基于直觉模糊多属性决策方法的沙漠公园旅游环境影响评价指标体系构建初探
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摘要
在总结归纳了沙漠旅游环境影响评价的相关文献基础上,分析了现有沙漠旅游环境影响评价的特点及存在的局限性。为了更有效地解决在不确定因素影响下对沙漠公园旅游环境影响评价指标体系建立的问题,以内蒙古库布其七星湖沙漠公园为例,通过应用基于信息熵和D-S证据理论的直觉模糊多属性决策方法,建了立评价指标体系模型,尝试从自然生态环境影响、社会文化环境影响、经济环境影响三个方面入手,建立一套层次分明、结构精准、可操作性强的指标体系,包括8个二级指标37个三级指标,以期为沙漠公园有效开展旅游环境影响评价提供一定的借鉴意义。
Background In order to protect the integrity of desert ecosystem and maintain the ecological service function of desert ecological,it is necessary to formulate a set of a scientific method and a model of tourism environment impact assessment system for desert park.The key for this job is to select effective and practical evaluation index system and model.This paper would summarize the literature about desert tourism environment impact assessment and analyze its characteristics and limitations.Methods The information entropy and intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making method of evidence theory can be used for comprehensive evaluation of tourism environmental impact for desert park.In order to solve the problem of the uncertainty in establishing the evaluation index system,this paper takes the Kubuji seven Xinghu desert park in Inner Mongolia for instance to establish the evaluation index system model and tries to establish a set of a distinct index system.Results Selecting the distinct indexes is the main work to build the index system.Alternative indicators are screened mainly according to the advice through experts consulting and the reference of existing research results.Then reusing the intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making method to evaluate specific indicators,at last influential tertiary indicators will be selected according to the final assessment result.The built index system has 3 aspects obtains:the natural ecological environment influence,social and cultural impact on the environment and economic environment influence.Meanwhile,the built index system sets up 8 secondary indexes and 37 third-level indicators.In order to effectively develop tourism environment impact evaluation for desert park and can provide the certain reference significance.This paper take Kubuji seven Xinghu desert park for example,index selection is mainly based on expert consult suggestions as well as the reference of existing research results,and then alternative indicators will be screened.Then the intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making method will be used to evaluate specific indicators,according to the final assessment result influential and representative tertiary indicators will be selected.At finally,the three-level index system will be selected.Conclusions and DiscussionsIn order to develop,utilize and protect desert resources,the decisionmaking method for evaluating environment impact in desert park tourism is proposed based on information entropy and DS evidence theory,meanwhile,the desert tourism environment can be more objective and accurate evaluated.The characteristics of relative entropy is used to measure the probability distribution difference for solving the problem of objective quantitative attribute weights.In addition,the intuitionistic fuzzy decision-making method is set up based on the nature of D-S evidence theory,then establishing the effective decision-making evaluation model.Using the intuitionistic fuzzy multi-attribute decision making method to build index system is not only to improve the system of fuzzy decision theory,and also to solve the problem of uncertainty in decision-making in the field of practical application and to provide a theoretical and technical support.And the intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making model provides a new train of thought and method to further improve the desert park evaluation index system of environmental impact assessment.There are many shortcomings in setting up the index system,such as evaluating some descriptive indicators need to be more rigorous systematic assessment,judging indicators mainly depend on the method of expert consultation,etc.On the other hand,the selection indicators would exist certain differences because of the different natural geographical conditions,economies and cultural environment.So how to better reflect the difference in the index system,it needs further modification and expansion to the model.
Background In order to protect the integrity of desert ecosystem and maintain the ecological service function of desert ecological,it is necessary to formulate a set of a scientific method and a model of tourism environment impact assessment system for desert park.The key for this job is to select effective and practical evaluation index system and model.This paper would summarize the literature about desert tourism environment impact assessment and analyze its characteristics and limitations.Methods The information entropy and intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making method of evidence theory can be used for comprehensive evaluation of tourism environmental impact for desert park.In order to solve the problem of the uncertainty in establishing the evaluation index system,this paper takes the Kubuji seven Xinghu desert park in Inner Mongolia for instance to establish the evaluation index system model and tries to establish a set of a distinct index system.Results Selecting the distinct indexes is the main work to build the index system.Alternative indicators are screened mainly according to the advice through experts consulting and the reference of existing research results.Then reusing the intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making method to evaluate specific indicators,at last influential tertiary indicators will be selected according to the final assessment result.The built index system has 3 aspects obtains:the natural ecological environment influence,social and cultural impact on the environment and economic environment influence.Meanwhile,the built index system sets up 8 secondary indexes and 37 third-level indicators.In order to effectively develop tourism environment impact evaluation for desert park and can provide the certain reference significance.This paper take Kubuji seven Xinghu desert park for example,index selection is mainly based on expert consult suggestions as well as the reference of existing research results,and then alternative indicators will be screened.Then the intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making method will be used to evaluate specific indicators,according to the final assessment result influential and representative tertiary indicators will be selected.At finally,the three-level index system will be selected.Conclusions and DiscussionsIn order to develop,utilize and protect desert resources,the decisionmaking method for evaluating environment impact in desert park tourism is proposed based on information entropy and DS evidence theory,meanwhile,the desert tourism environment can be more objective and accurate evaluated.The characteristics of relative entropy is used to measure the probability distribution difference for solving the problem of objective quantitative attribute weights.In addition,the intuitionistic fuzzy decision-making method is set up based on the nature of D-S evidence theory,then establishing the effective decision-making evaluation model.Using the intuitionistic fuzzy multi-attribute decision making method to build index system is not only to improve the system of fuzzy decision theory,and also to solve the problem of uncertainty in decision-making in the field of practical application and to provide a theoretical and technical support.And the intuitionistic fuzzy multiple attribute decision making model provides a new train of thought and method to further improve the desert park evaluation index system of environmental impact assessment.There are many shortcomings in setting up the index system,such as evaluating some descriptive indicators need to be more rigorous systematic assessment,judging indicators mainly depend on the method of expert consultation,etc.On the other hand,the selection indicators would exist certain differences because of the different natural geographical conditions,economies and cultural environment.So how to better reflect the difference in the index system,it needs further modification and expansion to the model.
引文
[1]计财司.国家林业局关于印发《国家沙漠公园发展规划(2016-2025年)》的通知[EB/OL].(2016-10-08)[2016-12-13].http://www.forestry.gov.cn/portal/main/govfile/13/govfile_2313.htm.
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[8]CHAIRA T.Intuitionistic fuzzy segmentation of medical images[J].IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering,2010,57(6):1430-1436.
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[11]李陇堂,薛晨浩,任婕,等.模糊理论的宁夏沙漠旅游环境影响综合评价[J].旅游研究,2015,7(2):45-51.
[12]董瑞杰,董治宝,曹晓仪,等.中国沙漠生态旅游资源及其竞争力分析研究[J].中国沙漠,2013,33(3):911-916.
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[15]刘海洋.中国沙漠旅游地发展模式与潜力评价研究[D].兰州:兰州大学,2013:1-147.
[16]李陇堂,薛晨浩,张至楠.沙漠型景区游步道沿线生态环境对踩踏干扰的响应[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(4):1048-1054.
[17]程子彪,蒲小梅.沙坡头旅游区旅游环境容量的动态测评[J].内蒙古农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011,13(6):79-81.
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[19]叶宜好.沙漠旅游景区价值评估研究:以沙坡头和巴丹吉林景区为例[D].兰州:兰州大学,2014:2-16.
[20]杨超.大青沟国家沙漠公园生态旅游承载能力研究[J].辽宁林业科技,2016(4):14-16.
[21]徐泽水.直觉模糊信息集成理论及应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2008:1-120.
[22]XU Z.Intuitionistic fuzzy aggregation operators[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2007,15(6):1179-1187.
[23]XU Z.Intuitionistic fuzzy multiattribute decision making:An interactive method[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2012,20(3):514-525.
[24]LI D.TOPSIS-based nonlinear-programming methodology for multiattribute decision making with interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2010,18(2):299-311.
[25]LI D.The GOWA operator based approach to multiattribute decision making using intuitionistic fuzzy sets[J].Mathematical and Computer Modelling,2011,53(5-6):1182-1196.
[26]DEMPSTER P.Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping[J].The Annals of Mathematical Statistics,1976,38(2):325-339.
[27]李彦萱.内蒙古首批国家沙漠公园试点获批[EB/OL].(2015-01-12)[2016-12-13].http://www.northnews.cn/2015/0114/1842650.shtml.
[2]祝建霞.鄱阳湖国家湿地公园旅游环境影响评价研究[D].南昌:江西财经大学,2010:14-24.
[3]薛晨浩.旅游活动对沙漠生态环境的影响研究:以宁夏沙漠景区为例[D].银川:宁夏大学,2014:1-46.
[4]刘敏,石金莲,刘金凤.荒漠生态旅游资源及开发模式研究[J].资源开发与市场,2013,29(7):769-772.
[5]赵多平,陶红.典型旅游景区循环经济评价指标体系构建研究:以宁夏沙湖与沙坡头旅游景区为例[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(6):1521-1526.
[6]高晶.生态环境影响综合评价方法研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2007:12-39.
[7]IAKOVIDIS D K,PAPAGERGION E.Intuitionistic fuzzy cognitive maps for medical decision making[J].IEEE Transactions on Information Technology in Biomedicine,2011,15(1):100-107.
[8]CHAIRA T.Intuitionistic fuzzy segmentation of medical images[J].IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering,2010,57(6):1430-1436.
[9]赵萌,邱菀华,刘北上.基于相对熵的多属性决策排序方法[J].控制与决策.2010,25(7):1098-1104.
[10]周宇峰,魏法杰.基于相对熵的多属性决策组合赋权方法[J].运筹与管理,2006,15(5):48-53.
[11]李陇堂,薛晨浩,任婕,等.模糊理论的宁夏沙漠旅游环境影响综合评价[J].旅游研究,2015,7(2):45-51.
[12]董瑞杰,董治宝,曹晓仪,等.中国沙漠生态旅游资源及其竞争力分析研究[J].中国沙漠,2013,33(3):911-916.
[13]董瑞杰.沙漠旅游资源评价及风沙地貌地质公园开发与保护研究[D].西安:陕西师范大学,2013:5-20.
[14]薛晨浩,李陇堂,任婕.沙漠旅游适宜度评价[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(3):901-910.
[15]刘海洋.中国沙漠旅游地发展模式与潜力评价研究[D].兰州:兰州大学,2013:1-147.
[16]李陇堂,薛晨浩,张至楠.沙漠型景区游步道沿线生态环境对踩踏干扰的响应[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(4):1048-1054.
[17]程子彪,蒲小梅.沙坡头旅游区旅游环境容量的动态测评[J].内蒙古农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011,13(6):79-81.
[18]董瑞杰,董治宝.巴丹吉林沙漠景区旅游环境容量[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(5):1424-1433.
[19]叶宜好.沙漠旅游景区价值评估研究:以沙坡头和巴丹吉林景区为例[D].兰州:兰州大学,2014:2-16.
[20]杨超.大青沟国家沙漠公园生态旅游承载能力研究[J].辽宁林业科技,2016(4):14-16.
[21]徐泽水.直觉模糊信息集成理论及应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2008:1-120.
[22]XU Z.Intuitionistic fuzzy aggregation operators[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2007,15(6):1179-1187.
[23]XU Z.Intuitionistic fuzzy multiattribute decision making:An interactive method[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2012,20(3):514-525.
[24]LI D.TOPSIS-based nonlinear-programming methodology for multiattribute decision making with interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2010,18(2):299-311.
[25]LI D.The GOWA operator based approach to multiattribute decision making using intuitionistic fuzzy sets[J].Mathematical and Computer Modelling,2011,53(5-6):1182-1196.
[26]DEMPSTER P.Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping[J].The Annals of Mathematical Statistics,1976,38(2):325-339.
[27]李彦萱.内蒙古首批国家沙漠公园试点获批[EB/OL].(2015-01-12)[2016-12-13].http://www.northnews.cn/2015/0114/1842650.shtml.