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对抗条件下实战要素对雷达影响效应建模研究
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摘要
体系对抗已成为信息化战争的基本作战形态,体系对抗仿真也已成为武器系统论证和作战效能评估的有效手段。因此,如何准确分析与评估体系对抗中诸多实战要素对雷达系统性能的影响,对实战要素和雷达系统的技战术运用以及设计、优化有着重要的意义;另一方面,随着仿真规模越来越大,仿真实体的运行效率已成为体系对抗仿真的突出问题。本文将元建模的思想引入雷达建模和仿真领域,研究了基于元建模技术的实战要素效应建模的关键技术和实现方法,建立了一系列的建模框架和方法流程,并给出了效应建模实例;同时,对体系对抗仿真条件下,基于效应元模型来提高雷达仿真系统运行效率的方法进行了一些探索研究。
     首先,分析了基于仿真数据实现实战要素效应建模的可行性。通过分析建模与仿真理论、实战要素效应建模和雷达系统建模仿真技术的研究现状,明确了基于仿真数据的实战要素效应建模研究的需求和意义;在系统分析实战要素作用效应相关概念的基础上,论述了基于仿真数据进行效应建模的可行性和具有的优势。
     其次,研究了基于元建模技术的效应建模方法。分析了元建模技术的基本理论、重要特征和关键技术,论述了其在效应建模中重要作用;针对典型体系对抗过程,提出了以建构-解构-拟合-聚合为核心的效应建模框架,并研究了其中雷达系统物理源模型建构和效应元模型拟合的具体实现方法,分析了效应元模型的聚合方式;在分析现有仿真方法仿真粒度问题的基础上,探索研究了雷达效应建模与仿真方法在高层次体系对抗仿真中的应用。
     然后,进一步研究了体系对抗中实战要素对雷达系统影响效应的敏感性分析方法。分析了实战要素敏感性分析的概念、作用和基本方法,研究了基于正交设计和基于效应元模型的两种实战要素敏感性分析方法,给出了它们的具体实现方法,并进行了对比分析。
     最后,实现了实战要素效应建模和敏感性分析的应用实例。给出了具体实战要素效应分析、建模过程和建模结果,在此基础上,对所建模型进行了有效性评估;给出了实战要素敏感性分析实例,得出了一些有价值的分析结果。
     论文提出的基于仿真数据实现效应建模的方法,可以有效增强实战要素效应建模的可信度和通用性,降低了效应建模的难度,为效应建模提供了另一种思路。基于效应元模型的雷达仿真方法,对体系对抗仿真中雷达仿真系统运行效率的提高,进行了有益的探索。
With the system-of-systems combat has become the basic form of information warfare, system-of-systems(SoS) combat simulation has been an effective approach for operational effecttiveness evaluation and demonstration of weapons systems. Therefore, the analysis and evaluation the effects of Factors for Radar system has all-important significance to them demonstration and tactical usage. In addition, with the scale continued to expanded, the efficiency has become a key problem in complex simulation. The paper brought the ideal of metamodeling into the radar modeling and simulation region. The key technologies and the implement methods for the effects modeling of factors based on the motivated metamodeling were studied, some framework and procedure were established and some examples was introduced. On the side, the method of radar simulation based on effects metamodel was discussed, which can effectively improve the efficiency of the system in SoS combat simulation.
     Firstly, the feasibility for the effects modeling of warfare factors based on the simulation data was analyzed. By general analyzing the research actualities of the modeling and simulation methodology, effects modeling method and the radar simulation technology, the requirement and the meaning of the research on effects modeling based on simulation data were confirmed. And the feasibility and advantage of effects modeling based on the simulation data was discussed by analyzing the correlative concepts and basic characteristics of them.
     Secondly, the effects modeling methodlogy based on the metamodeling technology was researched. The basic theories, characteristics and key technologies was studied and the importance of them for effects modeling was disscused. According to the characteristics of the SoS combat simulation, the framework was proposed, which includes four kernel activities of construction, de construction, fit and aggregation. The implement method of construction of radar physics models and fit of effects metamodel were researched, the aggregation method of effects metamodel was analyzed. Aside, the granularity in SoS combat simulation was disscused and the application of effects modeling for high level SoS combat simulation.
     Then, the sensitivity analysis method of warfare factors for radar was further researched. The correlative concepts, function and basic method was analyzed. Two sensitivity analysis mthodology was proposed, which based on orthogonal design and effects metamodel. The implement methods and contrastable analysis of them were discused.
     Finally, the practical application of effects modeling and sensitivity analysis were designed and actualized. The process of effects analysis and modeling was introduced, the results of effects modeling were given out. On this basis, the efficiency evaluation for effect models was discussed. In addition, a example of sensitivity analysis method of warfare factors for radar was given out, and some useful analysis results were summarized.
     The effects modeling approach of warfare factors for radar system based on simulation data proposed by the paper can enhance the reliability and adaptability of the modeling, and reduce the difficulty of effects modeling, and also provided an new idea for the research on effects modeling. The simulation method of radar based on effects metamodel was significative explore which in order to improve the efficiency of SoS combat simulation.
引文
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