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基于区域差距的教育投资效率研究
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摘要
改革开放以来,我国教育事业进入快速发展时期,基础教育、职业教育、高等教育发展迅速,教育投资水平从远远低于国际平均水平逐渐提高,目前已经接近同等发达程度国家的平均水平。随着教育发展速度的加快、水平的提高,教育对地区经济、文化、社会发展的作用开始显现。分析中国区域的发展状态和发展趋势,大量经验表明,经济的持续发展不能单纯依靠区域的土地、矿产资源等自然条件,教育的发展将为后发展地区的追赶提供基础、创造可能。党的十七大以来,中央一直坚持以科学发展观为指导,坚持全面、协调、可持续发展,并将人才强国战略与科教兴国战略、可持续发展战略放到同等高度。基于此,我们认为提高区域教育投资水平将是促进区域经济协调发展、缩小区域经济差距的重要方式。考虑中国区域间发展的不平衡因素中,教育投资差距过大是制约后发展地区经济可持续发展的重要原因,所以,如何在进一步促进经济增长的同时,缩小区域教育投资差距是我国全面建设小康社会,建设科学发展的、具有中国特色社会主义国家所要面临的重要课题,是实现中华民族伟大复兴、实现国人梦想所需要的强力手段。
     本文的研究思路是基于有关区域教育投资的基本理论,如人力资本理论、教育投资主体多元化等分析中国区域人均教育投资差距的演变过程。通过构建动力学模型测算出区域教育投资的效率水平并分析决定区域教育投资差距的主要因素。在此基础上,依据“公平与效率共同提高”的原则,把区域人均教育投资和政府教育投资比例的状态模型结合起来,从控制论的角度设计优化我国区域教育投资结构、缩小区域教育投资差距和提高区域教育投资效率的方案,从而提出相应的政策措施。论文的主要研究结论如下:
     (1)刻画了区域教育投资差距(公平问题)的动态演化路径
     采用变异系数和泰尔指数分析中国区域人均教育投资差距的演进表明:1998年以后,地区间人均教育投资的相对差距在缩小,但绝对差距在增大,变异系数呈“倒U型分布”,而2002-2004年是中国区域人均教育投资差距变化的“转折点”(“倒U型分布”的拐点)。通过变异系数的分析,1998年到2002年之间,变异系数逐渐增高,到2002年达到0.772(最高),从2004年开始明显下降,到2008年下降到0.3;考虑泰尔指数,1996年的泰尔指数为0.09,而后呈总体上升趋势,2001年到2004年均为0.12,2006年达到最高值为0.178,而后开始下降,到2008年降为0.146。
     基于变异系数“倒U型分布”形态,本文构建了两个阶段(1998年至2004年,2005年至2010年)的区域人均教育投资差距(公平问题)的动态演化模型。考虑区域教育投资对教育发展促进作用的相对滞后性因素,利用中国各区域教育投资的相关数据构建区域教育投资模型发现,区域教育投资增长率与初始教育投资的对数呈负相关,而与地区生产总值增长率、财政教育经费增长率呈正相关。说明在1998年以后,特别是本世纪以来,中国各地区教育投资的相对差距正在缩小,开始出现β条件趋同现象,主要原因是西部大开发等政策驱动和投资体制变迁的结果。
     (2)构建区域教育投资效率的DEA模型评价教育投资效率
     本文从区域教育系统的投入——产出视角,将投入指标设定为“国家财政教育经费”、“社会捐资和集资办学经费”等;将产出指标设定为“中小学在校生数”、“高校在校生数”等,分析各地区教育投资效率。采用数据包络分析(DEA)方法的研究表明,从区域整体上看,东南沿海地区教育投资效率相对最低,而中、西部地区教育投资效率相对比较高。就投资体制和经费来源比较分析,“社会捐资和集资办学经费”的相对损失率最高,“其他教育经费”、“社会团体和公民个人办学经费”的相对损失率次之,“国家财政教育经费”相对损失率最低。
     构建区域教育投资效率与投资体制(国家财政教育投资占教育投资总额的比例、学费和学杂费占教育投资总额的比例)、在校大学生占区域学生总数的比例、区域教职工人均工资占上海教职工人均工资比例的关系模型显示,国家财政教育投资占教育经费总额的比例、高校在校本科生人数占全部在校生人数的比例、区域教职工人均工资水平等因素都直接影响区域教育投资效率。其中,区域教职工平均工资占比越大,教育投资效率越低。
     (3)在“效率与公平共同提高”的原则下对区域教育投资进行优化控制
     本文尊重教育投资的“效率与公平”谁更重要的历史争论,提出“效率与公平共同提高”的原则。并把“效率与公平共同提高”的原则量化为目标函数,以效率和人均在校生数为控制变量,建立人均教育投资的状态方程,并引入哈密顿函数,从而确定各区域人均在校生数、大学生占全部学生的比例、投资效率等之间长期公平的优化关系的控制规则。根据这一规则,在对高等教育的社会需求日益提高的情况下,即“在校大学生占全部在校生的比例”不断提高的情况下,要促进效率与公平共同提高,就必须把缩小区域教育投资差距(提高教育公平程度)与“区域教育投资效率”保持在较高的水平上或不断同步提高。这对指导不同区域优化教育投资具有重要意义。
     (4)完善区域教育投资“公平与效率”的同步提高趋势
     随着区域经济布局调整和经济发展方式的转变,高校毕业生的就业环境明显改善。这种发展趋势对区域教育产生了更大的需求,从而反作用于区域教育投资的快速增长。中、西部地区经济的增长速度已经高于东部地区,这为加快中、西部地区财政教育投资创造了良好的条件。中央教育财政向中、西部地区的倾斜,以及教育制度和教育体制、机制的进一步改革与完善,将促使区域教育投资“公平与效率”的同步提高。
Regional development experience at home and abroad shows that:A regional is difficult to maintain sustained economic development by relying on land, mineral resources and other natural conditions, and the development of education provides the the basis for pursuing for the latecomer regions.Thus improving the regional education investment in China is one of the most important way to promote the coordinated development of the regional economy, reduce regional economic gap. How to further promote economic growth, at the same time, reducing regional education investment gap is currently one of the important problems facing China.
     This study is based on the ideas of human capital theory, education investment diversification and other basic theories of relevant regional education investment,analysis of evolution process of Chinese regional education investment gap, by constructing dynamic model to analyze and decide the main factors of the regional education investment gap, and work out regional education investment efficiency.On this basis, according to the principle of "justice and efficiency" common enhancement, area per capita education investment and government investment proportion of state model combined, from the point of view of cybernetics to design China optimization of regional education investment layout, narrowing regional education investment gap scheme, and put forward the corresponding policies and measures.
     (1) Modeling analysis of the evolution and the determinants of Chinese area per capita education investment difference
     This paper analyzes the evolution of China's regional differences in investment in education by using variation coefficient and Theil coefficient.Studies have shown that the absolute gap in China's per capita investment in education has extended while the relative gap has narrowed in recent years. Theil index and variation coefficient have "inverted U-distribution" and the "inflection point"("inverted U-distribution" a turning point) of the gap between regional changes of China's per capita investment in education is from2002to2006.
     From the variation coefficient, the coefficient of variation in2002achieves the highest (0.722). and then began to decline in2008, reduced to0.3; From tyer coefficient, the tyer coefficient in1996is0.09, and then have an ascendant trend on the whole, reaching the highest (0.178) in2006, and then began to decline in2008. reduced to0.146.
     Different with previous research, this paper built a dynamic evolution model.with a two stage (from1998to2004.from2005to2010) of regional differences (fairness)in per capita education investment.This paper builds a model of investment in regional education by using the relevant data of the investment in education in various regions of China.Studies have shown that the growth rate of investment in regional education has negative correlation with the number of initial investment in education and has positive correlation with regional GDP growth and growth rate of fiscal spending on education. This shows that since1998, especially after2000, the gap in various parts of China's investment in education has been narrowed and has been began to appear β condition for convergence, these are the results of developing the western region and changing in the investment system.The development of the western region, revitalizing northeast, the rise of central over the years, all over the country per capita education investment has grow very fast, and backward areas per capita education investment growth faster, thus began to appear around the per capita education investment trend of convergence, this basical reason is that after the development of the western region, the central financial tilt and western local finance for education investment is growing rapidly, as well as the western non-governmental folk investment (including social groups and individual education, education funding, miscellaneous fees, etc.) grows rapidly and other reasons.
     (2) China's regional education investment efficiency of data envelopment analysis (DEA) about model and system factor analysis
     Different with previous research, this paper, this paper analyzes the using efficient of education investment in every region by using data envelopment analysis method from the input-output angle while taking "state financial funding for education""community donors and fund-raising school funding" as input index and "a number of college students" as the output index. Studies have shown that relative using efficiency of the spending on education in the southeast coastal areas is the lowest while it is relatively high in central and western regions.
     Just in comparison with investment system and funding sources, relative loss rate of education investment in every region, social donations and fund-raising school funding are the highest and other funds for education, social organizations and individual citizens follow one by one while the state financial education fund is the lowest. And using econometric software relevant data to construct regional education investment efficiency and investment system (tuition and miscellaneous fees accounted for the proportion of the total education investment) model. To discuss.Education investment system and the market factors on the education investment efficiency influence with distinguishing three kinds factors.
     (3) The Analysis on Optimal Control of the education investment of Chinese Regional based on the principle of "efficiency and fair improve together"
     It has many debates about education investment efficiency and fair which is more important problem.It is "absolutely fair" before reform and opening up, it is "efficiency comes first, balances fairness" since the reform and opening up; For in the future, some scholars put forward that it should be "fair priority, and giving consideration to efficiency" other scholars also put forward that it should be "fair and efficiency phase equilibrium". This paper argues that it should take the policy of "efficiency and fair improve together"
     In this way, the principle of the efficiency and fair improve together is quantized as the objective function, efficiency and the per capita number of students as control variable, the establishment of per capita education investment and government education investment accounted for the proportion of all education into the equation of state, and introducing Hamilton function, so as to determine the long-term equilibrium between the optimal control of the relationship of the area per capita student number, college students accounted for the proportion of all students, investment efficiency, and so on.
     The rules require, in increasing social demand about the higher education cases, namely " the proportion that college students accounted for all students" improving circumstances, it is necessary to put the narrowing regional education gap (improve education fair degree) and "regional education investment efficiency" keep at higher level or improve synchronous. It is important instruction significance to guide the optimization of education investment provinces.
     (4) Increasing at the same trend of the fairness and efficiency of regional investment in education
     With the evolution of the regional economy layout and the shift from extensive to intensive type of the mode of economic development (the improvement of proportion of knowledge-intensive industries and so on). the employment environment of college graduates will change greatly, and the demand of Regional Education is becoming large, thus stimulating the rapid growth of the regional investment in education;On the other hand, the economic growth rate in the Midwest region will be higher than the eastern region, and the growth of fiscal revenue will also be higher than the eastern region, which provides good conditions to accelerate the Midwest Regional financial investment in education. Central Education Finance tilt to the central and western regions, as well as the education system and the education system, further reform and improve the mechanism, which will simultaneously improve the fairness and efficiency of the regional education investment.
引文
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