经济开放对地方财政农业支出规模变动及效应的影响研究
|
摘要
经济开放被认为是地方政府财政农业支出规模变动的一个重要影响因素。改革开放以来，福建省农村经济发展取得了巨大成就，但也出现了农业经济遭受外部风险和冲击的可能性加大、城乡差距扩大等现实问题，从而制约了福建省农村经济的可持续发展。政府为了适应这种变化所带来的不确定性，必须保证农业产业的安全，维持农村社会的稳定，减少农民隐性失业，防御经济开放对农村居民可能造成福利损失的风险和冲击，以及为缩小城乡差距，实现城乡公共服务均等化等而提供的农村社会公共财政支出。尤其是加入WTO以后，福建省农业竞争力面临着严峻的国际挑战。同时，“三农”工作中面临的矛盾和问题仍然艰巨而复杂，城乡差距日益扩大，农民增收日趋缓慢，人均耕地面积不断减少，农村剩余劳动力转移难度加大，农村社会事业发展相对滞后以及农村生态问题日趋严重等。而这些问题的解决有赖于实施积极的财政政策，增加财政农业支出规模，大力加强农业基础设施建设,加大对农村科研的投入等措施，进而增强农业的国际竞争力。
通过采取主成分分析方法，结合福建省经济发展阶段、经济开放特征和实际省情，根据指标的客观性以及数据的可获得性测算了福建省1980—2010年的综合经济开放程度。结果表明福建省经济开放程度在1980年至1994年呈现出不断上升趋势，1995年至2001出现了小幅度的回落，2002年至2004年连续三年呈上升趋势，之后又开始表现出下降趋势。尽管福建省经济开放程度表现出先扬后抑的特征，但总体呈现出上升的趋势。
由于受到经济对外开放战略和国民经济产业结构不断调整等因素的影响，福建省财政农业支出规模呈现出阶段性的变动规律。首先，长期内福建省财政农业支出规模表现出总体上的增长态势。其次，在不同阶段，福建省财政农业支出规模表现出不平衡的增长趋势，在改革开放初期，财政农业支出规模的增长相对缓慢，而伴随改革开放水平和经济开放程度的不断提高，财政农业支出规模的增长相对较快。财政农业支出规模增长速度与财政收入增长速度不断交替增长，只有9年的财政农业支出规模增长速度高于财政收入增长速度。财政农业支出规模占财政支出的比重以及财政农业支出规模占农业GDP的比重都比较低，与其他发达国家相比还存在较大差距。农业GDP在全部GDP中所占份额表现出逐年下降趋势，与全国财政农业支出规模份额与农业GDP份额比值相比较，福建省一直低于全国水平。福建省大部分年份农业GDP的增长速度低于财政农业支出规模的增长速度，即两者比值的绝对值小于1，这说明了大部分年份财政农业支出规模的效率低下。
通过经济开放对地方财政农业支出规模变动影响的理论与实证分析，在理论上从数学函数和几何图形两个角度分析了经济开放对我国地方财政农业支出规模变动的影响机制。结果表明，经济开放对我国地方财政农业支出规模变动的影响存在先抑后扬的特征，即经济开放程度比较低的阶段支持“效率假说”，经济开放程度比较高的阶段支持“补偿假说”。在实证分析中利用边界协整检验方法检验了福建省财政农业支出规模与农业经济增长变化率、经济开放程度之间存在长期稳定的协整关系。长期内，经济开放对福建省财政农业支出规模变动的影响在总体上呈现出不断上升趋势，但在经济开放程度所处不同阶段，其对财政农业支出规模变动影响的上升速度具有不同的阶段性特征。在20世纪80年代福建省的财政农业支出规模以递减的趋势增加，该阶段支持“效率假说”；而进入20世纪90年代后，福建省财政农业支出规模以递增的趋势不断扩大，该阶段支持“补偿假说”。
通过经济开放对地方财政农业支出规模效应影响的理论与实证分析，在理论上证明了经济开放程度与财政农业支出规模效应之间呈现出一种递减关系，即经济开放程度越大，财政农业支出规模效应越小：财政农业支出规模的产出效应随着经济开放程度的提高而不断减小，财政农业支出规模的价格效应随着经济开放程度的提高而不断放大。在实证分析中发现财政农业支出规模在短期内对农业产出具有促进作用，但在长期内对农业产出效应的影响随着经济开放程度的提高而趋于减弱，对农村价格效应的影响随着经济开放程度的提高而趋于不明显。在产出效应中，随着经济开放程度的提高，对于当年福建省财政农业支出规模的产出效应具有显著的促进作用，而对于滞后一年福建省财政农业支出规模的产出效应产生了负面影响，但得不到经验支持，经济开放对于财政农业支出规模给农业产出带来的刺激作用在当年就直接表现出来，效果比较快。但随着经济开放程度的不断提高，福建省财政农业支出规模的产出效应在减弱。在价格效应中，经济开放对当年财政农业支出规模价格效应的影响不明显。经济开放对财政农业支出规模价格效应的影响主要是通过财政农业支出规模滞后期的作用效果而发生的：经济开放程度的上升对滞后一年的财政农业支出规模价格效应具有显著的放大作用，经济开放程度的提高对滞后两年的财政农业支出规模价格效应具有明显的削弱作用。长期来看，经济开放对财政农业支出规模的产出效应和价格效应的影响都不明显。
最后，提出了主要的研究结论及其政策含义。政府应加大财政农业支出规模力度，提高财政农业支出规模水平，提升财政农业支出规模的效率。增加农村水利、农田、交通等基本建设支出以完善农村基础设施；加大农村教育支出以提升农民人力资本水平和技术培训，增加农村社会保障、农村社会福利、农村政策性补贴、农村转移支付以及农村公共服务等方面的支出。要保持农村物价稳定，制定出农村物价波动范围的预期水平，避免通货膨胀的发生，可考虑建立盯住农村CPI的财政农业支出政策体系。
The openness of the economy is considered to be a very important factorof the local government fiscal spending on agriculture scale changes.Since the reform and opening up, the rural economic development in FujianProvince has made great achievements, but also appeared to increase thepossibility of agricultural economy suffered external risk and impact,and the gap between urban and rural areas to expand the real problem,thereby constraining the sustainable development of the rural economy inFujian Province. Order to adapt to the uncertainty brought about by thischange, the government must ensure the safety of the agricultural industry,to maintain social stability in rural areas to reduce farmers' hiddenunemployment, the defense economic opening up of rural residents may causethe risk and impact of the welfare loss, as well as narrow the gap betweenurban and rural areas, rural to urban and rural public serviceequalization of social and public financial expenditure. Especially afterjoining the WTO, the competitiveness of agriculture in Fujian Provincefacing international challenges. The same time, the contradictions andproblems faced in the three rural work is still arduous and complex, thewidening of the gap between urban and rural areas, the increasingly slowincrease of farmers' income, declining per capita arable land, thetransfer of rural surplus labor more difficult, is lagging behind thedevelopment of social undertakings in rural areas as well as ruralecological problems worsening. And the solution of these problems dependson the implementation of the proactive fiscal policy to increase the sizeof fiscal spending on agriculture, vigorously strengthen the agriculturalinfrastructure, and measures to increase investment in rural research,thus enhancing the international competitiveness of agriculture.
By taking the principal component analysis method, combined with thestage of economic development of Fujian Province, the open economic characteristics and the actual situation in the province, according tothe objectivity of the indicators and data availability estimates FujianProvince1980-2010year comprehensive economic openness. The results showthat economic openness in Fujian Province in1980-1994, showing a risingtrend, the small magnitude of the fall from1995to2001, for threeconsecutive years from2002to2004the rise, after they began to showa downward trend. Although economic openness in Fujian Province showedcharacteristics of Xianyanghouyi, but overall is showing an upward trend.
Due to the impact of the economic opening-up strategy and continuouslyadjust the industrial structure of the national economy and other factors,the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture in Fujian Province showingperiodic changes in the law. First, the scale of fiscal spending onagriculture in Fujian Province in the long-term performance of the overallgrowth. Secondly, at various stages, the scale of fiscal spending onagriculture in Fujian Province showed unbalanced growth trend in thebeginning of reform and opening up, the relatively slow growth in the scaleof fiscal spending on agriculture, and accompanied by the continuousimprovement of the level of reform and opening up and the degree ofopenness, fiscal spending on agriculture The scale of growth is relativelyfast. The size of fiscal spending on agriculture growth rate, fiscalrevenue growth rate is constantly alternating growth, only nine years,the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture growth rate higher than thegrowth rate of fiscal revenue. The scale of fiscal spending on agricultureshare of financial expenditure, and the scale of agricultural financialexpenditure accounted for the proportion of agricultural GDP evenrelatively low compared with other developed countries, there are stilllarge gaps. The share of agricultural GDP in total GDP showed a decliningtrend, compared with the national fiscal financial scale of agriculturalexpenditure share and the share of agricultural GDP ratio, Fujian Province, has been below the national level. Fujian Province, most of the year thegrowth rate of agricultural GDP growth rate below the scale of fiscalspending on agriculture, that both the absolute value of the ratio is lessthan1,indicating that the inefficient agricultural financialexpenditure scale in most years.
Theoretical and empirical analysis of the local financial impact ofchanges in the scale of agricultural expenditure by the openness of theeconomy, in theory the mechanism of economic openness on the impact ofchanges in the scale of China's local fiscal expenditure for agricultureis analyzed from two angles of mathematical functions and geometry. Theresults showed that the impact of the economic opening of China's localfiscal expenditure for agriculture scale changes in exist Xianyihouyangfeatures.The low stage of economic openness supports"efficiencyhypothesis"and the higher stage of economic openness supports"compensation hypothesis".In empirical analysis,border cointegrationtest method to examine the rate of change of the scale of fiscal spendingon agriculture and agricultural economic growth and economic openness inFujian Province, existing a long-term stability of the cointegrationrelationship.Within the long-term, the openness of the economy in general,long-term effects of the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture showinga rising trend, in which the different stages of economic openness, therising speed of its impact on the scale of fiscal spending on agriculturehas a different stage characteristics. Agricultural financialexpenditure scale in Fujian Province in the1980s to the decreasing trendof increase in the stage of support for "efficiency hypothesis"; and intothe1990s, the size of fiscal spending on agriculture in Fujian increasingtrend expanding the stage support "compensation hypothesis".
Theoretical and empirical analysis of the local financial impact ofeffects in the scale of agricultural expenditure by the openness of the economy, proved theoretically that showed a decline relationship betweeneconomic openness and fiscal spending on agriculture economies of scale,that is, the greater the degree of economic openness, the smaller the scaleeffect of fiscal spending on agriculture: the scale output effect offiscal spending on agriculture as the economy and opening upimprovementin the level decreases, the price effect of the financial scale ofagricultural expenditure continued to enlarge With the improvement ofeconomic openness.In the empirical analysis,found that the size of fiscalspending on agriculture with the promotion of the agricultural output inthe short term, but in the long-term effects on agricultural output asthe economy and opening degree of improve and tend to weaken the the therural price effect with the improvement of economic openness tends obvious.The output effect, with the improvement of economic openness, for the yearthe scale output effect of fiscal spending on agriculture in FujianProvince has a significant role in promoting fiscal spending onagriculture-scale output in Fujian Province, for the one-year lag effecthad a negative impact, but is not supported by empirical evidence, theopenness of the economy for the stimulation of the scale of fiscal spendingon agriculture to agricultural output in the year directly manifested,the effect is relatively fast.Thus,generally speaking, with thecontinuous improvement of the degree of openness of the economy, the scaleof fiscal spending on agriculture in Fujian Province output effect ofweakening. The price effect, the openness of the economy when the sizeof the fiscal spending on agriculture price effect is not obvious.Economic openness scale price effect of fiscal spending on agricultureby the lag effect of the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture andagricultural financial expenditure scale price of a one-year lag effect:the rise of economic openness has significantly enlarged the role ofeconomic improve the openness of the financial year lag price effect of the scale of agricultural expenditure has significantly weakened. Longterm, the openness of the economy on the scale of fiscal spending onagriculture output effect and the price effect is not obvious.
Finally, the main conclusions of the study and its policy implications.The government should increase fiscal spending on agriculture-scaleefforts to improve the scale and level of fiscal spending on agriculture,to enhance the efficiency of the financial scale of agriculturalexpenditure. Capital expenditures to improve rural infrastructure to;increase spending on education in rural areas to enhance their level ofhuman capital and technical training, to increase the rural socialsecurity, social welfare in rural areas, rural policy subsidies, ruraltransfer payments and increase rural water conservancy, farmland, trafficrural public services spending. To maintain price stability in rural areas,the rural price fluctuation range is expected to develop a level, to avoidthe occurrence of inflation, and to consider the establishment of thesystem of fiscal spending on agriculture policy pegged to the rural CPI.
通过采取主成分分析方法，结合福建省经济发展阶段、经济开放特征和实际省情，根据指标的客观性以及数据的可获得性测算了福建省1980—2010年的综合经济开放程度。结果表明福建省经济开放程度在1980年至1994年呈现出不断上升趋势，1995年至2001出现了小幅度的回落，2002年至2004年连续三年呈上升趋势，之后又开始表现出下降趋势。尽管福建省经济开放程度表现出先扬后抑的特征，但总体呈现出上升的趋势。
由于受到经济对外开放战略和国民经济产业结构不断调整等因素的影响，福建省财政农业支出规模呈现出阶段性的变动规律。首先，长期内福建省财政农业支出规模表现出总体上的增长态势。其次，在不同阶段，福建省财政农业支出规模表现出不平衡的增长趋势，在改革开放初期，财政农业支出规模的增长相对缓慢，而伴随改革开放水平和经济开放程度的不断提高，财政农业支出规模的增长相对较快。财政农业支出规模增长速度与财政收入增长速度不断交替增长，只有9年的财政农业支出规模增长速度高于财政收入增长速度。财政农业支出规模占财政支出的比重以及财政农业支出规模占农业GDP的比重都比较低，与其他发达国家相比还存在较大差距。农业GDP在全部GDP中所占份额表现出逐年下降趋势，与全国财政农业支出规模份额与农业GDP份额比值相比较，福建省一直低于全国水平。福建省大部分年份农业GDP的增长速度低于财政农业支出规模的增长速度，即两者比值的绝对值小于1，这说明了大部分年份财政农业支出规模的效率低下。
通过经济开放对地方财政农业支出规模变动影响的理论与实证分析，在理论上从数学函数和几何图形两个角度分析了经济开放对我国地方财政农业支出规模变动的影响机制。结果表明，经济开放对我国地方财政农业支出规模变动的影响存在先抑后扬的特征，即经济开放程度比较低的阶段支持“效率假说”，经济开放程度比较高的阶段支持“补偿假说”。在实证分析中利用边界协整检验方法检验了福建省财政农业支出规模与农业经济增长变化率、经济开放程度之间存在长期稳定的协整关系。长期内，经济开放对福建省财政农业支出规模变动的影响在总体上呈现出不断上升趋势，但在经济开放程度所处不同阶段，其对财政农业支出规模变动影响的上升速度具有不同的阶段性特征。在20世纪80年代福建省的财政农业支出规模以递减的趋势增加，该阶段支持“效率假说”；而进入20世纪90年代后，福建省财政农业支出规模以递增的趋势不断扩大，该阶段支持“补偿假说”。
通过经济开放对地方财政农业支出规模效应影响的理论与实证分析，在理论上证明了经济开放程度与财政农业支出规模效应之间呈现出一种递减关系，即经济开放程度越大，财政农业支出规模效应越小：财政农业支出规模的产出效应随着经济开放程度的提高而不断减小，财政农业支出规模的价格效应随着经济开放程度的提高而不断放大。在实证分析中发现财政农业支出规模在短期内对农业产出具有促进作用，但在长期内对农业产出效应的影响随着经济开放程度的提高而趋于减弱，对农村价格效应的影响随着经济开放程度的提高而趋于不明显。在产出效应中，随着经济开放程度的提高，对于当年福建省财政农业支出规模的产出效应具有显著的促进作用，而对于滞后一年福建省财政农业支出规模的产出效应产生了负面影响，但得不到经验支持，经济开放对于财政农业支出规模给农业产出带来的刺激作用在当年就直接表现出来，效果比较快。但随着经济开放程度的不断提高，福建省财政农业支出规模的产出效应在减弱。在价格效应中，经济开放对当年财政农业支出规模价格效应的影响不明显。经济开放对财政农业支出规模价格效应的影响主要是通过财政农业支出规模滞后期的作用效果而发生的：经济开放程度的上升对滞后一年的财政农业支出规模价格效应具有显著的放大作用，经济开放程度的提高对滞后两年的财政农业支出规模价格效应具有明显的削弱作用。长期来看，经济开放对财政农业支出规模的产出效应和价格效应的影响都不明显。
最后，提出了主要的研究结论及其政策含义。政府应加大财政农业支出规模力度，提高财政农业支出规模水平，提升财政农业支出规模的效率。增加农村水利、农田、交通等基本建设支出以完善农村基础设施；加大农村教育支出以提升农民人力资本水平和技术培训，增加农村社会保障、农村社会福利、农村政策性补贴、农村转移支付以及农村公共服务等方面的支出。要保持农村物价稳定，制定出农村物价波动范围的预期水平，避免通货膨胀的发生，可考虑建立盯住农村CPI的财政农业支出政策体系。
The openness of the economy is considered to be a very important factorof the local government fiscal spending on agriculture scale changes.Since the reform and opening up, the rural economic development in FujianProvince has made great achievements, but also appeared to increase thepossibility of agricultural economy suffered external risk and impact,and the gap between urban and rural areas to expand the real problem,thereby constraining the sustainable development of the rural economy inFujian Province. Order to adapt to the uncertainty brought about by thischange, the government must ensure the safety of the agricultural industry,to maintain social stability in rural areas to reduce farmers' hiddenunemployment, the defense economic opening up of rural residents may causethe risk and impact of the welfare loss, as well as narrow the gap betweenurban and rural areas, rural to urban and rural public serviceequalization of social and public financial expenditure. Especially afterjoining the WTO, the competitiveness of agriculture in Fujian Provincefacing international challenges. The same time, the contradictions andproblems faced in the three rural work is still arduous and complex, thewidening of the gap between urban and rural areas, the increasingly slowincrease of farmers' income, declining per capita arable land, thetransfer of rural surplus labor more difficult, is lagging behind thedevelopment of social undertakings in rural areas as well as ruralecological problems worsening. And the solution of these problems dependson the implementation of the proactive fiscal policy to increase the sizeof fiscal spending on agriculture, vigorously strengthen the agriculturalinfrastructure, and measures to increase investment in rural research,thus enhancing the international competitiveness of agriculture.
By taking the principal component analysis method, combined with thestage of economic development of Fujian Province, the open economic characteristics and the actual situation in the province, according tothe objectivity of the indicators and data availability estimates FujianProvince1980-2010year comprehensive economic openness. The results showthat economic openness in Fujian Province in1980-1994, showing a risingtrend, the small magnitude of the fall from1995to2001, for threeconsecutive years from2002to2004the rise, after they began to showa downward trend. Although economic openness in Fujian Province showedcharacteristics of Xianyanghouyi, but overall is showing an upward trend.
Due to the impact of the economic opening-up strategy and continuouslyadjust the industrial structure of the national economy and other factors,the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture in Fujian Province showingperiodic changes in the law. First, the scale of fiscal spending onagriculture in Fujian Province in the long-term performance of the overallgrowth. Secondly, at various stages, the scale of fiscal spending onagriculture in Fujian Province showed unbalanced growth trend in thebeginning of reform and opening up, the relatively slow growth in the scaleof fiscal spending on agriculture, and accompanied by the continuousimprovement of the level of reform and opening up and the degree ofopenness, fiscal spending on agriculture The scale of growth is relativelyfast. The size of fiscal spending on agriculture growth rate, fiscalrevenue growth rate is constantly alternating growth, only nine years,the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture growth rate higher than thegrowth rate of fiscal revenue. The scale of fiscal spending on agricultureshare of financial expenditure, and the scale of agricultural financialexpenditure accounted for the proportion of agricultural GDP evenrelatively low compared with other developed countries, there are stilllarge gaps. The share of agricultural GDP in total GDP showed a decliningtrend, compared with the national fiscal financial scale of agriculturalexpenditure share and the share of agricultural GDP ratio, Fujian Province, has been below the national level. Fujian Province, most of the year thegrowth rate of agricultural GDP growth rate below the scale of fiscalspending on agriculture, that both the absolute value of the ratio is lessthan1,indicating that the inefficient agricultural financialexpenditure scale in most years.
Theoretical and empirical analysis of the local financial impact ofchanges in the scale of agricultural expenditure by the openness of theeconomy, in theory the mechanism of economic openness on the impact ofchanges in the scale of China's local fiscal expenditure for agricultureis analyzed from two angles of mathematical functions and geometry. Theresults showed that the impact of the economic opening of China's localfiscal expenditure for agriculture scale changes in exist Xianyihouyangfeatures.The low stage of economic openness supports"efficiencyhypothesis"and the higher stage of economic openness supports"compensation hypothesis".In empirical analysis,border cointegrationtest method to examine the rate of change of the scale of fiscal spendingon agriculture and agricultural economic growth and economic openness inFujian Province, existing a long-term stability of the cointegrationrelationship.Within the long-term, the openness of the economy in general,long-term effects of the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture showinga rising trend, in which the different stages of economic openness, therising speed of its impact on the scale of fiscal spending on agriculturehas a different stage characteristics. Agricultural financialexpenditure scale in Fujian Province in the1980s to the decreasing trendof increase in the stage of support for "efficiency hypothesis"; and intothe1990s, the size of fiscal spending on agriculture in Fujian increasingtrend expanding the stage support "compensation hypothesis".
Theoretical and empirical analysis of the local financial impact ofeffects in the scale of agricultural expenditure by the openness of the economy, proved theoretically that showed a decline relationship betweeneconomic openness and fiscal spending on agriculture economies of scale,that is, the greater the degree of economic openness, the smaller the scaleeffect of fiscal spending on agriculture: the scale output effect offiscal spending on agriculture as the economy and opening upimprovementin the level decreases, the price effect of the financial scale ofagricultural expenditure continued to enlarge With the improvement ofeconomic openness.In the empirical analysis,found that the size of fiscalspending on agriculture with the promotion of the agricultural output inthe short term, but in the long-term effects on agricultural output asthe economy and opening degree of improve and tend to weaken the the therural price effect with the improvement of economic openness tends obvious.The output effect, with the improvement of economic openness, for the yearthe scale output effect of fiscal spending on agriculture in FujianProvince has a significant role in promoting fiscal spending onagriculture-scale output in Fujian Province, for the one-year lag effecthad a negative impact, but is not supported by empirical evidence, theopenness of the economy for the stimulation of the scale of fiscal spendingon agriculture to agricultural output in the year directly manifested,the effect is relatively fast.Thus,generally speaking, with thecontinuous improvement of the degree of openness of the economy, the scaleof fiscal spending on agriculture in Fujian Province output effect ofweakening. The price effect, the openness of the economy when the sizeof the fiscal spending on agriculture price effect is not obvious.Economic openness scale price effect of fiscal spending on agricultureby the lag effect of the scale of fiscal spending on agriculture andagricultural financial expenditure scale price of a one-year lag effect:the rise of economic openness has significantly enlarged the role ofeconomic improve the openness of the financial year lag price effect of the scale of agricultural expenditure has significantly weakened. Longterm, the openness of the economy on the scale of fiscal spending onagriculture output effect and the price effect is not obvious.
Finally, the main conclusions of the study and its policy implications.The government should increase fiscal spending on agriculture-scaleefforts to improve the scale and level of fiscal spending on agriculture,to enhance the efficiency of the financial scale of agriculturalexpenditure. Capital expenditures to improve rural infrastructure to;increase spending on education in rural areas to enhance their level ofhuman capital and technical training, to increase the rural socialsecurity, social welfare in rural areas, rural policy subsidies, ruraltransfer payments and increase rural water conservancy, farmland, trafficrural public services spending. To maintain price stability in rural areas,the rural price fluctuation range is expected to develop a level, to avoidthe occurrence of inflation, and to consider the establishment of thesystem of fiscal spending on agriculture policy pegged to the rural CPI.
引文
[1]Abizadeh,S.An Analysis of Government Expenditure and Trade Liberalization[J]. AppliedEconomics,2005,37(16):1881-1884.
[2]Alesina,A.and R.Wacziarg.Openness， Country Size and Government[J].Journal of PublicEconomics,1998,69:305-321.
[3]Balle,F.and A.Vaidya.A Regional Analysis of Openness and Government Size[J]. AppliedEconomics Letters,2002,9(5):289-292.
[4]Bates,R.,Brock,P.and Tiefenthaler,J. Risk and Trade Regimes[J].InternationalOrganization,1991,45:1-18.
[5]Benarroch,M.and Pandey,M.Trade Openness and Government Size[J].EconomicsLetters,2008,101(3):157-159.
[6]Banerjee,Anindya,Juan J.Dolado, John W.Galbraith and David F.Hendry.Cointegration, ErrorCorrection and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data[M]. Oxford:Oxford UniversityPress,1993.
[7]Bretschger,L.and Hettich,F.Globalization,Capital Mobility and Tax Competition: Theory andEvidence for OECD Countries[J].European Journal of Political Economy,2002,18:695-716.
[8]Cameron,D.R.The Expansion of the Public Economy:A Comparative Analysis[J]. AmericanPolitical Science Review,1978,72(12):1243-1261.
[9]Cassing,J., Hillman,A.and Long,N.Risk Aversion,Terms of Trade Uncertainty andSocial-consensus Trade[J].Oxford Economic Papers,1986,38:234-242.
[10]D.Ahmed,A.and S.Suardi.Macroeconomic Volatility,Trade and Financial Liberalization inAfrica[J].World Development,2009,37(10):1623-1636.
[11]Di Giovanni,J.and A.A.Levchenko. Trade Openness and Volatility[J].Review of Economicsand Statistics,2009,91(3):558-585.
[12]Dollar,D.Outward-oriented Developing Economies really do grow more rapidly:evidencefrom95LDCs,1976-1985[J].Economic Development and Cultural Change,1992:523-544.
[13]Down,I.Trade Openness， Country Size and Economic Volatility: The CompensationHypothesis Revisited[J].Business and Politics,2007,9(2):1-20.
[14]Dreher,A.The Influence of Globalization on Taxes and Social Policy-An Empirical Analysisfor OECD Countries[J].European Journal of Political Economy,2006,22(1):179-201.
[15]Figlio,D.N.and Blonigen,B.A.The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on LocalCommunities[J].Journal of Urban Economics,2000,48:338-363．
[16]Garen,J.and K.Trask.Do More Open Economies have Bigger Governments? AnotherLook[J].Journal of DevelopmentEconomics,2005,77:533-551.
[17]Garrett,G.Globalization and Government Spending around the World[J].Studies inComparative International Development,2001,35(4):3-29.
[18]Garrett,G.and D.Mitchell.The Distributive Consequences of Globalization [J].EuropeanJournal of Political Research,2001,39:145-177.
[19]Hammed,A., Kafayat,A.and Ramos,M.Aggregate demand for electricity in South Africa: Ananalysis using the bounds testing approach to cointegration[J].Energy Policy,2009,37:4167-4175.
[20]Harrison,A.Openness and Growth:a Time-series,Cross-country analysis for Develo-PingCountries[J].Journal of Development Economics,1996,48:419-447.
[21]Hicks,A.and Swank,D.Politics,Institutions and Welfare Spending in IndustrializedDemocracies[J].American Political Science Review,1992,86:658-674．
[22]Isham,J.and D.Kaufmann.The Productivity of Investment Projects[J].Quarterly Journal ofEconomics,1999,114:149-184.
[23]Islam,M.Q.The Long Run Relationship Between Openness and Government Size:Evidencefrom Bounds Test[J].Applied Economics,2004,35:995-1000.
[24]Johnson,B.and Sheely,T.1996index of Economic Freedom[J].Washington:the HeritageFoundation,1996.
[25]Karras,G.Openness and effects of monetary policy[J].Journal of International Money andFinance,1999,18:13-26.
[26]Kaufman,R.and Segura-Ubiergo,A.Globalization,domestic politics,and social spending inLatin America[J].World Politics,2001,53:553-587.
[27]Kittel,B.and Winner,H.How reliable is pooled analysis in political economy? Theglobalization-welfare state nexus revisited[J].European Journal of PoliticalResearch,2005,44:269-293.
[28]Klinger,B.and D.Lederman.Diversification,Innovation， and Imitation inside the GlobalTechnological Frontier[C].WB,Research Policy Working Paper,2006:38-72.
[29]Koren,M.and S.Tenreyro.Volatility and Development[J].Quarterly Journal ofEconomics,2007,122(1):243-287.
[30]Leamer,E.Measuring of Openness,Trade Policy and Empirical Analysis[J].Chicago: universityof Chicago Press,1998.
[31]Liberati,P.Trade Openness，Capital Openness and Government Size[J].Journal of PublicPolicy,2007,27:215－247．
[32]Lloyd,J. and MacLaren，D．Measures of Trade openness using CGE Analysis[J]．Journal ofPolicy Modeling,2002,24：67-81.
[33]Paresh Kumar Narayan and Russell Smyth.The residential demand for electricity inAustralia:an application of the bounds testing approach to cointegration[J].EnergyPolicy,2005,33:467-474.
[34]Paresh Kumar Narayan and Xiujian Peng.Japan’s fertility transition:Empirical evidence fromthe bounds testing approach to cointegration[J].Japan and the World Economy,2007,19:263-278.
[35]Patrick,L.,Marcelo,O.and Javier,S.Does Globalization cause a higher Concentrat-ion ofInternational Trade and Investment flow[J].WTO working paper,August,1998.
[36]Pesaran,M.H.and Pesaran, B.Working with Microfit4.0:Interactive EconometricAnalysis[M].Oxford,Oxford University Press,1997:484.
[37]Qian,Y.and B.R.Weingast.Federalism as a commitment to Reserving MarketIncentives[J].Journal of Economic Perspective,1997:40.
[38]Quinn,D.The Correlates of Change in International Financial Regulation[J]. AmericanPolitical Science Review,1997,91:531-551．
[39]Ram,R.Openness,Country Size and Government Size:Additional Evidence from a LargeCross-country Panel[J].Journal of Public Economics,2009,93:213-218．
[40]Rodrik,D. Why do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments[J].Journal of PoliticalEconomy,1998,106(5):997-1032.
[41]Sachs,J.and Warner,A.Economic Reform and the process of Global Integration[R]. BrookingsPapers of Economic Activity,1995,1:1-118.
[42]Scheve,K.and Slaughte,M.Economic insecurity and the globalization of production[J].American Journal of Political Science2004,48:662-674.
[43]Stewart,W.Instituional Quality and Its Effect on Trade:an empirical analysis[J].UBCEconomic Honors Thesis,1999.
[44]Swank,D.Mobile Capital,Democratic Institutions and the Public Economy in AdvancedIndustrial Societies[J].Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis,2001,3:133-162．
[45]Swee-Hui,K.J. and P.Chin-Hong and W.Chiew-Meu.Bounds Estimation for Trade Opennessand Government Expenditure Nexus of ASEAN-4Countries[J].MPRA Paper,2008,1235.
[46]Tanzi,V.Globalization and the Future of Social Protection[J].Scottish Journal of PoliticalEconomy,2002,49:116-127.
[47]奥利维尔.琼.布兰查德,斯坦利.费希尔.宏观经济学(高级教程）[M].北京:经济科学出版社,1998.
[48]保罗·克鲁格曼,茅瑞斯·奥伯斯法尔德.国际经济学（第四版）[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1998.
[49]蔡伟贤,踪家峰.外商投资、贸易开放度与中国财政支出结构[J].财经研究,2008,(8):88-96.
[50]蔡跃洲.财政支持“三农”政策效应的CGE模拟分析[J].财经研究,2007,(5):96-104.
[51]陈安平.财政分权、城乡收入差距与经济增长[J].财经科学,2009,(10):93-101.
[52]陈安平,杜金沛.中国的财政支出与城乡收入差距[J].统计研究,2010,(11):34-39.
[53]陈灿煌.财政支农支出总量及结构与农业经济增长的关系——基于1980-2005年中国数据的实证分析[J].技术经济,2009,(12):76-79.
[54]陈辉和牛叔文：经济开放度评价及对策研究——以甘肃为例[J].经济问题,2010,(6):121-124.
[55]陈丽华.我国财政农业投入的公平与效率效应及政策优化——基于1978-2006年统计数据的实证分析[J].中央财经大学学报,2010,(1):17-22.
[56]迟慧.“三农”问题的财政政策缺陷及其弥合[J].农村经济,2005,(1):71-73.崔元锋,严立冬.基于DEA的财政农业支出资金绩效评价[J].农业经济问题,2006,(9):37-40.
[57]达摩达尔·N·古扎拉蒂.计量经济学基础(第四版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2005.
[58]戴维·罗默.高级宏观经济学(第二版)[M].上海:上海财经大学出版社,2009.
[59]邓旋.财政支出规模、结构与城乡收入不平等——基于中国省级面板数据的实证分析[J].经济评论,2011,(4):63-69.
[60]邓子基.公共财政与农村改革发展[J].厦门大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2009,(1):5-11.
[61]杜玉红,黄小舟.财政资金农业支出与农民收入关系研究[J].统计研究,2006,(9):47-50.
[62]多恩布什,费希尔,斯塔兹.宏观经济学（第十版）[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2011.
[63]范从来,廖晓萍.开放经济下货币政策的有效性研究[J].当代财经,2003,(7):37-41.
[64]范良.经济开放度与经济增长——基于VAR方法对中国的实证研究[J].财经问题研究,2005,(11):13-20.
[65]樊胜根,张林秀.WTO和中国农村公共投资[M].北京:中国农业出版社,2003.
[66]方红生,张军.中国地方政府扩张偏向的财政行为:观察与解释[J].经济学季刊,2009,8(3):1065-1082.
[67]傅道忠.城乡差距及其二元财政成因探析[J].财贸研究,2004,(2):59-63.
[68]福建省财政厅.福建财政年鉴[M].福州:福建人民出版社,1992-2007.
[69]福建省地方志编纂委员会.福建省志—财税志[M].北京:新华出版社,1994.
[70]福建省计划委员会.福建农业大全[M].福州:福建人民出版社,1992.
[71]福建省统计局.福建社会统计资料[M].福州:福建人民出版社,1986.
[72]福建省统计局.福建统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1986-2012.
[73]高凌云,毛日昇.贸易开放、引致性就业调整与我国地方政府实际支出规模变动[J].经济研究,2011,(1):42-56.
[74]高铁梅.计量经济分析方法与建模:EViews应用及实例(第二版)[M].北京：清华大学出版社，2009.
[75]管治华,蒋长流.财政支农支出对促进农产品加工业发展的政策效应分析——基于安徽省1988-2009年数据的实证分析[J].财政研究，2011,(11):33-36．
[76]国家统计局农村社会经济调查司.中国农村统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1987-2011.
[77]郭妍,张立光.我国经济开放度的度量及其与经济增长的实证分析[J].统计研究，2004，(4):26-30．
[78]郭玉清.中国财政农业投入最优规模实证分析[J].财经问题研究,2006,(5):68-72.
[79]海闻,P.林德特,王新奎.国际贸易[M].上海:上海人民出版社,2003.
[80]何枫,陈荣.经济开放度对中国经济效率的影响：基于跨省数据的实证分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2004,(3):18-24．
[81]何振国.财政支农规模与结构问题研究[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2005.
[82]何振国.浅析财政支农支出结构存在的问题[J].中国财政,2006,(9):61-63.
[83]何振国,王强.财政支农支出优先次序研究[J].管理世界,2006,(1):150-151.
[84]何振国.中国财政支农支出的最优规模及其实现[J].中国农村经济,2006,(8):4-16.
[85]侯石安.中国财政农业投入的目标选择与政策优化[J].农业经济问题,2004,(3):40-43.
[86]胡永刚,杨智峰.财政农业支出对农村产出与居民消费影响的SVAR分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2009,(7):19-46.
[87]胡振虎.中国最优财政支农支出研究[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2010,(3):34-39.
[88]胡智,刘志雄.中国经济开放度的测算与国际比较[J].世界经济研究,2005,(7).10-17.
[89]黄繁华.中国经济开放度及其国际比较研究[J].国际贸易问题,2001,(1):19-23.
[90]黄武俊.开放经济下中国货币政策效果实证研究[J].经济评论,2010,(4):109-116.
[91]黄小周,王红玲.从农民增收的角度看我国财政支农资金绩效[J].中央财经大学学报,2005,(1):10-13.
[92]黄新建,王勇.财政支农对江西农业经济增长效应的实证研究——基于协整检验与误差修正模型[J].江西财经大学学报,2010,(2):58-61.
[93]黄祖辉,陈林兴.浙江农村居民消费支出系统函数的稳定性检验[J].浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2010,(5):126-137.
[94]J.M.伍德里奇.计量经济学导论:现代观点[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2003.
[95]蒋俊鹏,田国强,郭沛.中国区域财政支农投入：地区差距的度量及分解[J].中国农村经济2011,(8):33-40.
[96]兰宜生.对外开放度与地区经济增长的实证分析[J].统计研究,2002,(2):19-22.
[97]雷启振,汪小助.财政支农的相机抉择与绩效评估：1950-2006年[J].改革,2008,(8):62-67.
[98]冷志杰,唐焕文.农业财政政策效率实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2005,(2):33-39.
[99]李翀.我国对外开放程度的度量与比较[J].经济研究,1998,(1):26-29.
[100]李焕彰,钱忠好.财政支农政策与中国农业增长:因果与结构分析[J].中国农村经济,2004,(8):38-43.
[101]李建军.城镇居民收入、财政支出与农民收入:基于1978-2006年中国数据的协整分析[J].农业技术经济,2008,(4):34-40.
[102]李建军,王德祥.经济开放与地方财政支出[J].统计研究,2011,(7):9-20.
[103]李金昌,窦雪霞.经济转型时期中国农村居民消费与收入关系变迁实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2007,(7):45-52.
[104]李普亮,贾卫丽.地方财政农业投入的最优规模分析[J].税务与经济,2011,(5):42-48.
[105]李琴,李大胜,余建斌.地方财政支农、农村税费改革与农户投资——基于26个省动态面板数据的实证分析[J].南开经济研究,2008,(1):133-142.
[106]李琴,熊启泉,李大胜.中国财政农业投入的结构分析[J].中国农村经济,2006,(8):10-16.
[107]李容.中国农业科研公共投资研究[M].北京:中国农业出版社,2003.
[108]李实.中国个人收入分配研究回顾与展望[J].经济学(季刊),2003,(1):379-404.
[109]李涛,周业安.中国地方政府间支出竞争研究——基于中国省级面板数据的经验证据[J].管理世界,2009,(2):12-22.
[110]李祥云,陈建伟.我国财政农业支出的规模、结构与绩效评估[J].农业经济问题,2010,(8):20-25.
[111]李燕凌.基于DEA—Tobit模型的财政支农效率分析—以湖南省为例[J].中国农村经济,2008,(9):52-62.
[112]李晓嘉.财政支农支出与农村居民消费的动态效应分析[J].经济学动态,2010,(9):31-34.
[113]李子成,金哲松.云南省对外开放度与经济增长相关性分析[J].经济问题探索,2011,(2)：148-153.
[114]李子奈,潘文卿.计量经济学(第二版)[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2005.
[115]廉桂萍.加大财政对农业支持力度不断提高农业竞争力[J].农业经济问题,2003,(11):51-53.
[116]刘朝明,韦海鸣.对外开放的度量方法与模型分析[J].财经科学,2001,(2):34-36.
[117]刘成奎,王朝才.财政支出结构与社会公平的实证分析[J].财政研究,2008,(2):15-18.
[118]刘旦.财政支农结构与农民收入增长关系[J].北方经济,2006,(12):35-37.
[119]刘涵.财政支农支出对农业经济增长影响的实证分析[J].农业经济问题,2008,(10):30-35.
[120]刘伦武.农业基础设施发展与农村经济增长的动态关系[J].财经科学,2006,(10):91-98.
[121]刘巍和陈昭.计量经济学软件：EViews操作简明教程[M].广州:暨南大学出版社,2009.
[122]刘玉玫.经济全球化的量化研究[J].统计研究,2003,(12):13-17.
[123]陆铭,陈钊.城市化、城市倾向的经济政策与城乡收入差距[J].经济研究,2004,(6):50-58.
[124]罗龙.当代经济发展中的开放度问题——国际比较与中国的选择[M].对外经济贸易大学学报,1989,(5):27-35.
[125]马拴友,于红霞.转移支付与地区经济收敛[J].经济研究,2003,(3):26-33.
[126]马树才,孙长清.我国政府支出对经济增长拉动作用研究[J].财经理论与实践,2005,(6):100-104.
[127]马树才,孙长清.经济增长与最优财政支出规模研究[J].统计研究,2005,(1):15-20.
[128]毛其淋.经济开放、城市化水平与城乡收入差距——基于中国省际面板数据的经验研究[J].浙江社会科学,2011,(1):11-22.
[129]孟勇.财政支出对居民收入差距形成的计量分析[J].财政研究,2009,(8):61-65.
[130]黎翠梅.地方财政农业支出与区域农业经济增长——基于东、中、西部地区面板数据的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2009,(1):182-188.
[131]彭代彦.增加农民收入与乡镇政府改革[J].经济学家,2003,(6):26-29.
[132]冉光和等.财政金融政策与城乡协调发展理论与实证研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2009.
[133]冉光和,李敬,万丽娟,温涛.经济转轨时期财政政策对农民收入增长的影响[J].重庆大学学报(自然科学版),2005,(8):145-148.
[134]庞智强.各地区省域经济综合开放程度的测定[J].统计研究,2008,(1):47-50.
[135]彭克强.财政支农杠杆效应的实证研究:1987-2007[J].统计研究,2008,(11):30-36.
[136]平新乔.中国地方政府支出规模的膨胀趋势[J].经济社会体制比较,2007,(1):50-58.
[137]钱克明.中国“绿箱政策”的支持结构与效率[J].农业经济问题,2003,(1):41-45.
[138]乔超.中外出口贸易依存度比较分析[J].世界经济文汇,1997,(2):49-53.
[139]沈淑霞,秦富.财政农业性投入的规模效率分析[J].农业技术经济,2004,(4):45-51.
[140]司春林,王安宇,袁庆丰.中国IS-LM模型及其政策含义[J].管理科学学报,2002,(2):46-54.
[141]孙长清,李晖.基于经济增长的财政支出最优化[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2006.
[142]孙文祥,张志超.财政支出结构对经济增长与社会公平的影响[J].上海财经大学学报,2004,(12):3-9.
[143]汤鹏主.财政支农支出和农业产值增长的关系[J].现代经济探讨,2008,(8):71-75.
[144]唐朱昌,吕彬彬.财政支农政策与农民收入增长:总量与结构分析[J].江淮论坛,2007,(2):32-35.
[145]陶然,刘明兴.中国城乡收入差距、地方政府开支及财政自主[J].世界经济文汇,2007,(4):1-21.
[146]托马斯·J·萨金特.动态宏观经济理论[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,1997.
[147]王斌,尹翔硕.加入世界贸易组织对中国农业福利的影响[J].中国农村经济,2001,(1)：24-31.
[148]王德祥,李建军.新农村建设、财政支出与农民收入增长——基于贵州省遵义市12个县的实证分析[J].农业经济问题,2009,(2):42-47.
[149]王建明.农业财政投资对经济增长作用的研究——兼论农业科研投资的作用与效果[J].农业技术经济,2010,(2):41-49.
[150],阮锋儿.政府公共支出、经济增长与西部农村建设投资关系实证分析[J].农业经济问题,2009,(1):37-42.
[151]王奎泉.政府农业投入机制效率分析[J],财经论丛,2003,(3):39-42.
[152]王敏,潘勇辉.财政农业投入与农民纯收入关系研究[J].农业经济问题,2007,(5):99-105.
[153]王鹏.广东省经济开放度与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].国际经贸探索,2007,(5):33-38.
[154]王擎,魏朗,张期翔.财政支农支出对西部农业经济可持续发展的实证分析[J].生态经济,2007,(11):127-130.
[155]王文普,陈伟.财政农业支出结构对农业经济的增长效应[J].华东经济管理,2008,(3):45-49.
[156]王艺明,蔡翔.财政支出结构与城乡收入差距——基于东、中、西部地区省级面板数据的经验分析[J].财经科学,2010,(8):73-80.
[157]王志伟.现代西方经济学主要思潮及流派[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2004.
[158]魏朗.财政支农支出对西部农业经济增长的贡献[J].财经科学,2006,(4):111-117.
[159]威廉·H.格林.计量经济分析(第五版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2007.
[160]威廉姆·M.斯卡斯.高级宏观经济学导论:新凯恩斯主义与新古典经济学的综合（第二版）[M].上海:上海财经大学出版社,2006.
[161]温涛,董文杰.财政金融支农政策的总体效应与时空差异——基于中国省际面板数据的研究[J].农业技术经济,2011,(1):24-33.
[162]温涛,王煜宇.农业贷款、财政支农投入对农民收入增长有效性研究[J],财经问题研究,2005,(2):78-83.
[163]温涛,熊德平.“十五”期间各地区农村资金配置效率比较[J].统计研究,2008,(4):82-89.
[164]吴园一.中国经济开放度选择及指标体系[J].财经研究,1998,(1):21-25.
[165]辛兵海,马丽斌.财政支农资金绩效的面板模型分析[J].农村经济,2009,(11):69-71.
[166]许冰.财政支农的时变边际效应与弹性实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2006,(8):17-33.
[167]许允彬,赵卫亚.我国农村居民消费行为的半参数分析[J],经济纵横,2007,(1):89-90.
[168]胥巍,曹正勇,傅新红.我国东、西部财政支农对农业经济增长贡献的比较研究[J],软科学2008,(5):95-99.
[169]杨灿明,郭慧芳,孙群力.我国农民收入来源构成的实证分析——兼论增加农民收入的对策[J].财贸经济,2007,(2):74-78.
[170]杨灿明,孙群力.外部风险对中国地方政府规模的影响[J].经济研究,2008,(9):115-121.
[171]杨丹萍,张冀.经济开放度对经济增长的影响分析——基于浙江省1992-2009年数据的实证检验[J].国际贸易问题,2011,(6):101-110.
[172]杨晶.经济开放对我国城镇贫困的影响研究[D].华中科技大学博士学位论文,2008,5.
[173]杨林娟,戴亨钊.甘肃省财政支农支出与农民收入增长关系研究[J].农业经济问题,2008,(3):99-102.
[174]杨敏,蒋远胜.财政支持对提高农民家庭经营收入的效果——基于1991-2008年统计数据的再检验[J].四川农业大学学报,2011,(3):124-128.
[175]叶堂林.农业循环经济模式与途径[M].北京:新华出版社,2006.
[176]易丹辉.数据分析与EViews应用[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2007.
[177]易行健,王俊海.中国农村居民消费行为变异的实证检验[J],统计与决策,2007,(20):85-87.
[178]余官胜.贸易开放和政府财政支出规模——基于省际动态面板数据的实证研究[J].东北大学学报(社会科学版),2010,(1):19-22.
[179]俞培果,蒋葵.农业科技投入的价格效应和分配效应探析[J].中国农村经济,2006,(7):54-71.
[180]曾国安,胡晶晶.论中国城市偏向的财政制度与城乡居民收入差距[J].财政研究,2009,(2):36-39.
[181]张琴.农村公共品供给与县乡财税体制改革[J].农业经济问题,2011,(1):54-59.
[182]张晓峒.计量经济学软件EViews使用指南(第二版)[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2004.
[183]张晏,龚六堂.地区差距、要素流动与财政分权[J].经济研究,2004,(7):59-69.
[184]张元红.财政政策与中国农业的周期性波动[J].中国农村观察,2000,(4):2-11.
[185]赵人伟,李实.中国居民收入差距的扩大及其原因[J].经济研究1997,(9):19-28.
[186]赵阳.中国农业科研投入的理论分析和政策建议[J].中国农村观察,2001,(3):2-8.
[187]朱钢.我国财政支农规模问题分析[J].中国农村经济,1998,(10):15-22.
[188]朱钢等.聚焦中国农村财政——格局、机理与政策选择[M].太原：山西经济出版社,2000.
[189]朱湖根.我国财政支持农业产业化对农民收入增长影响的贡献分析[J].农业技术经济,2007,(4):103-108.
[190]朱湖根,万伦来,金炎.中国财政支持农业产业化经营项目对农民收入增长影响的实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2007,(12):28-34.
[191]朱晶.农业公共投资、竞争力与粮食安全[J].经济研究,2003,(1):13-20.
[192]朱钟棣.人民币汇率机制的回顾与改进[J].上海投资,2005,(4):4-7.
[193]周黎安.中国地方官员的晋升锦标赛模式研究[J].经济研究,2007,(7):36-50.
[194]周黎安,陈烨.中国农村税费改革的政策效果:基于双重差分模型的估计[J].经济研究,2005,(8):42-53.
[2]Alesina,A.and R.Wacziarg.Openness， Country Size and Government[J].Journal of PublicEconomics,1998,69:305-321.
[3]Balle,F.and A.Vaidya.A Regional Analysis of Openness and Government Size[J]. AppliedEconomics Letters,2002,9(5):289-292.
[4]Bates,R.,Brock,P.and Tiefenthaler,J. Risk and Trade Regimes[J].InternationalOrganization,1991,45:1-18.
[5]Benarroch,M.and Pandey,M.Trade Openness and Government Size[J].EconomicsLetters,2008,101(3):157-159.
[6]Banerjee,Anindya,Juan J.Dolado, John W.Galbraith and David F.Hendry.Cointegration, ErrorCorrection and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data[M]. Oxford:Oxford UniversityPress,1993.
[7]Bretschger,L.and Hettich,F.Globalization,Capital Mobility and Tax Competition: Theory andEvidence for OECD Countries[J].European Journal of Political Economy,2002,18:695-716.
[8]Cameron,D.R.The Expansion of the Public Economy:A Comparative Analysis[J]. AmericanPolitical Science Review,1978,72(12):1243-1261.
[9]Cassing,J., Hillman,A.and Long,N.Risk Aversion,Terms of Trade Uncertainty andSocial-consensus Trade[J].Oxford Economic Papers,1986,38:234-242.
[10]D.Ahmed,A.and S.Suardi.Macroeconomic Volatility,Trade and Financial Liberalization inAfrica[J].World Development,2009,37(10):1623-1636.
[11]Di Giovanni,J.and A.A.Levchenko. Trade Openness and Volatility[J].Review of Economicsand Statistics,2009,91(3):558-585.
[12]Dollar,D.Outward-oriented Developing Economies really do grow more rapidly:evidencefrom95LDCs,1976-1985[J].Economic Development and Cultural Change,1992:523-544.
[13]Down,I.Trade Openness， Country Size and Economic Volatility: The CompensationHypothesis Revisited[J].Business and Politics,2007,9(2):1-20.
[14]Dreher,A.The Influence of Globalization on Taxes and Social Policy-An Empirical Analysisfor OECD Countries[J].European Journal of Political Economy,2006,22(1):179-201.
[15]Figlio,D.N.and Blonigen,B.A.The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on LocalCommunities[J].Journal of Urban Economics,2000,48:338-363．
[16]Garen,J.and K.Trask.Do More Open Economies have Bigger Governments? AnotherLook[J].Journal of DevelopmentEconomics,2005,77:533-551.
[17]Garrett,G.Globalization and Government Spending around the World[J].Studies inComparative International Development,2001,35(4):3-29.
[18]Garrett,G.and D.Mitchell.The Distributive Consequences of Globalization [J].EuropeanJournal of Political Research,2001,39:145-177.
[19]Hammed,A., Kafayat,A.and Ramos,M.Aggregate demand for electricity in South Africa: Ananalysis using the bounds testing approach to cointegration[J].Energy Policy,2009,37:4167-4175.
[20]Harrison,A.Openness and Growth:a Time-series,Cross-country analysis for Develo-PingCountries[J].Journal of Development Economics,1996,48:419-447.
[21]Hicks,A.and Swank,D.Politics,Institutions and Welfare Spending in IndustrializedDemocracies[J].American Political Science Review,1992,86:658-674．
[22]Isham,J.and D.Kaufmann.The Productivity of Investment Projects[J].Quarterly Journal ofEconomics,1999,114:149-184.
[23]Islam,M.Q.The Long Run Relationship Between Openness and Government Size:Evidencefrom Bounds Test[J].Applied Economics,2004,35:995-1000.
[24]Johnson,B.and Sheely,T.1996index of Economic Freedom[J].Washington:the HeritageFoundation,1996.
[25]Karras,G.Openness and effects of monetary policy[J].Journal of International Money andFinance,1999,18:13-26.
[26]Kaufman,R.and Segura-Ubiergo,A.Globalization,domestic politics,and social spending inLatin America[J].World Politics,2001,53:553-587.
[27]Kittel,B.and Winner,H.How reliable is pooled analysis in political economy? Theglobalization-welfare state nexus revisited[J].European Journal of PoliticalResearch,2005,44:269-293.
[28]Klinger,B.and D.Lederman.Diversification,Innovation， and Imitation inside the GlobalTechnological Frontier[C].WB,Research Policy Working Paper,2006:38-72.
[29]Koren,M.and S.Tenreyro.Volatility and Development[J].Quarterly Journal ofEconomics,2007,122(1):243-287.
[30]Leamer,E.Measuring of Openness,Trade Policy and Empirical Analysis[J].Chicago: universityof Chicago Press,1998.
[31]Liberati,P.Trade Openness，Capital Openness and Government Size[J].Journal of PublicPolicy,2007,27:215－247．
[32]Lloyd,J. and MacLaren，D．Measures of Trade openness using CGE Analysis[J]．Journal ofPolicy Modeling,2002,24：67-81.
[33]Paresh Kumar Narayan and Russell Smyth.The residential demand for electricity inAustralia:an application of the bounds testing approach to cointegration[J].EnergyPolicy,2005,33:467-474.
[34]Paresh Kumar Narayan and Xiujian Peng.Japan’s fertility transition:Empirical evidence fromthe bounds testing approach to cointegration[J].Japan and the World Economy,2007,19:263-278.
[35]Patrick,L.,Marcelo,O.and Javier,S.Does Globalization cause a higher Concentrat-ion ofInternational Trade and Investment flow[J].WTO working paper,August,1998.
[36]Pesaran,M.H.and Pesaran, B.Working with Microfit4.0:Interactive EconometricAnalysis[M].Oxford,Oxford University Press,1997:484.
[37]Qian,Y.and B.R.Weingast.Federalism as a commitment to Reserving MarketIncentives[J].Journal of Economic Perspective,1997:40.
[38]Quinn,D.The Correlates of Change in International Financial Regulation[J]. AmericanPolitical Science Review,1997,91:531-551．
[39]Ram,R.Openness,Country Size and Government Size:Additional Evidence from a LargeCross-country Panel[J].Journal of Public Economics,2009,93:213-218．
[40]Rodrik,D. Why do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments[J].Journal of PoliticalEconomy,1998,106(5):997-1032.
[41]Sachs,J.and Warner,A.Economic Reform and the process of Global Integration[R]. BrookingsPapers of Economic Activity,1995,1:1-118.
[42]Scheve,K.and Slaughte,M.Economic insecurity and the globalization of production[J].American Journal of Political Science2004,48:662-674.
[43]Stewart,W.Instituional Quality and Its Effect on Trade:an empirical analysis[J].UBCEconomic Honors Thesis,1999.
[44]Swank,D.Mobile Capital,Democratic Institutions and the Public Economy in AdvancedIndustrial Societies[J].Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis,2001,3:133-162．
[45]Swee-Hui,K.J. and P.Chin-Hong and W.Chiew-Meu.Bounds Estimation for Trade Opennessand Government Expenditure Nexus of ASEAN-4Countries[J].MPRA Paper,2008,1235.
[46]Tanzi,V.Globalization and the Future of Social Protection[J].Scottish Journal of PoliticalEconomy,2002,49:116-127.
[47]奥利维尔.琼.布兰查德,斯坦利.费希尔.宏观经济学(高级教程）[M].北京:经济科学出版社,1998.
[48]保罗·克鲁格曼,茅瑞斯·奥伯斯法尔德.国际经济学（第四版）[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1998.
[49]蔡伟贤,踪家峰.外商投资、贸易开放度与中国财政支出结构[J].财经研究,2008,(8):88-96.
[50]蔡跃洲.财政支持“三农”政策效应的CGE模拟分析[J].财经研究,2007,(5):96-104.
[51]陈安平.财政分权、城乡收入差距与经济增长[J].财经科学,2009,(10):93-101.
[52]陈安平,杜金沛.中国的财政支出与城乡收入差距[J].统计研究,2010,(11):34-39.
[53]陈灿煌.财政支农支出总量及结构与农业经济增长的关系——基于1980-2005年中国数据的实证分析[J].技术经济,2009,(12):76-79.
[54]陈辉和牛叔文：经济开放度评价及对策研究——以甘肃为例[J].经济问题,2010,(6):121-124.
[55]陈丽华.我国财政农业投入的公平与效率效应及政策优化——基于1978-2006年统计数据的实证分析[J].中央财经大学学报,2010,(1):17-22.
[56]迟慧.“三农”问题的财政政策缺陷及其弥合[J].农村经济,2005,(1):71-73.崔元锋,严立冬.基于DEA的财政农业支出资金绩效评价[J].农业经济问题,2006,(9):37-40.
[57]达摩达尔·N·古扎拉蒂.计量经济学基础(第四版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2005.
[58]戴维·罗默.高级宏观经济学(第二版)[M].上海:上海财经大学出版社,2009.
[59]邓旋.财政支出规模、结构与城乡收入不平等——基于中国省级面板数据的实证分析[J].经济评论,2011,(4):63-69.
[60]邓子基.公共财政与农村改革发展[J].厦门大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2009,(1):5-11.
[61]杜玉红,黄小舟.财政资金农业支出与农民收入关系研究[J].统计研究,2006,(9):47-50.
[62]多恩布什,费希尔,斯塔兹.宏观经济学（第十版）[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2011.
[63]范从来,廖晓萍.开放经济下货币政策的有效性研究[J].当代财经,2003,(7):37-41.
[64]范良.经济开放度与经济增长——基于VAR方法对中国的实证研究[J].财经问题研究,2005,(11):13-20.
[65]樊胜根,张林秀.WTO和中国农村公共投资[M].北京:中国农业出版社,2003.
[66]方红生,张军.中国地方政府扩张偏向的财政行为:观察与解释[J].经济学季刊,2009,8(3):1065-1082.
[67]傅道忠.城乡差距及其二元财政成因探析[J].财贸研究,2004,(2):59-63.
[68]福建省财政厅.福建财政年鉴[M].福州:福建人民出版社,1992-2007.
[69]福建省地方志编纂委员会.福建省志—财税志[M].北京:新华出版社,1994.
[70]福建省计划委员会.福建农业大全[M].福州:福建人民出版社,1992.
[71]福建省统计局.福建社会统计资料[M].福州:福建人民出版社,1986.
[72]福建省统计局.福建统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1986-2012.
[73]高凌云,毛日昇.贸易开放、引致性就业调整与我国地方政府实际支出规模变动[J].经济研究,2011,(1):42-56.
[74]高铁梅.计量经济分析方法与建模:EViews应用及实例(第二版)[M].北京：清华大学出版社，2009.
[75]管治华,蒋长流.财政支农支出对促进农产品加工业发展的政策效应分析——基于安徽省1988-2009年数据的实证分析[J].财政研究，2011,(11):33-36．
[76]国家统计局农村社会经济调查司.中国农村统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1987-2011.
[77]郭妍,张立光.我国经济开放度的度量及其与经济增长的实证分析[J].统计研究，2004，(4):26-30．
[78]郭玉清.中国财政农业投入最优规模实证分析[J].财经问题研究,2006,(5):68-72.
[79]海闻,P.林德特,王新奎.国际贸易[M].上海:上海人民出版社,2003.
[80]何枫,陈荣.经济开放度对中国经济效率的影响：基于跨省数据的实证分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2004,(3):18-24．
[81]何振国.财政支农规模与结构问题研究[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2005.
[82]何振国.浅析财政支农支出结构存在的问题[J].中国财政,2006,(9):61-63.
[83]何振国,王强.财政支农支出优先次序研究[J].管理世界,2006,(1):150-151.
[84]何振国.中国财政支农支出的最优规模及其实现[J].中国农村经济,2006,(8):4-16.
[85]侯石安.中国财政农业投入的目标选择与政策优化[J].农业经济问题,2004,(3):40-43.
[86]胡永刚,杨智峰.财政农业支出对农村产出与居民消费影响的SVAR分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2009,(7):19-46.
[87]胡振虎.中国最优财政支农支出研究[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2010,(3):34-39.
[88]胡智,刘志雄.中国经济开放度的测算与国际比较[J].世界经济研究,2005,(7).10-17.
[89]黄繁华.中国经济开放度及其国际比较研究[J].国际贸易问题,2001,(1):19-23.
[90]黄武俊.开放经济下中国货币政策效果实证研究[J].经济评论,2010,(4):109-116.
[91]黄小周,王红玲.从农民增收的角度看我国财政支农资金绩效[J].中央财经大学学报,2005,(1):10-13.
[92]黄新建,王勇.财政支农对江西农业经济增长效应的实证研究——基于协整检验与误差修正模型[J].江西财经大学学报,2010,(2):58-61.
[93]黄祖辉,陈林兴.浙江农村居民消费支出系统函数的稳定性检验[J].浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2010,(5):126-137.
[94]J.M.伍德里奇.计量经济学导论:现代观点[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2003.
[95]蒋俊鹏,田国强,郭沛.中国区域财政支农投入：地区差距的度量及分解[J].中国农村经济2011,(8):33-40.
[96]兰宜生.对外开放度与地区经济增长的实证分析[J].统计研究,2002,(2):19-22.
[97]雷启振,汪小助.财政支农的相机抉择与绩效评估：1950-2006年[J].改革,2008,(8):62-67.
[98]冷志杰,唐焕文.农业财政政策效率实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2005,(2):33-39.
[99]李翀.我国对外开放程度的度量与比较[J].经济研究,1998,(1):26-29.
[100]李焕彰,钱忠好.财政支农政策与中国农业增长:因果与结构分析[J].中国农村经济,2004,(8):38-43.
[101]李建军.城镇居民收入、财政支出与农民收入:基于1978-2006年中国数据的协整分析[J].农业技术经济,2008,(4):34-40.
[102]李建军,王德祥.经济开放与地方财政支出[J].统计研究,2011,(7):9-20.
[103]李金昌,窦雪霞.经济转型时期中国农村居民消费与收入关系变迁实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2007,(7):45-52.
[104]李普亮,贾卫丽.地方财政农业投入的最优规模分析[J].税务与经济,2011,(5):42-48.
[105]李琴,李大胜,余建斌.地方财政支农、农村税费改革与农户投资——基于26个省动态面板数据的实证分析[J].南开经济研究,2008,(1):133-142.
[106]李琴,熊启泉,李大胜.中国财政农业投入的结构分析[J].中国农村经济,2006,(8):10-16.
[107]李容.中国农业科研公共投资研究[M].北京:中国农业出版社,2003.
[108]李实.中国个人收入分配研究回顾与展望[J].经济学(季刊),2003,(1):379-404.
[109]李涛,周业安.中国地方政府间支出竞争研究——基于中国省级面板数据的经验证据[J].管理世界,2009,(2):12-22.
[110]李祥云,陈建伟.我国财政农业支出的规模、结构与绩效评估[J].农业经济问题,2010,(8):20-25.
[111]李燕凌.基于DEA—Tobit模型的财政支农效率分析—以湖南省为例[J].中国农村经济,2008,(9):52-62.
[112]李晓嘉.财政支农支出与农村居民消费的动态效应分析[J].经济学动态,2010,(9):31-34.
[113]李子成,金哲松.云南省对外开放度与经济增长相关性分析[J].经济问题探索,2011,(2)：148-153.
[114]李子奈,潘文卿.计量经济学(第二版)[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2005.
[115]廉桂萍.加大财政对农业支持力度不断提高农业竞争力[J].农业经济问题,2003,(11):51-53.
[116]刘朝明,韦海鸣.对外开放的度量方法与模型分析[J].财经科学,2001,(2):34-36.
[117]刘成奎,王朝才.财政支出结构与社会公平的实证分析[J].财政研究,2008,(2):15-18.
[118]刘旦.财政支农结构与农民收入增长关系[J].北方经济,2006,(12):35-37.
[119]刘涵.财政支农支出对农业经济增长影响的实证分析[J].农业经济问题,2008,(10):30-35.
[120]刘伦武.农业基础设施发展与农村经济增长的动态关系[J].财经科学,2006,(10):91-98.
[121]刘巍和陈昭.计量经济学软件：EViews操作简明教程[M].广州:暨南大学出版社,2009.
[122]刘玉玫.经济全球化的量化研究[J].统计研究,2003,(12):13-17.
[123]陆铭,陈钊.城市化、城市倾向的经济政策与城乡收入差距[J].经济研究,2004,(6):50-58.
[124]罗龙.当代经济发展中的开放度问题——国际比较与中国的选择[M].对外经济贸易大学学报,1989,(5):27-35.
[125]马拴友,于红霞.转移支付与地区经济收敛[J].经济研究,2003,(3):26-33.
[126]马树才,孙长清.我国政府支出对经济增长拉动作用研究[J].财经理论与实践,2005,(6):100-104.
[127]马树才,孙长清.经济增长与最优财政支出规模研究[J].统计研究,2005,(1):15-20.
[128]毛其淋.经济开放、城市化水平与城乡收入差距——基于中国省际面板数据的经验研究[J].浙江社会科学,2011,(1):11-22.
[129]孟勇.财政支出对居民收入差距形成的计量分析[J].财政研究,2009,(8):61-65.
[130]黎翠梅.地方财政农业支出与区域农业经济增长——基于东、中、西部地区面板数据的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2009,(1):182-188.
[131]彭代彦.增加农民收入与乡镇政府改革[J].经济学家,2003,(6):26-29.
[132]冉光和等.财政金融政策与城乡协调发展理论与实证研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2009.
[133]冉光和,李敬,万丽娟,温涛.经济转轨时期财政政策对农民收入增长的影响[J].重庆大学学报(自然科学版),2005,(8):145-148.
[134]庞智强.各地区省域经济综合开放程度的测定[J].统计研究,2008,(1):47-50.
[135]彭克强.财政支农杠杆效应的实证研究:1987-2007[J].统计研究,2008,(11):30-36.
[136]平新乔.中国地方政府支出规模的膨胀趋势[J].经济社会体制比较,2007,(1):50-58.
[137]钱克明.中国“绿箱政策”的支持结构与效率[J].农业经济问题,2003,(1):41-45.
[138]乔超.中外出口贸易依存度比较分析[J].世界经济文汇,1997,(2):49-53.
[139]沈淑霞,秦富.财政农业性投入的规模效率分析[J].农业技术经济,2004,(4):45-51.
[140]司春林,王安宇,袁庆丰.中国IS-LM模型及其政策含义[J].管理科学学报,2002,(2):46-54.
[141]孙长清,李晖.基于经济增长的财政支出最优化[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2006.
[142]孙文祥,张志超.财政支出结构对经济增长与社会公平的影响[J].上海财经大学学报,2004,(12):3-9.
[143]汤鹏主.财政支农支出和农业产值增长的关系[J].现代经济探讨,2008,(8):71-75.
[144]唐朱昌,吕彬彬.财政支农政策与农民收入增长:总量与结构分析[J].江淮论坛,2007,(2):32-35.
[145]陶然,刘明兴.中国城乡收入差距、地方政府开支及财政自主[J].世界经济文汇,2007,(4):1-21.
[146]托马斯·J·萨金特.动态宏观经济理论[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,1997.
[147]王斌,尹翔硕.加入世界贸易组织对中国农业福利的影响[J].中国农村经济,2001,(1)：24-31.
[148]王德祥,李建军.新农村建设、财政支出与农民收入增长——基于贵州省遵义市12个县的实证分析[J].农业经济问题,2009,(2):42-47.
[149]王建明.农业财政投资对经济增长作用的研究——兼论农业科研投资的作用与效果[J].农业技术经济,2010,(2):41-49.
[150],阮锋儿.政府公共支出、经济增长与西部农村建设投资关系实证分析[J].农业经济问题,2009,(1):37-42.
[151]王奎泉.政府农业投入机制效率分析[J],财经论丛,2003,(3):39-42.
[152]王敏,潘勇辉.财政农业投入与农民纯收入关系研究[J].农业经济问题,2007,(5):99-105.
[153]王鹏.广东省经济开放度与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].国际经贸探索,2007,(5):33-38.
[154]王擎,魏朗,张期翔.财政支农支出对西部农业经济可持续发展的实证分析[J].生态经济,2007,(11):127-130.
[155]王文普,陈伟.财政农业支出结构对农业经济的增长效应[J].华东经济管理,2008,(3):45-49.
[156]王艺明,蔡翔.财政支出结构与城乡收入差距——基于东、中、西部地区省级面板数据的经验分析[J].财经科学,2010,(8):73-80.
[157]王志伟.现代西方经济学主要思潮及流派[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2004.
[158]魏朗.财政支农支出对西部农业经济增长的贡献[J].财经科学,2006,(4):111-117.
[159]威廉·H.格林.计量经济分析(第五版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2007.
[160]威廉姆·M.斯卡斯.高级宏观经济学导论:新凯恩斯主义与新古典经济学的综合（第二版）[M].上海:上海财经大学出版社,2006.
[161]温涛,董文杰.财政金融支农政策的总体效应与时空差异——基于中国省际面板数据的研究[J].农业技术经济,2011,(1):24-33.
[162]温涛,王煜宇.农业贷款、财政支农投入对农民收入增长有效性研究[J],财经问题研究,2005,(2):78-83.
[163]温涛,熊德平.“十五”期间各地区农村资金配置效率比较[J].统计研究,2008,(4):82-89.
[164]吴园一.中国经济开放度选择及指标体系[J].财经研究,1998,(1):21-25.
[165]辛兵海,马丽斌.财政支农资金绩效的面板模型分析[J].农村经济,2009,(11):69-71.
[166]许冰.财政支农的时变边际效应与弹性实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2006,(8):17-33.
[167]许允彬,赵卫亚.我国农村居民消费行为的半参数分析[J],经济纵横,2007,(1):89-90.
[168]胥巍,曹正勇,傅新红.我国东、西部财政支农对农业经济增长贡献的比较研究[J],软科学2008,(5):95-99.
[169]杨灿明,郭慧芳,孙群力.我国农民收入来源构成的实证分析——兼论增加农民收入的对策[J].财贸经济,2007,(2):74-78.
[170]杨灿明,孙群力.外部风险对中国地方政府规模的影响[J].经济研究,2008,(9):115-121.
[171]杨丹萍,张冀.经济开放度对经济增长的影响分析——基于浙江省1992-2009年数据的实证检验[J].国际贸易问题,2011,(6):101-110.
[172]杨晶.经济开放对我国城镇贫困的影响研究[D].华中科技大学博士学位论文,2008,5.
[173]杨林娟,戴亨钊.甘肃省财政支农支出与农民收入增长关系研究[J].农业经济问题,2008,(3):99-102.
[174]杨敏,蒋远胜.财政支持对提高农民家庭经营收入的效果——基于1991-2008年统计数据的再检验[J].四川农业大学学报,2011,(3):124-128.
[175]叶堂林.农业循环经济模式与途径[M].北京:新华出版社,2006.
[176]易丹辉.数据分析与EViews应用[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2007.
[177]易行健,王俊海.中国农村居民消费行为变异的实证检验[J],统计与决策,2007,(20):85-87.
[178]余官胜.贸易开放和政府财政支出规模——基于省际动态面板数据的实证研究[J].东北大学学报(社会科学版),2010,(1):19-22.
[179]俞培果,蒋葵.农业科技投入的价格效应和分配效应探析[J].中国农村经济,2006,(7):54-71.
[180]曾国安,胡晶晶.论中国城市偏向的财政制度与城乡居民收入差距[J].财政研究,2009,(2):36-39.
[181]张琴.农村公共品供给与县乡财税体制改革[J].农业经济问题,2011,(1):54-59.
[182]张晓峒.计量经济学软件EViews使用指南(第二版)[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2004.
[183]张晏,龚六堂.地区差距、要素流动与财政分权[J].经济研究,2004,(7):59-69.
[184]张元红.财政政策与中国农业的周期性波动[J].中国农村观察,2000,(4):2-11.
[185]赵人伟,李实.中国居民收入差距的扩大及其原因[J].经济研究1997,(9):19-28.
[186]赵阳.中国农业科研投入的理论分析和政策建议[J].中国农村观察,2001,(3):2-8.
[187]朱钢.我国财政支农规模问题分析[J].中国农村经济,1998,(10):15-22.
[188]朱钢等.聚焦中国农村财政——格局、机理与政策选择[M].太原：山西经济出版社,2000.
[189]朱湖根.我国财政支持农业产业化对农民收入增长影响的贡献分析[J].农业技术经济,2007,(4):103-108.
[190]朱湖根,万伦来,金炎.中国财政支持农业产业化经营项目对农民收入增长影响的实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2007,(12):28-34.
[191]朱晶.农业公共投资、竞争力与粮食安全[J].经济研究,2003,(1):13-20.
[192]朱钟棣.人民币汇率机制的回顾与改进[J].上海投资,2005,(4):4-7.
[193]周黎安.中国地方官员的晋升锦标赛模式研究[J].经济研究,2007,(7):36-50.
[194]周黎安,陈烨.中国农村税费改革的政策效果:基于双重差分模型的估计[J].经济研究,2005,(8):42-53.
© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号 地址：北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编：100083 电话：办公室：(+86 10)66554848；文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新：66554700 |