污染物源头控制模式影响我国雾霾防治的效应研究
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摘要
近年来,经济社会的快速发展导致雾霾污染问题较为突出,雾霾污染频频出现在大众视野之中。通过剖析污染物源头控制对雾霾污染防治的作用机理,研究实现我国雾霾防治的根本途径,即如何从源头控制雾霾污染物的产生来有效控制雾霾污染。结果表明:燃烧源和工业源控制在滞后1、2、3期的状态下是雾霾污染程度的格兰杰原因,交通源控制并不是雾霾污染程度的格兰杰原因。同时脉冲响应图显示控制燃烧源、工业源和交通源对我国雾霾污染皆起到一定的抑制作用,从而为我国从"三源"控制角度明确雾霾防治重点和制定防治措施提供了科学依据。
In recent years,the rapid economic and social development of many cities in China has led to the problem of haze pollution.The topic of haze pollution frequently appears in everyone's vision.This paper studies the fundamental ways to prevent and control haze in China,i.e.controlling the production of haze pollutants from the source,by analyzing the mechanism of the control of pollutant sources.The results show that the combustion source and industrial source control in lag periods 1,2,and 3is the Granger cause of haze pollution.The traffic source control is not the Granger cause of haze pollution.At the same time,the impulse response model shows that control of combustion source,industrial source and traffic source for China's haze pollution has played an inhibitory role,and thus provides a scientific basis for China to make clear the focus of haze prevention and work out control measures from the perspective of controlling the"three sources".
In recent years,the rapid economic and social development of many cities in China has led to the problem of haze pollution.The topic of haze pollution frequently appears in everyone's vision.This paper studies the fundamental ways to prevent and control haze in China,i.e.controlling the production of haze pollutants from the source,by analyzing the mechanism of the control of pollutant sources.The results show that the combustion source and industrial source control in lag periods 1,2,and 3is the Granger cause of haze pollution.The traffic source control is not the Granger cause of haze pollution.At the same time,the impulse response model shows that control of combustion source,industrial source and traffic source for China's haze pollution has played an inhibitory role,and thus provides a scientific basis for China to make clear the focus of haze prevention and work out control measures from the perspective of controlling the"three sources".
引文
[1]张军英,王兴峰.雾霾的产生机理及防治对策措施研究[J].环境科学与管理,2013(10):157-159.
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[11]马海涛,师玉朋.三级分权、支出偏好与雾霾治理的机理——基于中国式财政分权的博弈分析[J].当代财经,2016(8):24-32.
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[14] Leea J S H,Jaafarbc Z,Tand A K J,et al.Toward Clearer Skies:Challenges in Regulating Transboundary Haze in Southeast Asia[J].Environmental Science&Policy,2016,55(1):87-95.
[15]徐骏.雾霾跨域治理法治化的困境及其出路——以G20峰会空气质量保障协作为例[J].理论与改革,2017(1):38-43.
[16]任保平,段雨晨.我国雾霾治理中的合作机制[J].求索,2015(12):4-9.
[17]李宇军.企业绿色转型:雾霾治理中炼油企业的案例分析[J].杭州师范大学学报,2014(4):94-110.
[18] Lv Chengwei,Xu Jiuping,Xie Heping,et al.Equilibrium Strategy Based Coal Blending Method for Combined Carbon and PM10 Emissions Reductions[J].Applied Energy,2016,183:1035-1052.
[19] Forsyth T.Public Concerns About Transboundary Haze:A Comparison of Indonesia,Singapore,and Malaysia[J].Global Environmental Change,2014,25(1):76-86.
[20]汤璇,夏方舟.利益相关者雾霾应对行为研究[J].江西社会科学,2016(5):205-210.
[21]张生玲,李跃.雾霾社会舆论爆发前后地方政府减排策略差异——存在舆论漠视或舆论政策效应吗?[J].经济社会体制比较,2016(3):52-60.
[22]魏嘉,吕阳,付柏淋.我国雾霾成因及防控策略研究[J].环境保护科学,2014(5):51-56.
[23]韩力慧,张鹏,张海亮,等.北京市大气细颗粒物污染与来源解析研究[J].中国环境科学,2016(11):3203-3210.
[24] Zhang Xiaolin,Mao Mao.Brown Haze Types Due to Aerosol Pollution at Hefei in the Summer and Fall[J].Chemosphere,2015,119:1153-1162.
[25]程念亮,李云婷,孟凡,等.我国PM2.5污染现状及来源解析研究[J].安徽农业科学,2014(15):4721-4724.
[2] Wang Yuesi,Yao L,Wang Lili.Mechanism for the Formation of the January 2013 Heavy Haze Pollution Episode over Central and Eastern China[J].Science China Earth Sciences,2014,57(1):14-25.
[3] Han R,Wang S,Shen W,et al.Spatial and Temporal Variation of Haze in China from 1961to 2012[J].Journal of Environmental Sciences,2016,46(8):134-146.
[4] Gao J H,Woodward A,Vardoulakis S,et al.Haze,Public Health and Mitigation Measures in China:A Review of the Current Evidence for Further Policy Response[J].Science of the Total Environment,2017,578:148-157.
[5] Li Meina,Zhang Lulu.Haze in China:Current and Future Challenges[J].Environmental Pollution,2014,189:85-86.
[6]周峤.雾霾天气的成因[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015(S1):211-212.
[7]邵帅,李欣,曹建华,等.中国雾霾污染治理的经济政策选择——基于空间溢出效应的视角[J].经济研究,2016(9):73-88.
[8]李伟娜.中国城市雾霾治理的内在机理与路径选择研究[J].理论探讨,2016(1):162-165.
[9] Stuart A L,Mudhasakul S,Sriwatanapongse W.The Social Distribution of Neighborhood-scale Air Pollution and Monitoring Protection[J].Journal of the Air&Waste Management Association,2009,59(5):591-602.
[10]周景坤.中国雾霾防治的政策创新[J].科技管理研究,2016(11):205-210.
[11]马海涛,师玉朋.三级分权、支出偏好与雾霾治理的机理——基于中国式财政分权的博弈分析[J].当代财经,2016(8):24-32.
[12]何怡平.协同理论视角下的地方政府雾霾治理机制研究[D].南宁:广西师范学院公共管理系,2016.
[13]白洋,刘晓源.“雾霾”成因的深层法律思考及防治对策[J].中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2013,13(6):27-33.
[14] Leea J S H,Jaafarbc Z,Tand A K J,et al.Toward Clearer Skies:Challenges in Regulating Transboundary Haze in Southeast Asia[J].Environmental Science&Policy,2016,55(1):87-95.
[15]徐骏.雾霾跨域治理法治化的困境及其出路——以G20峰会空气质量保障协作为例[J].理论与改革,2017(1):38-43.
[16]任保平,段雨晨.我国雾霾治理中的合作机制[J].求索,2015(12):4-9.
[17]李宇军.企业绿色转型:雾霾治理中炼油企业的案例分析[J].杭州师范大学学报,2014(4):94-110.
[18] Lv Chengwei,Xu Jiuping,Xie Heping,et al.Equilibrium Strategy Based Coal Blending Method for Combined Carbon and PM10 Emissions Reductions[J].Applied Energy,2016,183:1035-1052.
[19] Forsyth T.Public Concerns About Transboundary Haze:A Comparison of Indonesia,Singapore,and Malaysia[J].Global Environmental Change,2014,25(1):76-86.
[20]汤璇,夏方舟.利益相关者雾霾应对行为研究[J].江西社会科学,2016(5):205-210.
[21]张生玲,李跃.雾霾社会舆论爆发前后地方政府减排策略差异——存在舆论漠视或舆论政策效应吗?[J].经济社会体制比较,2016(3):52-60.
[22]魏嘉,吕阳,付柏淋.我国雾霾成因及防控策略研究[J].环境保护科学,2014(5):51-56.
[23]韩力慧,张鹏,张海亮,等.北京市大气细颗粒物污染与来源解析研究[J].中国环境科学,2016(11):3203-3210.
[24] Zhang Xiaolin,Mao Mao.Brown Haze Types Due to Aerosol Pollution at Hefei in the Summer and Fall[J].Chemosphere,2015,119:1153-1162.
[25]程念亮,李云婷,孟凡,等.我国PM2.5污染现状及来源解析研究[J].安徽农业科学,2014(15):4721-4724.
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