用户名: 密码: 验证码:
基础设施对技术进步的影响效应研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
新中国成立后,中国的基础设施在原有基础上进行了巨大的革新,尤其是自改革开放以来,国家每年投入大量的资金进行基础设施建设,可以说比起改革开放前,中国的交通、能源、通讯等基础设施都发生了翻天覆地的变化,给人们的生产生活带来了极大的便利。
     基础设施作为国家及地方的重要投资,具有强大的产业促进效应,可以对前项产业和后项产业产生巨大影响,它是否会产生技术进步效应,如何对技术进步产生影响,这些问题人们关注的比较少。尤其如中国这样的正在蓬勃发展的经济大国,基础设施在近些年来由了显著发展变化,技术进步水平也得到了显著提高,前者是否对后者有促进作用,而且又是如何发挥作用的。本文试图从这一问题入手进行研究,从而弥补现有文献存在的一些缺憾,以此做出自己应有的一点边际贡献。
     本文立足于经济增长理论和新经济地理理论开展研究,并从理论上继承了原有技术进步常见的分析维度,即技术创新和技术溢出维度,在此基础上拓宽其分析框架,认为要素配置也应该是技术进步的一个维度,并建立了相应的理论模型,分析了基础设施对要素配置的影响作用。本文基于前人的研究,对大量文献进行梳理,从技术创新、技术溢出、要素配置三个维度建立了详细的理论框架,理论的研究为后续的实证分析奠定了坚实的研究基础。
     本文共分成九章,第一章为绪论,介绍了文章的选题背景、研究意义、逻辑思路等。第二章是文献综述,综述了近几十年来对基础设施与、技术进步、经济发展关系的研究文献。第三章为本文的理论基础,主要介绍了基础设施相关的增长理论和新经济地理理论;第四章为基础设施影响技术进步的机理,从理论上分析了基础设施对技术进步的影响,
     第五、第六、第七章在理论框架的基础上构建了实证模型,检验了理论分析的结果,研究发现:
     交通基础设施、能源基础设施、通讯基础设施均对地区技术创新水平有显著为正的影响;其中能源基础设施影响最为突出,这表明能源基础设施对地区技术创新有着最为重要的促进作用。
     各基础设施对R&D活动表示的技术溢出有为正的影响作用,其中通讯基础设施的正向作用最大。各基础设施对专利活动表示的技术溢出有一定的影响作用,其中通讯基础设施的正向作用最突出。
     全样本的研究表明,基础设施对FDI技术溢出有显著的促进作用,通讯基础设施最为显著,能源基础设施影响较弱。分东、中、西部子样本的检验表明,在东部地区,基础设施对FDI技术溢出的影响表现较好,通讯基础设施影响最明显;在中部地区,公路基础设施表现的最为突出;而在西部地区,基础设施对FDI的技术溢出作用不显著,这可能跟西部地区基础设施薄弱,FDI投入较少有关。
     各基础设施均对资本配置效率有显著为正的影响,即基础设施确实能够促进资本的流动,提高了资本的配置效率,且通讯基础设施对资本配置的影响作用最为典型。各基础设施均对劳动力配置效率存在显著的正向影响,即基础设施存量能够在一定程度上加速劳动力的流动,促进了劳动力配置效率的提升。公路基础设施和铁路基础设施对劳动力配置效率的影响较大,这说明交通基础设施在促进劳动力流动、提高劳动力配置效率方面表现的尤为突出,尤其是铁路的这种正向作用更为明显。
     第八章对新加坡和我国江苏省两个典型案例进行分析,作为基础设施对技术进步影响效应的经验验证。
     第九章总结得出本文的研究结论,并提出了政策含义。
     本文的可能创新之处在于:
     本文在前人研究的基础上,从一个较为独特的视角,研究基础设施对技术进步的作用。本文的可能创新之处在于:
     1、视角的创新,已有文献研究基础设施与经济发展的关系,主要集中在研究基础设施对经济增长或者对减贫的影响作用,很少涉及基础设施对技术进步的影响。本文尝试从技术进步的视角入手,研究基础设施通过影响技术进步进而促进经济发展的作用,从而深化对基础设施与经济增长关系的研究。
     2、维度的创新,已有文献一般从技术创新和技术溢出这两个常见维度分析对技术进步的作用,本文研究提出影响技术进步的第三个维度,即要素配置维度,认为要素的配置和重新配置都影响着技术进步,并且要素在推动技术创新、技术溢出过程中都发挥着重要作用,本文尝试从技术创新、技术溢出和要素配置这三个维度,更加全面地研究基础设施对技术进步的影响作用
     3、方法的创新。本文在已有文献基础上,基于影响的实效性和数据的可获得性,用实物形态的基础设施来衡量基础设施存量,并在使用随机前沿函数方法测度我国省级层面要素配置效率基础上,研究交通、能源和通讯等核心基础设施对要素配置效率的实际影响,从而保证实证研究工作的有效进行。
After the founding of new China, China's infrastructure have great change on the basis of the original, especially since the reform and opening up the country each year put a lot of fund to infrastructure.Compared to before the reform and opening up, we can say China's infrastructure has undergone enormous changes.
     Infrastructure as a national and local investment, whether it will produce the effect of technological progress, how the impact of technological progress, these problems are not concerned about. In particular, such as China is booming, a large country, the infrastructure in recent years significant growth, technological progress has also been greatly improved, the former to the latter, and also how they work, this article attempts from this a problem to start the study, in order to compensate for the defects of the existing literature, in order to make their own due contribution margin.
     Theoretically inherited the common analysis of the dimension of the original technological progress, technological innovation and technology spillovers dimensions, broaden its analytical framework, this article also on the basis of that factor allocation should also be a dimension of technological progress, this paper establishes the corresponding theoretical model to analyze the effect of the infrastructure to the factor allocation. Based on previous studies, a large number of literatures to sort out technical innovation, technology spillovers, the three dimensions of the factor allocation to create a detailed theoretical framework, theoretical research has laid a solid foundation for the subsequent empirical analysis. Fourth, fifth, sixth chapter on the basis of the theoretical framework to build an empirical model to test the results of the theoretical analysis, the study found:
     Transport infrastructure, energy infrastructure, communications infrastructure on the regional level of technological innovation have a significant positive impact; impact of energy infrastructure is the most prominent, suggesting that the energy infrastructure the most important role in promoting the area of technological innovation.
     All infrastructure have the positive effects to the technology spillovers of the R&D activities. And all infrastructure have the positive effects to the technology spillovers of the patent activity, the positive role of the communications infrastructure is the most prominent.
     The sample-wide research have found that the infrastructure have significant role in promoting technology spillover of FDI,and the communications infrastructure has the most significant, energy infrastructure has weaker influence. The sub-sample test showed that in the eastern region, the infrastructure, the impact of FDI technology spillovers performed better communications infrastructure is the most obvious impact; most prominent in the central region, the performance of highway infrastructure; in the west areas, infrastructure for FDI technology spillover effects was not significant, this may be the weak infrastructure in the western region, FDI into less relevant.
     Four infrastructure efficiency of capital allocation with a positive impact of infrastructure can promote the flow of capital, improve capital allocation efficiency, and the effect of the communications infrastructure of the allocation of capital is the most typical. Four infrastructure are significant positive impact on the efficiency of labor allocation, the stock of infrastructure can accelerate the movement of labor to a certain extent, promote the enhancement of the efficiency of labor allocation. Road infrastructure and railway infrastructure on the efficiency of allocative labor, indicating that transport infrastructure especially in promoting labor mobility, and improve the efficiency of labor allocation, especially in such a positive effect of the railway is more obvious
引文
1 Aschauer, David "Is Public Expenditure Productive", Journal of Monetary Economies, (1989) 23,.177-200
    2 Perotti, Roberto "In Search of the Transmission Mechanism of Fiscal Policy", NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, pages 169-226, National Bureau of Economic Research
    3 Bom and Ligthart, "How Productive is Public Capital? A Meta-Regression Analysis" International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series,2009.
    4 Agenor, Pierre-Richard, and Joshua Aizenman, "Public Capital and the Big Push," work in progress, University of Manchester (2006),10.
    5 Estache, Antonio "Infrastructure Finance in Developing Countries:An Overview", EIB Papers, Volume 15, No.2, Luxembourg:European Investment Bank (2010).
    6 Romp, Ward and De Haan, Jacob "Public Capital and Economic Growth:a Critical Survey," EIB Papers 2(2005)
    7 Canning and Bennathan, "The social rate of return on infrastructure investments" World Bank Policy Research Working,2000.
    8 Serven, Luis "Infrastructure and Growth," The World Bank, DECRG Research Brief(2010)
    9 Chakraborty, Shankha, "Endogenous Lifetime and Economic Growth," Journal of Economic Theory,116 (2004)5,119-37.
    10 Fernald, John G. "Roads to prosperity? Assessing the link between public capital and productivity", The American Economic Review,1999,3.619-638
    11 Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Maria Teresa Ramirez "Institutions, Infrastructure, and Economic Growth," Journal of Development Economics,,70(2), (2003) 443-477
    12 Albala-Bertrand, Jose M., and Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, "The Impact of Public Infrastructure on the Productivity of the Chilean Economy," Review of Development Economics,8 (2004),6,266-78.
    13 Calderon, Cesar, and Luis Serven, "The Effects of Infrastructure Development on Growth and Income Distribution," Policy Research Working Paper No.3400, World Bank (2004)9.
    14 Easterly, William and Rebelo, Sergio "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth; An Empirical Investigation", Journal of Monetary Economics,32, (1993) 417-48
    15 娄洪.长期经济增长中的公共投资政策[J].经济研究.2004(3)
    16 姜轶嵩,朱喜.中国的经济增长与基础设施建设[J].管理论坛.2004,16(9)
    17 王任飞、王进杰,基础设施与中国经济增长一基于VAR方法的研究[J],世界经济,2007,3
    18 彭清辉、曾令华,基础设施投资对中国经济增长贡献的实证研究:1953-2007[J],系统工程,2009(11)
    19 刘生龙.胡鞍钢,交通基础设施与经济增长:中国区域差距的视角[J],中国工业经济,2010,4
    20 刘秉镰,武鹏,刘玉海,交通基础设施与中国全要素生产率增长[J],中国工业经济,2010,3
    21 刘生龙胡鞍钢,基础设施的外部性在中国的检验:1988-2000[J],经济研究,2010,3
    22 张光南李小瑛陈广汉,中国基础设施的就业、产出和投资效应[J],管理世界,2010,4,
    23 刘勇,交通基础设施投资、区域经济增长及空间溢出作用[J],中国工业经济,2010,12
    24 周浩、郑筱婷,交通基础设施质量与经济增长:来自中国铁路提速的证据[J],世界经济,2012,1
    25 Kwon, Eunkyung. "Infrastructure, Growth and Poverty Reduction in Indonesia:A Cross-Sectional Analysis" Paper presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,2005.
    26 "Road Development and Poverty in the People's Republic of China." Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,1,2005.
    27 Warr, Peter, "Road Development and Poverty Reduction:The Case of Lao PDR", ADB Institute Discussion Paper No.25,2005.
    28 Rayner, Nigel.'The Importance of Transport Services for Poverty Reduction.'Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction,DB Manila,2005. 18-22,1,
    29 Cook,. Cynthia. "Joining the Mainstream:Impact of Transport Investment on Poverty Reduction- RETA 5947" Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,1,2005.
    30 Fujimura, Manabu "Cross-Border Transport Infrastructure, Regional Integration and Development." ADB Institute Discussion Paper No.16.2004.
    31 Wescott, Clay 2005. "Regional Cooperation and Transport." Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,1,2005.
    32 Ferguson, Ross; Wilkinson, William & Hill, Robert. "Electricity Use and Economic Development." Energy Policy 28 (2000):923-934.
    33 U.S. Department of Energy. "Bangladesh." Energy Information Administration Country Analysis Briefs. Washington, DC:US Department of Energy,2002.
    34 Corral, Leonardo. "Rural Non-farm Incomes in Nicaragua." World Development 29 no.3 (2001):427-442.
    35 Reinikka, Ritva & Svenson, Jakob. "How Inadequate Provision of Public Infrastructure and Services Affects Private Investment." Washington, DC:World Bank, December 15,1999.
    36 Barnes, Douglas F. Electric Power for Rural Growth:How Electricity Affects Rural Life in Developing Countries. Boulder, CO:Westview Press,1988.
    37 Bedi, Arjun Singh & Edwards, John H. Y. "The impact of school quality on earnings and educational returns-evidence from a low-income country." Journal of Development Economics 68 (2002) 157-185.
    38 Nagaraj, R; Varoudakis, A.; Veganzones, M-A. "Long-Run Growth Trends and Convergence Across Indian States." Journal of International Development 12 (2000):45-70.
    39 [61]Ballard-Tremeer, G; Bruce, N; Ezzati, M.; Lvovsky, K.; Smith, K.; von Schirnding, Y."Addressing the Impact of Household Energy and Indoor Air Pollution in the Health of the Poor-Implications for Policy Action and Intervention Measures." Working Paper WG5:12. Washington, DC:WHO Commission on Macroeconomics and Health,2000.
    40 Grace, Jeremy; Kenny, Charles; Liu, Jia; Qiang, Christine; Reynolds, Taylor. "Information and Communication Technologies and Broad-Based Development:A Partial Review of the Evidence." Washington, DC:World Bank, February 2001.
    41 Wood, Adrian & Mayer, Jorg. "Africa's export structure in a comparative perspective.' Cambridge Journal of Economics 25 (2001):369-394..
    42 Lebo, Jerry and Dieter Schelling, "Design and Appraisal of Rural Transport Infrastructure", World Bank Technical Paper No.496 (Washington DC:2001).
    43 Matambalya, Francis & Wolf, Susanna. "The Role of ICT for the Performance of SMEs in East Africa." ZEF Discussion Papers on Development Policy No.42. Bonn:Zentrum Fur Entwicklungsforschung (Center for Development Research), December 2001.
    44 Grace, Jeremy; Kenny, Charles; Liu, Jia; Qiang, Christine; Reynolds, Taylor. "Information and Communication Technologies and Broad-Based Development:A Partial Review of the Evidence." Washington, DC:World Bank, February 2001.
    45 Richardson, Don; Ramirez, Ricardo & Haq, Moinul. "Grameen Telecom's Village Phone Programme in Rural Bangladesh:A Multi-Media Case Study." Ontario:Telecommons Development Group, March 17,2000.
    46 Dock, Alan & Helwig, John. "Interactive Radio Instruction:Impact, Sustainability, and Future Directions." Education and Technology Technical Notes Series 4.1. Washington, DC: World Bank/USAID,1999.
    47 王小鲁、樊纲,中国收入差距的走势和影响因素分析[J],经济研究,2005,10。
    48 刘生龙周绍杰,基础设施的可获得性与中国农村居民收入增长[J],中国农村经济,2011,1
    49 谢里、李白、张文波,交通基础设施投资与居民收入——来自中国农村的经验证据[J],湖南大学学报,2012(1)
    50 Klein, Michael "Infrastructure Policy. Basic Design Options", Background paper prepared for Urbanization Review Flagship Report, Washington, DC:World Bank(2011)
    51 Fay, Marianne and Tito Yepes,"Investing in Infrastructure:What is Needed from 2000 to 2010?" World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No.3102 (2003).
    52 Yepes, Tito "Investment needs in infrastructure in developing countries:2008-2015", The World Bank, mimeo(2008).
    53 Klein, Michael "Infrastructure Policy. Basic Design Options", Background paper prepared for Urbanization Review Flagship Report, Washington, DC:World Bank(2011)
    54 Foster, Vivien and Tito Yepes "Is Cost Recovery a Feasible Objective for Water and Electricity? The Latin American Experience", Policy Research Working Paper No.3943, The World Bank (2006).
    55 Briceno-Garmendia, Cecilia and Afua Sarkodie "Spending on Public Infrastructure:A Practitioner's Guide," World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No.5905. (2011)
    56 Banerjee, Sudeshna, Quentin Wodon, Amadou Diallo, Taras Pushak, Helal Uddin, Clarence Tsimpo, and Vivien Foster "Access, Affordability, and Alternatives:Modern Infrastructure Services in Africa", The World Bank Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic, Background Paper No.2 (2008)
    57 张军、高远、傅勇、张弘,中国为什么拥有了良好的基础设施?[J],经济研究,2007,3。
    58 张光南陈广汉,基础设施投入的决定因素研究:基于多国面板数据的分析[J],世界经济,2009,3
    59 刘阳、秦凤鸣,基础设施规模与经济增长:基于需求角度的分析[J],世界经济,2009,5
    60 Smith, K., " innovation as a systemic phenomenon:rethinking the role of policy". In: Bryant, K., Wells, A. (Eds.), A New Economic Paradigm?Innovation-Based Evolutionary Systems, Commonwealth of Australia,Department of Industry, Science and Resources, Science andTechnology Policy Branch, Canberra,1999.10-47.
    61 Easterly, William, and Serven, Luis. "Infrastructure, Public Deficits, and Growth in Latin America". Stanford University Press. (2003)
    62 Rosalinde K, Maureen L, Victor G,"A system failure framework fo rinnovation policy design", Technovation 25(2005) 609-619
    63 Lorentzen, Peter, John McMillan, and Romain Wacziarg, "Death and Development," Working Paper No.11620, National Bureau of Economic Research (2005).
    64 Patrakosol, "Interorganizational Relationships and Innovation:An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of IT Infrastructure, Task Characteristics and Tie Strength.", Ph.D.University of Nebraska,2006
    65 Bygstad and Aanby,ICT infrastructure for innovation:A case study of the enterprise service bus approach, Inf Syst Front (2010) 12:257-265
    66 Loree DW, Guisinger S. Policy and non-policy determinants of US equity foreign direct investment. Journal of International Business Studies 26(2):1995.281-299.
    67 Chong and Micco, "The Internet and the Ability to Innovate in Latin America, Inter-American Development Bank", Working Paper 464,2002
    68 Czernich N, Falck O, Kretschmer T, "Broadband Infrastructure and Economic Growth", CESifo Working Paper No.2861,2009
    69 Justin Yifu Lin, "New structural economics:a framework for rethinking development", World Bank Research Observer,2011(2),193-221
    70 Jensen R., "The Digital Provide:Information (Technology), Market performance, and Welfare in the South Indian Fisheries Sector", Quarterly Journal ofEconomics. 2007,
    71 Baldwin R. and P. Martin,2004, "Agglomeration and Regional Growth", in Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, J.V. Henderson and J-F Thisse (eds)
    72 Henderson V, Urbanization and Growth, in Handbook of Economic Growth, Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf, eds., Elsevier,2005.
    73 Holtz-Eakin D, "Public-Sector Capital and the Productivity Puzzle", Review of Economics and Statistics, (1994)76,12-21.
    74 Brenneman, Adam and Michel Kerf "Infrastructure and Poverty Linkages:A Literature Review", Background Report, The World Bank, Washington, D.C (2002)
    75 "Vietnam:Moving Forward-Achievements and Challenges In the Transport Sector", World Bank (1999).
    76 "Fiscal Policy and Endogenous Growth with Public Infrastructure,"Working Paper No.59, Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research, Universityof Manchester (2005c),10.
    77 Jacobs, "The death and life of American cities", Journal of Public Economics,88 (1961)3, 695-712.
    78 Florida, R. The Rise of the Creative Class:And how it's Transforming Work, Leisure, Community, and Everyday Life. New York:Basic Books.2002a.
    79 Florida, R. Cities and the Creative Class, Routledge, New York.2004.
    80 McGuire, James W., "Basic Health Care Provision and under-5 Mortality:A Cross-National Study of Developing Countries," World Development (2006)3,405-25.
    81 Webber, Don J., "Policies to Stimulate Growth:Should we Invest in Health or Education?", Applied Economics,34 (2002)9,1633-43.
    52 "World Development Report 2006:Equity and Development", World Bank and Oxford University Press (Washington DC:2005c).
    3 Wescott, Clay, "Regional Cooperation and Transport." Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,1,2005.
    84 Root FR, Ahmed A. "Empirical determinants of manufacturing direct foreign investment in developing countries". Economic Development and Cultural Change 1979.27:751-767.
    85 Wheeler D, Mody A. " International investment location decisions:the case of U.S. firms' Journal of International Economics 1992.33:57-76.
    86 Yepes, Tito "Investment needs in infrastructure in developing countries:2008-2015", The World Bank, mimeo(2008).
    87 Dethier, Jean-Jacques, Maximilian Him & Stephane Straub "Explaining Enterprise Performance in Developing Countries with Business Climate Survey Data", World Bank Policy Research Paper No.4792, The World Bank, Washington, D.C(2008)
    90 Reinikka, Ritva, and Jakob Svensson, "Coping with Poor Public Capital,"Journal of Development Economics,69 (2002)10,51-69.
    91 Lee, Kyu Sik, Alex Anas, and Gi-Taik Oh, "Costs of Infrastructure Deficiencies for Manufacturing in Nigerian, Indonesian, and Thai Cities," Urban Studies,36 (1999)12, 2135-49.
    92 Turnovsky, Stephen J., "Fiscal Policy, Adjustment Costs, and Endogenous Growth", Oxford Economic Papers,48 (1996)7,361-81.
    93 Agenor, Pierre-Richard, and Joshua Aizenman, "Public Capital and the Big Push," work in progress, University of Manchester (2006),10.
    99 Fay, Marianne and Tito Yepes,"Investing in Infrastructure:What is Needed from 2000 to 2010?" World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No.3102 (2003).
    100 Reiss, Armin "The Economic Cost of Public Funds in Infrastructure Investment", EIB Papers, Volume 13, No.1(2008).
    102 Ayyagari,M.,Kosova,R.,Does FDI Facilitate Domestic Entry?Evidence from the Czech Republic[J]. Review of International Economics,2010.18(1).
    [1]陈亮,李杰伟,徐长生,信息基础设施与经济增长-基于中国省际数据分析[J],管理科学,2011,2
    [2]范九利、白暴力,基础设施投资与中国经济增长的地区差异研究[J],人文地理,2004,2
    [3]范九利、白暴力,基础设施资本对经济增长的影响——二级三要索CES生产函数法估计[J],经济论坛,2004,11
    [4]黄勇峰,任若恩,刘晓生.中国制造业资本存量永续盘存法估计[J],经济学(季刊).2002,(2)
    [5]简泽,企业间的生产率差异、资源再配置与制造业部门的生产率[J],管理世界,2011,5
    [6]姜轶嵩,朱喜.中国的经济增长与基础设施建设[J].管理论坛.2004,16(9)
    [7]鞠晴江,庞敏.基础设施对农村经济发展的作用机制分析[J].经济体制改革.2005,(4)
    [8]鞠晴江,基础设施与区域经济发展[C],四川大学博士论文,2006
    [9]蒋时节,基础设施投资与城市化进程的关系研究[C],重庆大学博士论文,2005
    [10]姜轶嵩,朱喜.中国的经济增长与基础设施建设[J].管理评论.2004(9)
    [11]陆铭,土地跨区域配置:中国经济新的增长动力[R],复旦大学工作论文(2009):。
    [12]刘生龙胡鞍钢,交通基础设施与中国区域经济一体化[J],经济研究,2011,3
    [13]刘生龙周绍杰,基础设施的可获得性与中国农村居民收入增长[J],中国农村经济,2011,1
    [14]刘生龙.胡鞍钢,交通基础设施与经济增长:中国区域差距的视角[J],中国工业经济,2010,4
    [15]刘生龙胡鞍钢,基础设施的外部性在中国的检验:1988-2000[J],经济研究,2010,3
    [16]刘秉镰,武鹏,刘玉海,交通基础设施与中国全要素生产率增长[J],中国工业经济,2010,3
    [17]刘伦武.基础设施投资对经济增长推动作用的动态计量模型与分析[J].数理统计与管理.2005,24(2)
    [17]刘勇,交通基础设施投资、区域经济增长及空间溢出作用[J],中国工业经济,2010,12
    [18]刘修岩,集聚经济、公共基础设施与劳动生产率[J],财经研究,2010,5
    [19]刘阳、秦凤鸣,基础设施规模与经济增长:基于需求角度的分析[J],世界经济,2009,5
    [20]娄洪.长期经济增长中的公共投资政策[J].经济研究.2004(3)
    [21]马树才,李华,袁国敏等.基础设施投资拉动经济增长测算研究[J].统计研究.2001,(10)
    [22]聂辉华贾瑞雪,中国制造业企业生产率与资源误置[J],世界经济,2011,7
    [22]彭清辉、曾令华,基础设施投资对中国经济增长贡献的实证研究:1953-2007[J],系统工程,2009(11)
    [23]任晓红,交通基础设施、要素流动与制造业区位[C],重庆大学博士论文,2010
    [24]盛丹、包群、王永进,基础设施对中国企业出口行为的影响:“集约边际”还是“扩展边际”[J],世界经济,2011,1,。
    [25]世界银行,1994年世界发展报告[M],毛晓威等译,北京:中国财政经济出版社(1994)。
    [26]世界银行,2006年世界发展报告[M],中国科学院一清华大学国情研究中心译,北京:清华大学出版社(2006):。
    [27]王世磊、张军,中国地方官员为什么要改善基础设施?——一个关于官员激励机制的模型[J],经济学(季刊),2008,2。
    [28]王任飞、王进杰,基础设施与中国经济增长一基于VAR方法的研究[J],世界经济,2007,3
    [29]王小鲁、樊纲,中国收入差距的走势和影响因素分析[J],经济研究,2005,10。
    [30]王永进、盛丹、施炳展、李坤望,基础设施如何提升了出口技术复杂度?[J],经济研究,2010,7
    [31]夏飞袁洁,中国一东盟自由贸易区交通运输发展的区位熵分析[J],管理世界,2012,1
    [31]谢里、李白、张文波,交通基础设施投资与居民收入——来自中国农村的经验证据[J],湖南大学学报,2012(1)
    [32]赵春雨,朱承亮,安树伟,生产率增长、要素重置与中国经济增长[J],中国工业经济,2011,3
    [33]张军、吴桂英、张吉鹏,中国省际物资资本存量估算:1952—-2000[J],经济研究,2004,10。
    [34]张军、高远、傅勇、张弘,中国为什么拥有了良好的基础设施?[J],经济研究,2007,3。
    [35]张光南李小瑛陈广汉,中国基础设施的就业、产出和投资效应[J],管理世界,2010,4,
    [36]张光南陈广汉,基础设施投入的决定因素研究:基于多国面板数据的分析[J],世界经济,2009,3
    [37]张志,周浩,交通基础设施的溢出效应及其产业差异[J],2012,3
    [38]张浩然,衣保中,基础设施、空间溢出与区域全要素生产率[J],经济学家,2012,2
    [39]张晓波,樊胜根,张林秀,中国农村基层治理与公共物品提供[J],经济学(季刊).2003,(7)
    [40]周浩,郑筱婷,交通基础设施质量与经济增长:来自中国铁路提速的证据[J],世界经济,2012,1
    [41]朱喜史清华盖庆恩,要素配置扭曲与农业全要素生产率[J],经济研究,2011,5
    [42]African Union, Transport and the Millennium Development Goals, Addis Ababa(2005,) 2.
    [43]Agenor, Pierre-Richard, The Economics of Adjustment and Growth, second edition, Harvard University Press (2004).
    [44]——, "Infrastructure, Public Education and Growth with Congestion Costs,"Working Paper No.47, Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research, Universityof Manchester (2005a),1.
    [45]——, "The Macroeconomics of Poverty Reduction," Manchester School ofSocial and Economic Studies,73 (2005b,) 1,369-434.
    [46]——, "A Theory of Infrastructure-Led Development," work in progress, Centrefor Growth and Business Cycle Research, University of Manchester (2006),10.
    [47]Agenor, Pierre-Richard, and Joshua Aizenman, "Public Capital and the Big Push," work in progress, University of Manchester (2006),10.
    [48]Albala-Bertrand, Jose and Emmanuel Mamatzakis "The Impact of Disaggregated Infrastructure Capital on the Productivity Growth of the Chilean Economy", The Manchester School, (2007) 75(2), pp.258-73
    [49]Alfaro Laura, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Vadym Volosovych "Why doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries? An Empirical Investigation "The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, (2008)90(2),347-368
    [50]Andres, Luis, J. Luis Guasch, Thomas Haven and Vivien Foster The Impact of Private Sector Participation in Infrastructure:Lights, Shadows and the Road Ahead. The World Bank. (2008)
    [51]Aschauer, David "Is Public Expenditure Productive", Journal of Monetary Economics, (1989) 23,.177-200
    [52]Asiedu E. "Foreign direct investment in Africa:the role of government policy, institutions and political instability". World Economy 2006.29(1):63-77.
    [53]Barro, Robert J., "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy,98 (1990),10,103-125.
    [54]Baldwin R. and P. Martin,2004, "Agglomeration and Regional Growth", in Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, J.V. Henderson and J-F Thisse (eds).
    [55]Benitez, Daniel, Antonio Estache and Tina Soreide "Dealing with politics for money and power in infrastructure," Policy Research Working Paper 5455, The World Bank, Washington DC (2010)
    [56]Behrman, Jere R., "The Impact of Health and Nutrition on Education," World Bank Research Observer,11 (1996)2,23-37.
    [57]Behrman, Jere R., and Barbara L. Wolfe, "How Does Mother's Schooling Affect Family Health, Nutrition, Medical Care Usage, and Household Sanitation?," Journal of Econometrics,36 (1987)9,185-204.
    [58]Bell, Clive, Shantayanan Devarajan, and Hans Gersbach, "The Long-RunEconomic Costs of AIDS:A Model with an Application to South Africa," World Bank Economic Review,20 (2006)3,55-89.
    [59]Bhargava, Alok, Dean T. Jamison, Lawrence J. Lau, and Christopher J. Murray, "Modeling the Effects of Health on Economic Growth," Journal of Health Economics,20 (2001)5,423-40.
    [60]Bloom, David E., David Canning, and Jaypee Sevilla, "The Effect of Health on Economic Growth:A Production Function Approach," World Development,32 (2004) 1,1-13.
    [61]Bloom, David E., David Canning, and Mark Weston, "The Value of Vaccination," World Economics,6 (2005)7,1-13.
    [62]Cadot, Olivier, Lars-Hendrik Roller, and Andreas Stephan, "Contribution to Productivity or Pork Barrel? The Two Faces of Infrastructure Investment" Journal of Public Economics,90 (2006) 8,1133-53.
    [63]Cheng L, Kwan Y. "What are the determinants of the location of foreign direct investment? The Chinese experience". Journal of International Economics,2000.51:379-400.
    [64]Cohen, Jeffrey P., Catherine J. M. Paul, "Public Infrastructure Investment, Interstate Spatial Spillovers, and Manufacturing Costs," Review of Economics and Statistics,86 (2004)5,551-60.
    [65]Corral, Leonardo. "Rural Non-farm Incomes in Nicaragua." World Development 29 no.3 (2001):427-442.
    [66]Czernich N, Falck O, Kretschmer T, "Broadband Infrastructure and Economic Growth", CESifo Working Paper No.2861,2009
    [67]Cook,. Cynthia. "Joining the Mainstream:Impact of Transport Investment on Poverty Reduction- RETA 5947" Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila, 18-22,1,2005.
    [68]Corrigan, Paul, Gerhard Glomm, and Fabio Mendez, "AIDS Crisis and Growth," Journal of Development Economics,77 (2005)6,107-24.
    [69]Deininger, Klaus, Anja Crommelynck, and Gloria Kempaka, "Impact of AIDS on Family Composition, Welfare, and Investment:Evidence from Uganda," Review of Development Economics,9 (2005)11,303-24.
    [70]Devarajan, Shantayanan, Vinaya Swaroop, and Heng-Fu Zou, "The Composition of Public Expenditures and Economic Growth," Journal of Monetary Economics,37 (1996)4,313-44.
    [71]Delmon, Jeffrey, "Private Sector Investment in Infrastructure:Project Finance, PPP Projects and Risk", Kluwer Law International (Second Edition). (2009)
    [72]Devarajan, Shantayanan, Vinaya Swaroop, and Heng-Fu Zou "The Composition of Public Expenditure and Economic Growth", Journal of Monetary Economics, (1996)37.313-44
    [73]Duggal, Vijaya, Cynthia Saltzman and Lawrence R. Klein "Infrastructure and Productivity:An Extension to Private Infrastructure and IT Productivity", Journal of Econometrics, (2007)140,,485-502
    [74]Easterly, William and Rebelo, Sergio "Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth; An Empirical Investigation", Journal of Monetary Economics,32, (1993) 417-48
    [75]Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Maria Teresa Ramirez "Institutions, Infrastructure, and Economic Growth," Journal of Development Economics,, 70(2), (2003) 443-477
    [76]Estache, Antonio "Infrastructure Finance in Developing Countries:An Overview", EIB Papers, Volume 15, No.2, Luxembourg:European Investment Bank (2010).
    [77]Estache, Antonio, and Liam Wren-Lewis "Toward a Theory of Regulation for Developing Countries:Following Jean-Jacques Laffont's Lead", Journal of Economic Literature,47:3, (2009) 729-770.
    [78]Estache, Antonio, and Maria Elena Pinglo "Are Returns to Private Infrastructure in Developing Countries Consistent with Risks Since the Asian Crisis?", Journal of Network Industries,6 (2005),.14.
    [79]Estache, Antonio, Andres Gomez-Lobo, and Danny Leipziger "Utilities Privatization and the Poor:Lessons and Evidence from Latin America," World Development 29(1) (2001),1179-1198.
    [80]Egger, H., Falkinger, J. The role of public infrastructure and subsidies for firm location and international outsourcing. European Economic Review 50, 20061993-2015.
    [81]Fedderke, J. W., P. Perkins, and J. M. Lutz, "Infrastructural Investment in Long-Run Economic Growth:South Africa 1875-2001," World Development, 34 (2006) 6,1037-59.51
    [82]Fernald, John G. "Roads to prosperity? Assessing the link between public capital and productivity", The American Economic Review,1999,3.619-638
    [83]Ferguson, Ross; Wilkinson, William & Hill, Robert. "Electricity Use and Economic Development." Energy Policy 28 (2000):923-934.
    [84]Foster, Vivien and Cecilia Briceno-Garmendia (eds) "Africa's Infrastructure:A Time for Transformation", Washington, DC:World Bank(2010).
    [85]Fujimura, Manabu "Cross-Border Transport Infrastructure, Regional Integration and Development." ADB Institute Discussion Paper No.16.2004.
    [86]Galiani, Sebastian, Paul Gertler, and Ernesto Schargrodsky "Water for Life:The Impact of the Privatization of Water Services on Child Mortality." Journal of Political Economy,.1, (2005)83-120.
    [87]Gramlich, Edward "Infrastructure Investment:A Review Essay". Journal of Economic Literature (1994)
    [88]Griffin, Ronald C. Water Resource Economics:The Analysis of Scarcity, Policies and Projects, Cambridge:The MIT Press(2006)
    [89]Grimsey, Darren and Mervyn K. Lewis "Are Public Private Partnerships Value for Money? Evaluating Alternative Approaches and Comparing Academic and Practitioner Views", Accounting Forum 29,345-378. (2005)
    [90]Grout, Paul A. "Value-For-Money Measurement in Public-Private Partnerships", EIB Papers,2. (2005)
    [91]Guasch, J. Luis Granting and Renegotiating Infrastructure Concessions: Doing It Right, Washington, DC:The World Bank Institute. (2004)
    [92]Guasch, J. Luis, Jean-Jacques Laffont and Stephane Straub "Renegotiation of Concession Contracts in Latin America:Evidence from the Water and Transport Sectors", International Journal of Industrial Organization 26. (2008)
    [93]——, "Schools and Skills in Developing Countries:Education Policies and Socioeconomic Outcomes, " Journal of Economic Literature,40 (2002)6, 436-82.
    [94]Gupta Sanjeev, Benedict Clements, Emanuele, Baldacci, and Carlos Mulas-Granados, "Fiscal Policy, Expenditure Composition, and Growth in Low-Income Countries," Journal of International Money and Finance,24 (2005)4, 441-64.
    [95]Gyimah-Brempong, Kwabena, and Mark Wilson, "Health, Human Capital, and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan African and OECD Countries," Quarterly Reviewof Economics and Finance,44 (2004)5,296-320.
    [96]Hamermesh, David, and G-Pfann, "Adjustment Costs in Factor Demand,"Journal of Economic
    [97]Hellowell, Mark, and Allyson M. Pollock "The Private Financing of NHS Hospitals:Politics, Policy and Practice", Journal of Economic Affairs,29,1, (2009) 13-19.
    [98]Hulten, C. "Infrastructure Capital and Economic Growth:How Well you Use it may be More Important than How Much you Have". NBER Working Paper 5847(1996).
    [99]Hulten C.R., Bennathan E. and S. Srinivasan "Infrastructure, Externalities,and Economic Development:A Study of Indian Manufacturing Industry", mimeo,World Bank. (2005)
    [100]Holtz-Eakin D, "Public-Sector Capital and the Productivity Puzzle", Review of Economics and Statistics, (1994)76,12-21.
    [101]Hurlin, Christophe, "Network Effects of the Productivity of infrastructure in Developing Countries", Policy Research Working Paper No.3808, World Bank (2006)1.
    [102]Inderst, G. "Pension Fund Investment in Infrastructure", OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions, No.32(2009).
    [103]Irving, Jacqueline, and Astrid Manroth "Local Sources of Financing for Infrastructure in Africa", World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4878(2009).
    [104]Ireland, Peter N., "Supply-side Economics and Endogenous Growth", Journal of Monetary Economics,33 (1994)6,559-71.
    [105]Jensen R.,2007, "The Digital Provide:Information (Technology), Market performance, and Welfare in the South Indian Fisheries Sector", Quarterly Journal ofEconomics.
    [106]Justin Yifu Lin, "New structural economics:a framework for rethinking development", World Bank Research Observer,2011(2),193-221
    [107]Kalaitzidakis, Pantelis, and Sarantis Kalyvitis, "On the Macroeconomic Implications of Maintenance in Public Capital," Journal of Public Economics,88 (2004)3,695-712.
    [108]Kirkpatrick, Colin, David Parker and Yin-Fang Zhang "Foreign direct Investment in Infrastructure in Developing Countries:Does Regulation Make a Difference?", Transnational Corporations,15, No.1. (2006)
    [109]Kinoshita Y. "Micro-determinants of Japanese Foreign Direct Investment in Asia". OT Eastern Economic Association and Japan Economic Seminar at Columbia University.1998.
    [110]Klein, Michael "Risk, Taxpayers and the Role of Government in Project Finance", World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No.1688(1996).
    [111]Kui-yin CHEUNG, Ping LIN, "Spillover effects of FDI on innovation in China:Evidence from the provincial data", China Economic Review 15 (2004) 25-44
    [112]Kumar N. "Infrastructure Availability, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Their Exportorientation:A Cross-Country Exploration". Research and Information System for Developing Countries, New Delhi, November 2001.
    [113]Kwon, Eunkyung. "Infrastructure, Growth and Poverty Reduction in Indonesia:A Cross-Sectional Analysis" Paper presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,2005.
    [114]------"Road Development and Poverty in the People's Republic of China." Presented at the ADBI Workshop on Transport Infrastructure and Poverty Reduction, ADB Manila,18-22,1,2005.
    [115]Lebo, Jerry and Dieter Schelling, "Design and Appraisal of Rural Transport Infrastructure", World Bank Technical Paper No.496 (Washington DC: 2001).
    [116]Lee, Kyu Sik, Alex Anas, and Gi-Taik Oh, "Costs of Infrastructure Deficiencies for Manufacturing in Nigerian, Indonesian, and Thai Cities," Urban Studies,36 (1999)12,2135-49.
    [117]Lee, Lung-fei, Mark R. Rosenzweig, and Mark M. Pitt, "The Effects of Improved Nutrition, Sanitation, and Water Quality on Child Health in High-Mortality Populations," Journal of Econometrics,77 (1997)3,209-35.
    [118]Li Wei and Xu Lixin Colin "The Impact of Privatization and Competition in the Telecommunications Sector around the World" in Journal of Law and Economics, (2004)
    [119]Lorentzen, Peter, John McMillan, and Romain Wacziarg, "Death and Development," Working Paper No.11620, National Bureau of Economic Research (2005).
    [120]Mera, "Regional production functions and social overhead capital:An analysis of the Japanese case",Regional and Urban Economics,1973(6),157-185.
    [121]McDonald, Scott, and Jennifer Roberts, "AIDS and Economic Growth: A Human Capital Approach," Journal of Development Economics,80 (2006)6, 228-50.
    [122]Mills, Anne, and Sam Shillcutt, "Challenge Paper on Communicable Diseases," background paper for the Copenhagen Consensus (2004).
    [123]Morrison C.J., Schwartz A.E. "State Infrastructure and Productive Performance"American Economic Review, Vol.86, No.5, (1996),1095-1111.
    [124]Munnell A.H., "Why has Productivity Growth declined? Productivity and Public Investment", New England Economic Review, January/February, (1990) 3-22.
    [125]Munnell A.H. "How Does Public Infrastructure Aff ect Regional Economic Performance?"New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, (1990),11-32.
    [126]Nagaraj, R; Varoudakis, A.; Veganzones, M-A. "Long-Run Growth Trends and Convergence Across Indian States." Journal of International Development 12 (2000):45-70.
    [127]Newman, John, Menno Pradhan, Laura B. Rawlings, Geert Ridder, Ramiro Coa, and Jose Luis Evia, "An Impact Evaluation of Education, Health, and Water Supply Investments by the Bolivian Social Investment Fund," World Bank Economic Review,16 (2002)6,241-74.
    [128]Pereira A., Sagales O.R, "Public Capital Formation and Regional Development in Spain",Review of Development Economics, (2002).3, No.3, 281-294.
    [129]Rauch, John E., "Bureaucracy, Infrastructure, and Economic Growth: Evidence from U.S. Cities During the Progressive Era", The American Economic Review, Vol.85, No.4 (1995),968-979.
    [130]Reinikka, Ritva, and Jakob Svensson, "Coping with Poor Public Capits,"Journal ofDevelopment Economics,69 (2002)10,51-69.
    [131]Rosalinde K, Maureen L, Victor G,"A system failure framework fo rinnovation policy design", Technovation 25(2005) 609-619
    [132]Rioja, Felix K., "Filling Potholes:Macroeconomic Effects of Maintenance versus new Investment in Public Infrastructure," Journal of Public Economics,87 (2003)9,2281-304.
    [133]Root FR, Ahmed A. "Empirical determinants of manufacturing direct foreign investment in developing countries". Economic Development and Cultural Change 1979.27:751-767.
    [134]Reiss, Armin "The Economic Cost of Public Funds in Infrastructure Investment", EIB Papers, Volume 13, No.1(2008).
    [135]Robinson, James A. and Ragnar Torvik "A Political Economy Theory of the Soft Budget Constraint," CEPR Discussion Papers 5274(2005)
    [136]Romp, Ward and De Haan, Jacob "Public Capital and Economic Growth: a Critical Survey," EIB Papers 2(2005)
    [137]Rosenstein-Rodan, Paul "Problems of Industrialization of Eastern and Southeastern Europe." Economic Journal 53(210-211) (1943)
    [138]Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, Gernot Doppelhofer, and Ronald Miller, "Determinants of Long-Term Growth:A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach," American Economic Review,94 (2004)9,813-35.
    [139]Seitz H. " A Dual Economic Analysis of the Benefi ts of the Public Road Network", The Annals of Regional Science, (1993),223-239.
    [140]Smith, K., " Economic infrastructures and innovation systems". In:Edquist, C., (Ed.), Systems of Innovation:Technologies, Institutionsand Organisations, Pinter, London.1997.
    [141]Smith, K., " innovation as a systemic phenomenon:rethinking the role of policy". In:Bryant, K., Wells, A. (Eds.), A New Economic Paradigm?Innovation-Based Evolutionary Systems, Commonwealth of Australia,Department of Industry, Science and Resources, Science andTechnology Policy Branch, Canberra,1999.10-47.
    [142]Straub, Stephane, Vellutini, Charles and Warlters, Michael "Infrastructure and Economic Growth in East Asia", Policy Research Working Paper 4589, World Bank, Washington DC(2009).
    [143]Strauss, John, and Duncan Thomas, "Health, Nutrition and Economic Development," Journal of Economic Literature,36 (1998)6,766-817.
    [144]Sturm, Jan-Egbert, and Jakob de Haan, "Determinants of Long-Term Growth:New Results applying Robust Estimation and Extreme Bounds Analysis," Empirical Economics,30 (2005)12,597-617.
    [145]Torvik, Ragnar, "Learning by Doing and the Dutch Disease," European Economic Review,45 (2001)2,285-306.
    [146]Turnovsky, Stephen J., "Fiscal Policy, Adjustment Costs, and Endogenous Growth", Oxford Economic Papers,48 (1996)7,361-81.
    [147]Tybout, Jim, "Manufacturing Firms in Developing Countries:How well do they do and why?, "Journal of Economic Literature,38 (2000)3,11-44.
    [148]United Nations, "The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005" United Nations (New York:2005).
    [149]van Zon, Adriaan, and Joan Muysken, "Health and Endogenous Growth," Journal of Health Economics,20 (2001)3,169-85.
    [150]Warr, Peter, "Road Development and Poverty Reduction:The Case of Lao PDR", ADB Institute Discussion Paper No.252005.
    [151]World Bank. "India:Power Sector Reform and the Poor." Washington, DC:World Bank,2002.
    [152]——, "Millennium Development Goals:From Consensus to Momentum", Global Monitoring Report 2005, World Bank (Washington DC: 2005).
    [153]——, "Infrastructure:Lessons from the Last Two Decades of World Bank Engagement," Infrastructure Network, World Bank (2006).
    [154]World Bank, "World Development Report 1994. Infrastructure for Development", New York:Oxford University Press(1994).
    [155]_____,"Global Development Finance 2004:Harnessing Cyclical Gains for Development". Washington, DC:World Bank(2004b).
    [156]_____,"Global Development Finance 2007:The Globalization of Corporate Finance in Developing Countries". Washington, DC:World Bank(2007).
    [157]Wheeler D, Mody A. " International investment location decisions:the case of U.S. firms". Journal of International Economics 1992.33:57-76.
    [158]World Economic Forum "Paving The Way:Maximizing the Value of Private Finance in Infrastructure", World Economic Forum USA Inc., prepared in association with PricewaterhouseCoopers(2010)..
    [159]Yepes, Tito "Investment needs in infrastructure in developing countries:2008-2015", The World Bank, mimeo(2008).
    [160]Yescombe, Edward R. Public-Private Partnerships:Principles of Policy and Finance, Butterworth-Heinemann, London, UK (2007).

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700