基于空间面板模型的浙江省FDI影响因素实证研究
|
摘要
在当前中美贸易摩擦背景下,研究外商直接投资影响因素对于浙江省更好地利用外资无疑具有重要的理论和实践意义。以浙江省2000年至2016年11设区市面板数据为基础,结合浙江省FDI增长情况,对利用外资的特征和问题进行了总结归纳,对影响浙江省外商直接投资的影响因素进行实证,结论如下:浙江省外商直接投资呈现明显的空间溢出效应。社会消费品零售总额、平均货币工资、高校在校生人数、基础设施投资和进出口总额占GDP的比重对促进外商直接投资具有促进作用,第三产业占GDP比重、商业信用环境(CEI)对FDI起抑制作用。浙江省外商直接投资正处于从劳动力指向型向市场指向型、从劳动力密集型向资本密集型和技术密集型、从垂直分工型向水平分工型"三转折"时期。最后提出加强体制机制创新;调整外商直接投资的区域和产业布局;加强必要基础设施建设,营造良好信用建设;划清政府与市场边界,搭建平台发挥FDI外溢效应等建议。
Under the background of Sino-US trade frictions, it is undoubtedly of great theoretical and practical significance to study the influencing factors of foreign direct investment for Zhejiang Province to make better use of foreign capital. Based on panel data of 11 districts and municipalities in Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2016, combined with the growth of FDI in Zhejiang Province, this paper summarizes the characteristics and problems of FDI utilization, and makes an empirical study on the influencing factors of FDI in Zhejiang Province. The conclusions are as follows: FDI in Zhejiang Province shows obvious spatial spillover effect. Total retail sales of consumer goods, average monetary wages,the number of students in Colleges and universities, the proportion of infrastructure investment and total import and export to GDP can promote FDI, while the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP and business credit environment(CEI) can inhibit FDI. Foreign direct investment in Zhejiang Province is in a period of "three turning points" from labor-oriented to market-oriented, from labor-intensive to capital-intensive and technology-intensive, and from vertical division to horizontal division. Finally, some suggestions are put forward, such as strengthening the innovation of system and mechanism, adjusting the regional and industrial layout of FDI, strengthening the construction of necessary infrastructure, building good credit,delineating the boundary between government and market, and building a platform to give full play to the spillover effect of FDI.
Under the background of Sino-US trade frictions, it is undoubtedly of great theoretical and practical significance to study the influencing factors of foreign direct investment for Zhejiang Province to make better use of foreign capital. Based on panel data of 11 districts and municipalities in Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2016, combined with the growth of FDI in Zhejiang Province, this paper summarizes the characteristics and problems of FDI utilization, and makes an empirical study on the influencing factors of FDI in Zhejiang Province. The conclusions are as follows: FDI in Zhejiang Province shows obvious spatial spillover effect. Total retail sales of consumer goods, average monetary wages,the number of students in Colleges and universities, the proportion of infrastructure investment and total import and export to GDP can promote FDI, while the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP and business credit environment(CEI) can inhibit FDI. Foreign direct investment in Zhejiang Province is in a period of "three turning points" from labor-oriented to market-oriented, from labor-intensive to capital-intensive and technology-intensive, and from vertical division to horizontal division. Finally, some suggestions are put forward, such as strengthening the innovation of system and mechanism, adjusting the regional and industrial layout of FDI, strengthening the construction of necessary infrastructure, building good credit,delineating the boundary between government and market, and building a platform to give full play to the spillover effect of FDI.
引文
[1]Braodman Harry G,Sun Xiaolun.The distribution of foreign direct investmentin China[J].World Economy1997,20(3):339-361.
[2]Cassidy John F,Andreosso-O'Callaghan Bernadette.Spatial determinants of Japanese FDI in China[J].Japan and the World Economy2006,18:512-527.
[3]耿强,孙成浩,傅坦.环境管制程度对FDI区位选择影响的实证分析[J].南方经济,2010,6:39-50.
[4]刘欣.浅谈中外国际投资理论的发展及其演变[J].管理科学,2010,17期:109.
[5]肖文林,高榜.产业集聚和外国直接投资区位选择——基于长三角地区经济发展的视角[J].国际贸易问题,2008,7:82-86.
[6]杨迤.外商直接投资对中国进出口影响的相关分析[J].世界经济,2000(2):44-49.
[7]毛新雅,章志刚,王桂新·长江三角洲地区外商直接投资的对外贸易效应[J].国际贸易问题,2006(3):73-80.
[8]姚远.外国直接投资对我国进出口影响的区域差异分析[J].国际贸易问题,2007(10):84-91.
(1)“双随机、一公开”,即在监管过程中随机抽取检查对象,随机选派执法检查人员,抽查情况及查处结果及时向社会公开。
[2]Cassidy John F,Andreosso-O'Callaghan Bernadette.Spatial determinants of Japanese FDI in China[J].Japan and the World Economy2006,18:512-527.
[3]耿强,孙成浩,傅坦.环境管制程度对FDI区位选择影响的实证分析[J].南方经济,2010,6:39-50.
[4]刘欣.浅谈中外国际投资理论的发展及其演变[J].管理科学,2010,17期:109.
[5]肖文林,高榜.产业集聚和外国直接投资区位选择——基于长三角地区经济发展的视角[J].国际贸易问题,2008,7:82-86.
[6]杨迤.外商直接投资对中国进出口影响的相关分析[J].世界经济,2000(2):44-49.
[7]毛新雅,章志刚,王桂新·长江三角洲地区外商直接投资的对外贸易效应[J].国际贸易问题,2006(3):73-80.
[8]姚远.外国直接投资对我国进出口影响的区域差异分析[J].国际贸易问题,2007(10):84-91.
(1)“双随机、一公开”,即在监管过程中随机抽取检查对象,随机选派执法检查人员,抽查情况及查处结果及时向社会公开。