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中国医药制造业产业安全及其评价研究
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摘要
在经济全球化和区域经济一体化进程的推动下,各国在关注以军事安全、政治安全为核心的传统安全的同时,对以经济安全、环境安全、能源安全、公共卫生安全等为内容的所谓非传统安全也越来越重视,作为经济安全中的重要部分产业安全也日益重要。医药制造业是国民经济的重要组成部分,是一个涉及国计民生和公共健康的敏感产业,对于保护和增进人民健康、提高生活质量,对计划生育、军需战备以及促进经济发展和社会进步均具有十分重要的作用,尤其对于世界上最大的发展中国家中国来说,医药制造业的产业安全尤其重要。因此系统分析中国医药制造业的产业安全及其评价问题具有重要理论价值和现实意义。
     论文以产业安全理论为基础,综合运用经济学、管理学、可拓工程理论,探讨了中国医药制造业安全理论;详细分析了中国医药制造业的发展效率和产业安全的影响要素;给出中国医药制造业产业安全评价指标体系,应用了改进的层次分析法建立了中国医药制造业产业安全评价指标的权重;结合可拓工程的知识,用分层可拓评价法建立了中国医药制造业产业安全评价模型并进行了实证研究;依据评价结果针对性得提出政策建议。
     通过对中国医药制造业产业安全理论的研究,了解了中国医药制造业的特点、发展历程、现状和特点;在介绍了医药制造业产业安全相关理论后,定义了中国医药制造业产业安全的内涵,并认为医药制造业产业安全具有动态性、系统性、综合性和战略性等特点。通过对中国医药制造业产业安全影响因素的研究,认为医药产业安全的影响因素可以分为间接动力因素和直接来源因素两部分,直接来源因素表现为产业现实的国际竞争能力和自主创新能力,间接动力因素表现为产业要素、市场需求、产业国际化和政府的作用,创造了综合上述六种要素的医药制造业产业安全影响要素的“金盾”模型。在研究中国医药制造业产业安全评价指标体系中,把医药自主创新能力作为影响中国医药制造业产业安全的一个关键影响因素来考虑,在丰富中国医药制造业产业安全理论方面进行了尝试。通过专家意见调查获得的资料,并应用了改进的层次分析法分析建立了中国医药制造业产业安全评价指标的权重。在对中国医药制造业产业安全评价模型的研究中,根据中国医药制造业产业安全评价的特点,采用了分层可拓评价方法,构建了基于可拓工程的中国医药制造业产业安全分层可拓评价模型。依据评价模型,对中国医药制造业的产业安全度进行了科学实证评价,认为中国医药制造业产业整体的产业安全度虽处于薄弱的基本安全状态,但是最关键的医药自主创新能力因素和医药制造业国际竞争力处于危机状态。最后,基于以上问题的研究,从优化中国医药制造业发展环境、提高中国医药制造业自主创新能力、提升中国医药制造业国际竞争力三个方面提出对策建议。
Driven by the progress of economic globalization and regional economic integration, all countries are paying more and more attention to so-called non-traditional securities including economy, environment, energy, culture, information and public health, etc. meanwhile focusing on such traditional securities as military security and political security. As important part in economic security, industrial security is becoming more and more important. Pharmaceutical industry is an important component in the national economy, being a sensitive industry involving in national welfare and people’s livelihood and public health. It plays an essential role in family planning, disaster and epidemic prevention, military demand preparation as well as advocating economic development and social improvement. It combines traditional industry and modern industry, being an industry closely related to first, second and third industries. The security of pharmaceutical industry is extremely important for China, the largest developing country with more than 1.3 billion population. It is significant for enriching theories of industrial security and exploring evaluation methods of industrial security to systematically analyze the influential factors, scientifically evaluate the industrial security status and look for feasible measures to enhance the security of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry.
     Based on the theory of industrial security, the thesis paper has comprehensively applied theories of economics, management and extension methods to discuss the theory of security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry; specifically analyzed the development efficiency of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry and the influential factors of industrial security; given evaluation index system to the industrial security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry and use the method of analytic hierarchy proeess(AHP) of improvement to establish the weight of the evaluation index system to the industrial security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry. The paper has also combined the knowledge of extension engineering to carry out an evaluation on the industrial security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry with the method of analytic hierarchy proeess(AHP) of improvement. According to the evaluation result, countermeasures for improving the security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry have been given persistently.
     First, comprehensive summary has been given to the development process of the industrial security theory as well as connotations, characteristics, causes and evaluation methods of domestic and foreign experts to industrial security at present, pointing out the insufficiencies in the research. Second, DEA model has been used to analyze the development efficiency of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, meanwhile based on the theory of industrial security, aiming at the characteristics and the current situation of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, researches have been done on definitions, connotations and basic characteristics of the security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry. Third, based on the theory of industrial security, the“golden shield”model of influential factors on the security of pharmaceutical industry has been established. At the same time, as one critical influential factory to the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, independent creativity has been taken into sufficient consideration to make attempts on the enrichment of security theory of Chinese pharmaceutical industry. Fourth, according to the index system design principle with combination of connotations, characteristics and influential factors of the security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry, the evaluation index system for security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry has been established, which systematically analyzes the current situations of all indexes of security of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry. Improved analytic hierarchy proeess(AHP) method has been used to establish the weight of the evaluation index system to the industrial security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry. Fifth, aiming at the characteristics of security evaluation of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, separate extension evaluation method has been used to structure the separate extension evaluation model of the security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry based on extension engineering, and general situation of the security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry has been scientifically evaluated. According to the evaluation model, evaluation has been carried out and a brand-new conclusion has been drawn on the security of Chinese pharmaceutical industry. At last, based on the evaluation system and the evaluation result, the countermeasures and strategies for improving the security of the pharmaceutical industry have been researched persistently.
引文
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