究,2001(12):3-8.
[125]刘志彪.现代服务业的发展:决定因素与政策[J].江苏社会科学,2005(6):207-212.
[126]刘有章,肖腊珍.湖北现代服务业的发展现状及对策研究[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2004(3):33-38.
[127]来有为,苏爱珍.中国现代服务业的差距何在[J].科学决策,2004(7):12-16.
[2]T.P.Hill.On Goods and Services[J].Review of Income and Wealth, 1977,23 (4):45-52.
[3]Camagni, R. Local Milieu.Uncertainty and Innovation Networks: Towards a New Dynamic Theory of Economic Space in Camagn [M]. Belhaven Press, 1991.
[4]Jean-Claude Delaunay,Jean Gadrey.Services in Economic Thought: Three Centuries ofDebate [M]. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992.
[5]Sassen, S. Cities in a World Economy [M].Thousand Oaks: Pine Forge Press. 1994.
[6]A.S.Bailly.Producer Services Research in Europe[J].Professional Geography, 1995,47:58-61.
[7]Howells,Green.Technology and Industrial Organization in UK Services[J].Progress in Planning, 1986,2:89-101.
[8]Shelp, R. the Role of Service Technology in Development, in Service Industries and Economic Development Transfer [J]. NY: Praeger Publishers,1984,28(3):205-218.
[9]Muller,E. and Zenker, A.Bussiness Services as Actors of Knowledge Transformation: the Role of KIBS in Regional and National Innovation Systems.[J]. Research policy,2001,30:1501-1516.
[10]Bessant, J. Rush, H. Building Bridge for Innovation: the Role of Consultants In-technology Transfer [J]. Research Policy, 1995, 24: 97-114.
[11]Sven.Illeris and Jean Philippe.Introduction: The Role of Services in Regional Economic Growth [J]. Service Industries Journal, 1993,13:3-10.
[12]Gadrey, J, Gallouj, F. The Provider-Customer Interface in Business and Professional Services [J].The Service Industries Journal, 1998, 18: 1-15.
[13]Moulaert.F, Gsllouj.The Locational Geography of Advanced Producer Firms: The Limits of Economies of Agglomeration in Daniels[C].The geography of services Frank Cass, 1993.
[14]Barras, R.Interactive Innovation in Financial and Business Services: The Vanguard of The Service Revolution [J].Research Policy, 1990, 5: 161- 173.
[15]Scott, A.J. Flexible Production Systems and Regional Development: The Rise of New Industrial Spaces in North American and Western Europe [J]. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 1988, 12: 171-186.
[16]Keeble, D. Wilkinson, F. ed. High-technology Clusters: Networking and Collective Learning in Europe [C]. Ashgate Aldershot, 2000.
[17]Wood. PA. Flexible Accumulation and The Rise of Business Services [J].Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 1992, 16: 160-173.
[18]Pinch.S., Henry. A Paul Krugman's Geographical Economics, Industrials Clustering and TheBritish Motor Sport Industry [J]. Regional Studies, 1999, 33: 815-827.
[19] Arthur. Silicon Valley Locational Clusters: When Do Increasing Returns to Scale Imply Monopoly [J].Mathematical Social Sciences, 1990,19:235-251.
[20] F. Moulaert, F. Dellal.Information Technology Consultancy Firms:Economies of Agglomeration From a Wide-area Perspectives [J].Urban Studies, 1995,1:126-138.
[21]Miller, P.et al. Business Clusters in the UK一a First Assessment [R].Trade and Industry Main Report, 2001.
[22]Nachum,L.Keeble.Neo-Marshallian Nodes.Global Networks and Firm Competitiveness[R] University of Cambridge Working, 1999.
[23] Bergsman,J.P.Greenston and R. Healy.The Agglomeration Process in Urban Growth[J].Urban Studies,1972,9:263-288.
[24]Baptasta R. Geographical clusters and innovation diffusion[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2001,66(1):31-46.
[25]Ahokangas, Herd. Hot Spots and Blind Spots: Geographical Clusters of Firms and Innovation [J]. The Academy of Management Review, 1999,21(4):1192-1222.
[26]Hill,T.P., On Goods and Services[J]. The Review of Income and Wealth, 1977,23(23):315-338
[27]Coffey.W. and R.Shearmur,The Growth and Location of High Order Services in the Canadian Urban System, 1971~1991[J].The Professional Geographer,1997,49(4):404-418.
[28]William J. Baumol.Macroeconomics of Unbalanced Growth: The Anatomy of Urban Crisis[J]. American EconomicReview, 57, June 1967, 415-426.
[29]William J. Coffey,Richard G. Shearmur.Agglomeration and Dispersion of High-order Service Employment in the Montreal Metropolitan Region,1981-1996[J].Urban Studies,2002,39( 3):359–378.
[30]Sabourin.V. & Pinsonneault.I.Strategic Formation of Competitive High Technology Clusters[J]. International Journal of Technology Management, 1997, 13(2):165-178.
[31]Fujita, M., Hu Dapeng. Regional Disperity in China 1985～1994: The Effects of Globalization and Economic Liberalization [J].The Annals of Regional Science, 2001, 35:3-7.
[32]Gao ting. Regional Industrial Growth Evidence from Chinese Industries[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2004,34:101-124.
[33]Lewis,W.A..Economic Development With Unlimited Supplies of Labor[J]Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 1954, 22: 91- 139.
[34]王辑慈.创新的空间—企业集群与区域发展[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2001.
[35]高铁梅.计量经济分析方法与建模—EViews应用及实例[M].清华大学出版社,2006.
[36]李子奈,叶阿忠.高等计量经济学[M].清华大学出版社,2000.
[37]易丹辉.数据分析与Eviews应用[M].中国统计出版社,2002.
[38]孙洛平,孙海琳.产业集聚的交易费用理论[M].中国社会科学出版社,2006.
[39]杨小凯.经济学原理[M].中国社会科学出版社,1998.
[40]张元智,马鸣萧.产业集群:获取竞争优势的空间[M].华夏出版社,2006.
[41]黄少军.服务业与经济增长[M].经济科学出版社,2000.
[42]江小娟,裴长洪主编.中国服务业发展报告[M].社会科学文献出版社,2004.
[43]李善同.21世纪初的中国服务业[M].经济科学出版社,2002.
[44]李朝鲜,李宝仁.现代服务业评价指标体系与方法研究[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2007.
[45]张秀武.我国高技术产业集群与技术创新互动关系研究[D].福建:华侨大学商学院,2008.
[46]郭国峰,温军伟,孙保营.技术创新能力的影响因素分析―基于中部六省面板数据的实证研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007(9):134-143.
[47]朱英明.论产业集群的创新优势[J].中国软科学,2003(10):7-112.
[48]杨晓琴,于津平.我国高科技产业集聚的影响因素分析[J].科技进步与对策,2006(2):120-122.
[49]叶建亮.知识溢出与企业集群[J].经济科学,2001(3):23-30.
[50]顾乃华,李江帆.中国服务业技术效率区域差异的实证分析[J].经济研究,2006(1)46-56.
[51]廖涵.我国第三产业的发展状况及国际比较[J].中南财经大学学报,1998(2): 95-100.
[52]彭志龙.从国际比较看我国第三产业比重[J].统计研究,2001(3): 22-27.
[53]丁俊.当前我国服务业发展滞后的成因分析[J].计划与市场探索,2003(6):15-17.
[54]任启平,梁俊启.中国高新技术产业空间集聚影响因素实证研究[J].经济问题探索,2007(9):55-59.
[55]金煜,陈钊,陆铭.中国的地区工业集聚:经济地理、新经济地理与经济政策[J].经济研究,2006(4):79-89.
[56]代文.现代服务业集群的形成与发展研究[D].武汉:武汉理工大学管理学院,2007.
[57]李勇.企业集群内部生态关系分析[J].安徽农业科学,2006(34):5981-5982.
[58]魏剑锋.企业集群现象—生物学视角的一种解释[J].上海经济研究,2007(2):96-101.
[59]杨晓琴,于津平.我国高科技产业集聚的影响因素分析[J].科技进步与对策,2006(2):120-122.
[60]李冠霖,任旺兵.我国第三产业就业增长难度加大[J].财贸经济,2003(10):69-73.
[61]郑后建.浅析我国服务业结构问题及其对策建议[J].商场现代化,2004(12):67-69.
[62]程大中.论服务业在国民经济中的“黏合剂”作用[J].财贸经济,2004(2):68-74.
[63]阎小培,姚一民.广州第三产业发展变化及空间分布特征分析[J].地理经济,1997(2):41-48.
[64]郑吉昌,夏晴.论新型工业化和现代服务业的互动发展[J].科技进步论坛,2005(2):121-125.
[65]钟韵,阎小培.我国生产性服务业与经济发展关系研究[J].人文地理,2003(5):46-51.
[66]程大中.中国服务业的区位分布与地区专业化[J].财贸经济,2005(7):73-81.
[67]李红.知识密集型服务业特征剖析[J].情报杂志,2005(8):101-103.
[68]金雪军,毛捷,袁佳.知识服务业产业效能研究:理论与实证分析. [J].浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2004(4):68-76.
[69]魏江,夏雪玲.产业集群中知识密集型服务业的功能研究[J].科技进步与对策,2004(12):7-9.
[70]魏江,朱海燕.知识密集型服务业与产业集群发展的互动模式研究[J].研究与发展管理,2006(4):116-121.
[71]郑吉昌,夏晴.服务业发展与产业集群竞争优势[J].财贸经济,2005(7):82-86.
[72]陈守明,韩雪冰.基于制造业产业集群的生产者服务业发展模式[J].上海企业,2006(5):41-42.
[73]李红.知识密集型服务业集群研究述评[J]科学管理研究,2005(6):85-88.
[74]王晓玉.国外生产性服务业集聚研究述评[J].当代财经,2006(3):92-96.
[75]杨亚琴,王丹.国际大都市现代服务业集群发展的比较研究[J].世界经济研究,2005(1):61-66.
[76]杨亚琴.上海现代服务业集群发展的途径与机理[J].上海经济研究,2005(12):57-63.
[77]蒋三庚.CBD与现代服务业企业集群研究[J].首都经济贸易大学学报,2006(5):72-76.
[78]姚莉英.服务业集群发展模式研究[J].广东社会科学,2006(4):50-53.
[79]张树林.现代服务业集聚效应分析[J].北方经贸,2006(6):113-114.
[80]周振华.现代服务业发展:基础条件及构建[J].上海经济研究,2005(9):21-29.
[81]尚永胜.我国现代服务业发展现状、问题及对策[J].山西师大学报(社会科学版),2005(5):25-28.
[82]程大中.中国服务业增长的特点、原因及影响—鲍莫尔—富克斯假说及其经验研究[J].中国社会科学,2004(9):18-32.
[83]黄烨菁.服务业高新技术的内涵与衡量方式[J].世界经济研究,2007(12):62-66.
[84]黄维德.上海知识密集服务产业人才队伍状况调查研究[J].上海经济研究,2007(12):100-107.
[85]谭砚文,温思美,汪晓银.中、日、美服务业劳动生产率对经济增长促进作用的比较分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007(12):60-70.
[86]张明海.产业联系和上海现代服务业发展[J].上海经济研究,2007(10):63-70.
[87]刘建国.上海市消费服务业的变动趋势与政策选择[J].上海经济研究,2007(10): 71-75.
[88]冯海华,珏.生产者服务业与制造业互动发展的实证研究—以江苏省为例[J].审计与经济研究,2007(5): 88-92.
[89]李治堂.北京现代服务业发展问题与对策[J].商业时代,2007(24):119-120.
[90]汪德华,张再金,白重恩.政府规模、法治水平与服务业发展[J].经济研究, 2007(6):51-65.
[91]李治堂.现代服务业研究成果评述[J].商业时代,2007(15):12-14.
[92]于丹.美国服务业的经济“稳定器”作用及其对中国的启示[J].世界经济研究, 2007(5):75-81.
[93]陈李,励.长三角信息服务业的发展优势与实施策略[J].商业时代,2007(12):104-106.
[94]付红,洪彩.工业深化阶段服务业中间需求结构的转型[J].商业时代,2007(11):81-82.
[95]吴静.服务业FDI与区域经济增长关系研究——基于长三角地区数据的实证分析[J].审计与经济研究,2007(2):86-89.
[96]吴向鹏.产业集群:一个文献综述[J].当代财经,2003(9):105-108.
[97]刘友金.创新集群研究最新进展[J].经济学动态,2007(5):79-82.
[98]孙沛东,徐建牛.国外产业集群技术创新研究综述[J].广州大学学报(社会科学版),2004(7):71-78.
[99]陆娟,芦艳.间断性服务业顾客忠诚维度及其影响因素[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007(3):91-101.
[100]唐强荣,徐学军.生产性服务业研究述评[J].商业时代,2007(6):11-12.
[101]陈永国.谈河北“十一五”发展服务业的政策取向[J].商业时代,2007(6): 108.
[102]袁奇,刘崇仪.美国产业结构变动与服务业的发展[J].世界经济研究,2007(2):57-63.
[103]成健,李清,赵岩.河北省服务业发展现状及优化策略[J].商业时代,2007(4): 101-102.
[104]叶耀明,刘红.上海服务业内部结构特征分析[J].上海经济研究,2007(1):51-57.
[105]乔彬,李国平,杨妮妮:产业聚集测度方法的演变和新发展[J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2007(7):124-133.
[106]刘春霞.产业地理集中度测度方法研究[J].经济地理,2006(9):742-747.
[107]王子龙,谭清美,许箫迪.产业集聚水平测度的实证研究[J].中国软科学, 2006(3):109-115.
[108]周秀玲,王信东.企业虚拟化经营与现代服务业发展[J].商业时代,2006(33):79-80.
[109]陶纪明.生产者服务业的功能及其增长[J].上海经济研究,2006(9):55-60.
[110]顾乃华,毕斗斗,任旺兵.中国转型期生产性服务业发展与制造业竞争力关系研究—基于面板数据的实证分析[J].中国工业经济,2006(9):14-20.
[111]吕政,刘勇,王钦.中国生产性服务业发展的战略选择—基于产业互动的研究视角[J].中国工业经济,2006(8):5-12
[112]刘婧.服务业发展的国际经验及启示[J].商业时代,2006(17):14-15.
[113]胡凯,周鹏.江苏省现代服务业外包经营模式探讨[J].商业时代,2006(16):89-91.
[114]陈凯.英国生产服务业发展现状分析[J].世界经济研究,2006(1):79-84.
[115]殷凤,陈宪.上海服务业发展水平的国内与国际比较[J].上海经济研究, 2005(12):51-56.
[116]杨亚琴.上海现代服务业集群发展的途径与机理—以陆家嘴金融贸易区、外高桥保税区、赤峰路一条街为例的分析[J].上海经济研究,2005(12):57-63.
[117]陈岩峰.我国服务业发展趋势及国际比较[J].商业时代,2005(35):56-57.
[118]高春亮.文献综述:生产者服务业概念、特征与区位[J].上海经济研究, 2005(11):64-69.
[119]俞国琴.城市现代服务业的发展[J].上海经济研究,2004(12):58-63.
[120]陈殷,李金勇.生产性服务业区位模式及影响机制研究[J].上海经济研究2004(7):52-57.
[121]许宪春.中国服务业核算及其存在的问题研究[J].经济研究,2004(3):20-27.
[122]江小涓,李辉.服务业与中国经济:相关性和加快增长的潜力[J].经济研究, 2004(1):4-15.
[123]郑吉昌.基于服务经济的服务业与制造业的关系[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2003(12):110-112.
[124]华而诚.论服务业在国民经济发展中的战略性地位[J].经济研究,2001(12):3-8.
[125]刘志彪.现代服务业的发展:决定因素与政策[J].江苏社会科学,2005(6):207-212.
[126]刘有章,肖腊珍.湖北现代服务业的发展现状及对策研究[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2004(3):33-38.
[127]来有为,苏爱珍.中国现代服务业的差距何在[J].科学决策,2004(7):12-16.