基于粒子群算法的区域水资源优化配置研究
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摘要
水,是人类得以生存和社会发展必不可少的宝贵资源,是不可替代的基础性的自然资源,也是战略性的经济资源,是社会经济可持续发展的根本条件。随着我国社会经济的迅猛发展和近年来城市化发展步伐的加快,各用水部门对水资源的需求急剧增加,但是对于水资源的污染程度却是越来越严重,导致了水环境日渐恶化,因此水资源的供需矛盾问题也随之日益突出,水资源的短缺已经演变成为了制约区域经济发展的瓶颈。在这样的一种社会背景下,我们对有限的水资源配置合理优化方案,是符合人类生存和社会发展规律的,是对水资源全面节约、有效保护、合理开发、高效利用、综合治理和科学管理的一种行之有效的措施,以水资源的可持续利用来保障现代经济社会的可持续发展。
本文首先对国内外的水资源优化配置现状及进展、发展趋势以及目前配置研究中所存在问题进行了概述,并且在对萍乡市水资源条件、开发利用现状以及水环境质量状况大量调查收集的基础上,配置了合理的水资源优化方案,以促进区域社会、经济、环境三大目标的协调可持续发展。主要研究成果如下：
(1)在水资源优化配置的研究背景、研究意义的基础上,对萍乡市水资源优化配置的理论意义和实际价值进行了分析。
(2)调查研究了萍乡市的自然地理概况、社会经济概况以及水资源现状与评价,并指出了萍乡市水资源可持续开发利用过程中所存在的主要问题。
(3)以2008年作为现状水平年,对规划水平年2015年和2020年萍乡市的经济社会发展和经济社会发展需水进行预测,对水量进行了供需平衡分析。
(4)根据水资源优化配置的理论与原则,在可持续发展理论的指导下,建立了水资源优化配置系统模型,该模型以经济、社会和环境的综合效益最大为目标,并分析确定了各个模型参数,利用基于自适应权重的粒子群算法对此多目标多约束模型进行了求解,从而得到了关于萍乡市各水平年不同保证率下的水资源优化配置结果。成为今后相当长一段时期内萍乡市水资源配置分期实施的重要依据,促进和保障萍乡市人口、资源、环境和经济之间的协调、健康发展。
Water, is human survival and social development essential precious resources, is irreplaceable basic natural resources, also is the strategic economic resources, social and economic sustainable development is the fundamental conditions. With the rapid development of economy in recent years and speed up the pace of urbanization development, the water department of water demand has increased dramatically, but for water pollution degree is more and more serious, leading to the water environment worsening, so the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources with problems have become increasingly prominent, of the shortage of water resources has evolved into the restriction of the regional economic development bottleneck. In such a social background, we limited water resources of reasonable allocation optimization scheme, accord with human survival and the development of the society, it is full of water saving, effective protection, rational development, efficient utilization and comprehensive treatment and scientific management of a kind of effective measures to sustainable use of water resources to ensure the modern sustainable economic and social development.
In this paper, first, the optimal allocation of water resources at home and abroad present situation and development, development trends and at present configuration in existing problems are reviewed, and for Pingxiang City in water resources condition, the present situation of the development and the quality of water environmental investigation and collection of a large, on the basis of the reasonable allocation of water resources optimization scheme to promote regional society, economy, environment of the three objectives of the sustainable development. The main research results are as follows:
(1)In optimal allocation of water resources research background, significance of the foundation, on the Pingxiang City optimal allocation of water resources of the theoretical significance and practical value are analyzed.
(2) The research Pingxiang City natural geographical situation, social economic survey as well as the present situation of water and evaluation, and points out the Pingxiang City water resources sustainable development and utilization of existing in the process of the main problem.
(3) To 2008 as present situation in level, the planning level years 2015 and 2020 Pingxiang City economic social development and economic and social development water requirement to carry on the forecast, the balance of supply and demand for water analysis.
(4) According to the optimal allocation of water resources of the theory and principle, on the sustainable development theory, under the guidance of established the optimal allocation of water resources system model, this model to the economy, society and environment comprehensive benefit the most as the target, and analysis to identify each model parameters, based on adaptive weights of the particle swarm algorithm goal it constraint model method, thus getting about Pingxiang City each level years under different assurance of the optimal allocation of water resources. In the future become quite a long time Pingxiang City phased implementation water resources allocation is an important basis, to promote and protect Pingxiang City population, resources, environment and economy, the coordination between the healthy developments.
本文首先对国内外的水资源优化配置现状及进展、发展趋势以及目前配置研究中所存在问题进行了概述,并且在对萍乡市水资源条件、开发利用现状以及水环境质量状况大量调查收集的基础上,配置了合理的水资源优化方案,以促进区域社会、经济、环境三大目标的协调可持续发展。主要研究成果如下：
(1)在水资源优化配置的研究背景、研究意义的基础上,对萍乡市水资源优化配置的理论意义和实际价值进行了分析。
(2)调查研究了萍乡市的自然地理概况、社会经济概况以及水资源现状与评价,并指出了萍乡市水资源可持续开发利用过程中所存在的主要问题。
(3)以2008年作为现状水平年,对规划水平年2015年和2020年萍乡市的经济社会发展和经济社会发展需水进行预测,对水量进行了供需平衡分析。
(4)根据水资源优化配置的理论与原则,在可持续发展理论的指导下,建立了水资源优化配置系统模型,该模型以经济、社会和环境的综合效益最大为目标,并分析确定了各个模型参数,利用基于自适应权重的粒子群算法对此多目标多约束模型进行了求解,从而得到了关于萍乡市各水平年不同保证率下的水资源优化配置结果。成为今后相当长一段时期内萍乡市水资源配置分期实施的重要依据,促进和保障萍乡市人口、资源、环境和经济之间的协调、健康发展。
Water, is human survival and social development essential precious resources, is irreplaceable basic natural resources, also is the strategic economic resources, social and economic sustainable development is the fundamental conditions. With the rapid development of economy in recent years and speed up the pace of urbanization development, the water department of water demand has increased dramatically, but for water pollution degree is more and more serious, leading to the water environment worsening, so the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources with problems have become increasingly prominent, of the shortage of water resources has evolved into the restriction of the regional economic development bottleneck. In such a social background, we limited water resources of reasonable allocation optimization scheme, accord with human survival and the development of the society, it is full of water saving, effective protection, rational development, efficient utilization and comprehensive treatment and scientific management of a kind of effective measures to sustainable use of water resources to ensure the modern sustainable economic and social development.
In this paper, first, the optimal allocation of water resources at home and abroad present situation and development, development trends and at present configuration in existing problems are reviewed, and for Pingxiang City in water resources condition, the present situation of the development and the quality of water environmental investigation and collection of a large, on the basis of the reasonable allocation of water resources optimization scheme to promote regional society, economy, environment of the three objectives of the sustainable development. The main research results are as follows:
(1)In optimal allocation of water resources research background, significance of the foundation, on the Pingxiang City optimal allocation of water resources of the theoretical significance and practical value are analyzed.
(2) The research Pingxiang City natural geographical situation, social economic survey as well as the present situation of water and evaluation, and points out the Pingxiang City water resources sustainable development and utilization of existing in the process of the main problem.
(3) To 2008 as present situation in level, the planning level years 2015 and 2020 Pingxiang City economic social development and economic and social development water requirement to carry on the forecast, the balance of supply and demand for water analysis.
(4) According to the optimal allocation of water resources of the theory and principle, on the sustainable development theory, under the guidance of established the optimal allocation of water resources system model, this model to the economy, society and environment comprehensive benefit the most as the target, and analysis to identify each model parameters, based on adaptive weights of the particle swarm algorithm goal it constraint model method, thus getting about Pingxiang City each level years under different assurance of the optimal allocation of water resources. In the future become quite a long time Pingxiang City phased implementation water resources allocation is an important basis, to promote and protect Pingxiang City population, resources, environment and economy, the coordination between the healthy developments.
引文
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