面向武器装备体系发展的体系演化建模与探索分析方法研究
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摘要
受自身结构、经费预算、生产及维修能力等相关因素的制约,武器装备体系在建设过程中呈现出渐进式发展的特点,存在着从无到有的形成、从不完整到完整的进化、从有到无的退化等一系列演化现象。开展武器装备体系演化问题的研究,有助于帮助我们了解武器装备体系的过去和现在、分析总结体系建设的规律、预测和筹划体系建设与发展的未来。
论文以武器装备宏观论证,特别是武器装备建设规划计划论证为主要应用背景,重点研究了武器装备建设需求演变背景下,武器装备体系演化过程探索分析中的建模与实验框架设计问题。力图通过对武器装备体系建设计划方案的探索分析与设计,提出促进武器装备体系有序、平稳发展的技术途径。论文的主要研究内容包括:
(1)针对武器装备建设规划计划论证工作的现实需求,归纳了开展装备体系演化探索分析与设计研究中的主要问题,将仿真技术与超启发式搜索机制相结合、提出了基于仿真的约束规划(SBCP)集成设计方法,并据此建立了基于SBCP的武器装备体系演化探索分析方法论。
(2)分析了面向武器装备体系演化探索分析的体系实体结构建模需求,建立了用于描述体系多层次实体结构的SH/CE/EB模型形式体系,提出了基于SH/CE/EB的体系演化轨迹产生机制和控制算法。
(3)研究并提出了将武器装备体系演化轨迹产生与体系建设计划方案空间超启发探索相结合的探索分析技术,通过多种启发式策略的综合运用,提出了基于混合粒子群优化(HPSO)的体系演化方案空间探索机制和多种群协同PSO的负载均衡机制,实现了体系演化方案空间的高效探索与优化。
(4)探讨了面向体系演化研究的武器装备效能与能力的关系,设计了以价值为中心的武器装备能力需求分析过程、建立了基于军事价值的武器装备能力需求演化模型形式体系,并提出了体系演化瞬态评价与演化轨迹综合评价算法。
(5)在SBCP集成设计框架和装备体系演化探索分析方法论的指导下,设计并实现了面向武器装备体系演化探索分析的实验支撑环境SimEvolution,并通过案例对论文提出方法的有效性和技术可行性进行了验证。
论文的创新之处包括:将仿真技术与超启发式搜索机制相结合,建立了基于仿真的约束规划(SBCP)集成设计框架,提出了基于SBCP的武器装备体系演化建模与探索分析方法论;建立了武器装备体系层次化模型形式范式SH/CE/EB和武器装备能力需求演化模型形式范式CapEvoModel,并基于此提出了武器装备体系演化轨迹的产生与评价方法;提出了SBCP框架下的体系演化方案空间探索方法,通过变维贪婪随机适应性搜索过程(VDGRASP)和变强度变异过程(VIMP)的设计,提出了基于混合PSO的体系演化方案空间探索机制和多种群协同PSO的负载均衡方案,实现了体系演化方案空间的高效探索与优化。
促进武器装备体系建设的平稳、有序发展是新时期新阶段对武器装备宏观论证工作提出的新要求。作为传统装备宏观论证手段的补充,分析需求演化背景下武器装备体系整体能力建设与发展的过程、开展武器装备体系演化分析方法的研究为这一问题领域提供了新的研究思路,同时也为武器装备体系建设计划方案的广度分析和实验验证提供了方法论支持。
虽然本文提出的SBCP集成设计框架主要面向武器装备体系演化问题,但对于其它具有多层次实体结构体系的演化问题也具有一定的借鉴意义。
Affected by entity structure, budget, production maintenance capacity constraints and other related factors, construction process of weapon equipment System of Systems (SoS) has shown the characteristics of the incremental development. In which there are a variety of evolutionary phenomena, such as formations, evolutions and devolutions. The study on weapon equipment SoS evolution will help us to understand the weapon equipment SoS’s past and present, analyze and summarize the law of construction, forecast and plan for the future.
The dissertation takes weapon equipment demonstration, especially planning and programming demonstration as an application background, and focuses on the research of modeling and experimentation framework for weapon equipment SoS evolution exploratory analysis and design under changes in demand. Through the exploratory analysis and design of weapon equipment SoS programming, an orderly, smooth and continuous construction process is expected. The contents of the paper are summarized into following parts:
(1) According to practical needs of weapon equipment planning and programming demonstration, the main problems of weapon equipment SoS evolution exploratory analysis and design are discussed. Then, simulation technology is suggested to be integrated with constraint programming, and a Simulation-Based Constraint Programming (SBCP) integrated design framework is developed. Accordingly, methodology of weapon equipment SoS evolution exploratory analysis based on SBCP integrated design framework is proposed.
(2) After the demand analysis of modeling for weapon equipment SoS entity structure, SH/CE/EB is set up as the modeling formal specification for SoS entity structure. Based on SH/CE/EB, trajectory generation mechanism of weapon equipment SoS evolution is designed.
(3) Through integrating the trajectory generation mechanism with metaheuristics search technique, a technical framework for the searching in weapon equipment SoS evolution solution space is proposed. Under the technical framework, a hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm and the load-balance mechanism for cooperative PSO is designed, which improved the search in precision and efficiency.
(4) The relationship between effectiveness and capability for weapon equipment SoS evolution analysis is discussed. Weapon equipment capacity-demand analysis process based on Value-Focused Thinking (VFT) is designed. After this, the weapon equipment capacity-demand evolution modeling formal specification is set up. Then, the trajectory evaluation method based on weapon equipment capacity-demand evolution model is proposed.
(5) Based on SBCP integrated design framework, simulation environment, SimEvolution, is designed and implemented to support modeling and experimentation in weapon equipment SoS evolution analysis. Moreover, the effectiveness of the proposed methodology of this dissertation is demonstrated by the application case of SimEvolution.
The main innovations of this dissertation include: the SBCP integrated design framework, in which simulation technology is suggested to be integrated with constraint programming; the methodology of weapon equipment SoS evolution modeling and exploratory analysis based on SBCP integrated design framework; the modeling formal specification SH/CE/EB for SoS entity structure, the weapon equipment capacity -demand evolution modeling formal specification CapEvoModel, and the trajectory generation and evaluation method based on the formal specifications; a technical framework for the searching in weapon equipment SoS evolution solution space, in which Variable Dimension Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedure (VDGRASP) and Variable Intension Mutation Procedure (VIMP) are designed to set up a hybrid PSO algorithm and the load-balance mechanism for cooperative PSO for improving the search in precision and efficiency.
A smooth and orderly development is the new demands of weapon equipment demonstration in the new era and stage. As a supplementary for traditional means, the methodology of weapon equipment SoS evolution analysis and design provides a new way for planning and programming demonstration in breadth analysis and experimental research.
Although the SBCP integrated design framework is mainly designed for weapon equipment SoS evolution problem, but it is still useful for other SoS evolution problems with multi-hierarchy entity structure.
论文以武器装备宏观论证,特别是武器装备建设规划计划论证为主要应用背景,重点研究了武器装备建设需求演变背景下,武器装备体系演化过程探索分析中的建模与实验框架设计问题。力图通过对武器装备体系建设计划方案的探索分析与设计,提出促进武器装备体系有序、平稳发展的技术途径。论文的主要研究内容包括:
(1)针对武器装备建设规划计划论证工作的现实需求,归纳了开展装备体系演化探索分析与设计研究中的主要问题,将仿真技术与超启发式搜索机制相结合、提出了基于仿真的约束规划(SBCP)集成设计方法,并据此建立了基于SBCP的武器装备体系演化探索分析方法论。
(2)分析了面向武器装备体系演化探索分析的体系实体结构建模需求,建立了用于描述体系多层次实体结构的SH/CE/EB模型形式体系,提出了基于SH/CE/EB的体系演化轨迹产生机制和控制算法。
(3)研究并提出了将武器装备体系演化轨迹产生与体系建设计划方案空间超启发探索相结合的探索分析技术,通过多种启发式策略的综合运用,提出了基于混合粒子群优化(HPSO)的体系演化方案空间探索机制和多种群协同PSO的负载均衡机制,实现了体系演化方案空间的高效探索与优化。
(4)探讨了面向体系演化研究的武器装备效能与能力的关系,设计了以价值为中心的武器装备能力需求分析过程、建立了基于军事价值的武器装备能力需求演化模型形式体系,并提出了体系演化瞬态评价与演化轨迹综合评价算法。
(5)在SBCP集成设计框架和装备体系演化探索分析方法论的指导下,设计并实现了面向武器装备体系演化探索分析的实验支撑环境SimEvolution,并通过案例对论文提出方法的有效性和技术可行性进行了验证。
论文的创新之处包括:将仿真技术与超启发式搜索机制相结合,建立了基于仿真的约束规划(SBCP)集成设计框架,提出了基于SBCP的武器装备体系演化建模与探索分析方法论;建立了武器装备体系层次化模型形式范式SH/CE/EB和武器装备能力需求演化模型形式范式CapEvoModel,并基于此提出了武器装备体系演化轨迹的产生与评价方法;提出了SBCP框架下的体系演化方案空间探索方法,通过变维贪婪随机适应性搜索过程(VDGRASP)和变强度变异过程(VIMP)的设计,提出了基于混合PSO的体系演化方案空间探索机制和多种群协同PSO的负载均衡方案,实现了体系演化方案空间的高效探索与优化。
促进武器装备体系建设的平稳、有序发展是新时期新阶段对武器装备宏观论证工作提出的新要求。作为传统装备宏观论证手段的补充,分析需求演化背景下武器装备体系整体能力建设与发展的过程、开展武器装备体系演化分析方法的研究为这一问题领域提供了新的研究思路,同时也为武器装备体系建设计划方案的广度分析和实验验证提供了方法论支持。
虽然本文提出的SBCP集成设计框架主要面向武器装备体系演化问题,但对于其它具有多层次实体结构体系的演化问题也具有一定的借鉴意义。
Affected by entity structure, budget, production maintenance capacity constraints and other related factors, construction process of weapon equipment System of Systems (SoS) has shown the characteristics of the incremental development. In which there are a variety of evolutionary phenomena, such as formations, evolutions and devolutions. The study on weapon equipment SoS evolution will help us to understand the weapon equipment SoS’s past and present, analyze and summarize the law of construction, forecast and plan for the future.
The dissertation takes weapon equipment demonstration, especially planning and programming demonstration as an application background, and focuses on the research of modeling and experimentation framework for weapon equipment SoS evolution exploratory analysis and design under changes in demand. Through the exploratory analysis and design of weapon equipment SoS programming, an orderly, smooth and continuous construction process is expected. The contents of the paper are summarized into following parts:
(1) According to practical needs of weapon equipment planning and programming demonstration, the main problems of weapon equipment SoS evolution exploratory analysis and design are discussed. Then, simulation technology is suggested to be integrated with constraint programming, and a Simulation-Based Constraint Programming (SBCP) integrated design framework is developed. Accordingly, methodology of weapon equipment SoS evolution exploratory analysis based on SBCP integrated design framework is proposed.
(2) After the demand analysis of modeling for weapon equipment SoS entity structure, SH/CE/EB is set up as the modeling formal specification for SoS entity structure. Based on SH/CE/EB, trajectory generation mechanism of weapon equipment SoS evolution is designed.
(3) Through integrating the trajectory generation mechanism with metaheuristics search technique, a technical framework for the searching in weapon equipment SoS evolution solution space is proposed. Under the technical framework, a hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm and the load-balance mechanism for cooperative PSO is designed, which improved the search in precision and efficiency.
(4) The relationship between effectiveness and capability for weapon equipment SoS evolution analysis is discussed. Weapon equipment capacity-demand analysis process based on Value-Focused Thinking (VFT) is designed. After this, the weapon equipment capacity-demand evolution modeling formal specification is set up. Then, the trajectory evaluation method based on weapon equipment capacity-demand evolution model is proposed.
(5) Based on SBCP integrated design framework, simulation environment, SimEvolution, is designed and implemented to support modeling and experimentation in weapon equipment SoS evolution analysis. Moreover, the effectiveness of the proposed methodology of this dissertation is demonstrated by the application case of SimEvolution.
The main innovations of this dissertation include: the SBCP integrated design framework, in which simulation technology is suggested to be integrated with constraint programming; the methodology of weapon equipment SoS evolution modeling and exploratory analysis based on SBCP integrated design framework; the modeling formal specification SH/CE/EB for SoS entity structure, the weapon equipment capacity -demand evolution modeling formal specification CapEvoModel, and the trajectory generation and evaluation method based on the formal specifications; a technical framework for the searching in weapon equipment SoS evolution solution space, in which Variable Dimension Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedure (VDGRASP) and Variable Intension Mutation Procedure (VIMP) are designed to set up a hybrid PSO algorithm and the load-balance mechanism for cooperative PSO for improving the search in precision and efficiency.
A smooth and orderly development is the new demands of weapon equipment demonstration in the new era and stage. As a supplementary for traditional means, the methodology of weapon equipment SoS evolution analysis and design provides a new way for planning and programming demonstration in breadth analysis and experimental research.
Although the SBCP integrated design framework is mainly designed for weapon equipment SoS evolution problem, but it is still useful for other SoS evolution problems with multi-hierarchy entity structure.
引文
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