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乌鲁木齐“5.22”暴恐事件中的“心理台风眼”效应
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摘要
"心理台风眼效应"是指在灾难发生的中心区域,个体的心理反应比中心以外地区的个体更平静的现象,该概念被用来说明距离灾难事件发生地不同距离的公众对风险事件的真实恐慌程度究竟有多高。以往研究在风险认知、风险行为倾向上均验证了心理台风眼效应。本研究在5.22新疆自治区首府乌鲁木齐"暴恐事件"发生后一个月左右的时间里,对全国范围内不同省份16个市的529名被试进行了有计划的调查,探索并检验5.22新疆自治区首府乌鲁木齐"暴恐事件"是否产生了"心理台风眼"效应。依据各城市与乌鲁木齐市的直线距离将城市划分为近距离组、中等距离组、远距离组。采用方差分析比较三组在风险觉知、社会影响评估、状态焦虑水平上的差异。结果发现:在风险觉知和社会影响评估上,均出现了心理台风眼效应,即民众距离乌鲁木齐市越远,其风险觉知水平越高,认为暴恐事件造成的社会影响越大;然而,与心理台风眼效应相反,在状态焦虑水平上,距离越远的民众焦虑水平越低。同时发现处于中等距离的民众表现出最为矛盾的心理反应,他们对暴恐事件的社会影响评估最低,但状态焦虑程度却与近距离民众没有差别。最后对心理台风眼效应的情境条件和边缘带效应进行了讨论。本研究加深了对"心理台风眼"效应的理解,对突发公共事件下各级部门的政策制定和公共管理具有积极的借鉴意义。
"Psychological Typhoon Eye" effect refers to the phenomenon that in the central of the disaster zone, individual psychological reactions are calmer than centers outside individuals, which was used to indicate how fearful individuals at different distances from the disaster zone are. Previous research proved "Psychological Typhoon eye" effect on risk perception, and risk behavior. To analyze whether there is a so-called "Psychological Typhoon Eye" effect in 2014 Urumqi 5-22 Violent Terrorist Incident of May 22, a survey was carried out one month or so after the Violent Terrorist Incident. 529 subjects from 16 different provinces in nationwide were conducted a systematic investigations. According to the linear distance between cities and Urumqi,those cities were divided into three groups, the close group, the medium-distance group, the long distance group. Using analysis of variance, we compared the difference of three groups in risk perception, social impact assessment, and the different levels of state anxiety. The results confirmed the hypothesis of a Psychological Typhoon Eye Effect in terms of risk perception of incident and social impact assessment. Namely, the further residents from away Urumqi, the higher the level of risk awareness, and the more powerful social impact of the critical events they t hink are. However, it revealed a reversed effect with regard to state anxiety. In addition, residents from medium-distance showed the most conflicting psychological reactions. They showed lowest social impact assessment of storm events, but state anxiety level did not differ with close people. The final part discusses the situational factors for Psychological Typhoon Eye Effect and Edge Zone Effect. This study deepened the understanding of "psychological Typhoon eye" effect, and has positive significance under the public emergency sector at all levels of policy formulation and public management.
引文

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